Cheers Jane!!
Posted: December 2, 2010 Filed under: Surreality, Team Obama, U.S. Economy, Voter Ignorance | Tags: Extension of Bush Tax Cuts. 48 CommentsA nearly teary-eyed plea from FDL’s Jane Hamsher on MSNBC tops a post called The game IS rigged. We’ve had Allan
Simpson chortle with glee at the idea that the government will be shut down. John Boehner is strutting around Capitol Hill like some kind of preening banty rooster.
And all for what? Tax cuts for Millionaires? All this for TAX CUTS for MILLIONAIRES? The bill to extend tax cuts to less than $250k passed the House. Now, it hangs out there in the Senate like a pinata while what we are talking about are people’s lives. Where’s the extension for the unemployed among us?
“Republicans are worried about this proposal because it would expose that they are fighting for millionaires instead of the middle class,” said Schumer’s spokesman Brian Fallon in a statement to me.
Back to Jane.
Okay. So Obama won’t come out in public and say that he only wants a bill extending tax cuts for people making under $250,000 a year, he won’t threaten to veto any bill other than that, we know the House has scheduled a vote that can’t possibly pass, and the Senate doesn’t even have the support from the Democrats — let alone enough Republicans to pass it.
Uh-huh. Right. So this is what Obama REALLY cares about.
Bulllshit. We’re headed for extending ALL the tax cuts for 2-3 years, because that’s what Obama really wants. The rest is just political theater designed to appease the chumps base.
Meanwhile, as entertaining as all of this is to political junkies, 2 million people are set to lose their unemployment benefits by the end of the year. Which nobody, in the midst of their partisan game playing, seems to give a shit about.
It’s Christmas time, you bastards. People can’t feed their kids. You continue to shovel trillions of dollars at the banks. And all of you — Pelosi, Reid, Obama — you fail the test not only of leadership, but of basic human compassion. Of having any kind of a moral compass.
The game is rigged. And nobody will be fooled into thinking that little treat you’re going to drop in their Christmas stocking is anything other than a lump of coal.
Yup. Merry, Merry, all those of you making over $250k a year. If you’re one of the long-term unemployed, well you just get that old lump of coal when the pinata falls because what happens in the beltway these days isn’t about us. It’s about THEM. Oh, and meanwhile, the Cat Food Commission Report is picking up steam. Guess that’s what’s cracking on New Year’s eve! That’s not a popper. it’s the backs of the middle class and seniors
Soylent Orange
Posted: December 2, 2010 Filed under: Democratic Politics, legislation, Surreality, Team Obama | Tags: Bush tax cut extensions, John Boehner 34 Comments
The next Speaker of the House appears to be full of himself and ‘it’. Here’s a sample headline form the column The Capitolist at Politics Daily: John Boehner Calls Vote on Middle-Class-Only Tax Cut ‘Chicken Crap’. Yup, that’s fairly succinct.
Although no Democrats have agreed with Republicans to make the Bush tax cuts permanent for everyone, 31 moderate House Democrats signed a letter this week calling for a temporary extension of the tax cuts for higher incomes while the country continues to fight its way out of recession.
“I’m tying to catch my breath so I don’t refer to this maneuver that’s going on today as chicken crap. But this is nonsense, right?” Boehner said. “The election was one month ago. We’re 23 months from the next election and the games have already started to set up the next election.”
The source of Boehner’s ire was a House vote earlier Thursday that will prevent Republicans from offering their own bill to make all of the Bush tax cuts permanent for all Americans, including the highest earners, when the full chamber considers the middle-class cuts later in the day. The House voted 213 to 203 to vote only on the middle-class tax proposal, with 32 Democrats voting with the Republicans to keep the process open.
Earlier, Rep. David Drier (R-Calif.), who offered the Republican alternative, called the Democrats’ plans to vote only on their bill “a joke.”
“I think it’s very evident that this House could, with a majority vote, ensure that we don’t increase taxes on any Americans during these very troubling, difficult economic times,” Drier said. “The fact of the matter is that any member of this House that votes in favor of the measure before us is voting for a tax increase. They are voting in favor of increasing taxes on American businesses and investors.”
No Rep. Drier, you’re voting to return tax levels for the extraordinarily rich back to the extraordinarily job-abundant and budget-balanced Clinton years. There is absolutely no evidence that those tax cuts created jobs and there’s no evidence that not extending them to the richest will harm the economy. This is especially true since corporate profits are attaining record levels and corporate executives are getting record bonuses while we also maintain an incredibly unacceptable unemployment rate. You’re expanding the deficit for your donor’s interests. We’re not buying your B.S. for one moment.
So, where is our illustrious POTUS on this? The ONE every one was waiting for? Try Dana Bash’s CNN Political ticker headline on for size: Tax deal getting close, Democrats worried Obama may cave. Now, that’ s leadership that can!!!
Multiple congressional Democratic sources tell CNN that a compromise to extend all Bush-era tax cuts temporarily is getting close, and that there is increasing concern among Democratic lawmakers that the White House will not fight hard enough to get Democratic priorities in return.
“The goose is cooked,” said one senior Democratic source, “the question is what the larger deal is going to look like.”
Many Democrats are unhappy at the prospect of giving up on their goal of permanently extending tax cuts only for those making $250,000 and less. Sources in both parties say a deal in the works would extend all expiring Bush era tax cuts for all income levels for two or three years.
In exchange, Democrats are hoping to squeeze out of Republicans a wish list of concessions. Democratic sources say that list generally includes: A lengthy extension of unemployment benefits, without having to find offsets to pay for them; extending college tuition tax credits set to expire at the end of the year; extending the so-called “make work pay” tax credits also expiring December 31st; and the HIRE act, tax credits for businesses that hire unemployed workers.
So, it comes down to Let’s Make a Deal for middle class livelihoods by maintaining the status quo for the aristocracy. We get the kibble, they get the banquet.
More from Politico on what’s likely to happen come January when Agent Orange actually gets the gavel. Ask not on whom the gavel falls, it falls on you.
House Republicans seem intent on blowing up the staid appropriations process when they take power in January — potentially upending the old bulls in both parties who have spent decades building their power over the federal budget.
The plans include slicing and dicing appropriations bills into dozens of smaller, bite-size pieces — making it easier to kill or slash unpopular agencies. Other proposals include statutory spending caps, weekly votes on spending cuts and other reforms to ensure spending bills aren’t sneakily passed under special rules.
On some level, their plans may create a sense of organized chaos on the House floor — picture dozens of votes on dozens of federal program cuts and likely gridlock on spending bills. And don’t forget that a lot of these efforts will die with a Democratic-led Senate and a Democrat in the White House.
Once again, it’s the worst government that corporate money buys working to make our lives miserable.
Breaking NEWS: The house just passed tax cuts for those families making up to $250,000. The measure is expected to die in the Senate.
Thursday Morning Reads
Posted: December 2, 2010 Filed under: morning reads | Tags: Afghan atrocities, Bush tax cuts, Catfood Commission, elimination of house committe on global warming, Failure to extend unemployment benefits, joseph stiglitz, Middle East wiki cables, offshore drilling ban, Robert Fisk, The Kennedy Detail, There's still oil here 49 Comments
good morning!!!
In an interesting on-and-off again policy, the Obama administration announced an offshore drilling ban. This has heads spinning down here in the Gulf.
“We are adjusting our strategy in areas where there are no active leases,” Salazar told reporters in a phone call, adding that the administration has decided “not expand to new areas at this time” and instead “focus and expand our critical resources on areas that are currently active” when it comes to oil and gas drilling.
In March–less than a month before the BP oil spill–Obama and Salazar said they would open up the eastern Gulf and parts of the Atlantic, including off the coast of Virginia, to offshore oil and gas exploration. On both of those new areas, the administration said it would start scoping to see if oil and gas drilling would be suitable. The eastern Gulf remains closed to drilling under a congressional moratorium, but the White House indicated it would press to lift the moratorium if necessary.
Wednesday’s announcement is sure to please environmentalists while angering oil and gas companies as well as some lawmakers from both parties who have pressed for continued offshore energy exploration in the wake of massive Gulf of Mexico spill.
While the Democratic administration pleases environmentalists with the ban, Agent Orange probably has them unhappy with this move.
Created in 2007 by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) to draw attention to the causes and effects of climate change, the committee didn’t have much of a chance to survive the upcoming Republican takeover. Wednesday, the axe fell.
“We have pledged to save taxpayers’ money by reducing waste and duplication in Congress,” said Michael Steel, spokesman for incoming Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio). “The Select Committee on Global Warming – which was created to provide a political forum to promote Washington Democrats’ job-killing national energy tax – was a clear example, and it will not continue in the 112th Congress.”
With the end in sight, Committee Chairman Ed Markey (D-Mass.) organized what was billed as an “all-star” cast of witnesses to testify Wednesday on the dangers posed by climate change.
If you’d like to see what the government considers ‘no oil left’ in the Gulf, here’s a good place to start. The blog The Gulf Oil Project, has some brand new photos up today. I see oil; lots of it.
The longtime residents of Perdido Beach are angry and frustrated; others just bury their heads in the sand and pray BP will go away. In Gulf shore sands stretching from Louisiana to Florida amphipods are hopping mad, isopods are flatly frustrated and mobile-home dragging hermit crabs are conspicuously absent this winter. They are just a few of the local folks that share theses beaches; make it what it is, and have become collateral damage in the war in the Gulf.
The normally tranquil beaches of the Gulf barrier islands are the kind of idyllic place where northerners flock by the thousands in winter. They have been coming here for generations – Sanderlings and Sandpipers from the Arctic, Turnstones from Maine, Plovers from Hudson Bay, Willets from the central grasslands – all have seen there seasonal beaches turned into a battle field; a mechanical minefield for those that work the tide-line for their very lives.
Robert Fisk looks at the diplomatic cables and into U.S. attitudes towards the Middle East in this provocative piece in The Independent.
It’s not that US diplomats don’t understand the Middle East; it’s just that they’ve lost all sight of injustice. Vast amounts of diplomatic literature prove that the mainstay of Washington’s Middle East policy is alignment with Israel, that its principal aim is to encourage the Arabs to join the American-Israeli alliance against Iran, that the compass point of US policy over years and years is the need to tame/bully/crush/oppress/ ultimately destroy the power of Iran.
There is virtually no talk (so far, at least) of illegal Jewish colonial settlements on the West Bank, of Israeli “outposts”, of extremist Israeli “settlers” whose homes now smallpox the occupied Palestinian West Bank – of the vast illegal system of land theft which lies at the heart of the Israeli-Palestinian war. And incredibly, all kinds of worthy US diplomats grovel and kneel before Israel’s demands – many of them apparently fervent supporters of Israel – as Mossad bosses and Israel military intelligence agents read their wish-list to their benefactors.
He goes through a lot of the best cables from the region so you don’t have to. There’s some other news from the middle east. The first of a group of soldiers accused of killing of Afghans–for sport–has been sentenced. I’m kind’ve speechless here on the sentence but, maybe I’m missing something.
The first soldier to face a court martial in connection with alleged sport killings of Afghan citizens pleaded guilty to four of five charges against him Wednesday and was sentenced to nine months in military confinement.
Staff Sgt. Robert G. Stevens was also reduced in rank to private — the lowest grade in the Army — and ordered to forfeit all pay and allowances during his imprisonment.
The investigating officer, Lt. Col. Kwasi Hawks, accepted Stevens’ plea and imposed sentence Wednesday night.
Stevens had asked the court to allow him to stay in the Army; the prosecution had asked for a dishonorable discharge.
Stevens is one of seven soldiers “facing charges of serious misconduct while deployed in Afghanistan,” the Army said in a statement.
The Catfood Commission report has got seven vote of confidence now. Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) and retiring ranking Republican Sen. Judd Gregg (N.H.) said they would back the proposal. Getting it any where still appears to be a long shot, but they are trying.
To appeal to Democrats on the commission, the chairmen eliminated a provision that converted the federal share of Medicaid payments to a block grant. This would have prevented federal spending from increasing alongside rising Medicaid costs.
The new proposal also does more to spur on the short-term economic recovery by proposing $22 billion less in domestic spending cuts in 2013.
In a nod to Republicans, the chairmen proposed a temporary payroll tax holiday.
But the chairmen also retained a number of politically unpalatable provisions, including the proposed elimination of popular tax provisions like the mortgage interest tax break. They also kept a proposal to reduce Social Security benefits by gradually raising the retirement age to 68 by 2050 and to 69 by 2075.
The WSJ reports that the Bush Tax Cuts will likely be extended temporarily. There’s a lot of cyber ink being written on this topic. It appears to be the Republican Rubicon.
…conversations, described as preliminary, have taken place over the past few weeks. They have considered short-term extensions of a number of business and individual tax provisions that are expired or expiring, such as a popular research credit and middle-class protection from the alternative minimum tax. A likely outcome includes a one- to three-year extension of the Bush-era income tax rates and a two-year extension of the business provisions, according to aides. The package could include Democratic priorities such as extension of tax breaks that benefit the working poor, as well as further extension of unemployment benefits for the long-term jobless.
An agreement on temporary extension of all the current rates and breaks would represent a breakthrough after months of partisan infighting. It would signal lawmakers’ intent to avoid the public outrage that could result if the two sides failed to reach a tax deal this month. Many retailers and economists worry that the tax increase could tamp down household spending and further weaken employment and the fragile recovery.
Underscoring that risk, the commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service, Douglas Shulman, sent a letter to lawmakers on Wednesday, warning that postponing extension of some breaks, such as a measure to diminish the bite of the alternative minimum tax, could be “extremely detrimental” and risk significantly delaying refunds.
The CSM reports that any extension of unemployment benefits will be held hostage until the Republican give rich people their tax cuts.
Efforts in the Senate to extend the unemployment benefits were trapped in a procedural wrangle and never allowed on the floor for consideration. It fell to Sen. Scott Brown (R) of Massachusetts to object on behalf of the Republican Party to one proposed measure that required unanimous consent to move to the floor.
“We are in the midst of a historic economic crisis. I realize that,” he said. But to avoid ”burdening future generations,” the $56.4 billion measure must be offset with cuts elsewhere, he said. Senator Brown proposed tapping unspent federal dollars in other programs, such as the 2009 Obama stimulus plan.
Senator Reed objected, noting that the Republican plan to permanently extend the Bush tax cuts gives the wealthiest Americans a $700 billion tax cut that is also not offset – and, unlike the employment benefit, would not expire.
I can’t put the video here, but I can link to it. The Economist interviewed my economist hero Joseph Stiglitz over a hot cuppa. Stiglitz says were a ‘long way’ from back to normal and has concerns that we may have a very inadequate new normal. He doesn’t think unemployment will come down any time soon. He sees 5-10 years of a “Japanese-style malaise” especially because of austerity cuts being suggested by policy makers. He labels this “fiscal madness”. Stiglitz also says that “banks are undermining the rule of law in America” and that “bad mortgages still fester”. You’ll notice he’s not blaming the FED because that’s a red herring.
As you may know, I’m not much for TV. But, I may try to watch ‘The Kennedy Detail’ series starting on the Discovery Channel. The program features interviews with JFK and Jackie Kennedy’s secret service detail. It’s based on the book by Gerald Blaine.
Well, that’s enough from me this morning.
What’s on your reading and blogging list today?
Oodles and oodles of data… now what?
Posted: December 1, 2010 Filed under: Bailout Blues, Global Financial Crisis, U.S. Economy | Tags: bailouts, FED Data Drop, open market operations, TARP 56 Comments
So, Bernie Sanders, Ron Paul, and Alan Grayson finally got the FED to drop some documents that show all the things it was up to during the financial crisis that dated to around 2007. I actually have no problem with that. That kind of information is useful and I think it’s good to have it after the fact.
If you’d like to know how much data and what it’s about, FT Alphaville has a pretty good site up that explains the types of data that have shown up. It’s an amazing amount of detail on $ 3.3 trillion worth of bailout funding. What’s really interesting is the list of collateral. The actual names of organizations running to the window during the time period is there, but really not all that surprising. You can find the details on that at another post on FT Alphaville. As was expected, BOA is most definitely the top hog.
If you read the link to the WSJ above, you can see what both Bernie Sanders and the FED think about all of this.
“After years of stonewalling by the Fed, the American people are finally learning the incredible and jaw-dropping details of the Fed’s multitrillion-dollar bailout of Wall Street and corporate America,” Mr. Sanders said in a statement Wednesday afternoon. “As a result of this disclosure, other members of Congress and I will be taking a very extensive look at all aspects of how the Federal Reserve functions.”
The Fed has kept key deliberations closely guarded. It has taken steps to boost transparency, but has kept certain details secret, such as the names of banks that borrow at its discount window. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke strongly objected to efforts to subject monetary-policy decisions to audits, saying it would “seriously threaten monetary-policy independence, increase inflation fears and market interest rates, and damage economic stability and job creation.”
Matt Stoller (Policy Adviser to the now gone-pecan Congressman Grayson) has an incredibly long winded, hyperbole-ridden, populist rant against the FED that’s been published by Yves at Naked Capitalism and by New Deal 2.0. He must’ve just popped out of cartoon bunny land because there’s a lot of cyber ink over there “full of sound and fury, signifying nothing”. It’s attracting the usual attention of economic dilettantes and Paultards. It also has a bunch of paragraphs somewhat deferential to the P woman to whom he just about throws the title of “The Great Commoner”. (Isn’t that a somewhat surprising action for some one who advises a Democratic Congressman?) The bases of Matt Stoller’s arguments are not economics, data or theory because he dismisses all of that as being captured by the FED. Instead, he holds up a pop culture book on the subject.
In 1989, Bill Greider published a remarkable book called “The Secrets of the Temple: How the Federal Reserve Runs the Country” in which he described how Fed officials were the real decision makers in the American political order. Shielded by the argument of ‘political independence’, most politicians wouldn’t and still won’t dare interfere with the workings of our economic structure, even though the Constitution clearly mandates that the monetary system is the province of Congress. The dramatic and overt coordination of this ‘independent’ central bank with the executive branch and the banking sector, and its flouting of Congressional and public scrutiny, have removed its institutional legitimacy.
To dismiss academic research in area is simply self-serving. Every economist of every flavor comes up with data from all over the world that demonstrates a chaotic economy results from a central bank that is overtly influenced by politics and not independent.
The FED is simply a central bank which is the bank of bankers. It’s not supposed to be some arm of the political parties. It doesn’t clear as many checks as it used to, but it’s FED WIRE is still the major financial transaction wire system for banks. It gets coin and currency from the Treasury and it fills orders for them from banks. It also ensures that banks meet the regulatory obligations. It’s part of the trade off of getting insured by the FDIC. They have capital requirements, they have requirements on their organizational structure and investments, and they do truth-in-lending. Most of what the FED does outside of this is audit banks.
It’s really not some mysterious fraternity that they can’t get into. My work with the FED was very mundane. My staff gathered up orders for Treasury bills and bonds each Tuesday and sent them and tax payments where they would be applied. My other staff paid the electric bills and watched to make certain our branch budget was in line with other branches. I have never worked for a bunch of stuffier people than when I worked for the FED. I was even told to wear nude hosiery, short heels, and a suited skirt. Granted, I was not in NY where all the action is, but really, even bank visitations and teaching bankers how to watch their reserve accounts and use FED WIRE is not a glamor profession. It also pays diddly.
Monetary Policy is done by the Open Market Committee and carried out by the NY FED. No one any place else knows remotely what is done. That’s because if any one in the market or near the market knew, it would be like the ultimate insider trading. Would you really want YOUR congressman or Senator trusted with the ultimate INSIDER trading? When the FED buys and sells bonds and bills, it does it through a number of brokers who get the job through a bidding process. None of them can see the bigger picture. None of them can discern patterns any more than I could by transmitting bond and bill sales of the public every Tuesday. It’s that way because you don’t want any one making big time money knowing which way the market moves.
So, almost every country has designed their central bank to look like our FED; that includes the Europeans. Independence is valued above just about everything because as I’ve said, all the research shows that if you have a politically managed FED, you get a really bad economy. Here’s an example from South Africa today of worries about central bank independence.
“During the year there has been a focus on issues relating to monetary policy independence in response to the letter from the Minister of Finance clarifying the mandate of the Bank, as well as the recent New Growth Path document, in which reference was made to a looser monetary policy stance,” Gill Marcus said.
There were perceptions that these documents had undermined the independence of the SARB, and there had been a tendency to over-interpret monetary policy actions in terms of these discussions.
“For example, when the repo rate was reduced at the previous meeting, some analysts argued that because there was no economic rationale for this move, it therefore must have been politically inspired.
“A few days later, when the disappointing growth figures were announced, these analysts conceded that our decision was vindicated on economic grounds,” Marcus said.
There is plenty of information about the FED should you want to delve into it. It produces a lot of research and a lot of information. It just doesn’t share its immediate monetary policy targets, goals and actions with any one because that’s basically enabling insider trading. It also doesn’t let congress tell it how to run things, but it follows the laws set forth by Congress to achieve the goals it was given. That would be:
Monetary policy has two basic goals: to promote “maximum” sustainable output and employment and to promote “stable” prices. These goals are prescribed in a 1977 amendment to the Federal Reserve Act.
The FED has no role in the stock markets and could not do anything to prevent or cause bubbles there. So, any one that tries to say the FED caused any stock market bubble is out there in la la land. The FED can provide liquidity to credit markets through its open market activities and its activities to influence the FED FUNDS rate. It only directly controls the rate at which it lends to financial institutions; the discount rate. The FED FUNDS rate is a market established rate and reflects the price of loans between financial institutions. In some cases, it is a substitute for loans from the FED.
Even if the Fed suspected that a bubble had developed, it’s not clear how monetary policy should respond. Raising the funds rate by a quarter, a half, or even a full percentage point probably wouldn’t make people slow down their investments in the stock market when individual stock prices are doubling or tripling and even broad stock market indexes are going up by 20% or 30% a year. It’s likely that raising the funds rate enough to burst the bubble would do significant harm to the economy. For instance, some have argued that the Fed may have worsened he Great Depression by trying to deflate the stock market bubble of the late 1920s.
I’m beginning to think I should do more pieces on what the FED is and what the FED is not because of the disturbingly ignorant comments on that thread at Naked Capitalism. Part of the Fed’s problem is that it puts out a lot of information but it really doesn’t do much in terms of prime time explanations. Well, unless you watch the twice a year briefing by the Chair on CSPAN, then you may get an idea of it. However, that speech almost puts me to sleep and the stupid Congress questions just make me made.
So, any way, I just wanted to give you some information on this drop of data and let you know that most of the economists who know things are still pouring over it. I’m going to be pouring over it too, so I’ll try to keep you informed. All these discussions that are early to the media don’t appear to be coming from Financial Economists. They appear to be all politically motivated. Wait until some one who knows speaks up before you start forming any opinions.







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