Saturday Reads
Posted: October 13, 2012 Filed under: 2012 presidential campaign, income inequality, Media, morning reads, U.S. Military, U.S. Politics, War on Women | Tags: Benghazi attacks, hypocrisy, John Sununu, Libya, Marilyn Monroe reading in bed, Paul Ryan, Ryan lies, stimulus funds, vice presidential debate 54 CommentsGood Morning!!
I’ve been pretty sanguine about the chances of President Obama being reelected, but I have to admit I’m getting to the point that I could start panicking. I can’t understand why Mitt Romney seems to be doing so well in the polls right now. Seriously? Just because he managed to roll over Jim Lehrer and lie his ass off in a debate? I simply cannot understand why anyone would vote for the policies that Romney and Ryan are running on or why there would be such a sudden reversal in the polls based on outright lies and deception. What exactly is going on here?
Nate Silver, who throughout the campaign has been forecasting an Obama victory, is beginning to reverse course. Yesterday afternoon Silver wrote: Obama’s Swing State ‘Firewall’ Has Brittle Foundation.
President Obama’s position has been stronger in state polls than in national surveys on recent days, a streak that extended itself in Thursday’s polling.
Although Mr. Obama got a distinctly poor poll in Florida, which showed him seven points behind there, the rest of Thursday’s state-level data, like a series of polls by Quinnipiac University and Marist College, were reasonably good for him. In surveys of competitive states that were released over the course of the day, he held the lead with 11 polls to Mitt Romney’s 6.
However, four of the six national tracking polls moved toward Mr. Romney, who also led by one point in a national poll published by Monmouth University.
The case that Mr. Romney’s bounce is evaporating after his debate last week in Denver continues to look a bit thin. The tracking polls aren’t perfect by any means. Some are better than others, but they are a below-average group of polls on the whole. But they do provide useful information about the day-to-day trend in the race, and so far they haven’t shown the sort of reversal that Democrats might have hoped for.
What the hell is going on here? Then last night Silver published another piece: Romney Debate Gains Show Staying Power
Mitt Romney continues to surge in the FiveThirtyEight forecast, and Friday may have featured his best set of polls all year.
The best way to track a change in the polls is to look for instances in which the same firm has surveyed the same state (or the national race) multiple times. The FiveThirtyEight forecast model relies on a procedure very much like this to calculate the overall trend in the race.
Fifteen polls were released on Friday that provided a comparison with another survey conducted between the Democratic convention and last week’s debate in Denver. Mr. Romney gained an average of 4.6 percentage points in these surveys.
The scariest thing is that Romney is gaining in the swing states. Silver admits that many of the polls released on Friday were from Republican leaning firms, but still, it’s frightening.
The only really good news for Democrats is that Mr. Obama had built up a large enough cushion that he could withstand a lot of damage without becoming the underdog. The forecast model still has him clinging to narrow leads in Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin and Nevada, states that in some combination would give him 270 electoral votes.
Mr. Obama may also be just slightly underperforming the fundamentals in the election. His approval ratings remain near 50 percent, which would ordinarily predict a narrow re-election victory.
But for the first time, it’s really looking like Romney/Ryan could win. For those of us who believe that there will be a gigantic difference in outcomes–especially for women–if Romney becomes president, that is a terrifying prospect. Some liberals have argued that there is little difference between these two candidates. I simply can’t agree. I think the only hope for democracy is to get Obama reelected and then push him to enact policies that will reduce economic inequality and increase individual rights.
Can Obama turn this around? I have to believe he can, but it will obviously take a dramatic improvement in his performance in next Tuesday’s debate. Both candidates are prepping for the debate over the next three days.
In other news, Think Progress pushes back on Paul Ryan’s lies about the Libya situation during the vice presidential debate Thursday night. Ryan claimed that embassy officials had requested increased security for the Benghazi consulate, but that was not true. The requests were for security at the embassy in Tripoli.
Ryan also claimed there were requests for Marines to protect the ambassador, but that is not true either. TP quotes Foreign Policy:
At Thursday night’s debate, Rep. Paul Ryan seemed to suggest that the requests were for Marines to go to Libya, which was not the case. The requests were to extend the tours of a Mobile Security Detachments [MSD] and the Site Security Team [SST] at the U.S. embassy in Tripoli, which are teams of military personnel, not Marines, who can help protect an embassy and its personnel.
There’s more at the link, but pretty much everything Ryan said about Libya during the debate was a lie. So why was it wrong for Biden to laugh at him again?
At HuffPo, Sam Stein writes that Ryan actually requested more stimulus funds from the Obama administration that has previously been known.
During Thursday night’s vice presidential debate, Vice President Joe Biden attacked Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) for criticizing the president’s stimulus act despite having sent two separate requests for stimulus funds for his district.
Biden was wrong. Ryan sent at least four requests.
A Freedom of Information Act request for correspondence between Ryan’s office and the Environmental Protection Agency, filed by The Huffington Post, unearthed two additional instances in which the Wisconsin Republican petitioned for American Recovery Act funds. In addition, there were many other occasions in which the GOP vice presidential nominee asked the EPA for grant money for projects in Wisconsin’s 1st District, which encompasses Ryan’s hometown of Janesville and has a slight Democratic lean. Combined, the letters muddy Ryan’s claim that the stimulus wasn’t helpful and that government spending, more broadly, doesn’t assist small businesses.
Stein notes that the EPA request could be embarrassing for Republicans:
…the letters’ language reveals a congressman who was involved in reviewing the applications and determining that taxpayer money could be useful economically. Moreover, the direct petitioning of the EPA could prove awkward for the Republican ticket, owing to the insistence among many in the GOP that the agency is a hindrance and should be eliminated.
You can see the original letters at the link.
Horrible, ugly troll and Romney surrogate John Sununu has struck again: Sununu Says Obama Imitating Biden Would Fail. From the Bloomberg TV unofficial transcript:
AL HUNT: Welcome back. We are now joined by former New Hampshire Governor John Sununu, a top Romney surrogate. John, let me ask you. Last night, the Democrats were ecstatic. They say Joe Biden energized us again. Give me your take on the VP debate.
JOHN SUNUNU: If they’re energized by that grotesque display, all the better for it. I thought Joe Biden was on steroids last night. He looked like the Cheshire cat at times and then he looked like the gawker and the stalker. But worse than that was his substance.
“Grotesque display?” Well, I guess it takes one to know one.
HUNT: John, second presidential debate next Tuesday in Hofstra. Do you expect a different Barack Obama, a different Mitt Romney?
SUNUNU: I expect the same Mitt Romney. Mitt is pretty consistent. But I think you’ll probably see a different Barack Obama. They’re probably showing him tapes of Biden’s disgraceful performance and suggesting to him he ought to get wired like that. So I suspect you’ll see a little bit of Joe Biden not only in Joe Biden, as we saw last night, but a little Joe Biden in Barack Obama.
Well that was insightful.
Sorry I don’t have more positive news. I guess we have to hang on until Tuesday night while the media continues to fawn over Romney and Ryan.
What are you reading and blogging about today?
Michele and Marcus Bachmann and Cher’s Gaydar
Posted: July 2, 2011 Filed under: 2012 presidential campaign, GLBT Rights, religious extremists, Republican presidential politics, Surreality, U.S. Politics | Tags: 2012 presidential election, discrimination, equal rights, GLBT rights, hypocrisy, Marcus Bachmann, Michele Bachmann, same-sex marriage 24 CommentsGOP Presidential Candidate Michele Bachmann and her potential “first dude” Marcus Bachmann have been campaigning together since her recent announcement that she is running for President. At a rally on June 28, in Myrtle Beach, NC, Michele gave a rousing stump speech and then the happy couple danced together onstage to the strains of “Wabash Cannonball”
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In 2010, Marcus Bachmann explained to a “christian” radio host that homosexuals are “barbarians” who “need to be educated.” Now that the Bachmanns are in the spotlight, their attitudes about homosexuals are beginning to be noted by the corporate media.
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After Cher saw the above MSNBC segment, she tweeted the following to her followers:
“Just heard Michele Bachmann’s OH SO CHRISTIAN husband talk about ‘Gays’ in the most UNCHRISTIAN way WTF!”
“But Boys please utube this asshole & tell me what u think … Cause My Gay-Dar is GOING OFF!!!”
More of her tweets are posted at the above link.
Here’s another radio interview of Marcus discussing his advice to his daughter about choosing her prom dress and how that process relates to identity.
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These two are just a bundle of contradictions. Now check this out:
After a long hard day of wingnutting, what does the family of crazy-eyed Minnesota congresswoman Michele do to kick back? Well, of course, they watch Glee! Are the anti-gay Michele Bachmann and her “Christian counselor” husband Marcus hypocrites, stupid or all of these things?
Justin Bieber disappointed U.S. representative and potential presidential candidate Michele Bachmann at last night’s Time 100 by not showing up — she’d brought copies of his book to sign for one of her older sons, who is a special-ed teacher. But she did delight her other, younger children (she’s taken care of 23 foster kids over the years) by meeting another popular teen icon and singer. At the event last night, at Jazz at Lincoln Center, Bachmann and her husband posed with Glee star Darren Criss and e-mailed the pictures to their children. “We looked for Chris Colfer,” she said, but they didn’t find him. “We don’t watch TV, generally speaking. But the kids were thrilled. What kids don’t watch Glee?” Well, maybe the children of potential presidential candidates who think God sent them to stop gay people from having equal rights? Maybe Bachmann doesn’t know that the main message of the popular teen hit is tolerance, respect, and equal treatment — particularly for gay people. She doesn’t watch TV, after all.
My head is spinning!
NOTE: Videos taken from Youtube orginally posted by the Dump Bachman blog, and indispensible source for information on Michele and Marcus Bachmann.
Friday Reads
Posted: June 17, 2011 Filed under: morning reads | Tags: ACORN, Budget talks, DIAPERS David Vitter, Fort Calhoun Nuclear Plant, Greek Debt Crisis, hypocrisy, Joe Biden, Lehman meltdown, Oiled Pelicans living in Georgia 16 Comments
Good Morning!
Political witch hunts are interesting things. Ask me. One of my senators used his senate cell phone to call up and hire prostitutes from the infamous Washington Madam. He’s still in the U.S. Senate after he made his wife beg the press to stop hounding the family and spent a summer fleeing any and all press. The calls from Republican leadership for his resignation never came, yet Senator David Vitter broke the law and was caught with his “diapers down”. Where’s the media outrage over this pervert?
So, here’s another story about a Breitbart Witch Hunt. A report by the “GAO Finds Little to Support Congress’ Abolition of ACORN: Grass-roots consumer organization was driven into bankruptcy by conservative critics”. This was the predecessor to the current attacks on Planned Parenthood. Unsubstantiated lies bandied about by partisan news outlets appear to be able to successfully take out liberal organizations and people.
A report issued today by the Government Accountability Office(GAO) finds little to support the charges that led to the demise of the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now (ACORN), a grassroots consumer advocacy organization driven out of existence by Congressional critics.
The GAO found that monitoring of awards to ACORN by government agencies generally consisted of reviewing progress reports and making site visits. Of 22 investigations of alleged election and voter registration fraud, most were closed without prosecution, the report found.
One of eight investigations of alleged voter registration fraud resulted in guilty pleas and seven were closed without action due to lack of evidence.
When will Democratic leadership and the press stand up to these witch hunts?
Robert Scheer has an excellent piece in The Nation called “The Seven Republican Dwarfs”. He points out at how the Republican candidates in the Presidential run are willfully ignorant of economic reality. He doesn’t spare Obama either.
Obama, who has been inconsistent and weak in reining in the Wall Street greed that got us into this deep economic morass, is now under no pressure from the opposition to improve his performance. The Republican knee-jerk reaction—government bad, big business great, and don’t dare say that the Wall Street scoundrels who created this crisis need a timeout—gets Obama off the hook from legitimate criticism he needs to hear. As the Wall Street Journal headlined the non-debate: “Candidates Run Against Regulation.”
It’s as if the sound government regulation of the financial industry implemented in response to the Great Depression—not its polar opposite, the radical deregulation fueled by Republican free market zealots—was the source of our banking meltdown.
It’s only a matter of time before we experience similar problems. It may come this summer if the game of playing chicken with US sovereign debt continues. We shouldn’t be Greece but we are being set up to suffer their current fate by the inability of political leaders to do the right thing instead of the politically expedient thing. The financial community is calling the current Greece situation the EU’s “Lehman moment”. We may have a second Lehmann moment coming up shortly. If bond vigilantes don’t see progress in US debt ceiling talks shortly, we may be facing increased borrowing costs. Right now, the flee from Greece is helping us. This disaster probably will not hurt the US unless the contagion goes from Greece to Ireland to Portugal and on to Spain. However, many tea party Republicans seem hell bent on recreating the post-Lehman meltdown.
The euro lost more than 2 percent against the dollar in the past two days and the cost of protecting corporate bonds soared to the highest level since January, with credit-default swaps anticipating about a 78 percent chance that Greece won’t pay its debts. Equities declined around the world, while a measure of fear in fixed-income markets jumped the most since November.
Market moves suggest heightened concern that authorities won’t be able to keep Greece’s debt troubles from spreading after Moody’s Investors Service said it may downgrade BNP Paribas SA and two other big French banks because of their investments in the southern European nation. The collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in September 2008 caused credit markets worldwide to freeze as investors fled all but the safest government debt.
“The probability of a eurozone Lehman moment is increasing,” said Neil Mackinnon, an economist at VTB Capital in London and a former U.K. Treasury official. “The markets have moved from simply pricing in a high probability of a Greek debt default to looking at a scenario of it becoming disorderly and of contagion spreading to other economies like Portugal, like Ireland, and maybe Spain, Italy and Belgium.”
VP Biden held talks with his bi-partisan gang of six on Thursday. He characterized the talks as progressing but also mentioned their are significant differences between the two parties.
Vice President Joe Biden said Thursday that he and congressional negotiators have done a “first serious scrub” of the entire federal budget but differences remain over big-ticket items that philosophically divide the two parties in their quest for an agreement that would raise the nation’s debt ceiling while putting in place long-term reductions to the nation’s $14.3 trillion debt.
Those big-ticket items include whether to increase tax revenues – which many Democrats want – and making changes to expensive entitlements like Medicare – which many Republicans support.
“Everybody wants an agreement,” Biden told reporters after a meeting in the Capitol with the bipartisan group of lawmakers and other top Obama administration officials. “That is sufficiently realistic to get to $4 trillion over a decade or so – in terms of reductions.”
He said the group would meet four days next week, as opposed to three days this week, and that each meeting would be longer than the two hours or so each meeting has been to date. He also said their staffs would work “around the clock” to support the talks.
There’s some good news for the Arabian Oryx. This is a fascinating herd animal that has been pulled back from the brink of
distinction.
Believed by many to be the inspiration behind the legends of the unicorn, the Arabian oryx, Oryx leucoryx, is a species of antelope believed to be hunted to extinction in the wild in the 1970s.
However, with the help of the captive breeding program of the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN), the species has been reintroduced into the wild, and a population has now grown back to 1,000 individuals.
The creature, known locally as Al Maha, jumped three categories on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species from “Extinct in the Wild” to “Vulnerable,” an unprecedented accomplishment.
“To have brought the Arabian Oryx back from the brink of extinction is a major feat and a true conservation success story, one which we hope will be repeated many times over for other threatened species,” says Razan Khalifa Al Mubarak, Director General of the Environment Agency-Abu Dhabi, in a press release.
“It is a classic example of how data from the IUCN Red List can feed into on-the-ground conservation action to deliver tangible and successful results.”
Other good news for animals comes from Georgia where Pelicans that were coated with Oil from the Gulf Oil Gusher have found a new home. The brown Pelicans have no only survived, they have laid some eggs!
Brown pelicans that survived being covered in oil during the April 2010 spill in Louisiana are laying eggs and having babies on Georgia’s coast, according to wildlife officials, Savannah Morning News reports. Hundreds of the birds were scrubbed clean following the disaster and moved to Georgia and other states. Wildlife officials were not sure if they would live, much less have babies. But they did, and they are, and wildlife officials are thrilled.
Tim Keyes, a coast bird biologist with the Georgia Department of Natural Resources has reported what could be the first known successful nesting of brown pelicans at Little Egg Island Bar, a state-protected wildlife area about 60 miles south of Savannah, according to the newspaper’s website savannahnow.com.
Keyes told the newspaper Wednesday he has counted 17 brown pelican chicks since May spread among eight nests tended by a parent that survived the oil spill. The birds were identified as having been removed from the spill and released in Georgia by bands placed around their legs.
Nebraska has a nuclear plant that sits north of Omaha on the flooding Missouri River. A breech has already occurred in a downstream levee and is flooding Hamburg, Iowa. How safe is the plant? Well,historically, not very and it’s now on a yellow alert. Here’s some information from the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists.
The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issued a “yellow finding PDF” (indicating a safety significance somewhere between moderate and high) for the plant last October, after determining that the Omaha Public Power District (OPPD) “did not adequately prescribe steps to mitigate external flood conditions in the auxiliary building and intake structure” in the event of a worst-case Missouri River flood. The auxiliary building — which surrounds the reactor building like a horseshoe flung around a stake — is where the plant’s spent-fuel pool and emergency generators are located.
OPPD has since taken corrective measures, including sealing potential floodwater-penetration points, installing emergency flood panels, and revising sandbagging procedures. It’s extremely unlikely that this year’s flood, no matter how historic, will turn into a worst-case scenario: That would happen only if an upstream dam were to instantaneously disintegrate. Nevertheless, in March of this year the NRC identified Fort Calhoun as one of three nuclear plants requiring the agency’s highest level of oversight. In the meantime, the water continues to rise.
Yup, my youngest daughter is spending the summer with my oldest daughter not very far from the plant. Believe me, I’m not happy about all of the information provided in that report. You should definitely read the link because it seems the press aren’t reporting anything about the problem plant.
So, that’s what’s been on my computer screen this morning! What’s on your reading and blogging list today?
Mitch Daniels: Flippity Flippity Flop
Posted: April 29, 2011 Filed under: black women's reproductive health, PLUB Pro-Life-Until-Birth, religious extremists, Reproductive Rights, Women's Rights | Tags: defunding planned parenthood, hypocrisy, Indiana, Mitch Daniels 12 Comments
Mitch Daniels told THE WEEKLY STANDARD’s Andy Ferguson that the next president “would have to call a truce on the so-called social issues. We’re going to just have to agree to get along for a little while,” until economic issues are resolved.
Well, that was back in June, of 2010 … obviously the economic issues must all be resolved today, right?
Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels said today he will sign a controversial bill that cuts off government funding to Planned Parenthood, the nation’s largest abortion provider.
Indiana will become the first state to take such action.
“I supported this bill from the outset, and the recent addition of language guarding against the spending of tax dollars to support abortions creates no reason to alter my position,” said Daniels, a Republican.
You can’t trust any of them. They say anything. Way to call a truce, Governor … right on the backs of poor women!











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