Thursday Reads: Trump’s Meltdown Continues as Clinton Rises
Posted: August 4, 2016 Filed under: morning reads, Republican politics, U.S. Politics | Tags: 2016 presidential election campaign, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton 41 CommentsGood Morning!!
I hardly know where to begin this morning. Yesterday was one of the strangest days I’ve experienced in my 56 years of following politics. The day began with multiple reports that the Trump campaign was melting down, that campaign staffers are “suicidal,” that campaign manager Paul Manafort has given up and is “mailing it in” because Trump doesn’t listen to advice from anyone. RNC Chair Reince Priebus was reported to be “apoplectic” over Trump’s attacks on the Kahn family and especially his refusal to support GOP Candidates Paul Ryan, John McCain, and Kelly Ayotte.
On the Morning Joe show, Joe Scarborough revealed that in a meeting with a potential national security adviser, Trump asked three times why the U.S. can’t use nuclear weapons. Yahoo News:
“I’ll have to be very careful here,” Scarborough said slowly. “Several months ago, a foreign policy expert on international level went to advise Donald Trump, and three times he asked about the use of nuclear weapons. Three times he asked, at one point, ‘If we have them, why can’t we use them?’ That’s one of the reasons why he just doesn’t have foreign policy experts around him.”
Scarborough, previously a Republican congressman from Florida, clearly startled his colleagues with this story. “Trump,” asked a nonplussed Mike Barnicle. “Trump asked three times?” “Three times, in an hour briefing,” confirmed Scarborough. “Why can’t we use nuclear weapons?”
On the same program General Michael Hayden, former director of both the CIA and NSA, explained why he can’t vote for Trump. Think Progress:
Hayden also expressed concern about “how erratic” Trump is.
“I can argue about this position or that position — I do that with the current president,” Hayden said. “But he’s inconsistent. And when you’re the head of a global super power, inconsistency, unpredictability, those are dangerous things. They frighten your friends and they tempt your enemies. And so, I would be very concerned.”
Asked which people in the national security community are advising Trump, Hayden said, “No one.” And in response to a question about what steps might stand in the way of Trump using nukes if he’s elected president, Hayden said, “The system is designed for speed and decisiveness. It’s not designed to debate the decision.”
During the course of the day yesterday, news outlets reported that an effort was under way to stage an “intervention” to convince Trump that he has been damaging his campaign with his attacks on a gold star family and on fellow Republicans and that he needs to focus on Hillary Clinton as well as broadening his appeal to voters outside his crazy base. The “intervention” team was supposed to consist of Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, and Reince Pribus.
This morning Giuliani is denying the reports and blaming them on Gingrich. Politico:
Donald Trump is not having any sort of “intervention” with the likes of former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus or former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Giuliani said Thursday, pointing to Gingrich as the source of the term.
“So first of all I find the word intervention completely out of line,” Giuliani said during a discussion on Fox Business’ “Mornings with Maria.”
Giuliani then singled out Gingrich specifically.
“That word, I think, honestly I love him dearly, but I think that word was used by Newt in a memo that got around,” Giuliani said. ” What a ridiculous word. An intervention is for a drug addict and it’s for someone who’s an alcoholic and I’ve had to do them with people at times. There’s nothing wrong with them, if that’s the case. Donald Trump doesn’t drink or smoke, by the way. We don’t have that problem.”
NBC News first reported Wednesday that the trio close to Trump were hoping to push the GOP nominee into a reset of his campaign after a calamitous week that led to a subsequent drop in the polls and high-profile Republicans defecting to Hillary Clinton.
All of this is happening just a little over two weeks after Trump accepted the GOP nomination! And on Tuesday, much of the public discussion was about Trump’s mental health, capped off by a discussion with clinical psychologist George Simon on MSNBC’s The Last Word, in which it was decided that Trump probably has a personality disorder. Simon calls it “character disturbance.” Whatever is wrong with Trump, many more people in the media and public office are beginning to notice and express concern.
Republican donors are “panicking,” according Buzzfeed.
Republican donors weren’t expecting a traditional campaign from Donald Trump, but they weren’t expecting the level of this week’s implosion either.
“I don’t know what he’s doing — trying to commit suicide?” said Stan Hubbard, a Minnesota-based top donor to a pro-Trump super PAC. Hubbard has been trying to get other Republican donors, including Charles and David Koch, on board with Donald Trump for months.
But he said Trump’s recent comments, in particular those about the parents of a Muslim American soldier who died in the Iraq War, were “just nonsense,” adding that he sent Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus a note pleading with him to do something. “The whole world is laughing at that. It’s just very frustrating.”
Although Trump’s campaign and the RNC announced raising $80 million in July, the candidate’s rolling implosion has been felt. He’s continued to engage in attacks on the Khan family, refused to endorse Paul Ryan and John McCain, and suggested Russia should hack Hillary Clinton’s email. A high-profile Republican — Meg Whitman — has said she will not only donate to Clinton, but encourage friends to do so as well.
Prospective donors are now having second thoughts about getting involved, while those who convinced themselves to get behind Trump, like Hubbard, are at their wits’ end over the presidential nominee’s behavior.
Reports on other concerned Republican donors at the link.
And Trump himself? He thinks he’s doing just fine! David Catanese at US News: Donald Trump, Party of 1. Furious with his top campaign command, Trump’s response is to go it alone.
Amid a pileup of self-made political disruptions, mounting Republican defections and internal staff exasperation, Donald Trump is proving himself to be a candidate running a presidential race all by his lonesome.
With little regard for the GOP’s future, he continues to antagonize its most prominent elected officials. With an uncontrollable proclivity for tumbling into a tangent on any given target – no matter the time, relevance or risk – he regularly relinquishes control of a media message. Having no capacity to absorb even the slightest political attack, he is constantly lured into petty fights that place him on the wrong side of public opinion. And with little reverence for seasoned political advice, he alienates even those who want to see him recover and succeed.
Trump is a party of one – a candidate embarking on his quixotic and increasingly improbable quest for the presidency without a compass or a map, without a front-line defense shield or significant reinforcements, and always and forever without any regrets.
Even the Lone Ranger rode a horse named Silver; Trump seems quite content to traipse ahead on his own two feet.
And check this out:
When Trump landed in Ashburn, Virginia, on Tuesday – a state in which he has yet to open a campaign office – he huddled backstage with Will Estrada, chairman of the Loudoun County Republican Committee, for advice on how to carry the crucial area.
“George, these people here in Virginia know what we need to do to win Virginia,” Trump told his advance aide, George Gigicos, according to Estrada’s recollection posted on his personal Facebook page.
But Trump also unleashed another line that reverberated with those in the setting, U.S. News has learned: “Don’t listen to New York.”
The message conveyed was that going forward, Trump wanted local leadership to make the decisions on where to hold events and how to stage them – not the suits at high command in Trump Tower.
According to Catanese the only people Trump might listen to are his children and his son-in-law Jared Kushner; but it’s not clear he’ll listen to them if they try to interfere with his own ego-driven decisions.
Meanwhile Trump’s polls are collapsing and Hillary’s are rising. Kevin Drum: Hillary Clinton Is Now Way Ahead of Donald Trump.
I showed great self-restraint yesterday by not posting the latest poll numbers, but today is Wednesday, which is officially the middle of the week. So here’s the latest from Pollster, based entirely on post-convention polls:
Hillary Clinton’s convention bounce will almost certainly fade a bit by next week, but even if it does she’ll remain 4 to 5 points ahead of Trump. This is roughly the same as her lead before the conventions, which suggests that this year’s four-day infomercials probably had no net effect at all.
From Chuck Todd and Carrie Dann this morning: First Read: The Clinton Bounce Is Real.
A spate of new polling shows that the initial evidence of a significant post-convention bounce for Hillary Clinton is looking like it COULD become a sturdy lead for the Democratic nominee. A new Franklin and Marshall College poll of Pennsylvania shows Clinton with an 11 point lead over Trump, 49 percent to 38 percent. A Detroit News/WDIV-TV poll of Michigan voters finds a nine point lead for the former secretary of state, 41 percent to 32 percent. And a freshWBUR/MassINC poll this morning shows Clinton opening up a 15 point lead over the GOP nominee in New Hampshire, 47 percent to 32 percent. Add that to national polls this week from NBC News|SurveyMonkey (Clinton +8), CNN/ORC(Clinton +9) and FOX News (Clinton +10). Bottom line: Trump couldn’t have picked a worse week to have a DISASTROUS week. Clinton was already in the midst of a convention bump, and Trump exacerbated it with his series of unforced errors and unnecessary fights. The next question: How does the Trump campaign react in the next week, when even more national and state polls are likely to show a similar gap between the two candidates?
Clinton is now far ahead of Trump in Michigan, according to The Detroit News.
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has widened her lead over Republican Donald Trump in Michigan as 3-in-5 likely voters say the New York businessman is not qualified to be president, according to a new poll conducted for The Detroit News and WDIV-TV.
Clinton led Trump 41 percent to 32 percent in the statewide survey of 600 likely voters conducted Saturday through Monday following Clinton’s formal nomination at last week’s Democratic National Convention.
The poll contains many troubling signs for Trump’s White House campaign, including a “shocking” lead for Clinton in the Republican strongholds of west and southwest Michigan, pollster Richard Czuba said.
Sixty-one percent of likely general election voters said Trump is ill-prepared to be the nation’s commander-in-chief. The figure grows to 67 percent among women, a group with whom Trump performs poorly. Clinton has a commanding 21-percentage-point lead among female voters.
In New Hampshire, where Hillary is now leading Trump by 15 points, GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte has fallen 10 points behind Democrat Maggie Hassan! That is huge. Obviously, we can’t get overconfident, but I really don’t believe Trump is capable of suddenly becoming a sane, reasonable candidate who can at least fake acting presidential.
What else is happening? Please post your thoughts and links in the comment thread and have a tremendous Thursday!
Tuesday Reads: Trump Is Imploding.
Posted: August 2, 2016 Filed under: morning reads, U.S. Politics | Tags: 2016 presidential election campaign, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Mike Pence 47 CommentsGood Morning!!
Poor Donald. He is rapidly swift-boating his own campaign and he can’t stop himself. Last night he actually said that Hillary Clinton is “the devil.”
NBC News: Trump Calls Clinton ‘The Devil,’ Boasts About Meager $35 Million July Fundraising Haul.
MECHANICSBURG, Penn. — Donald Trump ratcheted up his rhetoric against Hillary Clinton once again on Monday, telling a rowdy crowd in battleground-state Pennsylvania that she was “the devil” — a temporary departure from the “Crooked Hillary” moniker.
Speaking about former Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders, Trump said the Vermont senator “made a deal with the devil. She’s the devil. He made a deal with the devil.”
Trump also bragged about his very weak fund-raising prowess.
Trump, who constantly reminded that he was “self-funding” his campaign throughout the primaries, bragged while previewing his July fundraising totals.
“It’s gonna be announced tomorrow or the next day: we’ve raised, we think, about $35.8 million. This is unheard of for Republicans, $35.8 million,” Trump said.
While the haul certainly shows a much-needed uptick for the Trump campaign’s fundraising efforts, “unheard of” it is not: In 2012, GOP nominee Mitt Romney raised just over $101 million in July of that year.
In his appearances yesterday, Trump appeared even more out of control than usual. Olivia Nuzzi at The Daily Beast: 15 Hours of Donald Trump’s Lies.
The lying started at 7:27 a.m. and did not stop until after dark.
Even for Donald Trump, Monday, Aug. 1, was a banner day for bullshit.
With 100 days until Election Day, the Republican presidential nominee decisively rejected suggestions that he make some attempt to appear statesmanlike in his campaign against Hillary Clinton, opting to commit fully to the erraticism and dishonesty that characterized his performance in the Republican primary.
Typed into the ether on Twitter, shouted at the people of Columbus, Ohio, at a town hall, or yodeled at a rally to the cable cameras and citizens of Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, the steady stream of nonsense could not be corked….
Read all the sorry details at the link.
Oh, and Trump ended his long day of lies by eating Kentucky Fried Chicken with a knife and fork.
This op-ed by Kathy Sullivan, former chair of the New Hampshire Democratic Party, comes from the ultra-conservative Manchester Union Leader (!): Donald Trump’s weekend of lies.
ON THE LAST DAY of the Democratic National Convention, three of us went to lunch at a local Irish pub near our hotel. After thanking us for stopping by, the owner told us he would never vote for Donald Trump. He knew three small contractors Trump stiffed on his Atlantic City project. None were paid in full. One got less than 50 cents on the dollar. Another was never paid at all. He lost his house.
That night, Khizr Khan gave his now widely covered remarks regarding the loss of his son, a young Muslim American Army officer, in Iraq. A better man than Donald Trump would have said, I appreciate the sacrifice the Khans made, and that is all I have to say. Instead, when asked what sacrifices he had made, Trump falsely equated working hard at his business career with the death of Capt. Humayun Khan in the service of his country. He also made the stupid statement that perhaps Mrs. Khan had not been “allowed” to speak.
Faced with outraged condemnation, Trump just could not shut up. The next day he said Mr. Khan had no right to stand on stage and say things about him. Then, extending his losing streak another day, he tweeted that Mr. Khan had “viciously attacked” him, and asked if he was not allowed to respond.
Yes, Donald, you may respond. Keep it up, so America can see who you are.
A passing conversation in a bar, and Trump’s reaction to Mr. Khan’s speech, may not seem to have a lot in common. But they both show Trump’s contempt for ordinary Americans. Whether it is Donald ducking bills, or disrespecting the parents of a dead soldier, he does not care for us. In 1984, Trump served on a commission to erect a Vietnam War Memorial in New York. Two commission members told the Washington Post at the time that Trump had only attended two of the more than 20 meetings. Trump’s response to the criticism? “They’re very small thinkers. They’re stockbrokers that were in Vietnam, and they don’t have it.” “It” apparently was Trump’s word for his own self-perceived magnetism. Instead of explaining his attendance record, Trump attacked his critics as veterans without “it” who worked in the financial sector. The insulting attack does not even make sense. By the way, if you are a stockbroker who served in Vietnam? Don’t vote for Trump.
There’s more at the link.
At a Mike Pence rally in Nevada, a military mother was booed by the crowd. Pence tried to counter the booing, but the fact is, it happened. CBS News:
After delivering a standard stump speech, Pence took audience questions at a room inside a Carson City, Nevada, casino.
The second question came from 52-year-old Catherine Byrne, whose son serves in the U.S. Air Force. Byrne asked Pence about Trump’s treatment of Muslim parents Khizr and Ghazala Khan, whose son, a decorated Army veteran, was killed in Iraq in 2004.
“Will there ever be a point in time when you’re able to look Trump in the eye and tell him enough is enough?” she asked Pence, prompting boos from the crowd.
Pence asked the crowd to quiet down, then said of Byrne, “That’s what freedom looks like. That’s what freedom sounds like.”
“I know this has been much in the news as of late in the last few days,” Pence said, acknowledging the controversy over Trump’s reaction to the Khan family. “But as I said last night … Captain Khan is an American hero and we honor him and honor his family.”
Byrne, a CPA who lives in Carson City, welcomed part of Pence’s response. “I did like his words about Captain Khan and his family,” she told CBS News’ Alan He in a telephone interview. But she felt he didn’t fully answer the part of her question about Trump’s disrespectfulness. Byrne’s son is 27 years old and is stationed in the UAE.
Pence added that he has never spent time around someone who is “more devoted” to military and to veterans than Trump.
Pence has sold his soul to Trump, and he will never live this down. I’ll be shocked if Pence ever gets another chance at elected office.
Meanwhile, Hillary is getting a strong bounce following the Democratic Convention last week. NBC News:
Following the Democratic National Convention, Hillary Clinton now leads Donald Trump by 8 points — 50 percent to 42 percent — up from a single-point difference last week, according to the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll.
Clinton’s gain also comes after a series of controversial comments made by the Republican nominee this past week regarding the family of a fallen American soldier and Trump’s suggestion that Russian hackers should seek out deleted Clinton emails.
The Republican National Convention did not result in a post-convention bounce for Trump.
Clinton also saw a bounce in a four-way general election match-up against Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Clinton now leads Trump by 4 points — 42 percent to 38 percent — in the four-way race. This is a lead-reversal from last week, when Trump was beating the Democratic nominee by 2 points. Support for Johnson (9 points) and Stein (4 points) remained virtually unchanged from last week….
Perhaps a result of a series of well-received speeches from high-profile Democrats, Clinton’s gains this week were not only in the horserace numbers. Overall, the number of voters who say they have a strongly favorable impression of the Democratic nominee is up 5 points — from 15 percent to 20 percent — since the question was asked two weeks ago.
Clinton’s favorability among Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters rose from 74 percent two weeks ago to 80 percent this week. Her unfavorable rating also dropped among Democrats from 24 percent to 19 percent.
More analysis of the poll results at the link, with charts.
From Politico: How big is Hillary Clinton’s convention bounce?
Five new public surveys, each conducted over the weekend following Democrats’ national party convention, give Clinton a lead ranging from 3 to 9 points. Four of the five pollsters point to a clear Clinton bump, having found Trump ahead or down by only a single point the week before.
What’s also clear is that bump exceeds the rise in support for Trump after his convention the week prior. While Trump called his bounce “the biggest bump in the history of conventions,” the best poll for him showed his support ticking up 6 points, while other polls showed no change or a nominal Trump boost….
The bounciest of the new polls, a CNN/ORC International survey conducted Friday-Sunday, shows Clinton leading Trump by 9 points, 52 percent to 43 percent. That’s a massive shift from just a week prior, when CNN/ORC gave Trump a 3-point lead, 48 percent to 45 percent. Clinton’s 7-point bounce over that time was larger than Trump’s 6-point surge from a poll conducted shortly before the GOP convention in Cleveland.
A new CBS News poll conducted over the same time frame, shows Clinton ahead by 6 points, 47 percent to 41 percent. That’s a 4-point jump for Clinton, who trailed Trump by a point in between the two conventions, 44 percent to 43 percent. (This uses CBS News results including voters leaning toward one candidate, which CBS began to measure with the between-conventions survey.)
Trump’s post-convention bounce in CBS News’ polls, on the other hand, was just 2 points.
For discussion of the rest of the recent polls, head over to Politico.
More stories to check out:
Eater.com: Why Won’t Donald Trump Touch Food With His Hands?
Buzzfeed: Trump: My Position On Keeping Terrorists Out Is What Bothered Khizr Khan.
CNN Money: Donald Trump attacks CNN in tweetstorm.
NPR: GOP Criticism Mounts As Trump Continues Attacks On Khan Family.
KUTV 2: Utah could vote Democrat for president for first time in 5 decades.
Syracuse.com: GOP Rep. Richard Hanna: I’ll vote for Clinton; first House member to cross party line.
WBUR Boston: 50 Years After Texas College Shooting, ‘Campus-Carry’ Becomes Law.
What else is happening? Please share your thoughts and links in the comment thread and have a terrific Tuesday!
Thursday Reads: The End of the Primaries and The Hard Road Ahead
Posted: May 5, 2016 Filed under: morning reads, U.S. Politics | Tags: 2016 presidential election campaign, Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, RIP GOP 89 CommentsGood Morning!!
So this is the new normal. Donald Trump is the nominee of the Republican Party. The candidate is wholeheartedly supported by white supremacists and KKK leaders. Serious politicians and journalists are referring to him as a tyrant in the making.
We’re being told this is unprecedented. I would argue that Ronald Reagan was close, but at least he had been Governor of California and had been involved in party politics for years. Trump is not a serious person by any stretch of the imagination, and he clearly knows nothing about politics or how the U.S. government works. His knowledge of foreign policy is limited to his own experiences as a businessman.
It’s well past time for the mainstream media to state bluntly what Trump’s campaign is about, but I don’t know if they will ever do it. The reason people are supporting Trump is because he represents and enables their racism, xenophobia, and misogyny. Period. Yet NBC News, a once venerable journalistic organization, chose to anchor its entire evening news broadcast from Trump HQ last night!
Mediaite: NBC Makes Curious Decision to Let Lester Holt Anchor Nightly News from Trump Tower.
Lester Holt interviewed Donald Trump in Trump Tower tonight, which is fine, but it came with the rather curious decision to anchor the entire NBC Nightly News broadcast from Trump Tower.
It’s not clear why this happened, but whatever the case, Trump Tower was visible in the background during Holt’s live reports on the news of the day, as well as the interior of Trump’s office during the interview….
Fun experiment: imagine how people would react if, say, a nightly network newscast anchored live from, say, Chappaqua.
You can read sample reactions from Twitter at the link. Many people wondered why Trump could not have walked the short distance to NBC headquarters at 30 Rock for the interview. It appears that the powers that be at NBC and MSNBC will continue to treat Trump as if he were on the verge of becoming king instead of running for president of a supposed democratic republic.
Also from Mediaite, Tommy Christopher explains what Trump is all about: Donald Trump’s Win Isn’t Some ‘Anti-Establishment’ Wave, It’s the Racism Stupid.
It’s all over but the crying, which will also be fun to watch, but even after all these many months of Donald Trump vanquishing foe after foe, the media still doesn’t get it. They still bang on about this anger at “the establishment,” and as a result, they are giving Hillary Clinton bad advice already. During CNN’s coverage of the Indiana primary Tuesday night, liberal commentator and Bernie Sanders supporter Van Jones became just the latest pundit to misdiagnose the Trump phenomenon, and connect it to Bernie Sanders. There is a similarity, but not the one Jones identifies.
The same rebellion is happening in the country in both parties. The reason Hillary is still fighting is the reason that Trump won. There is a big, big discontent in this country and tonight for Bernie Sanders and we can say the same thing about Bernie, he shouldn’t be here either. I just don’t think that people get it yet. You got people sitting on a white hot stove in their houses right now and they are mad… I do think (Hillary) has got to, tonight, show that she’s got the message from both parties, the message from the Republicans, they’re mad and hurting, the message from the Democrats, they’re mad and hurting.
Jones is so close to being right, he even calls the anger “white hot,” but he just misses the absolutely crucial key to Hillary Clinton’s eventual defeat of Trump.
And even Van Jones can’t see it and say it. It’s all about racism and white male resentment. Read the rest and watch video at the link. The reason why Jones can’t point out the obvious truth is that his candidate–Bernie Sanders–is also appealing to white male resentment. The only difference is that Sanders is focused on hatred of Wall Street instead of hatred of people of color. But Sanders has been attacking our African American POTUS over the years and in this campaign.
As for “giving Hillary Clinton bad advice,” she doesn’t take advice from the media and she is already calling out Trump’s racism and xenophobia as well as his misogyny and ignorance of world affairs.
Now that it’s too late, “reasonable” Republicans and conservatives are saying they won’t vote for Trump no matter what. Massachusetts’ {Gag} {Choke} Republican Governor Charlie Baker is one of them. The Boston Globe:
Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker said he will not vote for his party’s nominee Donald Trump and won’t support likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.
“The things he said about women and Muslims and religious freedom, I just can’t support,” Baker said. “At the same time, I do believe Secretary Clinton has a huge believability problem.”
Is that so. Maybe you should just focus on your own party’s nominee, asshole.
And while endorsing New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie back in February, Baker specifically called out Trump.
“I think there’s a certain temperament and a certain collaborative nature that’s fundamental to somebody’s ability to succeed in government, and I question whether he has the temperament and the sense of purpose that’s associated with delivering on that,” Baker said.
Despite those questions, Baker acknowledged on Wednesday that Trump would be the nominee.
“I give him credit for it,” Baker said. “He earned it fair and square, and congratulations to him.”
F**k you, Charlie. If that’s all you have to say about this nightmare for the country, you’re nothing but a coward. And besides you endorsed Chris Christie, who could very well be the VP nominee! Trump even said he’s “open to Cruz” as VP!
Former Oklahoma GOP Rep. MIckey Edwards was on Chris Hayes’ show last night, and he looked like he was going to a funeral. I can’t find the video right now, but he told Hayes that he wouldn’t vote for Trump even if he were the only one on the ballot. Other serious conservatives are saying they’ll be too busy to attend the Republican Convention in July, including candidates running downticket. We heard yesterday that George W. Bush and George H.W. Bush have no plans to endorse Trump. It’s likely Jeb won’t be supporting him either.
Here’s Michael Cohen at The Boston Globe: RIP GOP.
Indeed, the biggest near-term question for Republicans is: How bad will the damage be? How badly will Trump lose? How many seats will the GOP lose in the House and Senate and farther down the ballot in state legislature races?
But the bigger question — and it’s one that we may not know the answer to for months or years to come — is how will the Republican Party survive what’s happened to it over the past year?
At one point, the Republican Party nominally stood on a platform of economic and social conservatism. At least that was the public face of the party. Today, with Trump at its helm, it’s a party of nativism, xenophobia, crudeness, and misogyny. Those elements were of course always present in the party — and are at the root of its modern political success. But they were generally hidden below the surface or utilized with dog whistles. With Trump, there is no mistaking the fact that what drives GOP voters is not conservative dogma, but rather resentment, anxiety, and fear, particularly of minorities, Muslims, and immigrants.
That post-2012 Republican Party autopsy that said the GOP must reach out to Hispanic voters if it wanted to win a national election again is dead and buried. Quite simply, the Republican Party cannot win national elections if it doesn’t find a way to broaden the party’s appeal. With Trump as the presidential nominee, that effort will be set back, perhaps a generation or more.
Even more searing than the electoral challenges, Trump has delivered a savage blow to the GOP’s conception of itself. Armed with a mere handful of endorsements from elected GOP officials, Trump has run a campaign aimed directly against the Republican establishment. And he beat the stuffing out of it. And by taking positions on everything from taxes and trade to transgender Americans and terrorism that run directly against decades of conservative orthodoxy, he’s left the Republican establishment with no clear ideological mooring. Is the GOP a party of small government conservatism or a party of nativism and white male resentment? For decades, Republicans tried to be both, and Trump has, with a single presidential campaign, exposed the fallacy that lay at the heart of the party — namely that its voters were only interested in conservative dogma insofar as it was married to those aforementioned feelings of resentment, anxiety, and fear. But when given a choice between dogma and dog whistle, they’ve chosen this year – overwhelmingly – to go with the latter.
We’ll just have to wait and see. It will likely be both interesting and horrifying.
I don’t want to spend much more time on Bernie Sanders, because he’s irrelevant now. Nevertheless, he’ll be with us at least until the end of the primaries, and that’s a good thing as long as he stops damaging the Democratic Party and its putative nominee. If he continues, it will keep Hillary in the news, and his supporters deserve the opportunity to vote for him.
It appears that at least some efforts have begun to get Sanders to calm down and stop trying to elect Donald Trump. Yesterday Greg Sargent wrote about what some Democratic leaders have been telling him.
Top Democrats to Sanders: Don’t drop out. But tone it down.
…top Democrats I spoke with today don’t feel any particular sense of urgency about Sanders getting out of the race. However, they are gently urging Sanders to take into account just how much higher the stakes are, now that Trump is the nominee, as the Vermont Senator calibrates his approach to the final stretch of the Dem campaign.
Those closely following the delicate dance underway among the key players — the Clinton and Sanders campaigns; the White House; major progressive figures such as Elizabeth Warren — say there are several factors about Sanders that are worth keeping in mind. One is that Sanders is not the type of guy who responds to pressure. He has long been a bit of a loner figure in Congress and the Senate, they say, and does not mind being at odds with the Democratic establishment — indeed, he relishes that position, as we’ve seen by his year-long campaign against it.
At the same time, however, top Dems also believe Sanders has an unappreciated pragmatic streak that tends to surface after he has pushed the envelope as far as possible and gotten all he could in the process. For instance, Sanders pushed very aggressively to make the Affordable Care Act as much to his liking as possible, frustrating some involved in the bill’s progress, but in the end, he backed the ACA and advocated for it.
Sanders might do something similar again now. Having spent a year building a national constituency behind his unabashed economic progressivism and calls for reform to our rigged political system, which very well could have an impact beyond the Dem primaries, he could continue to engage in a spirited contest of ideas with Clinton, but without suggesting she lacks integrity, and without forcing a contested convention in the end.
I suppose anything is possible, but IMHO Hillary is doing the right thing by simply ignoring Bernie and focusing on defeating Trump in the Fall. I think we should follow her lead and just let him do whatever he’s going to do. His donations are dropping and even the media isn’t following him as much as before.

U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton waves after leading a discussion on gun violence prevention at the Wilson-Gray YMCA in Hartford, Connecticut, U.S., April 21, 2016. REUTERS/Adrees Latif
Meanwhile, Hillary is focusing on the general election.
Politico: Clinton plots swing-state ambush for Trump.
In recent days, the Clinton campaign has finalized a series of senior hires around the country, expanded the size of her central swing-state planning team in New York, and hundreds of thousands of dollars have been transferred to strategically important state parties from the Democratic National Committee. She’s also scheduled a series of public speeches and private meetings in states that will be crucial to her general election campaign.
Many of the moves had been in the works since early spring, when campaign officials began the process of hiring swing state operatives and more closely coordinating with state parties — the building blocks of the fall campaign’s field organizing infrastructure.
According to operatives and elected officials in eight battleground states, the switch flipped after Clinton’s 16-point win in New York last month — and Trump’s own romp there. In the days after that April 19 victory, some of Clinton’s state directors — who had previously operated only informally and without the campaign’s imprimatur — started meeting with local political leaders and planning the fall fight.
It’s all over but the grieving process for Bernie and his most fervent fans. Quite a few have already seen the writing on the wall and joined the Hillary bandwagon.
What stories are you following today?

















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