Bring it on Home to Us! Live Blog: Kentucky & Oregon Democratic Primaries

samcooke-bringitonhometomenothingcanchangethislove(djcop

Good Evening!!!

So, we’re getting closer to the end of primary season and closer to having U.S. President Hillary Clinton!

Tonight, we’ll be watching the Kentucky and Oregon primaries .  Both are closed primaries which means only registered Democrats may vote.

May 17 Primaries at stake for the Democratic Primary.

Kentucky: 55 delegates at stake

(We already have votes being reported.)

Trump was declared the winner of Kentucky in a March Caucus. Right now, Clinton has 50% and Sanders has 37.8% with less than 1% reporting.

Oregon:  61 delegates at stake
Last poll closes at 10:00 PM CT

cover-large_fileThere are some things we need to watch tonight even though Hillary Clinton is quite close to sealing the deal.

 

 

Hillary Clinton continues to move ever closer to clinching the Democratic nomination with each successive primary contest, but Bernie Sanders could get more victories in his column on Tuesday when voters in Kentucky and Oregon head to the polls.

Oregon is the kind of progressive, activist state where Sanders and his kind of politics have long been popular. He is the favorite there. Clinton easily won Kentucky during the 2008 primaries, and it was expected at the start of this campaign that she would run ahead of the socialist Sanders in areas where Democrats are more conservative.

But Sanders’ victories earlier this month in Indiana and West Virginia, states that border Kentucky, suggest he could do very well in the Bluegrass State as well.

Here are some key things to watch for Tuesday:

Sanders’ Advantage: Oregon and Kentucky Have Small Populations of People of Color

Black voters have overwhelmingly backed Clinton during the primary season, and her performance in most states has been directly correlated to their African-American populations. So Kentucky and Oregon present big challenges for Clinton.

Nationally, African-Americans are 13 percent of the population. They are just 2 percent in Oregon, and 8 percent in Kentucky. (In this sense, Kentucky, while generally defined as in the South, is distinct from that region. The black population in neighboring Tennessee, where Clinton won, is 17 percent.)

Latinos (17 percent of the U.S. population) have generally favored Clinton as well, and they are only 3 percent of the population in Kentucky.

Eastern Kentucky Could Be Tough for Clinton

In the 2008 Democratic primary, Clinton won 118 of Kentucky’s 120 counties, getting 65 percent of the vote statewide, compared to Barack Obama’s 30 percent. In Kentucky’s Fifth Congressional District, the area where much of the state’s coal industry is based, Clinton won about 88 percent of the vote.

But that result may mean nothing now. Clinton also blew out Obama in neighboring West Virginia in 2008, only to lose resoundingly to Sanders in the primary there last week.

Many of the counties in Eastern Kentucky are part of coal country and have similar demographics to West Virginia: few college graduates, small black populations, high poverty rates, and declining economies. If the pattern from West Virginia holds, Sanders will be very strong in this region.

This area is also where Clinton’s controversial remarks about coal are likely to be most problematic.

So far, turnout appears light in Kentucky.

Kentucky Secretary of State spokesman Bradford Queen says say voter turnout has been slow since polls opened on a cool, rainy election day.

The top race on Tuesday’s ballot for Democrats is the presidential primary between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. Republicans held a presidential caucus in March, which was won by Donald Trump. Other major races on the primary ballot include seats for U.S. House, U.S. Senate and the state House.

Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, left. and Kentucky U.S. Democratic senatorial candidate Alison Lundergan Grimes wave to supporters during a campaign rally, Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014, at the Kentucky International Convention Center in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)

Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, left. and Kentucky U.S. Democratic senatorial candidate Alison Lundergan Grimes wave to supporters during a campaign rally, Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014, at the Kentucky International Convention Center in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)

Oregon would appear to be more friendly to Sanders but the most recent polls show Clinton somewhat ahead.

Oregon would appear to be the perfect place for Sanders’ broadsides against income inequality and the “rigged” economic system. Portland certainly is, but the whole state isn’t as progressive as its most populous city. A poll released least week by DHM Research showed Clinton with a 15-point advantage in Oregon. This has led Sanders to try to pump up turnout in the state.

“If voter turnout is low, if young people and working people don’t send in their ballots, we will probably lose,” Sanders told The Oregonian over the weekend. “Needless to say, what I hope we’ll be seeing is a very large voter turnout.”

There’s reason to believe the Vermont senator will get his wish. Oregon has seen a big jump in voter registrations, especially among the under-30 crowd. “[T]here’s clearly a lot of interest out there,” Oregon Secretary of State Jeanne P. Atkins said. “We have more registered voters than we’ve ever had before.”

Sanders heads into the Oregon and Kentucky vote with momentum and confidence. Clinton has been trying to pivot to the general election for some weeks, and now her rival is pivoting too. Sanders, who has won primaries in Indiana and West Virginia the past two weeks, repeatedly points out that he polls very well against Trump, who is an insult-spewing bogeyman to many liberals.

 

The Clinton campaign has been spending time in Kentucky so we’re real hopeful here.  Grab the popcorn and a seat!!!

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155 Comments on “Bring it on Home to Us! Live Blog: Kentucky & Oregon Democratic Primaries”

  1. dakinikat says:

    Kentucky and Oregon primary results: track the votes, county by county

    http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/may/17/primary-results-kentucky-oregon-election-2016

    Kentucky

    DEMOCRATS
    Statewide results
    14/3,696 precincts (0.3%) reporting
    Hillary Clinton
    2,052
    53.9%
    Bernie Sanders
    1,442
    37.9%
    3,806 total votes

  2. Delphyne49 says:

    I’ll check back with you later – township meeting tonight to elect a new Board of Trustees and it will be contentious. We have a group that reminds me of the Berniebros and they have intimidated via FB, confronting people in an antagonistic and intimidating way and generally stirring up $hit. Our community is so small (2000 people tops!) so everyone knows everyone and these meetings can be boisterous. Let’s hope they don’t start cursing after the election of new BoT members and/or start throwing chairs!

    I sure hope Hillary can pull out a win in both Ky and Or. I just want Sanders shut down asap.

    • dakinikat says:

      You’re turn next up! You get those Bernie Bots in line GRRRL!!!

    • Fannie says:

      You know Delphyne, even if he loses both states tonight, he won’t stop his bullshit, he as much said so.

    • janicen says:

      I’ve found the same thing, Delphyne. At the local level regarding the tiniest of issues people get boisterous, nasty, and want to silence anyone who disagrees with them or even questions them in the slightest. Good luck tonight.

  3. Jslat says:

    Wasn’t going to watch the primary coverage due to BFS. But the activity on the last thread has revved me up. Goddess, I hope she does well!

    Though any loss will stir up the venom from the Bern and his nest of vipers!

    • dakinikat says:

      I’m really hoping to get this over with. I’m about reading to find some one to knee cap Chuck Todd. He just said Clinton should give Sanders everything he wants because she looks like she can’t close the deal. Did they say that about Obama in 2008?

  4. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is reporting 2.8%: Clinton 47% vs Sanders 45.1%. Clay Co has 4 votes uncommitted and 3 for Sanders.

  5. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is reporting 7.4%: Clinton 46.9% vs Sanders 45.8%.

  6. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is reporting 10.5%: Sanders 47.2%. vs Clinton 45.6%

  7. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 13.5%: Sanders 46.7%. vs Clinton 46.1%

  8. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 15.3%: Sanders 47%. vs Clinton 46.1%

  9. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 17.8%: Sanders 47.1%. vs Clinton 46.1%

  10. roofingbird says:

    Sanders has won 8 small counties to 2 for Clinton.

  11. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 20.2%: Sanders 47.4%. vs Clinton 45.3%

  12. Fannie says:

    My favorite song. I remember being in the St. Thomas Projects, sitting in the back seat of 1958 Chevy, and just falling in love with Sam Cook’s music, his song, You Send Me. I don’t know if the Coliseum Park is still there, use to hang out there, listening to Only Sixteen. Lov me some Led Zeppelin too.

    Bring it on home!

  13. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 23.1%: Sanders 47.5%. vs Clinton 45%

  14. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 27.3%: Sanders 48.1%. vs Clinton 44.3%. It won’t be a clean sweep for either since they both have counties in tow.

  15. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 36.2%: Sanders 47%. vs Clinton 46.8%

  16. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 45.3%: Sanders 47.3%. vs Clinton 45.8%

  17. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 51.7%: Sanders 47.3%. vs Clinton 45.9%

    • roofingbird says:

      She is about 3000 votes behind. Clinton’s vote count will have to move ahead soon. However, only around 39% of the votes are counted in Jefferson Co, with Louisville. The map is looking different in that it doesn’t look like a reiteration of Trump.

  18. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 54.5%: Sanders 46.8%. vs Clinton 46.6%

  19. mablue2 says:

    Why do these TV yakkers treat every single tweet of Donald Trump as news. Chris Matthews just read the latest one as some sort of breaking news.

  20. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 58.4%: Sanders 46.8%. vs Clinton 46.4%

  21. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 62.8%: Clinton 46.7%. vs Sanders 46.6%. Clinton just overtook and won Johnson Co., 447 votes, to 116 uncommitted. to Sanders 49 votes!?!

    • roofingbird says:

      Wapo correction for Johnson Co. It isn’t reporting right. Sanders is ahead there, may have won, but that’s what they said about Clinton.

  22. roofingbird says:

    Right now there is a 3 vote difference!

  23. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 64.7%: Sanders 46.6% vs Clinton 46.5%.

  24. Fannie says:

    Hillary has slight lead………………yay. I’ll tell you the way Bernie is going, not taking responsibility, after the election is over, he won’t even be in charge of the county roads department.

  25. Ron4Hills says:

    With each passing day I despise Madhatter Bernie Sanders a little more. What a pernicious little prick he turns out to be. Sniping away to make his thousands little cuts.

    What could possibly be the legitimate reason for ramping UP the ugliness at this late date.

    The media keeps acting like the acrimony is coming from both sides but it is a lie. It is them and they are sick.

  26. Fannie says:

    Weaver is on CNN, and he just keeps blaming it all on the DEMOCRATIC party! I can’t stand that man.

  27. Fannie says:

    Weaver says no violence in Pa…………I wouldn’t trust him, the old Pole cat.

  28. mablue2 says:

    Oh my God, I’m gonna vomit! Hugh Hewitt on my TV all the way here in Europe.
    Even Laura Ingraham says he’s the most overrated talkshow host in America, but apparently the “liberal” media can’t have enough of him.

  29. Fannie says:

    There’s Weaver saying the media wants this over for Bernie………Ashol, it’s been over for a long damn time now.

  30. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 72.9%: Clinton 46.9%. vs Sanders 46.2%

  31. roofingbird says:

    KY is reporting 83.7%: Clinton 47.3%. vs Sanders 46.2% 5 counties are yet to report.

  32. mablue2 says:

    My God, Van Jones is an idiot!

  33. mablue2 says:

    I think I’m going to bed. Anderson Cooper just asked us to stand by because after the break he’ll read us Trumps latest tweet about Hillary Clinton and the state of the race. This is surreal!

  34. Valhalla says:

    Hi everyone! I just wanted to let folks know that hell has frozen over and the dead are walking the earth. On MSNBC Chuck Todd just acknowledged that not only does Bernie have no chance, but that it was all over with NY because Bernie can’t win diverse states. And Tweety went on and on about how the close vote in KY shows Bernie’s no revolution. AND on CNN the panel is calling Bernie a sore loser and (except for Van Jones), condemning him for not coming out against his supporters’ violence.

    Yes, I know it’s way past time both networks woke up and stopped propping Bernie up, but I’m amazed.

  35. Jslat says:

    Roofingbird thanks for updates! How’s it look now? I stopped watching TV coverage. Can I exhale yet??

  36. jackyt says:

    Over at The Guardian, Scissorjack Bernie is spouting, “I don’t have a SuperPac… I don’t want a SuperPac”. HaHaHa… I bet he wishes he had a SuperPac now!!

  37. roofingbird says:

    88.1% reporting: Clinton 47% vs Sanders 46.3%

  38. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is 90.9% reporting: Clinton 46.8% vs Sanders 46.5%

  39. Fannie says:

    Com’ on Kentuck, energize us.

  40. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is 92.9% reporting: Sanders 46.6% vs Clinton 46.5% 2 counties that were yet to report did so with a Sanders win. Jefferson Co is under 80% reporting

  41. janicen says:

    It’s so ridiculous the way CNN is breathlessly trying to make this exciting. So it’s just about a tie and they split the delegates in KY. End of story. Any talk of momentum at this point is bullshit.

  42. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is 93.2% reporting: Sanders 46.5% vs Clinton 46.5%. 216 vote difference.

  43. roofingbird says:

    Jefferson Co is still under 80%. That will be the difference if any. Anyone know what’s going on there?

  44. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is 95.3% reporting: Sanders 46.6% vs Clinton 46.3%.

  45. Fannie says:

    Hillary gonna take Kentuck……99% in

  46. ANonOMouse says:

    Hillary is going to win KY!!!

  47. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is 98.8% reporting: Sanders 46.9% vs Clinton 46.3%.

  48. ANonOMouse says:

    Hillary leading by 2479 votes, 99% reporting

  49. roofingbird says:

    Yes! Jefferson co is now at 99.4%. Wapo says KY is 99% reporting: Clinton 46.9% vs Sanders 46.3%

  50. Ron4Hills says:

    MSNBC made a call. HILLS!!!!

    They were all so giddy when Bernie was ahead by a thousand votes.

    Now the foot is in the other shoe!!!!

    I will have a hard time sleeping!

  51. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is 99.7% reporting: Clinton 46.7% vs Sanders 46.3%

  52. ANonOMouse says:

    Hillary now 4300 votes ahead. Feel the Fizzle!!!

  53. Given the Kentucky demographics, this is a major upswing for Hillary. The minuscule proportion of minority voters means she either got every single female vote, or some straight, white males are beginning to see the light. I’d guess the latter.

    • NW Luna says:

      Eastern Oregon is probably a lot like Eastern Washington state. Conservative, rural, a few colleges but smaller than those on the West side. The Dems there probably aren’t too fond of a Socialist with a recent switch to (D). They probably have good memories about the Bill Clinton years, too, LOL!

      • NW Luna says:

        ooops … didn’t mean for that to nest under jacqueline’s Kentucky comment.

      • Jslat says:

        Hi (waving)

      • dakinikat says:

        Portland is a bit of an island isn’t it? Is Salem even that hippy dippy?

        • NW Luna says:

          I don’t think Salem’s in Portland’s league. Plus I don’t think it’s so much the counterculture people. Judging from Seattle Berniebots, it’s the entitled Amazon & Microsoftie techieprogbrogressives and their brainwashed “hot chicks for Bernie” gfs.

  54. roofingbird says:

    Jefferson, Hardin, Warren, and Kenton Counties are yet to complete their count. Hardin Co is competitive. Wapo says KY is now 98.1 reporting, but something is up with Pike Co. they are suddenly “not reporting”. As such, Clinton 47.2% vs Sanders 46.2%

  55. roofingbird says:

    Wapo says KY is 99.7% reporting: Clinton 46.7%. vs Sanders 46.3%. Pike Co is back on line for Sanders

  56. roofingbird says:

    Warren Co went to Sanders. Hardin to Clinton. Wapo says KY is 99.8% reporting: Clinton 46.7%. vs Sanders 46.3%. 25 Delegates each. Wapo hasn’t declared a winner yet though.

  57. NW Luna says:

    Loved this reason to vote for Hillary!

    Art Duszak….”I met Hillary and she’s stable. We need someone who’s stable and not promising everything.”

    http://www.oregonlive.com/today/index.ssf/2016/05/oregon_kentucky_primary_live_u.html

  58. Boo Radly says:

    Yippee! 🎉🍾🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

  59. NW Luna says:

    Nothing on Oregon Sec of State website until 8 pm it says.

    http://sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/current-election.aspx

  60. roofingbird says:

    KY is 99.8% still reporting: Clinton 46.7%. vs Sanders 46.3%. Jefferson and Kenton Co’s could take a while since they have the largest population.

  61. ANonOMouse says:

    I lovef seeing Hillary FIGHT to win this State. I know she’s walked away from some of these contests, but this seemed like a STATEMENT State and even though it was close, she won it. Now if she can do the same in OR, we can go ahead and pass out the nails so we can get to work on nailing Bernie’s coffin closed. THE END!

  62. roofingbird says:

    Clinton has a lead of 1813 votes. With the 2 largest counties still tabulating, it seems too early call for MSNBC, unless they know what precincts are still out.

  63. Jslat says:

    I just turned on CNN. Wasserman actually rebuked the Bern on his statement about the NC convention. She was blunt! Who’s!

    • NW Luna says:

      Hey! Reality sets in!

    • Jslat says:

      That was the NV convention. What will the Bern do now? It ain’t going to be pretty because he will never give in. I’m not sure that this will end well.

  64. Ron4Hills says:

    What is Dana Bash’s problem, defending the Berner in NV. WTF. Are they that loathe to remove St. Bernard’s halo?

    The dishonesty is staggering.

  65. Fannie says:

    Bet Bernie’s camp going to sue Kentucky……….She is ahead by 1800, and 769 votes out……..he can’t win. But since she and her husband are good friends with Sect. of State in Kentucky, he going to file and declare it was rigged.

    • Jslat says:

      You know you’re right. He will threaten to sue! Goddess I wish this were over! I am so done done done with all of the Bern shit!

  66. bostonboomer says:

    I put up a fresh thread because this one was getting so long. Come on up!

  67. roofingbird says:

    I think we are just about good to go, Jefferson just completed reporting. KY is 99.9% reporting: Clinton 46.8%. vs Sanders 46.3%. Kenton Co is at 96.2% reporting with 5146 vs 4880 votes.

  68. roofingbird says:

    Wow, at 8:46 pm Wappo has declared Sander the winner in OR. 60% reporting: Sanders 53% vs Clinton 47%