Brink of the Abyss Open Thread
Posted: November 9, 2016 Filed under: U.S. Politics 99 CommentsSorry about this. I’m not a in a very good mood right now. I’m trying to figure out what to do next. I’m in a pretty precarious situation and I can’t afford to lose my Social Security and Medicare. My living situation is up in the air too. I may have to leave most of my belongings behind and move in with my mother in Indiana.
I just can’t believe this is happening. My dream of a woman president looked as if it was about to be realized, and instead we may end up with a psychopathic sexual predator doing his personal business out of the White House. A psychopath who is a willing puppet of Vladimir Putin. Thanks to Jim Comey. Thanks to the FBI, Thanks to the fucking assholes in the media who spent 600 days obsessing about emails and let Trump get away with not releasing his taxes. Thanks to CNN for hiring all those idiotic Trump surrogates to trash Hillary.
Hillary technically could still pull this out, but it’s not looking good. NATO is massing troops in Eastern Europe, the stock market is crashing, and all those people who voted for Trump are going to check ou these numbers on the opioid problem or whatever retirement funds they had along with their health care. But they don’t care, because they wanted hate to win.
This is an open thread.
Election Night Live Blog #2
Posted: November 8, 2016 Filed under: U.S. Politics | Tags: election night live blog, Election Returns 89 Comments
That’s Hillary finishing a speech in the rain in Florida.
Here’s a fresh thread as we continue to watch the returns. North Carolina is looking very good for Clinton right now. Remember she doesn’t need to win Florida, and if she wins North Carolina, Trump won’t have a good path to 270. He also needs to win a blue state, and I don’t see a good candidate. Hillary is way up in Michigan and Wisconsin. She could still pull out Florida, because there are votes still out in high Democratic areas in the southern part of the state.
Election Night Live Blog
Posted: November 8, 2016 Filed under: morning reads, U.S. Politics | Tags: election night live blog 94 CommentsWe’ll be getting real results soon. Right now it’s looking very good for Hillary in Florida, and as we all know by now, if she wins Florida it will be over for Trump unless something really weird and completely unexpected happens. There are lots of places to watch the returns come in once the votes are actually being counted. I like the New York Times site; but if you have other recommendations, please share.
Another interesting site to look at is Slate’s Election Day Votecastr. They are releasing information from exit polls throughout the day. You can see what the turnout has been for registered Democrats and Republicans. It’s the first time any media organization has done this.
Another place to check out is Vox’s live tracking of Senate races.
Armando (Big Tent Democrat) has been live tweeting turnout info from Florida all day long, so you might want to check out his Twitter timeline.
Al Giordano will be live tweeting his data evaluations on his timeline once the votes start coming in.
I’m also watching MSNBC, but so far it hasn’t been all that enlightening. I hope Rachel Maddow and Chris Mathews won’t be on all night. I’m a lot more interesting in what Lawrence O’Donnell and Joy Reid have to say frankly. And please MSNBC, send Steve Kornacki to the showers. I’m done with him and his dramatic arm waving.
So those are some of the places I’ll be checking to see what’s happening in the all-important swing states. Again, let me know if you have any other suggestions.
Go Hillary Go!
Election Day Reads
Posted: November 8, 2016 Filed under: morning reads, U.S. Politics 85 CommentsGood Morning!!
The great day has arrived! I’m going to go and vote as soon as I can wake up enough to function properly. I couldn’t get to sleep last night. I watched Hillary’s rallies in Philadelphia and Raleigh and then lay awake for a couple more hours, unable to stop my mind from racing. I think my body is registering how important this day is to me, even as I try to stay calm.
Ever since I was a little girl, I’ve wondered why I wasn’t allowed to do all the things boys and men could do? Why couldn’t women be lawyers, doctors, priests? Why couldn’t girls even be “altar boys?”
When I was in elementary school, I sometimes fantasized about being a boy–not because I actually wanted to be male, but because then I would have the freedom to do what I wanted to do and not what I was “supposed” to do. It’s amazing to me now that I realized even then that I was considered less than in my culture.
When I was in high school, it was still a basic assumption in our society that “real women” didn’t want careers. The height of a girl’s dreams was supposed to be to get married, raised children, and help her husband become successful.
When I was a junior in high school, I read The Feminine Mystique, by Betty Friedan; and suddenly I began to understand why my smart, college educated mom often seemed dissatisfied and frustrated. That book changed my life; it reinforced the inner feelings I had always had that girls and women didn’t deserve to be treated as less than boys and men.
Next month I’ll be 69 years old. I’ve waited all my life for the day when I could vote for a brilliant accomplished woman as President of the United States. That day has come and I plan to enjoy it to the fullest.
I know this won’t instantly change the culture we live in; in fact the sexism and misogyny will almost certainly get worse–just as racism got worse after we elected the first Black President. But if this is what we have to go through for girls an women to someday be treated equally, then so be it.
Tonight Hillary Clinton will be President elect. Little girls will know that they can be anything they want to be, even though they still will have to work twice as hard as their male counterparts to achieve the same level of success, and even though their achievements will still be denigrated and ignored. But we will have moved a bit closer to real change and real equality.
A few reads for you before I head to my polling place:
Claire Landsbaum at The Cut: So Many Women Put ‘I Voted’ Stickers on Susan B. Anthony’s Grave That the Cemetery Is Staying Open Late on Election Night.
On November 8, 1872, Susan B. Anthony was arrested for illegally casting a ballot in the presidential election. More than a century later, single women are the nation’s most potent political force. Anthony’s grave in Rochester, New York, is a popular destination for women who want to honor her memory by doing their civic duty, and according to the Democrat & Chronicle, this year the city’s mayor is making it even easier to do so.
Mt. Hope Cemetery, where Anthony is buried, usually closes at 5:30 p.m., but on Election Day, it’ll be open until voting ends. “Visiting Susan B. Anthony’s gravesite has become an Election Day rite of passage for many citizens,” Rochester’s mayor told the paper in a press release. “With this year’s historically significant election, it seems right to extend that opportunity until the polls close.”
Kevin Kruse at Politico: What It Took. How a lifetime of compromises and concessions brought one woman to the brink of history.
In early 1979, on a community access television program called In Focus, the wife of the new governor of Arkansas was peppered with question after question about all the ways in which she was an untraditional woman.
“The thought occurs to me that you really don’t fit the image that we have created for the governor’s wife in Arkansas,” the host, a self-described “newsman,” said to 32-year-old Hillary Rodham. “You’re not a native, you’ve been educated in liberal Eastern universities, you’re less than 40. You don’t have any children. You don’t use your husband’s name. You practice law. Does it concern you that maybe other people feel that you don’t fit the image that we have created for the governor’s wife in Arkansas?”
She looked through her large, thick-lensed glasses and smiled.
“No,” she began, “because just as I said before … ”
She had made a choice. In 1974, she had moved to Arkansas to be with her boyfriend, Bill Clinton. It was a decision that would dictate so many others, big and small, for decades to come—and here, in this spartan studio, on this rinky-dink show, was one of them. How to respond to this man?
This issue of wifeliness was being put to the first female lawyer at the finest firm in Little Rock. Rodham had been 1 of just 27 women among the 200-plus students in her law school class at Yale. She was one of only three on the staff of 44 attorneys on the Watergate impeachment team. She could have responded to the interviewer by pointing out any of these things. It was the ‘70s: She could have responded with an impassioned lecture about feminism, or chauvinism, or women’s lib. But she didn’t. She responded with an equanimity that must have been a challenge to muster. “That doesn’t bother me, and I hope that doesn’t bother very many people,” she said.
You already know the story, but I hope you’ll read the rest anyway.
You know about this story too, but this article about the disabled 12-year-old boy who was kicked out of a Trump Rally is really inspiring: An anti-Trump disabled boy was booed at a rally. The next day, he got to meet President Obama.
Twelve-year-old JJ Holmes has been enamored with the 2016 presidential election.
By Election Day, the boy would encounter two of the most polarizing figures in this campaign season — Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and President Obama — and his experiences with them would be vastly different.
For months, JJ, who has a severe case of cerebral palsy, has been sitting on his knees at his home in Longwood, Fla., using his nose to type searches on his iPad for “Mary Poppins” plays and Trump events, his mother said. Throughout the election, she said, he had been itching to go to a rally — to express his disdain for Trump, who came under fire last year for mocking a reporter with a disability.
“I wanted to go because Donald J. Trump made fun of disabled people,” JJ said in a video statement Monday to The Washington Post, using his computer vocalization device.
Please go read the whole thing. You won’t regret it.
Adele Stan at The National Memo: Pantsuit Feminism Is Real Feminism.
On November 8, if America doesn’t make history by electing its first former beauty-pageant owner and reality-show star as president, it will do so by electing the first woman to occupy the Oval Office. A woman in a suit; a suit that has pants.
Much is made of Hillary Clinton’s sartorial choice of the matching jacket and slacks as her signature look. But whether the subject of celebration or mockery, the response stems from the same fact—that a woman in public life who shucks nylons and pumps in favor of the freedom of movement long afforded men, well, that’s a woman who is claiming power.
Some might claim that the pantsuit is merely a symbol of feminism, one that can belie the motives of the woman who wears it. Symbol though it be, there is nothing “mere” about it: the pantsuit, as worn by the first presidential nominee of a major U.S. political party, is feminism itself. Its existence as an acceptable form of female dress in the halls of power is the result of thousands of years of feminism, and in Western culture, particularly the last few hundred.
The battle to unbind women from corsets and crinolines and bustles and busks was the work of feminists. It’s hardly a coincidence that the doffing of the corset in the 1920s, together with the adoption of a shorter dress that hung loosely on the frame, coincided with the time women gained the right to vote. But pants were another thing entirely. Pants were—and often still are—symbolic of something other than comfort or even ease of movement. Pants are a symbol of power and self-possession. Pants encase and protect the genitals while skirts offer access. A woman in pants is claiming her body as her own, treading her own path in the world.
Yes! When I was in high school in the 1960s, girls weren’t allowed to wear pants. We weren’t even permitted to wear culottes, which were very popular then. Today as an old retired lady, I wear jeans most of the time and the heck with anyone who disapproves of it.
The New York Time Editorial Board: The Question for James Comey.
That was the message James Comey, the F.B.I. director, sent to Congress on Sunday in his latest headline-grabbing interruption of the 2016 presidential race.
Having dropped a bomb packed with innuendo on Oct. 28 when he informed Congress that there was a new stash of emails that “appear to be pertinent” to the investigation of Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server, Mr. Comey had to dig himself out.
On Sunday, he reaffirmed his original decision in July to recommend against charging Mrs. Clinton for her careless handling of emails containing classified information when she was secretary of state. The new emails — on the computer of Anthony Weiner, the estranged husband of Mrs. Clinton’s close aide Huma Abedin — contain nothing except personal messages and duplicates of emails that had already been reviewed, investigators found.
But you can’t unring a bell. The damage Mr. Comey’s back-and-forthing has done to the election, to his own reputation and to that of the F.B.I. is profound. Nine days of early voting passed after he made his rash announcement about the new emails, an announcement made when he and his investigators knew nothing about the content of those emails because they didn’t even have a search warrant. That was nine days during which millions of voters went to the polls under the false impression — created by Mr. Comey’s action — that there was new evidence against Mrs. Clinton, showing possible criminality.
More at the link. Too bad the political reporting of the story at the NYT was so horrendous and irresponsible.
One more read from a man who saw his abusive father in Donald Trump. Don’t miss this one: My Father Donald Trump, by Oliver Lee Bateman. I’m not going to excerpt from this essay; I hope you’ll go read it at Medium.
I’m going to head out to vote soon, but I’ll be around all day. Please post your thoughts and links in the comment thread and have a fabulous election day! If this thread gets too long, I’ll post another one, and so on until the election is decided tonight.
I love you all!
Lazy Saturday Reads: Stars Come Out for Hillary; Trump Awakens a Sleeping Giant
Posted: November 5, 2016 Filed under: morning reads, U.S. Politics | Tags: Beyonce, Donald Trump, early voting, Hillary Clinton, Jay Z, Jennifer Lopez, Katy Perry, Latinos, Marc Anthony 149 CommentsGood Morning!!
This election is looking very good for Hillary Clinton. In just three more days, she will more than likely be President Elect Hillary Clinton. I can’t wait to vote for her on Tuesday! I thought about voting early, but I finally decided to wait and go to my regular polling place on election day. That will be a very special moment. I already shed some tears when I voted for Hillary in the 2008 primary and again in the 2016 primary. But Tuesday will be the big enchilada.
Last night Hillary appeared with Jay Z and Beyonce at the get-out-the-vote concert in Cleveland. NYT:
In an election year when Hillary Clinton is depending on young black voters to turn out, she may have gotten her biggest boost yet here on Friday.
Some of the most famous names in hip-hop came out to rally votes for her at an event that featured Beyoncé, Jay Z and Chance the Rapper, all of whom implored thousands of cheering people to back the Democratic presidential nominee.
“Hello, Cleveland!” Mrs. Clinton said as she stood onstage with Beyoncé and Jay Z.
Mrs. Clinton called Beyoncé “a woman who is an inspiration to so many others” and thanked Jay Z “for addressing in his music some of our biggest challenges in the country: poverty, racism, the urgent need for criminal justice reform.”
“When I see them here, this passion and energy and intensity, I don’t even know where to begin because this is what America is, my friends,” she said.
At the concert, aimed largely at urging black voters and millennials to vote on Tuesday, some of the biggest stars emphasized the historical significance of potentially electing the first woman as president.
Jay Z began the concert with “Made in America.” He performed behind a screen that manipulated his face to look like an American flag. A-list artists, including Beyonce, Big Sean, Chance the Rapper, and J. Cole surprised a pumped up crowd….
Jay Z performed behind a black and white photograph of the White House. He repeated Clinton’s campaign slogan: “Stronger Together.”
Each special performer emerged, one after another, thrilling the crowd of about 10,000. Politics overlaid performance. Words flashed behind the musicians on a large screen:
- “Bad officials are elected by good citizens who do not vote”
- “And on that day I did nothing”
- “Shape Tomorrow, Vote Today”
- “Your voice, your vote”
The crowd erupted in screams as Beyonce took the stage. Queen B delivered a heartfelt speech about what seeing a woman in the White House means to her.
“There was a time when a woman’s opinion did not matter if you were black, if you were white, Mexican, Asian, Muslim, educated, poor or rich. If you were a woman, it did not matter. Less than 100 years ago, women did not have the right to vote. Look how far we’ve come from having no voice to being on the brink of making history, again, by electing the first woman president. But we have to vote. The world looks to us as a progressive country that leads change,” Beyonce said. “I want my daughter to grow up seeing a woman lead our country.”
She transitioned into an appropriately patriotic song: Freedom. And followed it up with a medley of female empowerment songs: “Independent Women,” and “Run the World (Girls).”
The screen behind her flashed: “I’m with her.”
And who was campaigning for Donald Trump? NYT: Big Names Campaigning for Hillary Clinton Underscore Donald Trump’s Isolation.
Hillary Clinton campaigned Friday in the company of friends and celebrities, first flanked by the billionaire businessman Mark Cuban in Pittsburgh and Detroit, and then at a concert in Cleveland with Jay Z and Beyoncé. High-wattage political leaders fanned out for her around the country: Her husband, Bill, stumped in Colorado, as President Obama rallied voters in North Carolina.
By comparison, Donald J. Trump was a lonely figure.
In the final days of the presidential race, Mr. Trump’s political isolation has made for an unusual spectacle on the campaign trail — and perhaps a limiting factor in his dogged comeback bid.
When it comes to bolstering Mr. Trump, the Republican Party is not sending its best: As party leaders have disavowed him or declined to back his candidacy, Mr. Trump has been left instead with an eclectic group of backup players to aid him in his last dash for votes. Though polls show Mr. Trump drawing closer to Mrs. Clinton, the most prominent Republicans in key swing states still fear that his unpopularity may taint them by association.
Trump told a crowd in Hershey, PA that he doesn’t need anyone but himself.
“By the way, I didn’t have to bring J. Lo or Jay Z — the only way she gets anybody,” he said. “ I am here all by myself. Just me — no guitar, no piano, no nothing.”
Campaigning in New Hampshire earlier on Friday, Mr. Trump did not appear with either Senator Kelly Ayotte, a Republican seeking re-election, or Chris Sununu, the Republican nominee for governor. Ms. Ayotte withdrew her endorsement of Mr. Trump last month, and Mr. Sununu has kept an awkward distance from Mr. Trump in his closely divided state.
Tonight Hillary will be in Philadelphia for a free concert with Katy Perry.
Meanwhile, massive early voting by Latinos in Nevada, Florida, and Arizona is looking very good for Hillary and Democrats.
CNN: Democrats build huge early vote lead in battleground Nevada.
Democrats have built what could be an insurmountable edge in Nevada at the end of early voting in the Western battleground state.
In key regions, the party is matching or outpacing the lead President Barack Obama had at this point in 2012 on his way to a nearly 7-percentage-point win of the state’s six electoral votes.Clark County — home of Las Vegas and more than two-thirds of Nevada’s active registered voters — saw its record for single-day early vote turnout shattered Friday when 57,174 people cast their ballots, according to data from the Nevada secretary of state’s office that’s based on the party registration of those who have voted.Overall, Democrats have built a lead of more than 72,000 votes there — 13.7 points ahead of Republicans, and slightly larger than Obama’s 2012 edge.
Donald Trump will be in Reno on Saturday, but the Republicans almost certainly lost Nevada on Friday.
Trump’s path was nearly impossible, as I have been telling you, before what happened in Clark County on Friday. But now he needs a Miracle in Vegas on Election Day — and a Buffalo Bills Super Bowl championship is more likely — to turn this around. The ripple effect down the ticket probably will cost the Republicans Harry Reid’s Senate seat, two GOP House seats and control of the Legislature.
How devastating was it, epitomized by thousands of mostly Latino voters keeping Cardenas market open open in Vegas until 10 PM? This cataclysmic:
—-The Democrats won Clark County by more than 11,000 votes Friday (final mail count not posted yet), a record margin on a record-setting turnout day of 57,000 voters. The Dems now have a firewall — approaching 73,000 ballots — greater than 2012 when Barack Obama won the state by nearly 7 points. The 71,000 of 2012 was slightly higher in percentage terms, but raw votes matter. The lead is 14 percentage points — right at registration. You know what else matters? Registration advantages (142,000 in Clark). Reminder: When the Clark votes were counted from early/mail voting in 2012, Obama had a 69,000 vote lead in Clark County. Game over.
—-The statewide lead (some rurals not posted) will be above 45,000 — slightly under the 48,000 of 2012, but still robust. That’s 6 percentage points, or right about at registration. The GOP turnout advantage was under a percent, worse than 2012 when it was 1.1 percent.
—-The Dems eked out a 200-vote win in Washoe and lead there by 1,000 votes. It was even in 2012. The rural lead, before the stragglers come in, is 27,500. It probably will get above 28,000.
—-Total turnout without those rurals: 768,000, or 52.5 percent. If overall turnout ends up being 80 percent, that means two thirds of the vote is in — close to 2012. Republicans would have to not only win Election Day by close to double digits to turn around the lead Hillary Clinton almost surely has in early voting, but they would have to astronomically boost turnout. The goal for the Dems during early voting was to bank votes and to boost turnout as high as possible to minimize the number of votes left on Election Day to affect races. Folks, the Reid Machine went out with a bang.
Arizona has seen the largest increase of early voting by Latinos of any state.
As of Oct. 30, nine days before the Nov. 8 election, 13 percent of the early ballots cast in Arizona came from Latino voters, up from 11 percent at the same point prior to the 2012 presidential election and from 8 percent in 2008.
The increase from 2012 to 2016 is the largest increase in early voting by Latinos in any state, according to statistics compiled by Catalist, a data company that works with progressive candidates and groups….
Data tabulated by Arizona’s Democratic Party showed an even bigger increase in early voting by Latinos in Arizona, from 6.2 percent in 2012 to nearly 12 percent through Nov. 1. The data is based on Hispanic surnames.
As of Nov. 1, the share of early balloting from voters with Hispanic surnames was nearly double the same time in 2012….
“There has been a large push by many Latino groups to vote by early ballot by mail to avoid any hassles at the ballot box in presenting ID and Latinos under extra scrutiny at the polls,” Garcia said.
There also are not a lot of undecided Latino voters, many of whom have been turned off by Donald Trump’s harsh comments about Mexicans and immigrants, Garcia said.
Early voting by Latinos is also setting records in Colorado, Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina.
Donald Trump awakened a sleeping giant with his attacks on Mexicans and immigrants.
More news, links only:
Mother Jones: Exclusive: The Democratic National Committee Has Told the FBI It Found Evidence Its HQ Was Bugged
AP via Politico: Melania Trump modeled in U.S. prior to getting work visa.
Wall Street Journal: National Enquirer Shielded Donald Trump From Playboy Model’s Affair Allegation.
Jezebel: The Woman Who Accused Trump of Raping Her at 13 Just Dropped Her Lawsuit.
NBC News: U.S. Govt. Hackers Ready to Hit Back If Russia Tries to Disrupt Election.
Washington Post: Trump is a threat to the West as we know it, even if he loses.






















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