Lazy Saturday Reads: Follow the Money?

Portrait of two women, Diego Rivera

Portrait of two women, Diego Rivera

Good Afternoon!!

How is Donald Trump spending his campaign money? He raised about $80 million in July, but he isn’t running any TV ads and doesn’t seem to be spending much for on-the-ground organizing. At HuffPo, Bob Burnett calculates based on Open Secrets data that Trump has spent about $63 million of his cash on had in July. Where did those millions go? Burnett suggests three possibilities:

  1. Trump could be planning to “flood the airwaves” with ads just before the election.
  2. Trump may have used the money to repay a load he made to his campaign early on. He has claimed that he forgave the loan, but everyone knows Trump is a pathological liar.
  3. Perhaps the $63 million was transferred to the RNC to pay for GOTV operations. I’d say that’s pretty doubtful.

I’d suggest another possibility–that Trump has simply used the money to pay himself for flights on his private planes and helicopter and to rent space for rallies in his personal properties. Election law requires campaign to pay market rates for these services; but in Trump’s case, the law allows him to make a personal profit by campaigning for office. I guess we’ll find out what’s going on when the July FEC report comes out.

Auguste reading to her daughter, Mary Cassatt

Auguste reading to her daughter, Mary Cassatt

Quite a few observers are also wondering why Trump is campaigning in traditionally blue states like Maine and Connecticut while he’s falling far behind in the polls in battleground states and even red states like North Carolina.

CNN: Republicans question Trump’s travel choices, tight purse strings.

The last time Connecticut voted for a Republican presidential candidate, Americans were listening to music on cassette tapes and most cell phones were the size of shoe boxes.

Yet Donald Trump’s campaign spokesman insists they believe he has a chance to turn Connecticut red for the first time since 1988, and that’s why he is holding weekend rally there on Saturday.
Veteran Republicans, however, see Trump’s Fairfield, Connecticut, campaign stop [is] a fool’s errand — a prime example of what many worry is a political operation that takes Trump’s proclivity for defying convention a step too far.
And, it isn’t just Connecticut that has Republicans scratching their heads. Trump traveled to Maine last week, a state that has also been blue since 1992….
Concerned Republicans say their worries go beyond the campaign’s decision to send its greatest resource — the candidate himself — to chase one or two electoral votes in Maine, or to what they believe are unwinnable states like Connecticut. The other http://www.remotedba.com/consulting-services/ is that the database consulting has the needed money to finance television ads and ground operations — they just don’t appear to be spending it.

According to the article, Republicans are worried that even if Trump eventually begins running ads, it will be too late. They note that Obama’s early negative ads against Romney were successful in defining him, and now Trump is making the same mistake. In addition, Trump’s ground game is basically non-existent. From the CNN article:

“The campaign has yet to find or appoint key local leaders or open a campaign office in the county and isn’t yet sure which Hamilton County Republican party’s central committee members are allied with the Republican presidential nominee,” reported the Enquirer.
In other key states like Florida, where Trump, along with the RNC, does have staff, they are outnumbered by Democrats. The RNC says it has over 70 paid staffers and plans at least 20 offices statewide. Democrats already have 200 staffers and say they’re aiming for 100 offices in Florida.
A Page-Turner, Keith Larson

A Page-Turner, Keith Larson

Here’s Philip Bump at the WaPo: Cincinnati is the perfect demonstration of Donald Trump’s nonexistent campaign.

On Wednesday, the Cincinnati Enquirer ran a story that described the efforts of the Trump campaign in the critical county. Hamilton has declined as a percentage of the state’s population since 1990, but it is still home to 7 percent of Ohioans. So what’s Donald Trump doing there?

With the presidential election 90 days away, the Donald Trump campaign is scrambling to set up the basics of a campaign in Hamilton County, a key county in a swing state crucial to a Republican victory, a recent internal email obtained by The Enquirer shows.

The campaign has yet to find or appoint key local leaders or open a campaign office in the county and isn’t yet sure which Hamilton County Republican party’s central committee members are allied with the Republican presidential nominee. … Even campaign materials, such as signs and stickers, aren’t yet available.

What’s more, Trump hasn’t yet run a single general election ad in Hamilton County — or anywhere.

Last week, the Enquirer reported that Trump supporters, frustrated by the lack of infrastructure in their area, set up their own Trump headquarters in a small house. The campaign tried to spin this as a positive — such enthusiasm! — but it clearly isn’t.

Is it possible that the Trump campaign is nothing but a massive grifting operation to help Trump make money and perhaps to help him get another reality show?

Art and Literature, Loren Entz

Art and Literature, Loren Entz

Yesterday Trump claimed that if he doesn’t win Pennsylvania, where he trails by 11 points in the latest poll, it will be because Hillary Clinton somehow cheated. Again from Philip Bump: Trump says he will only lose Pennsylvania if there’s widespread voter fraud. That’s very wrong.

CBS’s Sopan Deb transcribed Trump’s comments.

We’re gonna watch Pennsylvania. Go down to certain areas and watch and study and make sure other people don’t come in and vote five times. … The only way we can lose, in my opinion — and I really mean this, Pennsylvania — is if cheating goes on. I really believe it. Because I looked at Erie and it was the same thing as this. …

[L]et me just tell you, I looked over Pennsylvania. And I’m studying it. And we have some great people here. Some great leaders here of the Republican Party, and they’re very concerned about that. And that’s the way we can lose the state. And we have to call up law enforcement. And we have to have the sheriffs and the police chiefs and everybody watching. Because if we get cheated out of this election, if we get cheated out of a win in Pennsylvania, which is such a vital state, especially when I know what’s happening here, folks. I know. She can’t beat what’s happening here.

The only way they can beat it in my opinion — and I mean this 100 percent — if in certain sections of the state they cheat, OK? So I hope you people can sort of not just vote on the 8th, go around and look and watch other polling places and make sure that it’s 100 percent fine, because without voter identification — which is shocking, shocking that you don’t have it.

There is almost no actual in-person voter fraud. In a survey of 1 billion ballots cast between 2000 and 2014, 241 possible — possible! — fraudulent ballots were found. Several of those ballots were cast in elections in Pennsylvania where a man named “Joseph Cheeseboro” and another named “Joseph J. Cheeseborough” each cast a ballot. That’s all that was uncovered in Pennsylvania.

The “certain sections of the state” to which Trump is referring is almost certainly are a reference to a long-standing conspiracy theory involving the results in Philadelphia in 2012, where, in some places Mitt Romney got zero votes. Trump ally Sean Hannity raised it during a dispute with CNN’s Brian Stelter.

Mother reading with two girls, Lee Lufkin Kaula

Mother reading with two girls, Lee Lufkin Kaula

It’s all about racism, folks; but no one in the public sphere seems to want to admit it. Check this out at the WaPo: A massive new study debunks a widespread theory for Donald Trump’s success.

Economic distress and anxiety across working-class white America have become a widely discussed explanation for the success of Donald Trump. It seems to make sense. Trump’s most fervent supporters tend to be white men without college degrees. This same group has suffered economically in our increasingly globalized world, as machines have replaced workers in factories and labor has shifted overseas. Trump has promised to curtail trade and other perceived threats to American workers, including immigrants.

Yet a major new analysis from Gallup, based on 87,000 interviews the polling company conducted over the past year, suggests this narrative is not complete. While there does seem to be a relationship between economic anxiety and Trump’s appeal, the straightforward connection that many observers have assumed does not appear in the data.

According to this new analysis, those who view Trump favorably have not been disproportionately affected by foreign trade or immigration, compared with people with unfavorable views of the Republican presidential nominee. The results suggest that his supporters, on average, do not have lower incomes than other Americans, nor are they more likely to be unemployed.

Please go read the entire article, and you’ll find that in this “massive study” Gallup did not even consider racism as an explanation for Trump support!

While Trump is swift-boating himself and the media is busily covering his self-destruction, Hillary Clinton is quietly going about her business–campaigning in swing states, advertising during the Olympics, and building her GOTV operation–as the media tries desperately to fan the flames of some “scandal” or other in hopes of bringing her down.

Girl reading, George Cochran Lambdin

Girl reading, George Cochran Lambdin

The obsession with Hillary’s emails is going nowhere except with media Hillary haters and right wing nuts. ABC News reports: Emails Do Not Show Improper Influence From Clinton Foundation, State Department Says.

The State Department said today that there was nothing inappropriate in the communications that Hillary Clinton‘s staff had with the Clinton Foundation when she was secretary of state, recently exposed in new emails released by the conservative group Judicial Watch,

“The State Department is not aware of any actions that were influenced by the Clinton Foundation,” State Department Spokesman Elizabeth Trudeau said during today’s daily press briefing.

That comment comes after the release of two new emails sent by Clinton Foundation executive Doug Band, raising concerns about the relationship between Hillary Clinton’s State Department and the Clinton family’s philanthropic organization, the Clinton Foundation. In one email, Band requested a meeting between a wealthy donor and an ambassador, and in another he asked Clinton’s aides to find a job for an associated, whose name was redacted from the email.

Donald Trump has described the emails as “pay for play,” without producing any evidence of an exchange of money or political favors.

“The Department does not believe it was inappropriate for Mr. Band or any other individual to recommend someone be considered for employment at the State Department,” Trudeau said today. “We also do not believe it’s inappropriate for someone recommended in this manner to be potentially hired insofar as they meet the necessary qualifications for the job.”

The Clinton campaign said on Wednesday that this person was not a donor nor a Clinton Foundation employee, but refused to release his or her identity. Trudeau added that even if this person had been a Foundation employee or a donor, it would not have precluded the individual from being hired at the State Department.

Woman reading, Jon Urban

Woman reading, Jon Urban

The media will surely try to “trump”-up this story from CNN: Bill Clinton talks email controversy: ‘Biggest load of bull.’

The questioner identified himself as a Democrat who loved Clinton as president and is supporting his wife, Hillary Clinton, in the 2016 election. But, he wanted to know: Why should Americans trust the Democratic nominee when she lied about her emails?
“Wait a minute,” Bill Clinton said. “It’s not true.”
And so began the ex-president’s unexpected fiery defense of one of the biggest controversies dogging Hillary Clinton’s White House bid.
“First of all, the FBI director said when he testified before Congress, he had to amend his previous day’s statement that she had never received any emails that are classified. They saw two little notes with a ‘C’ on it,” Clinton said. “This is the biggest load of bull I’ve ever heard.”
Clinton went on to say that while the classification system of sensitive emails was “too complicated to explain to people,” what is clear is that Clinton and her colleagues were never being careless with national security.
“Do you really believe there are 300 career diplomats because that’s how many people were on these emails, all of whom were careless with national security? Do you believe that?” he said. “Forget about Hillary, forget about her. Is that conceivable?”
Clinton pointed to the number of prominent Republican leaders — particularly those in the national security arena — who have endorsed Clinton in recent weeks, as a sign that she is the only person fit to run the country.
“There are people who spent their lifetimes advancing national security who believe she’s the only person that you can trust,” Clinton said.

I say good for Bill and good luck to the media in trying to make this a “scandal” over the weekend.

What else is happening? Please post your thoughts and links on any topic in the comment thread and have a great Saturday!

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39 Comments on “Lazy Saturday Reads: Follow the Money?”

  1. bostonboomer says:

    NYT: Inside the Failing Mission to Save Trump from Himself.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/14/us/politics/donald-trump-campaign-gop.html

    • ANonOMouse says:

      I think it’s pretty obvious to all of us who proudly wear the mantle of political gym rat that Donald Trump is incapable of taking good advice. He’s 70 years old and has never been required to filter his thoughts before they become words. He has no ability to complete a train of thought or take a thought to it’s logical conclusion. He can’t speak in whole sentences. He speaks in 3-k word sound bites. He has no ability to explain complex ideas, nor is he even capable of entertaining the notion that voters want to hear complete, well thought out proposals. He’s exactly what WE said he was from the beginning, a Carnival barker. “Step right up! See the fat lady. See the Giant. See the Sea monster. See the bearded Lady. See it all….for a quarter” If not for his wealthy daddy he’d probably be sitting under a bridge right now counting pennies to see if he had enough to buy a hotdog. He’s a total and complete Charlatan who has been unmasked for what he really is, an ignorant, loud mouthed, Rich boy whose daddy set him up for success. A man/boy who’s never really worked a day in his life. A goldbricker who’s stiffed regular working people out of their hard earned wages and resources. A crook who promises greatness to those who trust him, but always fails to deliver. A man who sells his name like it is the coin of the realm when in fact it is little more than a slug. Shame on Trump and those who’ve propped him up, kissed his ass, cowered at his feet. Shame to all who’ve enabled his tyranny so that they could share in his plundering. “The moral arc of the Universe is long, but it bends toward justice”. Donald Trump has a date with Justice and she will not be kind.

    • ANonOMouse says:

      Crazy ass old man!

    • ANonOMouse says:

      And his vocabulary sounds a lot like Trump, “queer”, “pussy”, “fag”, “faggot”, “punk”. Poor old white man shut down by a small man on a bicycle. Life is so unfair.

    • Sweet Sue says:

      Are we sure this isn’t Darrell Hammond doing a skit?
      I kept waiting for a screen crawl :”Sorry, ladies, he’s married.”

  2. purplefinn says:

    I really mean this I really believe it [L]et me just tell you in my opinion — I mean this 100 percent

    Convinced yet? Trump quotes from the three paragraphs above regarding voting in PA. I don’t even think he really means it.

  3. dakinikat says:

    The flooding around here is unbelievable. We’re ok in New Orleans but just west of us is turning into one big lake. Weather Channel has gone live from there. It’s insane.

    • ANonOMouse says:

      I’ve been following on internet & the Weather Channel. It’s horrific. I hope your home is not in any danger. Stay safe.

    • janicen says:

      I saw your state on the news last night and I was thinking about you. I’m glad you’re okay but my heart breaks for the people being affected by the flooding. It looked like total devastation everywhere.

      • dakinikat says:

        It’s unbelievable! More than 1000 people rescued so far and several dead and the rain is not supposed to stop until the end of next week.

    • Fannie says:

      Be safe Dak, it’s not looking good at all.

      • dakinikat says:

        We’re ok in New Orleans. The east side of I 55 is dry. More thunderstorms coming up next 3-4 days though but they act like it’s the Texas side of the state that will flood.

  4. quixote says:

    This is hilarious. From Brian Krebs, reporter and computer security expert who broke a whole string of big stories. (I’d have to look it up, but, eg, I think he was the one who found out about the Target hack exposing approx 100,000,000 credit cards.)

    Trump, DNC, RNC Flunk Email Security Test

    Donald J. Trump has repeatedly bashed Sen. Hillary Clinton for handling classified documents on her private email server, suggesting that anyone who is so lax with email security isn’t fit to become president. But a closer look at the Web sites for each candidate shows that in contrast to hillaryclinton.com, donaldjtrump.com has failed to take full advantage of a free and open email security technology designed to stymie email spoofing and phishing attacks. …

    Draegen said DMARC compliance is one of the easiest and cheapest ways that any organization can use to better protect itself and its customers from email-based phishing and malware attacks….

    Incidentally, given the breaking news today about Russian hackers reportedly hacking into networks at the Democratic National Committee (DNC) — allegedly to make Mr. Trump a more sympathetic candidate — it’s worth noting that while hillaryclinton.com takes full advantage of DMARC, the same cannot be said of the Web sites for the DNC (dnc.org/democrats.org) or the Republican National Committee (gop.com/rnc.org).

  5. janicen says:

    This is a great post, bb. I’m beginning to understand what Trump is doing. He’s not running for president nor does he want to be president. He’s running a con. He’s making money off of this whole thing. Pundits and analysts are perplexed and confused because they keep thinking of his actions in terms of a campaign but he’s not campaigning for anything other than to funnel money into his pockets. That’s what he’s up to.

    • bostonboomer says:

      It does seem that way, but I find it hard to believe that Trump wants to be humiliated by losing. The NYT article says he keeps saying he wants to reset the campaign, but he just can’t control himself.

      • janicen says:

        I think that’s why he’s teeing up the “rigged election” stuff. Haven’t we heard that in one form or another throughout our lives when we’ve bested men? “She cheated!” It’s a classic.

      • janicen says:

        As well, I think the media is still looking at his run as a legitimate campaign. I don’t think it is. I think he intends to cash out and claim he was robbed. Trump knows that if he were to win, he would have to be on the job 24/7. Go to bed at 2 and wake up at 5 every day and be expected to perform. He doesn’t want that.

      • quixote says:

        The concepts of Trump and strategy just don’t go together. Sady Doyle said it a while ago: he’s a chatbot. He just says whatever gets him the most attention. He may have started it out as another brand-building exercise, but it’s run away with him and now he’s just flailing.

        When it gets through all that orange fluff on his head and he notices he’s losing, then yelling “Rigged!” is just more flailing. That doesn’t require any strategy.

    • Peter Dao has a new piece up at BNR which makes a much more ominous case:

      http://bluenationreview.com/trumps-diabolical-strategy-makes-perfect-sense/

    • Caro says:

      From my friend, Brent Budowsky: “Is Trump deliberately throwing the election to Clinton?” http://bit.ly/2aSWjcj

  6. Jslat says:

    OMG! Can you imagine T-rump’s supporters as “election observers?” Talk about intimidation!!
    The crazies at the polls to keep the election from being rigged?????!!!!

    http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/donald-trump-election-observers-226981

    • Jslat says:

      Please check out the screen shot of the donation page. Unbelievable!

    • janicen says:

      I was a poll watcher when I lived in WA State. It’s not like they are going to allow dozens or even several of them into a particular precinct. There will be one or two at most. I don’t see that they will be able to disrupt or threaten much. I have to have another surgery so I don’t know if I will be able to vote at my polling place, I might have to vote absentee, which breaks my heart but if I am able to vote in person (my daughter swears she will wheel me in or drag me in or whatever it takes) but I would hope to see some Trumpty Dumpty asshole there trying to intimidate people. I’d just smile at him and form my finger and thumb into an “L” on my forehead at him. 😀

    • Caro says:

      This is an invitation to his goons to roam around intimidating voters.

  7. Pat Johnson says:

    It is freaken hot here in Western MA and we are in the throes of a massive drought. Our lawns are all brown and nothing is growing. Meanwhile the state of Louisiana is flooded. Unbelievable.

    Love the art you chose for this post, bb! Perfection.

    My take on Terrible Trump is that he wants to “win” but not “govern”. He would gladly take the oath but turn the governing over to the likes of Gingrich and Sessions while he watches t.v. and twitters.

    Sad to say but I have come to the conclusion that his supporters are mostly racists who identify with his bigotry and are no longer hiding it. They are right out there in the open, championed by Trump and Fox News.

    Imagine that same group rising up in sheer protest if it were Hillary offering kudos to Putin instead of Trump. Where is their “patriotism” that they so proudly wear?

  8. Caro says:

    As to where the money is going, I’m betting that it’s going to repay the loans he got from Russia to mount a campaign. I doubt seriously that Trump had $30 million to lend to a campaign. And where would he get it, since no legitimate bank will lend to him any more?