Tuesday Reads: Heatwave! And Other News

Good Morning!!

collioure-in-the-summer-by-henri-matisse-1905

Collioure in the Summer, by Henri Matisse

We’re having another heatwave here in the Boston area–four days of 90 degrees or more–with a high temperature today of 99 degrees. Thunderstorms are expected to break the heat tomorrow night, with temperatures in the 80s on Thursday. But that is nothing compared to what is happening in the Pacific Northwest. I talked to my sister in Portland, OR, yesterday, and she said the temperature was supposed to hit 115 degrees! She said her garden is dying even though she is soaking her plants every morning.

The New York Times: How Weird Is the Heat in Portland, Seattle and Vancouver? Off the Charts.

Heat waves and the “heat domes” that can cause them aren’t rare, but the recent weather that’s been smothering the Pacific Northwest has little precedent in at least four decades of record-keeping….

The heat has been not only widespread, but also intense, in some places surpassing previous records by double digits.

In Vancouver, British Columbia, this past weekend’s temperatures were far above norms for this time of year, and a town in British Columbia reached nearly 116 degrees, the highest recorded temperature for any place in Canada in its history. In Seattle, there have been only two other days in the last 50 years with temperatures in the triple digits: in 2009 and 1994.

The heat has resulted from a wide and deep mass of high-pressure air that, because of a wavy jet stream, parked itself over much of the region. Also known as a heat dome, such an enormous high-pressure zone acts like a lid on a pot, trapping heat so that it accumulates. And with the West beset by drought, there’s been plenty of heat to trap.

In Seattle, Portland and other areas west of the Cascades, hot air blowing from the east was further warmed as it descended the mountains, raising temperatures even more.

Martha Walter, American impressionist painter

Beach Scene by Martha Walter, American impressionist painter

Climate is naturally variable, so periods of high heat are to be expected. But in this episode scientists see the fingerprints of climate change, brought on by human-caused emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases.

Karin Bumbaco, Washington’s assistant state climatologist, said that any definitive climate-change link could be demonstrated only by a type of analysis called an attribution study. “But it’s a safe assumption, in my view, to blame increasing greenhouse gases for at least some portion of this event,” she said.

On a global average, the world has warmed about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit since 1900. “When you have that warmer baseline, when you do get these extreme events it’s just going to get that much warmer,” she said.

This heat wave is also unusual because it occurred earlier than most. Those two previous triple-digits days in Seattle, for example, happened in late July, about 30 days later.

This one occurred just a few days after the summer solstice, which may have contributed to the extreme conditions. “The days are longer, and we’re not getting that cool-off at night,” she said.

Read more details at the NYT, with maps and charts.

The Washington Post: The Pacific Northwest heat wave is shocking but shouldn’t be a surprise.

More than three decades ago, in his seminal study predicting the course of human-caused climate change, NASA scientist Jim Hansen wrote that “temperature changes within several decades will become large enough to have major effects on the quality of life for mankind in many regions.”

Hansen used the analogy of “loaded dice” to describe how climate change would increase the likelihood of extremely hot weather in a given year while decreasing the chance of unusually cold weather.

Even before that, in 1979, the National Research Council published a study led by the late meteorologist Jule Charney that predicted serious global warming would evolve. “It appears that the warming will eventually occur, and the associated regional climatic changes so important to the assessment of socioeconomic consequences may well be significant,” the report said.

Since those prescient projections 30-to-40-plus years ago, heat waves all over the world have intensified. Heat domes, the sprawling zones of high pressure at high altitudes that essentially bake the air underneath them, have strengthened.

Claude Monet, The Beach at Sainte-Adresse

Claude Monet, The Beach at Sainte-Adresse

During the European heat wave in 2003, blamed for 70,000 deaths, the average temperature was higher than any year since at least 1851. A study published in 2004 found human influence “at least doubled the risk” of a heat wave of that magnitude.

By 2010, when a historically intense heat wave killed 50,000 people in Russia, the risk of such an event was tripled due to climate change, according to a study published in 2012.

In 2016, a report from the National Academies of Sciences concluded that of the connections between human-caused climate change and extreme weather events, heat waves had among the most straightforward ties.

See also this excellent piece at Axios that summarizes a great deal of information about the heat wave. It’s much longer and more detailed than the usual Axios post: Pacific Northwest heat wave reaches astonishing peak  on Monday.

In other news, Axios analyzed traffic at “partisan” news sites and discovered big drops in clicks since Trump was ejected from the White House: Boring news cycle deals blow to partisan media.

In the months since former President Donald Trump left office, media companies’ readership numbers are plunging — and publishers that rely on partisan, ideological warfare have taken an especially big hit.

Why it matters: Outlets most dependent on controversy to stir up resentments have struggled to find a foothold in the Biden era, according to an Axios analysis of publishers’ readership and engagement trends.

By the numbers: Web traffic, social media engagement and app user sessions suggest that while the entire news industry is experiencing a slump, right-wing outlets are seeing some of the biggest plunges.

  • A group of far-right outlets, including Newsmax and The Federalist, saw aggregate traffic drop 44% from February through May compared to the previous six months, according to Comscore data.
  • Lefty outlets including Mother Jones and Raw Story saw a 27% drop.
  • Mainstream publishers including the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, USA Today and Reuters dropped 18%.

App visits tell a similar story. Both right-leaning (including Fox News, Daily Caller) and left-leaning (including Buzzfeed News, The Atlantic) saw considerable average drops in app user sessions over this time period at 31% and 26%, respectively, according to Apptopia data.

  • Data from Sensor Tower shows that downloads of fringe-right social networking apps like MeWe, Rumble, Parler and CloutHub have also plummeted.

Engagement on social media has taken the biggest dive, according to data from NewsWhip.

  • Left-leaning and right-leaning publishers have seen social interactions on stories drop by more than 50%, while mainstream publishers have experienced a slightly more modest drop of 42%.

The big picture: Opposition media traditionally relies on traffic booms when a new party takes office, but right-wing outlets have seen some of the most precipitous declines in readership since a Democratic president took office.

Untitled and undated painting by Harold Newton

Untitled and undated painting by Harold Newton

Political news sites would get a big upsurge in hits if the Trump Organization is indicted in New York this week. The Washington Post: Trump attorneys meet with New York prosecutors to argue that his company should not be criminally charged over its business practices, By David Fahrenthold, Josh Dawsey, and Shayna Jacobs.

Attorneys for the Trump Organization met with New York prosecutors on Monday to argue that former president Donald Trump’s company should not be criminally charged over its business dealings, according to three people familiar with the meeting.

Previously, the prosecutors — working for Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus R. Vance Jr. (D) and New York Attorney General Letitia James (D) — had set Monday as the last day for the organization’s lawyers to make their case.

After Monday’s session, spokespeople for both Vance and James declined to comment. No charges were announced on Monday. Vance has convened a grand jury in Manhattan to vote on potential indictments in the investigation, but so far, no person or entity connected to Trump has been charged. It remains possible that none will be. Those familiar with the investigation spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the private meetings.

Trump issued a lengthy written statement Monday denouncing the prosecutors, saying they were seeking to punish him because of his politics. Trump did not specify what practices prosecutors were focused on, but said they were “things that are standard practice throughout the U.S. business community, and in no way a crime.” [….]

In interviews with Politico and the Associated Press on Monday, Trump’s attorney Ron Fischetti said he believed the charges would focus on whether the proper taxes were paid on benefits that the Trump Organization gave to its executives, such as free apartments or company cars. In a brief call with The Washington Post, Fischetti said he did not attend Monday’s meeting with prosecutors.

The Post previously reported that prosecutors view Weisselberg as a key potential witness in the ongoing investigations, but that they have become frustrated with what they view as a lack of cooperation from him. If Weisselberg was charged with crimes, he could face new pressure to offer testimony against his boss in exchange for a reduction in his legal risk.

I’ll end with two stories on the tragic building collapse in Florida.

John Singer SargentEn Route pour la peche (Setting Out to Fish), 1878

John Singer Sargent, En Route pour la peche (Setting Out to Fish), 1878

CNN: Letter sent months before deadly Florida collapse warned damage to condo building was accelerating.

A correspondence from the board president of Champlain Towers South, part of which unexpectedly crashed to the ground last week in Surfside, Florida, describes the progression of decay at the building since 2018 saying, “the observable damage such as in the garage has gotten significantly worse since the initial inspection.”

Board President Jean Wodnicki addressed the letter to neighbors April 9

“The concrete deterioration is accelerating. The roof situation got much worse, so extensive roof repairs had to be incorporated,” says the letter, acquired by CNN’s “Erin Burnett OutFront.”

Wodnicki further describes issues facing the building saying, “When you can visually see the concrete spalling (cracking), that means that the rebar holding it together is rusting and deteriorating beneath the surface.” [….]

The letter confirms what Surfside Mayor Charles Burkett has been saying all along, he said: “There was something very, very wrong at this building.

“Buildings in America just don’t fall down like this. This is a third-world phenomenon, not a first-world phenomenon. … I think from the perspective of a condominium association, which is just like a homeowner except bigger, they probably don’t grasp the intensity of the issue and probably just thought it was a pro forma sort of operation we have to get around to doing. Obviously, that was a fatal mistake.”

Miami Herald: Two days before condo collapse, a pool contractor photographed this damage in garage. (See photos at the link.)

There was nothing unusual about the lobby and pool area at Champlain Towers South condo, which looked clean and well maintained to a commercial pool contractor who visited the building last Tuesday, just 36 hours before half of the building unexpectedly collapsed. Then, he saw the basement-level garage.

At-The-Beach Edward Henry Potthast

At The Beach by Edward Henry Potthast

“There was standing water all over the parking garage,” the contractor, who asked not to be named, told the Miami Herald. He noted cracking concrete and severely corroded rebar under the pool.

He also took photos, which he shared with the Herald.

The contractor visited the condo building last week to put together a bid for a cosmetic restoration of the pool as well as to price out new pool equipment — a small piece of the multimillion-dollar restoration project that just was getting underway at the 40-year-old building.

While he had worked in the industry for decades and had “gone in some scary places,” he said he was struck by the lack of maintenance in the lower level. The amount of water at Champlain Towers seemed so unusual that the contractor mentioned it to a building staff member, Jose, who was showing him around.

“He thought it was waterproofing issues,” the contractor said of the staff member. “I thought to myself, that’s not normal.” He said Jose told him they pumped the pool equipment room so frequently that the building had to replace pump motors every two years, but he never mentioned anything about structural damage or cracks in the concrete above.

There’s much more at the link.

That’s it for me today. Please take care if you’re in one of the areas experiencing extreme heat.


20 Comments on “Tuesday Reads: Heatwave! And Other News”

  1. bostonboomer says:

    BBC News: Picasso painting found as builder arrested over art heist

    A painting by Pablo Picasso that was stolen nine years ago during a heist at a Greek gallery has been recovered.

    Police say a 49-year-old builder has been arrested for the theft of Picasso’s Head of a Woman and a second work by Dutch artist Piet Mondrian.

    Initially, the raid on the Athens National Gallery in 2012 was blamed on two thieves.

    The artworks were stripped from their frames in the early morning heist which took only seven minutes to carry out.

    A third work in pen and ink by Italian artist Guglielmo Caccia, from the 16th Century, was also seized but police said the suspect told them it had been damaged and he had flushed it down the toilet.

    • NW Luna says:

      Wonderful that these paintings have been found, but horrible that the Caccia work had literally been flushed down a toilet.

  2. bostonboomer says:

    • quixote says:

      “That makes “living with Covid” a risky and dangerous strategy”

      I’m relieved louder people than us smallfry are finally pointing this out. Not dying is great, but living with a disabling disease for the rest of your life can be only slightly better than dying. See: rate of suicide among the people bearing the actual burden.

      Singapore just announced this nonsense of “living with it” as their official policy.

      The pandemic has been a real eyeopener for me in watching how people deal with life-threatening danger. “Oh hell. I’m bored. I’ll just jump out of the plane now instead of waiting for it to land.”

      And that’s when we have the solution at hand! If everybody just got vaccinated, we’d be okay. But nooo.

    • NW Luna says:

      We’ve known for at least a year that approx a third of persons infected with Covid-19 have neuro sequelae. That’s something I make sure to tell my vax-hesitant patients about! I do not understand the people saying “tra-la-la I can’t hear you” with their fingers stuck in their ear canals to clinicians and scientists.

      • quixote says:

        Honestly. These people with their “oh I’m sure some internet rando has found a cleverly concealed truth unknown to thousands of peer-reviewed scientists.” They drive cars, use phones, take antibiotics, completely and utterly depend on science for their entire lives, but vaccines? Those were invented pollute their pure essential fluids.

        /*endless screaming*/

        I admire your ability to talk calmly to them without screaming.

        • NW Luna says:

          “I admire your ability to talk calmly to them without screaming.”

          Yeah, but you should hear me after clinic’s over!

  3. dakinikat says:

    • Enheduanna says:

      Way back in 1983 I was on a bus tour in Europe (I worked for the tour company) and as we were all being guided through a particularly ornate building filled with art work in France, one of the group commented how wouldn’t it be better for there to be a King again? He was obviously struck by all the glamour and show of wealth. The poor French guide was pretty dumbfounded so I helped her out and told him “Viva la democracie!!!”….hahahaha.

      People are so dumb.

  4. MsMass says:

    Enjoying the indoors today, although I remember sweating the days away before we had much A/C around- remember driving on the highway with all the windows open to get a breeze? I can’t
    imagine how people lived during the summer before electricity, especially down south. And as the paintings show, women had so many clothes on! Uggh.
    The boring news link was interesting. I am exposed to the evening news nightly and I can say the MSM sure has a bland focus. They all repeat the same stuff over and over, describe the problem and never really get to any solutions or really any analysis. Add in summertime and the decompression after the Turd/Trump years and viewership has to decline. Send ’em back to journalism school or something.

    • quixote says:

      One thing was that not that many people lived there. Electricity meant a *big* increase in population in the South. Two: they did have swamp coolers. They’re not as good in humid climates as the desert, but they do cool nearby air down 5-10F, which is a big difference if you’re going from 95 to 85.

      As for how people managed who couldn’t sit in front of a swamp cooler (mint julep in hand?) but had to work, out in the sun, yes. Just boggling how they got through that, and how people still do in the ever-hotter places around the world.

      • Enheduanna says:

        Yes the advent of A/C brought a population explosion down h’yah! People weren’t the fat candy-asses we are now, either.

  5. dakinikat says:

    Nice selection of art today!!!! I love the Newton painting! It’s raining again here but at least it’s not that triple-digit heat. We’re nicely in the 70s and 80s which is fine! Everyone above that drink lots of water and stay cool!

  6. dakinikat says:

  7. dakinikat says:

  8. This is not a heat wave. This is the new normal. I live in Buffalo, NY. Forty years ago, you never needed A/C in your apartment or even your home. Even offices had open windows in the summer. We had the most beautiful summers known to man. Rarely over 85 degrees, with a constant cool breeze off the lake.

    Now A/C is a necessity. The breeze off the lake is no longer cool, in fact Lake Erie is like bathwater. It’s 90 degrees as I write this. It’s too hot to go outside.

    Ya know why I’m a winter person? Because in the winter, you can bundle up & go outside & enjoy the weather. There’s no enjoying this hell.

    • dakinikat says:

      I heard only 35% of folks in Seattle actually have AC currently.

      • NW Luna says:

        Yes, that’s true, and that’s even an increase compared to ~5 yrs ago. We used to never need it — well, to be honest, hardly ever. I’m old enough to recall when one didn’t need a/c in the car. That also was back when cars had those nice little triangle portions to the windows so you could open just that and get air blowing at your face. Detracts from the aerodynamics, alas. The amount of land covered in concrete and buildings has increased, and the tree cover has decreased. That by itself is responsible for a couple of degrees higher in temps.They consider this when looking at temperature sensor locations.

        Portland is further inland than Seattle so they’ve been hotter.

        Yesterday was ~107. Today “only” low 90s, the next week 80s every day. Uraaagh! But now I can tell the difference between 100-degree heat and 90-degree heat. I water the garden using drip line — some plants are damaged not from drought but from the intense heat.

        Seattle now has a higher record maximum temperature than Miami, Atlanta, Washington DC, or Chicago. Portland’s record high exceeded that of Houston, Austin, or San Diego.

        But we had not only had extreme heat….far beyond that observed over the past century… but also record-breaking cooling as a thin layer of marine air surged in last night.

        Portland cooled by 52F (116 to 64) and Salem by 56F (117 to 61) in a matter of hours.
        Seattle cooled by an impressive 46F!
        Quillayute by 48F.

        l