Live Blog: It’s Official!! Hillary Clinton has made Herstory!!

It’s official!  Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has become the first woman ever to win the presidential nomination of one of the two major parties.

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This is the Louisiana Delegation featuring Mayor Mitch Landrieu, former Senator Mary Landrieu, and State Senator Karen Carter Peterson

After the roll call completed  with the final votes caste by the state of Vermont, Senator Bernie Sanders rose to suspend the rules  to move that all votes cast be given to Secretary Clinton and that she be acclaimed the party’s nominee!!

Vermont ends it all: On behalf of Bernie Sanders, “who has changed the trajectory of this country in a way that will make the lives of working Americans better for generations to come,” a delegate said, “Vermont casts our votes: 22 votes for our beloved Senator Sanders and four for the next president, Hillary Clinton.” Then Sanders himself addressed the crowd: “I move that Hillary Clinton be selected as the nominee of the Democratic Party for president of the United States.”

Bill Clinton

Former President Bill Clinton applauds First Lady Michelle Obama as Eric Holder and Rep. Elijah Cummings, D-Maryland take their seats during the first day of the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia , Monday, July 25, 2016. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe has followed the roll count with an inspirational talk on his personal relationship with the Clintons as well as speaking to his pride in his Virginia’s favorite son Tim Kain, the Vice presidential nominee. Here’s the Schedule for this evening’s speakers where the keynoter  will be former President and future First Gentleman Bill Clinton.

Starting at 10 p.m., the latest speakers will echo the day two theme, “A lifetime of fighting for children and families.” According to NJ Advance Media, the convention Tuesday night will hear from Philadelphia children’s advocate Thaddeus Desmond, a fifth-grade teacher in Arkansas named Dustin Parsons and a student who works at an academy for at-risk youth.

The Clinton campaign will also fold in its platform on gun control, with speakers like Anton Moore, who founded a youth group to talk about gun violence, and representatives from Mothers of the Movement, an organization of mothers who have lost children to gun deaths or police brutality.

Tuesday big-name politicians include Democratic National Committee vice chair of voter registration and participation Donna Brazile, former Georgia state Sen. Jason Carter and House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi.

Last but not least, Clinton’s husband Bill will headline the night, likely delivering a speech appealing to his ethos as former president to voice his enthusiastic support for his wife.

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CNN announces the moment via my friend Matt Harris from Georgia

Former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi–standing with all the Democratic Congresswomen –is discussing how Clinton will be shattering the “Marble” ceiling.  The theme of unleashing the power of women and helping our children is key to the program tonight because this is Hillary’s crusade. The theme is entitled  “A Lifetime of Fighting for Children and Families“. Each Congresswoman is speaking on the role of women in creating our great country.

Tuesday will feature the roll call vote and how Hillary has spent her entire career working to make a difference for children, families, and our country. The Mothers of the Movement participating include Gwen Carr, mother of Eric Garner; Sybrina Fulton, mother of Trayvon Martin; Maria Hamilton, mother of Dontré Hamilton; Lucia McBath, mother of Jordan Davis; Lezley McSpadden, mother of Michael Brown; Cleopatra Pendleton-Cowley, mother of Hadiya Pendleton; Geneva Reed-Veal, mother of Sandra Bland.

Headlining speakers

Former U.S. President Bill Clinton
(This is an excerpt of a bio taken from the White House’s website.) Bill Clinton is an American politician from Arkansas who served as the 42nd President of the United States (1993-2001). He took office at the end of the Cold War, and was the first baby-boomer generation President.

Mothers of the Movement
Gwen Carr, mother of Eric Garner; Sybrina Fulton, mother of Trayvon Martin; Maria Hamilton, mother of Dontré Hamilton; Lucia McBath, mother of Jordan Davis; Lezley McSpadden, mother of Michael Brown; Cleopatra Pendleton-Cowley, mother of Hadiya Pendleton; Geneva Reed-Veal, mother of Sandra Bland.

You can find the names of the other speakers at the link .

Cameron Joseph provides the picture of when Senator Bernie Sanders moves to unify the party by asking the party to suspend the rules to acclaim Hillary Clinton the nominee.

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Here’s my Friend Franklin live from the floor at the very moment it happened representing for Augusta!!!

Meanwhile!  Let’s Celebrate!!!

 

 


Live Blogging and Watch Party of Day One DNC Speakers

MichelleObamaGood Evening Sky Dancers!

We’re getting ready to watch some of the Evening Speakers after an interesting opener.  I’m not sure what’s to be gained by shouting down an Opening Prayer and Elijah Cummings but it’s happened.  I’ve got a little video comment on that right here except it’s not Female Trouble. It’s more like BernieBro trouble.

Via: Wonkette:

fuck you and fuck you and you? go fuck yourself

STOP YELLING OVER ELIJAH CUMMINGS AND SHOW SOME GODDAMNED RESPECT

Plus a little bit of Plum Line and Paul Waldman right here.

As you may have heard, there already seem to be many more protests from the left around the Democratic convention than there were around the Republican convention. If it seems strange to you that leftists would be protesting not the candidate who wants to deport 11 million people, ban Muslims from entering the country and roll back civil rights gains for gay Americans, but the candidate who wants to increase the minimum wage to $15 an hour, expand Social Security and enact universal child care, well, that would only mean that you’re unfamiliar with leftist politics. For a certain kind of activist on the left, the real enemy is never the right; it’s always the liberals who are insufficiently committed to their brand of revolution.

And this is what’s important to understand about the protests now going on: They aren’t Democrats fighting with Democrats. I wasn’t able to go to Philadelphia this week, so I’d encourage the reporters who are there and are covering the anti-Clinton protests to ask those participating a simple question: Do you consider yourself a Democrat? Because I’m fairly certain that they’ll find almost no one who says yes. This is even true of some of the people who are Bernie Sanders delegates; they got involved in the Sanders campaign, but they weren’t Democrats before this election began and they won’t be after it’s over. We’ve seen this at the highest levels: Consider that Sanders appointed Cornel West to the Democrats’ platform committee, and after helping decide what the party stands for, West promptly turned around and endorsed Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

Sanders can’t control his delegates and they’re no longer interested in his message. They’ve turned into Rage Addicts.  They’ve had their sacrificial virgin for the primary in Debbie Wasserman Schultz and they want more more more!!!!

Supporters of Sen. Bernie Sanders booed today as the former Democratic presidential contender told them, “We must elect Hillary Clinton.”

I’m just hoping that don’t boo our first lady who is speaking tonight in the second slot after Cory Booker.  Democratic+National+Convention+Day+One+K64ZylFIzCJl

The First Lady of the United States is set to headline Monday night’s event at the Wells Fargo Center. According to CNN, she is expected to discuss the role the president plays in shaping the lives of American children and why she feels Clinton, 68, is the best for the job.

Vice Presidential Candidate Tim Kaine has launched a Spanish media tour.  He’s been doing interviews with the nation’s Spanish-language TV stations.

Launching a Spanish-language media tour, Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) vowed that a Clinton administration would begin work on comprehensive immigration reform “in the first 100 days” — echoing promises she’s made before, but never in such a setting.

Kaine, who is fluent in Spanish, taped interviews on Sunday with Univision and Telemundo, the nation’s largest Spanish-language broadcasters that are airing on Monday evening.

gettyimages-580031544A comprehensive list of speakers and topics can be found at The Atlantic at their live blog.

Sanders, who endorsed Clinton earlier this month, will take the stage on Monday. His appearance will mark a moment of coming together for the Democratic party. Sanders garnered an ardent following throughout the primary season, and Clinton has since sought to capture those voters’ support. But Sanders likely won’t let go of his agenda, even though he’s supporting his former opponent. In the lead up to the convention, Sanders pushed the party’s platform to the left, and he’ll likely advocate similar shifts during the convention. In an interview on ABC’s This Week, he said, “We have got to continue bringing people in, fighting for an agenda that works for working families and having the courage to take on the big money people who today control our economic and political life.”

Also speaking at the party’s convention Monday are Michelle Obama and Elizabeth Warren. The first lady has become a popular figure in the Democratic party and she is expected to endorse Clinton in her remarks. Similarly, the Massachusetts senator, who endorsed Clinton in June, will address the delegationand put her political clout toward helping elect the party’s presumptive nominee.

Here’s the best list I can find of a just who is doing what when at the Cleveland Fox affiliate.  I want to make sure listen to Paul Simon and Al Franken, old hippy chick that I am.  Sarah Silver man is also in that mix.  Hopefully, she is one of the Bernie folks that is all up for unity.

So, sit back relax, chill with something cool and let’s listen to topics like AN ECONOMY THAT WORKS FOR ALL, KEEPING FAMILIES TOGETHER, and COMBATING SUBSTANCE ABUSE.

Here’s the live feed via CSPAN if you can’t take the punditry anymore.

Here’s a live feed via Youtube:

 

 

 


Live Blog Still!! New Mexico is Hillary Country!!!

_89327360_89327359We’re still watching the returns from the primaries tonight.  Hillary’s speech was amazing.  She spoke of her mother, her daughter, and her granddaughter and it was so moving!   My youngest daughter was here too which is why I was away for some time.  We’ve been drinking white wine and looking forward.

Here are the latest results from ABC.  South Dakota, Montana, and California are too early to call.

Hillary says “We’ve reached a milestone.”  You may see her historic speech at the link as she talks about Seneca Falls forward!!

Hillary Clinton embraced her place in history Tuesday as the first woman to become the presidential nominee of a major political party while showing an eagerness to take on Donald Trump in the fall.

“Thanks to you, we’ve reached a milestone,” she said during a speech in Brooklyn celebrating her status as the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee. “Tonight’s victory is not about one person. It belongs to generations of women and men who struggled and sacrificed and made this moment possible.”
Her long-awaited moment of celebration comes as six states hold contests that close out a tumultuous primary season. She will notch wins in the New Jersey and New Mexico Democratic primaries, according to CNN projections, adding a slew of delegates to her column. All eyes are now on delegate-rich California, where Clinton’s Democratic rival Bernie Sanders hopes for a symbolic victory that could make him a force during next month’s convention.
Reaching out to Sanders supporters, Clinton praised the Vermont senator for his long public service and “extraordinary” campaign. She played down any notion of divisions and their vigorous primary campaign was “very good for the Democratic Party and for America.”

We’re all still hanging in here!!!

California here we come!!

(FYI from the NYT: Sanders plans large staff layoffs!!)


Bring it on Home to Us! Live Blog: Kentucky & Oregon Democratic Primaries

samcooke-bringitonhometomenothingcanchangethislove(djcop

Good Evening!!!

So, we’re getting closer to the end of primary season and closer to having U.S. President Hillary Clinton!

Tonight, we’ll be watching the Kentucky and Oregon primaries .  Both are closed primaries which means only registered Democrats may vote.

May 17 Primaries at stake for the Democratic Primary.

Kentucky: 55 delegates at stake

(We already have votes being reported.)

Trump was declared the winner of Kentucky in a March Caucus. Right now, Clinton has 50% and Sanders has 37.8% with less than 1% reporting.

Oregon:  61 delegates at stake
Last poll closes at 10:00 PM CT

cover-large_fileThere are some things we need to watch tonight even though Hillary Clinton is quite close to sealing the deal.

 

 

Hillary Clinton continues to move ever closer to clinching the Democratic nomination with each successive primary contest, but Bernie Sanders could get more victories in his column on Tuesday when voters in Kentucky and Oregon head to the polls.

Oregon is the kind of progressive, activist state where Sanders and his kind of politics have long been popular. He is the favorite there. Clinton easily won Kentucky during the 2008 primaries, and it was expected at the start of this campaign that she would run ahead of the socialist Sanders in areas where Democrats are more conservative.

But Sanders’ victories earlier this month in Indiana and West Virginia, states that border Kentucky, suggest he could do very well in the Bluegrass State as well.

Here are some key things to watch for Tuesday:

Sanders’ Advantage: Oregon and Kentucky Have Small Populations of People of Color

Black voters have overwhelmingly backed Clinton during the primary season, and her performance in most states has been directly correlated to their African-American populations. So Kentucky and Oregon present big challenges for Clinton.

Nationally, African-Americans are 13 percent of the population. They are just 2 percent in Oregon, and 8 percent in Kentucky. (In this sense, Kentucky, while generally defined as in the South, is distinct from that region. The black population in neighboring Tennessee, where Clinton won, is 17 percent.)

Latinos (17 percent of the U.S. population) have generally favored Clinton as well, and they are only 3 percent of the population in Kentucky.

Eastern Kentucky Could Be Tough for Clinton

In the 2008 Democratic primary, Clinton won 118 of Kentucky’s 120 counties, getting 65 percent of the vote statewide, compared to Barack Obama’s 30 percent. In Kentucky’s Fifth Congressional District, the area where much of the state’s coal industry is based, Clinton won about 88 percent of the vote.

But that result may mean nothing now. Clinton also blew out Obama in neighboring West Virginia in 2008, only to lose resoundingly to Sanders in the primary there last week.

Many of the counties in Eastern Kentucky are part of coal country and have similar demographics to West Virginia: few college graduates, small black populations, high poverty rates, and declining economies. If the pattern from West Virginia holds, Sanders will be very strong in this region.

This area is also where Clinton’s controversial remarks about coal are likely to be most problematic.

So far, turnout appears light in Kentucky.

Kentucky Secretary of State spokesman Bradford Queen says say voter turnout has been slow since polls opened on a cool, rainy election day.

The top race on Tuesday’s ballot for Democrats is the presidential primary between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. Republicans held a presidential caucus in March, which was won by Donald Trump. Other major races on the primary ballot include seats for U.S. House, U.S. Senate and the state House.

Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, left. and Kentucky U.S. Democratic senatorial candidate Alison Lundergan Grimes wave to supporters during a campaign rally, Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014, at the Kentucky International Convention Center in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)

Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, left. and Kentucky U.S. Democratic senatorial candidate Alison Lundergan Grimes wave to supporters during a campaign rally, Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014, at the Kentucky International Convention Center in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)

Oregon would appear to be more friendly to Sanders but the most recent polls show Clinton somewhat ahead.

Oregon would appear to be the perfect place for Sanders’ broadsides against income inequality and the “rigged” economic system. Portland certainly is, but the whole state isn’t as progressive as its most populous city. A poll released least week by DHM Research showed Clinton with a 15-point advantage in Oregon. This has led Sanders to try to pump up turnout in the state.

“If voter turnout is low, if young people and working people don’t send in their ballots, we will probably lose,” Sanders told The Oregonian over the weekend. “Needless to say, what I hope we’ll be seeing is a very large voter turnout.”

There’s reason to believe the Vermont senator will get his wish. Oregon has seen a big jump in voter registrations, especially among the under-30 crowd. “[T]here’s clearly a lot of interest out there,” Oregon Secretary of State Jeanne P. Atkins said. “We have more registered voters than we’ve ever had before.”

Sanders heads into the Oregon and Kentucky vote with momentum and confidence. Clinton has been trying to pivot to the general election for some weeks, and now her rival is pivoting too. Sanders, who has won primaries in Indiana and West Virginia the past two weeks, repeatedly points out that he polls very well against Trump, who is an insult-spewing bogeyman to many liberals.

 

The Clinton campaign has been spending time in Kentucky so we’re real hopeful here.  Grab the popcorn and a seat!!!


Live Blog: Indiana Votes

1cf2647383bfe7ec5a46d3f3dcc6d26bGood Evening!

We’re still hanging in here with the primaries given that this year’s  Most Delusional Campaign and Candidate award has three contenders still vying for trophy.  Maybe it has something to do with the vast level of ignorance when it comes to math, science, and basic recognition of facts and reality that permeates the country.  I know that I’ve seen an appalling increase in lack of math, statistics, and basic knowledge since my undergrad days.

Five-Thirty-Eight argues there could be three possible outcomes tonight for the GOP,  Well, yes, that’s true.  But, which will it be?

Donald Trump may be a runaway train. He has blasted through his 50 percent “ceiling,” outperforming his polls and winning a clear majority in the last six states to cast ballots. All that success occurred in the Northeast, however, so here’s the question: Is Trump wrapping up this nomination, or is he just really strong in the Northeast?

We’ll get some answers in Indiana on Tuesday. It’s a culturally conservative state where many political observers (including yours truly) thought Ted Cruz had a good shot at coalescing the anti-Trump vote. Indiana is also, in terms of demographics, slightly below average for Trump. In other words, the #StopTrump movement, if it’s at all serious, should win the Hoosier State. And yet, Trump leads in most of the polling there.

Clinton has no party scheduled tonight and is clearly focused on the General Election.

Hillary Clinton is ready to put the Democratic primary in her rear view mirror and get to work on Donald Trump.

She made that abundantly clear in an exclusive interview with MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell Tuesday in West Virginia. Clinton also said that the FBI has still not contacted her regarding her private email server, and the Democratic front-runner detailed under what circumstances she would release transcripts of her paid speeches.

“I’m really focused on moving into the general election,” Clinton said when asked about the primary election Tuesday in Indiana. “And I think that’s where we have to be, because we’re going to have a tough campaign against a candidate who will literally say or do anything. And we’re going to take him on at every turn on what’s really important to the people of our country.”

Clinton shrugged off questions about Bernie Sanders, who is vowing to challenge Clinton all the way to the Democratic National Convention in July.

“We’re going to unify the party, and we’re going to have a great convention and we’re going to be absolutely focused on making our case to the American public against Donald Trump, and I think he will be a part of that,” Clinton said.

Giving the most clear picture of her campaign’s general election strategy from the candidate’s own mouth, she said she will try to avoid getting into the mud with Trump and keep her attacks focused on his policy and fitness to do the job.

Exit poll information has begun to be released.58d006ee1dfb8892ac0c0ad3859464c8

Preliminary exit poll results from Indiana’s Democratic primary show a contest with turnout that’s higher than usual this year among liberals (notably strong liberals), young voters, whites and those focused on a candidate who’s honest or cares about people like them – all some of Bernie Sanders’ better groups to date.

Clinton’s ideas are seen as more realistic by Indiana voters – nearly eight in 10 vs. more than six in 10 for Sanders – but the gap’s a bit smaller than usual in preliminary exit poll results. It’s been 76 to 57 percent in the nine states where the question’s been asked before.

Clinton’s also done well so far by linking herself with Barack Obama. More Indiana voters think the next president should continue Obama’s policies, half, while fewer, just more than a third, prefer a more liberal direction. But, again, the gap’s smaller than usual. Supporters of more liberal policies are more numerous than average in Indiana, a group that’s voted heavily for Sanders in past contests.

Meanwhile, back in Bernie Land we see more talk about a contested convention. Some of the press aren’t so enthusiastic.  Some of them are.

What Sanders is proposing is a necessary quest—and a realistic one. Already, he is better positioned than any recent insurgent challenger to engage in rules and platform debates, as well as in dialogues about everything from the vice-presidential nomination to the character of the fall campaign. As veteran political analyst Rhodes Cook noted in a survey prepared for The Atlantic, by mid-April, Sanders had exceeded the overall vote totals and percentages of Howard Dean in 2004, Jesse Jackson in 1988, Gary Hart in 1984, and Ted Kennedy in 1980, among others. (While Barack Obama’s 2008 challenge to Clinton began as something of an insurgency, he eventually ran with the solid support of key party leaders like Kennedy.) By the time the District of Columbia votes on June 14, Sanders will have more pledged delegates than any challenger seeking to influence a national convention and its nominee since the party began to democratize its nominating process following the disastrous, boss-dominated convention of 1968.

suffrage valentine 1I prefer Michael Cohen’s take at the Boston Globe.

The same candidate who has been railing against independent voters being disenfranchised, who has called the primary system undemocratic, and who has complained about superdelegates, in general, is now calling on those same superdelegates to vote against Clinton (that would apparently include delegates from the states Clinton has won), even though she will almost certainly have the most pledged delegates and the most votes. In head-to-head general election polls, Clinton trounces Trump, but since Sanders trounces him by a bit more, he argues that he should be the nominee.

In the realm of illogical, self-serving, hypocritical, intellectually dishonest political arguments, this is practically the gold standard. But with six weeks to go until the last primary, I have great confidence that the Sanders campaign will find some way to top it.

So, join us as we count down to California by watching the returns from Indiana tonight!!


Live Blog: The Northeast brings it home!

 

bed0962d2c9dc131be63eda8b899ea2bGood Evening!

These are the states that are voting today in the 2016 Presidential Primaries!  Here are the number of Democratic Delegates up for grabs as well as the expected poll closing times.

Maryland · 95 delegates
Delaware · 21 delegates
Connecticut · 55 delegates
Pennsylvania · 189 delegate
Rhode Island · 24 delegates

Last poll closes at 8:00 PM ET for all 5 states

Here’s some of the things to consider when watching the returns. The first most important thing is will the front runners close the deal?  Polls show both Clinton and Trump ahead in these states.

A sense of inevitability is growing around both the Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton campaigns, and they could easily build on that momentum this Tuesday. Democratic and Republican voters will cast their primary ballots in five states — Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island — where the respective front-runners hold solid leads.

In delegate-rich Pennsylvania, Trump has a 13-point lead over his closest competitor Ted Cruz, while Clinton has a seven-point lead over Bernie Sanders, according to a CBS News Battleground Tracker survey released Sunday. All told, there are 556 delegates at stake –172 for Republicans and 384 for Democrats.

Will the leaders sweep the five states?    Politico has listed some of the key counties for each of the candidates.  Of course, we’re interested in Pennsylvania with its huge swath of delegates.  The state’s urban areas will influence the overall vote which means that Hillary’s minority support is crucial.37ea30cfda7fefa750424a82ab54bbea

Pennsylvania

Allegheny County: Allegheny County, which includes Pittsburgh and the immediate suburbs, holds more GOP voters than any other county in the state.

Pennsylvania’s “loophole primary” makes the focus on specific districts for Republicans trickier, but Allegheny is still a key battleground. Kasich was born and raised in the county, in McKees Rocks. Trump visited Pittsburgh earlier this month.

The county includes all or part of three different congressional districts: the 12th, 14th and 18th.

On the Democratic side, Allegheny is battleground territory: Clinton won it by almost nine points in 2008. A similar performance there on Tuesday could close the door on Sanders’ underdog bid at a statewide victory.

Lackawanna County: This is Clinton territory: She won Lackawanna by a yawning margin in 2008, 74 percent to 26 percent.

Clinton claims Scranton roots that served her well eight years ago. And it’s no surprise one of her closing events in the state was in Dunmore, just outside Scranton, last Friday. (Her husband held an event earlier this month at Scranton High School.)

These are mostly white voters who stuck with Clinton eight years ago. The question is whether they will still serve as a firewall for her on Tuesday, or jump to Sanders, as a number of white Democrats have in other states.

Philadelphia: Clinton managed to win statewide eight years ago despite losing Philadelphia by nearly a two-to-one margin, 65 percent to 35 percent.

This time around, the African-American base in Philadelphia should be strong for Clinton. But the city is also a big college town, and enhanced youth turnout could help Sanders.

Clinton has the backing of former Mayor Michael Nutter — who backed her over Obama in 2008 — and also from longtime supporter Ed Rendell, another former Philadelphia mayor and former two-term governor, who will be under pressure to reinstate his turnout machine to help the former secretary of state.

Here’s the ratfucking meme of the day–likely pushed by BernieBr0s–that simply isn’t true.voting (1)

Here’s a contender for weird/fake endorsement of the day: A Grand Dragon of the California branch of the KKK allegedly told Vocativ, an organization “at the nexus of media and technology,” that it is endorsing Hillary Clinton. “She is friends with the Klan,” said Will Quigg, citing as evidence her friendship with Bobby Byrd, the long-time United States senator from West Virginia who was in the KKK as a young man. Quigg also claimed the organization had raised $20,000 in anonymous donations for the Clinton campaign.

This is fairly obviously B.S. The Clinton campaign denies it has received nearly that much money in anonymous funds, and the Vocativ reporter even noted that he factchecked and verified the campaign’s claim using F.E.C. filings. But hey! A Klansman said the name “Hillary Clinton” with a gleeful smile on his face, so take that for what it’s worth, which is probably roughly nothing.

Some how, I can’t see the Klan supporting the candidate that has the overwhelming support of black voters, can you?

Grab your popcorn and let’s watch Hillary win some more on her way to the White House!!!


Live Blog: Extra! Extra! New York Votes!

U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton (C) rides the New York City Subway with Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz (L) in the Bronx borough of New York, April 7, 2016. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY - RTSE18E

U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton (C) rides the New York City Subway with Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz (L) in the Bronx borough of New York, April 7, 2016. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY – RTSE18E

Good Evening!

New York is excited to play a role in the primaries and we’re excited to see them close a few deals!  The two leading candidates for each party call New York City home so there’s high hopes on all sides for big surprises. So far, there are a few surprises prior to any results actually coming in.  We’re hearing some interesting things about voting irregularities and those colorful New York Politicians.

Have Brooklyn Democrats been kidnapped by Aliens or administrative Hanky Panky?

Mayor Bill de Blasio has ordered the New York City Board of Elections to investigate why more than 63,000 registered Democrats were dropped from the voting rolls since last fall.

The request comes the same day a WNYC analysis revealed the largest decline in active registered Democrats statewide was in Brooklyn. (UPDATE: The New York state Attorney General’s Office is now reporting a spike in problems at polls, particularly in Brooklyn.)

But new data provided by the city Board of Elections on Monday indicates it actually removed 126,000 Brooklyn Democrats from the rolls, according to executive director Michael Ryan.

That includes 12,000 people who moved out of the borough, 44,000 people who were moved from active to inactive voter status and 70,000 voters removed from the inactive voter list.

As a Brooklyn Democrat himself, de Blasio said he’s concerned about the sudden slump of Democrats on the voter rolls there.

“This number surprises me,” said de Blasio, “I admit that Brooklyn has had a lot of transient population – that’s obvious. Lot of people moving in, lot of people moving out. That might account for some of it. But I’m confused since so many people have moved in, that the number would move that much in the negative direction.”

Board of Elections Executive Director Michael Ryan confirmed he had been contacted by the mayor’s staff and he shared with WNYC the same explanation he said he gave them.

“Brooklyn was a little behind with their list maintenance tasks,” said Ryan, who said the other boroughs update their lists on a rolling basis.

That backlog meant the Brooklyn voter rolls needed a major clean up. The board can only remove people from its lists at certain times of year. There are blackout periods that exist 90 days before federal elections.

Ryan said Brooklyn election officials fell 6 months to a year behind updating their voter rolls.

Outspoken Republican Congressman Pete King hates Ted Cruz so much he threatens suicide over a Ted Cruz nomination.PH2007102200991

New York Rep. Pete King (R) on Tuesday offered his harshest words yet for Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz, slamming the Texas senator on the day of his state’s primary.

“Well, first of all, in case anybody gets confused, I’m not endorsing Ted Cruz, I hate Ted Cruz, and I think I’ll take cyanide if he ever got the nomination,” King said to open his appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” prompting a mixture of laughs and mild exclamations from co-hosts.
The Republican has previously said that he’d “never” vote for Cruz and that New Yorkers considering it “should have their head examined.”
“I think you are going to see Donald Trump scoring a big victory tonight,” King predicted Tuesday. “I have not endorsed Donald Trump. In fact, I actually voted by absentee ballot for John Kasich. I’m not endorsing John, but I voted for him to really send a message.”
Former Mayor Bloomberg finds commonalities in Trump and Sanders.Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton
Michael Bloomberg says there’s a connection between Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.
The two presidential candidates elude facts and attract voters with rhetoric, the former mayor of New York City said at a keynote speech for a Bloomberg Philanthropies summit Tuesday.
“I’m not trying to knock Donald Trump, but I do think what you’re seeing in this election, in some cases you argue on the facts, in some cases it becomes a religion — the facts don’t matter at all,” Bloomberg said.
“And that phenomenon, I think, is what you see with Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump. It’s the same phenomenon,” he continued. “People are not happy with their government. It has failed them. It hasn’t addressed their needs.”
The basic point may not surprise anyone who’s followed the long campaign trail this election season. Sanders, who is seeking the Democratic nomination, has recently been criticized — perhaps unfairly — for failing to correctly articulate the facts behind his views on big banks. The less said about Republican hopeful Trump’s flip-flopping, the better.
But Bloomberg wasn’t really talking about the election. The conference Tuesday was a “Summit on Transforming Data Into Action,” and his keynote was meant to illustrate how cities and businesses can harness big data to improve communities and help citizens. Bloomberg’s point was that most people can’t argue with the facts, even if certain leaders might try.
05165362Preliminary exit data is coming out.  Here’s somethings on the Republican side.

Conservatives/evangelicals: In preliminary exit poll results, evangelicals are in short supply, as are strong conservatives – groups customarily better for Cruz. Evangelicals account for about a quarter of voters in preliminary exit poll results (vs. 42 percent in Wisconsin and 58 percent in all primaries to date). “Very” conservatives account for two in 10 voters, vs. 31 percent in Wisconsin and 34 percent overall.

Wall Street: We’ve noted that more than six in 10 Democratic primary voters say Wall Street does more to hurt than help the U.S. economy; turns out the Street isn’t widely popular among Republican primary voters, either. They divide about evenly on whether Wall Street helps or hurts the economy.

Outsider: Trump may reach a new high on his signature issue: Nearly two-thirds of GOP primary voters in these preliminary exit poll results are looking for an outsider rather than someone with political experience. Outsider voters, a group Trump’s won overwhelmingly in past contests, peaked previously at 61 percent in Nevada.

The after-work crowd will vote after these preliminary data.
Democratic Exit Data show that the Party may be more unified than the pundits presume.

So maybe Democrats are bit more unified than we thought – at least compared with Republicans.

Eighty-five percent of New York Democratic primary voters in the exit poll say they will definitely or probably vote for Hillary Clinton if she becomes the Democratic presidential nominee.

Just 13 percent of them say they WON’T vote for her.

That’s compared with 26 percent of New York Republicans who say that they wouldn’t vote for Trump if he becomes the GOP nominee.

And it’s also compared with an Indiana exit poll during the height of the 2008 Barack Obama-vs.-Hillary Clinton race, which found 29 percent of Democratic voters saying they would either vote for John McCain or not vote at all.

Nate Silver has written today on the New York Primary and delegate math.57367495
A few weeks ago, we published a sort of best-case scenario for Sanders in which he wound up with exactly 2,026 pledged delegates, the number he’d need to clinch an elected delegate majority over Clinton. (Leave aside the thorny issue of superdelegates for now.) The path would require almost everything to go right for Sanders — including narrow wins in states such as Pennsylvania and New Jersey, and double-digit wins in California, Indiana and other states.

Sanders has had a good couple of weeks, however. He fell only two delegates shy of our path-to-2,026 projection in Wisconsin. He also fell four delegates shy in Wyoming, where his results were disappointing. However, Sanders has gained a few extra delegates at state conventions and from previous states revising their delegate counts as their results became official. Because of these changes, Sanders has kept exactly on pace with the path to 2,026 so far.

Tonight’s task is much harder, however. Our path had Sanders winning New York by a couple of percentage points and netting 128 out of 247 delegates there. Here’s what the rest of his path would look like on the unlikely-but-not-quite impossible chance that he does so:

Grab your favorite slice and join us! Hillary-Clinton-pizza

New York primary
Last poll closes at 9:00 PM ET