Live Blog: Hillary Wins Nevada!!! Will Trump take South Carolina?

wp-1456005296982.jpeg Hello from one of the Krewe Of Hillary!

It’s the first day of early voting here in Louisiana!

It’s also the day that Madam Secretary won the Nevada Caucus!

Tonight we’ll see if Trump manages to win the Republican Primary in South Carolina.

Hillary Clinton will win the Nevada Democratic caucuses, CNN projects, a crucial victory that could ease concerns about her ability to secure the party’s nomination.

With 72% of the expected vote in, Clinton was ahead of Sanders 52.2% to 47.7%.

The win provides a jolt of momentum to the former secretary of state as she heads into the February 27 South Carolina Democratic primary and Super Tuesday on March 1.

Clinton faced a surprisingly spirited challenge here from Democratic rival Bernie Sanders. The two were in a virtual dead heat in recent days. A win by Sanders, who trounced Clinton in the New Hampshire primary, would have dealt Clinton a dramatic setback.

Clinton relied on strong turnout from Latino voters to hold Sanders at bay. Her surrogates fanned out across the Silver State this week, attempting to portray her as the more trustworthy candidate for Latinos.

We’re waiting for the Victory Speech!!

Polls close in South Carolina in ONE HOUR so stay tuned and join us!!!

 


Saturday: You Say You Want A Revolution

11376185_1462896550691126_1102904676_n

Good Morning!!

Today we’ll be following the Nevada Democratic Caucus and the South Carolina Republican Primary. Later today, we’ll know if the demagogue can win in Nevada and which demagogue will win in South Carolina.

You say you want a revolution? Well, you know, I say no thanks. I think we’ve made quite a bit of progress during the last 8 years with Barack Obama as President, and I’d like to continue to build on his achievements.

I’ve heard that Bernie Sanders sometimes plays the Beatles’ “Revolution” at his yuuuuuge rallies, so I thought I’d begin this post with the lyrics of the song.

You say you want a revolution
Well, you know
We all want to change the world
You tell me that it’s evolution
Well, you know
We all want to change the world
But when you talk about destruction
Don’t you know that you can count me out
Don’t you know it’s gonna be all right
All right, all right

Vija Celmins: Burning Man, 1966

Vija Celmins: Burning Man, 1966

You say you got a real solution
Well, you know
We’d all love to see the plan
You ask me for a contribution
Well, you know
We’re doing what we can
But when you want money
For people with minds that hate
All I can tell is brother you have to wait
Don’t you know it’s gonna be all right
All right, all right
Ah

Ah, ah, ah, ah, ah…

Mao, by Andy Worhal, 1972

Mao, by Andy Worhal, 1972

You say you’ll change the constitution
Well, you know
We all want to change your head
You tell me it’s the institution
Well, you know
You better free you mind instead
But if you go carrying pictures of chairman Mao
You ain’t going to make it with anyone anyhow
Don’t you know it’s gonna be all right
All right, all right
All right, all right, all right
All right, all right, all right

 

Bernie might be playing “Revolution,” but the Beatles were singing the same song as Hillary. She wants to change the world, but she’d like to hang on to the good stuff and not tear down the progress we’ve already made because it’s not perfect. Bernie wants to go all out, but we haven’t seen rational plans from him on how he will accomplish the radical changes he is promising.

On the Republican side, Donald Trump is going all out for torture, killing, deportation, and nativism. Ted Cruz seems to be seeking an end the separation of church and state and the end of women’s rights to their own bodies. I’m not sure what Marco Rubio wants, but he has been repeatedly charging our President with treason and beating the war drums.

We need to make sure we elect a Democrat to the White House this year all costs. We cannot allow one of the crazy Republicans to get control of executive power. Most of all, we can’t allow any Republican to appoint more right wing justices to the Supreme Court.

So this will be an open thread to discuss today’s big happenings or anything else that’s on your mind. We’ll put up a live blog later this afternoon for the so we can discuss the exit polls and the later on the results. If that thread gets too long, we’ll post another one. This should be a fascinating day to follow politics.

NYT photo of Parker High School student Walter Gadsden being attacked by police dogs, 1963, by Bill Hudson

NYT photo of Parker High School student Walter Gadsden being attacked by police dogs, 1963, by Bill Hudson

Three interesting reads from Politico to get us going:

Gabriel Debennedetti: How Nevada will be won.

Long considered an integral part of Hillary Clinton’s march through February, this low-turnout, first-in-the-West caucus state saw momentum shift and polls tighten after Bernie Sanders’ campaign swept in with a late investment in its local operation. The result is that Nevada, once thought to be a shoo-in for Clinton, now looks like a toss-up.

Sanders spent Friday doing his best to shore up support in the more sparsely-populated and more conservative northern parts of the state, where higher turnout helps his campaign thanks to his reliance on first-time caucus-goers.

Clinton and her staff, meanwhile, have sought to excite union workers in Las Vegas by visiting pockets of them throughout the week, and to energize Latino voters by painting Sanders as an enemy of immigration reform. In a state where she used union support and a 2-to-1 margin among Latinos to win last time, it’s a bet that a strong performance in the populous south can carry her to victory….

Making the final hours all the more dramatic, said Bob Miller — the state’s last Democratic governor — is the fact that the ground still seems to be shifting.

“I think it’s going to be fairly close. Hillary Clinton has had people on the ground for a year, so they’re very organized. They have made a lot of connections, and they spent some time in the rural [counties] doing that,” Miller said. “However, Bernie Sanders has outspent her considerably in the last couple of weeks and is going full force, fresh off his victory in New Hampshire, with a level of enthusiasm [that makes me say] I do think that it’s not a given, as it once was. It’s a really close race here.”

Robert Rauschenberg: Signs, 1970

Robert Rauschenberg: Signs, 1970

Nick Gass and Daniel Strauss: Harry Reid accuses Republicans of ‘trickery and gimmicks’ in Nevada caucuses.

“These Republican plans to interfere with the integrity of Nevada’s Democratic caucuses are shameful and immoral,” Reid said in a statement released Friday. “Rather than letting voters decide and allowing our democratic system to work, Republicans are resorting to trickery and gimmicks in an attempt to subvert the will of the people. The Republican Party has long decried voter fraud, but with this latest scheme they are now encouraging it. The American people deserve a fair voting process, and I will do everything in my power to ensure that these disgraceful Republican tactics do not interfere with the voice of Nevada voters.”

The charge follows a vow from the state’s Democratic Party to pursue legal action against those who “falsely” register as a Democrat to caucus on Saturday and then participate in Tuesday’s Republican primary.

“After reviewing Nevada law, we believe that registering under false pretenses in order to participate in the Democratic caucuses for purposes of manipulating the presidential nominating process is a felony,” state party Chair Roberta Lange said in a statement. “The Nevada State Democratic Party will work with law enforcement to prosecute anyone who falsely registers as a Democrat to caucus tomorrow and subsequently participates in the Republican caucuses on Tuesday.”

The sharply worded statement follows an announcement from the College Republicans at the University of Nevada, Reno, encouraging members to “capitalize on, if they see fit to” on rules that would permit them to caucus Saturday and vote in the GOP primary on Tuesday.

Of course the bigger concern should be the money Karl’s Rove’s superpac is pouring into Nevada in hopes of defeating Hillary and helping Sanders gain more momentum.

Romare Bearden: The Dove, 1964

Romare Bearden: The Dove, 1964

The Politico Caucus: Insiders predict Trump win in South Carolina, Clinton in Nevada, by Steven Shepard.

On South Carolina:

Donald Trump is poised for his second win of the Republican presidential primary season on Saturday in South Carolina. And Hillary Clinton looks as if she’ll eke out a victory in Nevada.

That’s according to the activists, strategists and operatives who make up The POLITICO Caucus in both states.

A clear majority of South Carolina insiders — nearly 80 percent — picked Trump as the most likely victor on Saturday, with Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz also receiving votes.

It wasn’t quite so overwhelming among South Carolina Republicans, however. Just three-in-five chose Trump as the winner – and a number of those who did predicted a closer-than-expected race.

“Trump’s margin of victory will be narrower than many think, and the difference between second and fourth will be tight,” said one South Carolina Republican, who, like all the insiders, answered the survey anonymously.

“Trump is dropping due to his conspiracy attacks on [George W. Bush],” added another, “but his base of 25 percent remains solid.”

Faith Ringgold: American People, Black Light, 1967

Faith Ringgold: American People, Black Light, 1967

On Nevada:

A number of Nevada Democratic insiders said the nature and relative newness of the state’s presidential caucuses were a boon to Clinton.

“I believe it will be close, and the outcome will depend, of course, on how many of Sanders’ young supporters actually come out to caucus on a Saturday morning,” said one Democrat.

“Clinton will win the type of victory that shows that organization does still matter,” added another. “To that point, Team Bernie invited press to a phone bank last week, and their volunteers didn’t even know when the caucus was taking place. It won’t be a big margin for Team Hillary, but it will be a clear win that the can build on headed into South Carolina.”

One Nevada Democrat said the fact the race is close shows Clinton is no longer an unassailable front-runner.

“The Clinton firewall is clearly not real at this point,” countered another. “It’ll be uncomfortably close for Clinton, but I still think she pulls out. If she doesn’t win, it’ll send a message the Bernie’s economic criticism resonates with more than just white voters. It could be a game changer for the campaign moving forward.”

The article says that Nevada Republicans predict Sanders will win. Interesting isn’t it?

Revolutionary (Angela Davis), 1971, by Wadsworth Jarrell

Revolutionary (Angela Davis), 1971, by Wadsworth Jarrell

More stories to check out:

The People’s View: The Nordic Obsession: Bernie’s “Democratic Socialism” Has a White-Only Sign

Joseph Cannon: It’s 2008 all over again. You can tell by the stench of horseshit in the air. Scroll down a bit to the second part of the post for some excellent writing on the devolution of Salon and the shit storm that Hillary Clinton has faced in this campaign and for decades leading up to it.

Benjy Sarlin at MSNBC: Trump hails torture, mass killings with “pig’s blood” ammo in SC.

Sarah Jones at Politicus USA: Republicans Are Trying To Rig The Nevada Democratic Caucus To Hurt Hillary Clinton.

Branden English at Medium: Go Fuck Yourself, Bernie: Obama isn’t just the President of Black people.

Las Vegas Review-Journal: Attempt to place Review-Journal obituary for Hillary Clinton prompts report to Secret Service.

The Daily Beast: Bernie Sanders’s Brother: He Backs ‘Class Warfare,’ Bill Clinton Was Worse Than Bush.

Think Progress: The Big Issue Dividing Clinton and Sanders Supporters Ahead Of The Nevada Caucus.

Mother Jones: The 2012 Obama Campaign Took Bernie Sanders’ Primary Threat Seriously.

Delores Huerta: On Immigration, Bernie Sanders is Not Who He Says He Is.

What stories are you following today? Who will win in Nevada and South Carolina?


Friday Reads: This and That, Good and Bad, Policy and Empty Promises

Good Afternoon!

32-Harper-Lee-Split-v2We heard this morning of the passing of the great writer Harper Lee.

Harper Lee, the author of the classic novel To Kill a Mockingbird, has died in her hometown of Monroeville, Ala. The Pulitzer Prize-winning writer was 89.

Monroeville city officials confirmed reports of Lee’s death to Alabama Public Radio. Her publisher, HarperCollins, also confirmed the news to NPR.

Her famous novel about a young girl’s experience of racial tensions in a small Southern town has sold tens of millions of copies and been translated into dozens of languages.

Lee’s family issued a statement Friday morning saying that Lee “passed away in her sleep early this morning. Her passing was unexpected. She remained in good basic health until her passing.”

Family spokesman Hank Conner, Lee’s nephew, said:

“This is a sad day for our family. America and the world knew Harper Lee as one of the last century’s most beloved authors. We knew her as Nelle Harper Lee, a loving member of our family, a devoted friend to the many good people who touched her life, and a generous soul in our community and our state. We will miss her dearly.”

The family says that as Lee had requested, a private funeral service will be held.

Lee’s novel is probably one of the greatest stories showing American Life ever written.  It is studied by students and beloved by all that read about Scout and see the movie adaptation.

More than a half-century after its publication, the novel continues to be studied by high school and college students. It has sold more than 30 million copies—still selling nearly a million copies per year by the 50th anniversary of its publication in 2010, according to Publishers Weekly–and has been translated into more than 40 languages.

The film adaptation of the novel, with Gregory Peck as Atticus Finch and Mary Badham as Scout, opened on Christmas Day of 1962 and was an instant hit. It was nominated for eight Academy Awards and won four, including Best Actor for Peck and Best Screenplay for Horton Foote, who wrote the screenplay for the movie based on the book. Lee became close friends with both of them.

The novel also inspired a generation of lawyers with its portrayal of the gentle, wise Atticus Finch, who defends a black man, Tom Robinson, falsely accused of raping Mayella Ewell, a white woman. Meanwhile, the Finches’ strange neighbor, Boo Radley, who strikes fear in Scout’s and Jem’s hearts, turns out not to be the monster the children expect him to be.

Though Lee denied that the novel was autobiographical, many parallels exist between “To Kill a Mockingbird” and Lee’s own childhood. Her father was also a lawyer who owned the town newspaper.  Comparisons have been made between Lee and Scout, the 9-year-old tomboy protagonist, especially in her friendship with Dill, a character widely considered to have been based on Lee’s own childhood friend, Truman Capote.

When he was a child, the author of “In Cold Blood” often stayed with his cousins, who lived next door to the Lees. Capote and Lee collaborated on the early stages of his novel and remained lifelong friends.

The interior of the Monroe County Courthouse was reconstructed on a movie set in Hollywood for the film’s pivotal courtroom scenes, and local actors bring the book to life each spring at the courthouse itself, where they stage “To Kill a Mockingbird” to sellout crowds.

BB wrote extensively about Lee’s publication last year of a novel that delves back into the lives of the Finch family .o-GREGORY-PECK-facebook

A Chicago court is scheduled to hear a lawsuit asking for Cruz to be removed from the ballot in Illinois.

A judge will hear arguments on Friday from an Illinois voter alleging that Republican presidential hopeful Ted Cruz is not a “natural-born citizen” and should be disqualified for the party’s nomination.

Lawrence Joyce, an Illinois voter who has objected to Cruz’s placement on the Illinois primary ballot next month, will have his case heard in the Circuit Court of Cook County in Chicago. Joyce’s previous objection, made to the state’s Board of Elections, was dismissed on February 1. He appealed the decision and was granted a hearing for Friday before Judge Maureen Ward Kirby.

Joyce challenges Cruz’s right to be president in the wake of questions put forth by GOP rival Donald Trump about being born in Canada. Cruz maintains he is a natural-born citizen since his mother is American-born.

“What I fear is that Ted Cruz becomes the nominee, come September, Congressman Alan Grayson of Florida will go forward with his threats and probably several other Democrats will file suit to prevent Ted Cruz from being on the ballot,” Joyce, a pharmacist and attorney from Poplar Grove, Ill, told USA TODAY.

Grayson, a Democrat, has told reporters that he will file a lawsuit contesting Cruz’s citizenship if the senator from Texas wins the GOP nomination.

“What Democrats will do at that point is cherry pick which county courthouse they are going to show up in order to file these petitions,” Joyce said. “And at that point, I fear they’ll get a string of victories in the lower courts and the funding for Ted Cruz would dry up, his numbers would plummet in the polls, he may be forced to give up the nomination.”

1000509261001_1313081582001_Bio-Mini-Bio-Writers-Lee-SFThe primary and caucus tomorrow continues to be the top headline grabber.  I liked this Charlie Pierce item describing the relationship between the Trump Candidacy and the late Lee Atwater.  It’s an excellent essay into Atwater’s legacy and life.

What Atwater did was more than inject into Republican politics a modern form of strategic viciousness. With it, he injected an entirely new form of strategic unreality. From that has come the party’s inability to recognize or acknowledge the empirical. By creating an entirely new Dukakis in which his voters could believe, Atwater showed them how to build the bubble and to armor it against reality. The combination of strategic viciousness and strategic unreality has come full flower this year. We have Donald Trump, who is one ring of the circus all to himself, calling his opponents liars and Mexicans rapists, and threatening to sue Ted Cruz, who responds by telling Trump to bring it on, and that he, Cruz, would be happy to depose Trump in discovery personally. And Marco Rubio is telling people that the United States is at the edge of the abyss and that only he can restore it to its former glory. What seemed crude and nasty in 1980 has become sleek and edgeless and as common as milk now.

Both my daughters and I went to public universities where football is so central to the university’s life, fundraising, and culture that everything else seemed underfunded and small by comparison.  As a professor and a student I have experienced things that still make me shake my head. Local investigative reporter Lee Zurik dug some things up in our state’s colleges--not the flagship LSU–that will make your toes curl. This is really disheartening given the drain of funds from university’s missions due to the Jindal-caused financial crisis.

Professors laid off. Classes cut. Campus buildings falling apart, and students left wondering why.

These are not simply the risks to higher education in the future. This has been happening, in slow and painful stages, for the last eight years across the state of Louisiana.

Mary Brocato can attest to it.

“I say that I’m the Angelina Jolie of dogs,” she jokes with us at her home in northwest Louisiana, surrounded by her six dogs.  “They’re a lot of company for me.”

Brocato lived in New Orleans for 20 years before moving to Natchitoches, where she spent 12 years teaching journalism at Northwestern State University. In the past eight years, Brocato has lost both her job and her husband.

Cutbacks at Northwestern State eliminated the journalism program there; the university fired Brocato, a tenured professor, in the spring of 2011.

“The real sin or crime there was those students… who had started and who had been  in the program and got caught in the middle,” Brocato tells us. “And they could not get a degree in journalism.”

The year before Northwestern State cut journalism, chemistry, economics, physics and other programs, the school sent $3,689,522 from its operating budget to athletics. By the time Brocato left, that athletics supplement had increased by almost $300,000.

That’s roughly the same amount as her journalism department’s annual budget; Northwestern State raised its monetary support to athletics while cutting a program that cost about as much money.

“It shows where the emphasis is,” Brocato says, “that there seems to be more emphasis and more accommodation for athletics than there is for academics.  And I don’t like it. I think it’s very dishonest… because I don’t think people understand that.”

Brocato’s professorship paid her $77,600 a year. A year after they let her go, the athletics department paid Mississippi Valley State University nearly the same amount of money, $75,000, to come play them in football.

While the school cut professors and programs, administrators paid $75,000 for what’s called a “game guarantee” – essentially trying to guarantee the school a home win in football.

Such guarantees are a surprise to some of the NSU students we spoke with, on campus in Natchitoches.

“I would cry,” one tells us. “Is that like Information that everybody knows? That should be known by everyone.”

Also in 2012, Northwestern State paid another football opponent, Arkansas-Monticello, $37,500. That comes to roughly $112,000 in game guarantees – for a football team that finished that season with a 4-7 record.

“That’s literally throwing money away,” says the student.

“It blows my mind,” says another co-ed.

I taught at one of these regional universities where the football team is like another extension of the local highschool.  Maintaining athletics programs at the expense of the education mission of the school is really aHarper_Lee_Victim-of-Elder_Abuse disservice to the community and the students.  However, most administrators are convinced the school has to try to support the various programs. I’ve basically seen from the viewpoint of student and professor the major coddling these students get.  It’s really time and resource intense and as a brainy little girl, I did not appreciate being frequently circled by athletes trying to “borrow” my work.

Schools aren’t the only thing still suffering from the Jindal Reign of Terror.  We face the clear possibility that the poorest among us will no longer have access to health care all over the state.  Doctor and nurse training are in jeopardy also.

Several of Louisiana’s privatized safety net hospitals, including University Medical Center in New Orleans and Our Lady of the Lake in Baton Rouge, are considering walking away from their contracts with the state under “best case” budget cut scenarios being debated in the Legislature.

The CEOs of seven hospitals told Senate Finance members Wednesday that the $137.8 million in proposed cuts would either cause steep dropoffs in their ability to deliver care to the poor, or cause them to halt operations altogether. All of the hospitals, which represent every major population center in the state, play a pivotal role in treating the poor and uninsured and are considered a centerpiece of Gov. John Bel Edwards’ Medicaid expansion policy. Many of the hospitals educate hundreds of new doctors annually and place them in jobs across the state.

The threat of canceling contracts with the nine safety net hospitals could mean a major setback for Legislators looking to close the state’s $940 million budget gap through a mix of tax increases and spending cuts. If the contracts are canceled, lawmakers risk leaving Baton Rouge after the special session in March to face constituents angry over health care worker layoffs and patients being told they are losing access to care.

“We’re going to have to hit the reset button,” said state Sen. Fred Mills, a Republican who represents Acadiana. “It would be devastating for my area.”

University Medical Center in New Orleans, which is facing a $44 million cut under the best-case scenario, could present the biggest crisis in the entire partnership system if it terminates its agreement. In addition to scattering indigent patients to surrounding emergency rooms that would be flooded with new people seeking care, the hospital is also leasing a brand new facility on Canal Street that represents a $1.1 billion investment for the state.

The hospital also makes millions of dollars in lease payments to the state.

Asked if UMC would be able to continue operating under the $44 million cut, UMC’s CEO, Greg Feirn, told the Senate Finance committee that the funding cut would be “devastating” to nearby university teaching programs. Losing funding would likely mean the system would cancel the contract.

“We can’t risk our balance sheet to fund what’s otherwise a state obligation,” Feirn said. “If we have significant capital investment by way of these payments, or capital expenditures in the future, why would we continue to make those with an uncertain revenue stream?”

We have Jindal, Grover Norquist, and the basic agenda of the Koch Brothers to thank for this.  Here’s the one big reason we don’t bring in funds any more to run our most basic services.  A close look at Kansas shows similar trends too.  Our spineless leges still won’t face up to the damage they’ve done and work to correct it.

Louisiana’s taxes on business are supposed to help government provide its many services.

But the state has paid out $210 million more in tax credits and rebates to corporations so far this year than it has collected in corporate income and franchise taxes, reports the Department of Revenue. That shortfall is contributing to the massive budget gap that the 25-day special legislative session is supposed to address.
Gov. John Bel Edwards is asking lawmakers to raise more money for the state treasury by approving several measures that would close or reduce corporate tax giveaways. Those measures are expected to get their first hearing on Friday before the tax-writing Louisiana House Ways and Means Committee.

No one is claiming that large numbers of corporations are violating the law to avoid paying taxes. What has happened is that state lawmakers over the years — and especially during Gov. Bobby Jindal’s two terms – have been increasingly generous in creating the tax subsidies, at the behest of corporate interests and their lobbyists in Baton Rouge.

A tax break here and a tax break there, over time they have added up, as The Advocate reported in a 2014 series of articles: Tax breaks for six major programs alone cost the state $1.08 billion in 2014, up from $207 million in 2004.

You can read more indepth about how Jindal and his cronies gave our state away in this extremely good article from two years ago. It’s the one referenced above. I wrote about it at the time.

e6e2d166cafebf44493a4755eedfad30I really meant to spent some time today on the incredible criticism of wonks and economists on the Sanders’ policy suggestions but I’m seriously to tired to do it.  I’ll just throw this latest link and we can discuss it down thread.  Those of us joining the criticism have been facing charges of being too close to industry to have any kind of integrity.

Bernie Sanders has a problem with the liberal wonkosphere — or, more precisely, the liberal wonkosphere has a problem with Bernie Sanders.

With every upward tick in Mr. Sanders’s poll numbers in the last few months, there has been a corresponding rise in a very specific type of commentary: Left-of-center policy experts and former staffers for Democratic officials have questioned his plans as unwise, unrealistic or both.

On Wednesday, it took the form of a joint letter from four people who led the White House Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton and Obama administrations. They criticized projections by Gerald Friedman, an economist who has advised Mr. Sanders, of what the candidate’s policy proposals would achieve. Their comments were quickly echoed by the liberal economists Brad DeLong and Paul Krugman. The health care experts Kenneth Thorpe of Emory University and Henry Aaron of the Brookings Institution have also been tough on Mr. Sanders’s health care plan.

Behind the critiques: Mr. Sanders’s advisers have often worked off assumptions that their policies would sharply increase economic growth, reduce health care costs and create other salutary effects, making the policies in question look more affordable and desirable than they would with more cautious assumptions.

This is the analysis that really appealed to me as I watched Christie Romer get criticized last night on twitter for not having particularly good analysis about the financial crisis and need for stimulus.  Actually, her number krunching was fine and she had suggested a much bigger stimulus.  It was the politics that silenced her and nothing else.

The wonkosphere vs. Bernie clash is not just a story of center-left versus left-left. It is also a clash between those who have been in the trenches of trying to make public policy for the last seven years versus those who can exist in a kind of theoretical world of imagining what public policy ought to be.

Suppose, for a moment, that you worked as a staff member to a Democratic member of Congress, or perhaps in the Obama administration, or in the world of academics and think tank experts advising both.

Perhaps you worked countless all-nighters on the language of the Affordable Care Act or the Dodd-Frank Act — or maybe you were at an agency trying to write the thousands of pages of regulations to institute those laws, or even an advocacy group trying to nudge all of the above to the left.

You know the compromises that were made back in 2010 and why — uniting 55 or 60 senators with wildly different political temperaments and local politics was really hard. You had to come up with a bill that could get a “Yes” vote from both a centrist like Joe Lieberman or Joe Manchin and, well, a democratic socialist like Bernie Sanders.

You’re convinced that those laws — much hated by both conservatives and the industries they overhauled — made the United States a better place, helping millions more people afford health care and reining in the financial industry. You know the laws aren’t perfect — but also believe that future presidents and Congresses should build on them, much as Social Security and Medicare are now much expanded from their original charters.

Now comes a man who has had to answer only to voters in the most liberal state in the nation, who has never had the responsibility to actually pull together the disparate center-left coalition that is the Democratic Party to enact concrete legislation.

When Mr. Sanders argues for scrapping Obamacare’s intricately constructed mix of private health insurance with public subsidies for a single-payer government program, he’s essentially saying your efforts were useless, hopelessly corrupted by the health insurance industry. Same with Mr. Sanders’s call to break up the largest banks, as opposed to the current approach of just regulating them more intensively.

Then, if you criticize Mr. Sanders’s plans, or question their political feasibility, his supporters assail you as a member of a corrupt establishment.

Anyway, there’s a lot here for you to consider.  What’s on your reading and blogging list today? 


Live Blog: Nevada Democratic Townhall with MSNBC and Telemundo

Good Evening!

x_tdy_townhall_151005.today-inline-vid-featured-desktopTonight we have a Townhall moderated by MSNBC’s Chuck Todd and Telemundo’s José Díaz-Balart . 

The networks have partnered to host a town hall event for the dueling Democrats from 9 p.m. to 11 p.m. EST from the KMA Event Center in Las Vegas.

You can live stream the town hall here in English, or you can watch it in Spanish here at various times.

Both Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton were slated to attend the town hall, which is scheduled to be moderated by José Díaz-Balart and Chuck Todd. Chris Matthews and Chris Hayes will anchor the pre-show coverage, and Rachel Maddow will lead the post-show coverage, according to a news release.

The town hall comes just before the Party’s Nevada caucus, which is set for Saturday. Fresh off a win in the first-in-the-nation New Hampshire primary, Sanders was tied with Clinton in the Silver State. Both had the support of 45 percent of primary voters, but the Wall Street Journal noted that statistic only included results from six polls over the past year. FiveThirtyEight predicted each candidate had a 50 percent chance of winning in Nevada.

Nevada has 43 delegates who go to the Democratic National Convention to vote for a nominee.

Clinton was continuing to perform better than Sanders nationally, though the gap between the presidential hopefuls has closed in recent weeks. As of Tuesday afternoon, 50 percent of voters backed Clinton. About 40 percent backed Sanders, according to the HuffPost Pollster.

One of the differences that may become clearer tonight is if Sanders insistence on his income inequality message will play better in Nevada than Clinton’s focus on immigration policy.  There have not been any good recent polls coming out of Nevada and it’s a caucus state so the state of the race hasn’t been clearly forecast for some time.

download (4)

If Hillary Clinton has her way, the final two days of campaigning before Saturday’s caucuses in Nevada will be squarely focused on immigration policy.

But not Bernie Sanders. The Vermont senator remains largely dialed in on his core message about economic inequality, his approach as disciplined and undeviating as ever.

That’s what makes tonight’s town hall forum here, hosted by MSNBC and Telemundo, an important — but potentially uncomfortable — moment for Sanders.

The Vermont senator hasn’t exactly shied away from talking about immigration policy in the state where polls show him in a close race with Clinton. He has repeatedly talked about his own immigration reform plan during Nevada campaign stops, and he has the support of some activists who have helped him take his pitch local. A group of DREAMers from around the country is even descending on Las Vegas to campaign for him this week.

I seriously hope some one asks Sanders about his appearance with Lou Dobbs where discussed his issues wit the 2007 immigration legislation he voted against.  I’d like to see the segment played prior to the question being asked. The issue came up at the last debate.  This is legislation that Kennedy and McCain wrote and that Obama and Clinton supported.  Sanders voted against the bill and his since hedged his bets on reasons he gave to Dobbs at the time.

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders briefly exchanged words over his vote against the 2007 comprehensive immigration reform bill that John McCain and Ted Kennedy wrote and that both Clinton and Barack Obama supported, while Sanders and most Republicans plus some Democrats were opposed. Sanders cited as his motive opposition to the bill’s guest worker provisions, which he said were bad because a Southern Poverty Law Center investigation had likened conditions in existing agricultural guest worker programs to slavery.

It’s interesting to compare this with what he said about the bill at the time on Lou Dobbs’s show. Dobbs, for those who’ve forgotten, was a business news broadcaster who refashioned himself as a somewhat Trump-esque anti-immigration, anti–trade deal populist in the mid-aughts.

If you watch the interview you’ll see that Sanders isn’t particularly interested in working conditions for guest workers and he’s also not narrowly focused on the H2 programs the SPLC report was about — he also talks about H1 programs for skilled workers that, whatever their flaws, are clearly not slavery.

Dobbs is opposed to the whole idea of “amnesty,” which Sanders was not, but Sanders also doesn’t argue with Dobbs about it. Sanders doesn’t really say anything about the costs and benefits to immigrants themselves — whether that’s people who’ve been living illegally in the United States or potential future guest workers — one way or another. His focus is on the idea that “what happens in Congress is to a very significant degree dictated by big-money interests” and that “I don’t know why we need millions of people to be coming into this country as guest workers who will work for lower wages than American workers and drive wages down even lower than they are now.”

I’d also like to hear Sanders address Killer Mike’s “uterus” comment as well as the implication of this particular exchange with a BET reporter.

Sanders appears to think that Killer Mike’s comments are okay. However, he took the opportunity to slam Bill Clinton. So much for the high horse riding about going negative in campaigns.

Sen. Bernie Sanders is standing up for Killer Mike after the Atlanta-based rapper stood onstage at a Sanders rally and quoted a feminist activist as saying “a uterus doesn’t qualify you to be president of the United States.”

And he was even more direct when asked about Bill Clinton’s remarks on the campaign trail that seemed to compare fervor for Sanders on the left with the populist anger that created the tea party on the right.

Aboard his campaign plane Thursday, Sanders told reporters that Killer Mike was quoting someone else — but that he agreed with the basic premise.

“What Mike said essentially is that … people should not be voting for candidates based on their gender, but based on what they believe. I think that makes sense,” said Sanders, who has mounted an unexpectedly strong challenge against Hillary Clinton for the Democratic presidential nomination.

“I don’t go around, no one has ever heard me say, ‘Hey guys, let’s stand together, vote for a man.’ I would never do that, never have.”

02-18-16-y-10Who among us recalls Hillary’s vagina appealing to our own?  (Well, maybe I don’t count since mine was removed after he cancer imbed.)

02-18-16-z-18I’m still having fun going to Still for Hill to see pictures of Clinton’s visit with workers at Caesar’s Palace.  Frankly, it puts me in a better mood than reading about the latest grumpy gripe by Bernine Downers.

So, pull up you couch, your bed, your chair, your pet and significant other, pop some popcorn and join us in the Nerd Ball Toss at Bernie and the Cheers for Hillary!!!

By the way, I attended the opening of Hillary’s Headquarters here in New Orleans with former Mayor Moon Landrieu!

Here’s a picture and here’s some great poll news!!!

12743907_1205905622770844_1786053751461256636_n12745556_10207024779391620_9059452003051586154_nBookending the former Mayor and his wife are City Councilman Jim Gray and City Councilwoman LaToya Cantrell!!!!!  Hyma Moore is our Lousiana Campaign Coordinator for Hillary!!!!

 

 


Thursday Reads

 RooseveltTruman1944posterGood Morning!!

MSNBC and Telemundo are holding a Democratic town hall tonight a in Las Vegas. I assume it will begin at 9PM ET, but none of the articles I’ve found state that explicitly.

At 8:00 Chris Hayes will host a pre-debate show that will include Rachel Maddow interviewing Joe Biden. I have no idea why MSNBC thinks that’s relevant. Maybe Maddow convinced Biden to endorse Bernie? That would be a typical 2016 MNSBC tactic.

The town hall will be moderated by Chuck Todd and  José Díaz-Balart. Rachel Maddow will anchor the post-town-hall coverage beginning at 11PM ET. We’ll have a live blog for the town Hall tonight.

I completely missed the fact that CNN hosted a Republican town hall event with Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, and Ben Carson last night, but I can’t say I’m sorry I missed it. It will continue tonight with Donald Trump, John Kasich, and Jeb Bush. It will be on at the same time as the MSNBC event, so you can click back and forth or just watch one of them. I just know I’ll be watching Hillary.

CNN on what happened last night: Ted Cruz prosecutes and Marco Rubio gets personal at town hall.

Cruz said that he “laughed out loud” when he learned of the cease-and-desist letter Donald Trump’s campaign sent his team for running an ad highlighting his opponent’s former position on abortion rights.

Cruz, Trump’s closest rival in the state, defended the ad in question, saying it largely uses Trump’s “own words” to demonstrate the businessman’s past stance in favor of abortion rights.

“It is quite literally the most ridiculous theory I’ve ever heard, that telling the voters what Donald Trump’s actual record is is deceitful and lying,” he told moderator Anderson Cooper.

Adlai_Stevenson_1952_campaign_poster

Cruz and Rubio each told sob stories about being the children of immigrants.

Rubio, who preceded Cruz, spoke in poignant personal terms about race and growing up as a Cuban-American.

The Florida senator said that as a young child, he was “disturbed” when his family was taunted by kids in the neighborhood.

“Some of the neighborhood kids, older kids, one day were taunting my family, saying, ‘Why don’t you go back on your boat? Why don’t you go back to your country?'” he recalled.

Nevertheless, his parents “never raised us to feel that we were victims,” Rubio said. “That doesn’t mean I don’t deny that there are people in this country that have had a different experience, and we need to recognize that.”

You’d think experiences like that might make these men a little more empathetic to other marginalized groups like Black people, women, and LGBT people; but that doesn’t seem to be the case.

I have quite a few links for you today, so I won’t be able to excerpt from all of them. I do have two that I want to share in detail though. First a wonderful piece at New York Magazine on Hillary’s speech in Harlem on Tuesday: How Hillary Clinton Won Harlem by Rembert Browne. Rep. Charles Rangel introduced Clinton:

There was one moment in Rangel’s introduction, however, when his presence — and his actions — were undeniably infectious to everyone in the room, especially the Black Harlemites: “It’s been brought to my attention that some people have been following the secretary of State around to disrupt rather than to instruct. Please be informed, you are in the village of Harlem.”

This was met with wild applause from the room, a big smile from Hillary, and a Holder whisper to Cuomo, followed by laughs from both men. It was one of the more street-cred-pumping moments this campaign has seen.You fuck with Hill, you fuck with Harlem. And it capped off a perfect warm-up act for Hillary — New York State, New York City, and Harlem supporting not only Hillary being the next president, but her as someone who could do a lot of good for black people.

Kennedy Johnson

On Hillary’s speech:

Then it hit you that Hillary was going to talk — at length — about black people, almost exclusively. She began with the normal rhetoric of just listing black people she knew, whom she spoke with, whom she associated herself with — but then it took a turn. When she began discussing Flint, the white woman Establishment presidential candidate said, “It’s a horrifying story, but what makes it even worse is that it’s not a coincidence that this was allowed to happen in a largely black, largely poor community. Just ask yourself: Would this have ever occurred in a wealthy white suburb of Detroit? Absolutely not.”

It was that moment of, Oh shit, did Hillary come to play today? I looked down my row, and multiple people had that same goddamn face etched on their faces. She was making points about privilege that minorities always make, but it packed such a different punch — even if President Obama had said it — because she was chastising her own privilege, putting the privilege of whiteness front and center.

The moment was a brief callback to the controversial opinion of scholar Michael Eric Dyson in his November 2015 New Republic piece, which said that Hillary Clinton will do more for black people than Barack Obama. And like Dyson further argues in his book, The Black Presidency: Barack Obama and the Politics of Race in America, Obama uniquely had to comply with the expectations of whites. That’s not something Clinton will ever have to deal with to the same degree.

7255137070d37a6b1b55ca3e8e66c480

On Hillary’s much-publicized coughing fit:

And then, out of nowhere, as she was really peaking, and the increasingly loud cheers in the room suggested that these points were not only felt but appreciated, she had one of those Hillary coughing fits.

It’s like watching someone with the hiccups; you don’t really know when they’re going to end. But herein lies the beauty of the goodwill Hillary had built up in the room — the beauty of black people being an expressive bunch: The room started clapping loudly, almost to mask her coughs until she was done, to get her through this stretch. People were acting like it was church, when some member of the congregation gets up to speak but suddenly gets emotional or nervous. Shouts of “Take your time, Hill” and “You’re okay” rang from all corners of the room. After a few coughs, Hillary squeaked out, “I’ve got too much to say,” which was met with laughter. When some of the coughing halted, Hillary softly said a few sentences with her voice at about 10 percent strength, and after every few sentences, people cheered her on. There were even some “HILLARY, HILLARY” chants. I couldn’t believe it.

This was followed by a second wave of coughs, more cheers and supportive messages from the crowd, which ended with Hillary saying, “Thank you, you’re a great amen chorus.” And a few minutes later, her voice was at full strength again. She was back.

I loved this article! Please go read the whole thing.

BobbySo we’ve learned over the past few weeks that Bernie Sanders is a dirty campaigner, despite his promises to run a positive campaign in 2016. He hasn’t done that. He has gone negative almost from the start, repeatedly implying that Clinton is corrupt and in the pocket of Wall Street.

Sanders has been getting away with a lot bad behavior, because the corporate media tends to ignore it and focus on trying to bring Hillary down. But they did report on the Sanders campaign stealing voter data from Clinton and then suing the DNC after getting caught. The media also reported on the incidents of Sanders staffers pretending to be members of the Culinary Workers Union in order to get into private dining rooms and talk to union workers.

There have been a number of articles on the Sanders campaign repeatedly using ads and flyers to claim endorsements they never got. There have also been reports from Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada of Sanders campaign buses blocking entrances to Clinton campaign events.

In Nevada, campaign workers have reported on Twitter that the Sanders campaign is using Karl Rove tactics such as calling voters and telling them that Clinton is under investigation by the FBI, calling Republican voters and asking them to caucus for Bernie, and knocking on doors at 11PM and pretending to be Clinton canvassers.

aa0237131e4daa3c469052d68a8e11c2

Apparently this is nothing new for Sanders. He has a history of nasty campaign tactics. Dakinikat sent me this article from US News: Foes, Past and Present, Say Sanders Uses Same Tactics He Criticizes. “They say backroom deals, deceptive ads and political manipulation are in the Sanders toolkit.” A couple of examples from the story:

This year, the Sanders campaign has brushed off accusations of deceptive advertising – implied endorsements from the Des Moines [Iowa] Register, The [New Hampshire] Valley News, the AARP, the League of Conservation voters and veterans belonging to the American Legion – as mistakes.

But in his 1986 campaign challenging Gov. Madeleine Kunin, Sanders was accused of making similar insinuations, distributing a flyer that implied the endorsement of the Rutland Herald, and of sending a letter that suggested it had the support of the Vermont National Organization for Women.

Sanders’ 2006 Senate campaign was also accused of running so-called “push polls,” a tactic considered deceptive in which a partisan caller, masquerading as an independent pollster, asks a potential voter leading questions with the intention of spreading negative information about an opponent.

s-l300Sanders also has a history of using the Democratic Party to get money and other perks and then using “back-room deals” to stab real Democrats in the back. Read more about it at U.S. News.

More news, links only:

New York Review of Books: The Next Justice? It’s Not Up to Us, by Garry Wills.

The Atlantic: The Republicans’ Scalia Hysteria, by Garrett Epps.

New York Times: The Potential for the Most Liberal Supreme Court in Decades.

The Boston Globe: Scalia didn’t pay for his stay at the ranch where he died. So who did?

Ben Rhodes at Medium: President Obama is going to Cuba. Here’s why.

Mother Jones: The Sanders Campaign Has Crossed Into Neverland.

Washington Post: Here’s what you need to understand about how Hillary Clinton views race, by Paul Waldman (I liked this one a lot!).

Slate: MSNBC’s Town Hall With Donald Trump Was Disgraceful.

Mediaite: Literal Holy Crap: Glenn Beck Says Scalia’s Death Part of God’s Plan to Elect Ted Cruz, Tommy Christopher.

Forbes: FBI Can Use Dead Suspects’ Fingerprints To Open iPhones — It Might Be Cops’ Best Bet.

The Daily Beast: Apple Unlocked iPhones for the Feds 70 Times Before.

Huffington Post: Still Grateful for My Abortion, almost 40 Years Later.

Sady Doyle at Quartz: Beware of the angry white male public intellectual.

What stories are you following today?