Hi Sky Dancers!
We’ve been together over 10 years and what a long strange ride it’s been. I struggled with the idea of putting up this as a live blog because while I’d really like to give peace a chance, I know that the seeds of poisonous fruit never grow anything but more poisonous fruit. So, here’s some links. I’m actually in no mood to join hands to sing Kumbayah. I admit to hoping a very focused natural disaster hits a specific location on an island in Singapore.
or “Murderous Dictator Meets Dishonest President Behind Closed Doors. “How will the American public know what they actually said? They may not.”
The first-ever North Korea-United States summit will start with a one-on-one meeting between a brutal dictator known for breaking his word and a president famous for his daily dishonesties.
With two unreliable narrators in Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump, how will Americans know what they actually said and agreed to with each other?
“We won’t,” said Jeffrey Lewis, director of the East Asia program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies. “The whole Trump team has been an unreliable narrator throughout this process. It’s like ‘Rashomon,’ but really stupid.”
In Akira Kurosawa’s classic movie, the murder of a samurai is told through the vastly differing recollections of a handful of witnesses. For the meeting scheduled to begin in Singapore Tuesday morning ― Monday night on the United States East Coast ― there will only be two witnesses: each nation’s translator.
“And I don’t think either interpreter will be in a position to correct the record if the self-reporting by Kim and Trump doesn’t reflect what was actually said in the same manner and tone,” said Jenny Town, assistant director of the U.S.-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins University.
The White House said it does not believe there is any cause for concern about getting an accurate description of the two men’s words.
Trump, nevertheless, on almost a daily basis says and writes things that are demonstrably untrue ― sometimes doing so even though he knows what he is saying is untrue.
Even White House press secretary Sarah Sanders has been forced to acknowledge, multiple times, that information she received from Trump and relayed to the public has not been correct.
Tom Nichols, a Russia scholar with expertise in Soviet Union-era arms control talks at the Naval War College, said Trump’s propensity for falsehoods makes getting an accurate rendering of the conversation essentially impossible. “There will no way of knowing what happens in that room, unless it’s being recorded ― knowingly or otherwise,” he said.
On top of Trump’s habit of untruths is Kim’s record of failing to honor his word.
Here we go …
I’m going to be listening into the Oral arguments made by the Justice (sic) Department appealing the stay on the Immigration Ban. Right now, Federal judges are hearing arguments about restoring Trump’s immigration and refugee executive order. Twenty-six Judges have now called the Ban unconstitutional.
We have the live audio stream here. There are other places to listen also.
A panel of three randomly selected federal judges will hear arguments from lawyers for the states of Washington and Minnesota and the Department of Justice. The arguments will be heard over telephone, so the livestream is audio-only. Each side will have 30 minutes to make its case.
This case will undoubtedly land on the desk of SCOTUS and this is the first step.
The judges are expected to then rule on the future of the executive order, although the ruling was not expected tonight. While their decision won’t determine the constitutionality of Trump’s immigration ban, it will determine whether a restraining order against Trump’s action, put in place by U.S. District Court Judge James Robart, will remain.
The two states have argued that Trump’s order was likely to cause “irreparable harm” to businesses, schools, family relations and state residents’ freedom to travel and is unconstitutional because it discriminates on the basis of religion. The Justice Department said the travel restrictions are a matter of national security and the administration was excluding people from countries with ties to terrorism, not people of a certain religion.
Today, Trump suggested that the legal battle between the two states and the Justice Department could make it all the way to the Supreme Court.
“We’re going to take it through the system,” said Trump. “It’s very important for the country, regardless of me or whoever succeeds at a later date.”
On Capitol Hill today, Secretary of >Homeland Security John Kelly defended the immigration executive order, calling it “lawful and constitutional.”
Only a week old, the order has sparked protests and outcry across the country. The legal community has been grappling with the order, some travelers have been delayed, and others are wondering if they will be allowed previously approved entry into the United States.
Currently, the Judge is asking if there’s any evidence that the seven countries on the list posed the greatest risk of threat or history of threat. So far, the judges are skeptical about the proof or rationale. Clifton and Friedland have asked questions so far in the first 1/2 hour of the case provided by the Department of Justice (sic). Right now they’re asking for the number of Federal Offenses committed by people coming in from these countries.
Judges William Canby Jr., a Jimmy Carter appointee, Michelle Friedland, a Barack Obama appointee, and Richard Clifton, a George W. Bush appointee, will hear the government’s stay motion and are expected to render a decision by the end of the week.
Canby and Friedland joined to initially deny the government’s request for an immediate stay of the lower court ruling by Judge James Robart, who issued a nationwide hold on President Trump’s travel moratorium. Robart was an appointee of President George W. Bush and ruled in favor of the state of Washington’s challenge to the executive order, which was joined by Minnesota.
The states filed a brief early Monday challenging the ban, and the three-judge panel asked the federal government to reply by 3 p.m. Monday.
A ruling could come any time after that, although likely within a week, experts told the Los Angeles Times.
Of the three judges, Clifton is considered moderately conservative, while the two Democrat-appointed judges are seen as moderately liberal. The 9th Circuit is known as the most liberal federal appeals court, according to the Los Angeles Times.
Clifton, 66, received headlines a decade ago when he was a judge on the panel that upheld the imprisonment of journalist Josh Wolf. In 2006, Wolf refused to turn over videotapes of San Francisco demonstrations.
Friedland, 46, was born in Berkeley and graduated from Stanford as an undergraduate and from its law school. Before becoming a judge, she represented numerous corporate clients, as well as the University of California in constitutional cases. She lives in Mountain View.
Canby Jr., 85, is known as an expert in American Indian law. He garnered headlines in 2001 when he wrote the unanimous decision requiring the Professional Golfers Association to allow disabled golfer Casey Martin the right to use a golf cart when competing, citing the Americans with Disabilities Act. It was affirmed by the U.S. Supreme Court.
It’s just an hour so join us!!!
The Vice Presidential Debate 2016 is at 8:00 PM – 9:30 PM (CT) on
Tuesday, October 4
The 2016 Vice Presidential candidate Debate is live tonight from Longwood University in Virginia. It’s an interesting place for the debate for several reasons. Coincidentally, Virginia is Tim Kaine’s home state. Also, Farmville–the small town that’s home to Longwood–has a history of racial tensions in a campaign year full of them.
Across the nation, race has flared again as a dominant political issue. From Black Lives Matter and violence between police and people of color to campus demonstrations, neighborhood riots and the rise of white supremacists in mainstream politics, this has been a tense and divisive campaign season.
When America focuses on Farmville this week, it will find a town that has struggled more than most to come to grips with race. It hasn’t always worked. Though the county is 64 percent white, the public schools are only about 37 percent white. Many white students still attend the private school that opened after desegregation.
But some believe there is a lesson in the effort made by town leaders and the university to confront the worst aspects of the past.
Farmville is “the scene of where leadership has been forged in reconciliation,” Longwood President Taylor Reveley IV said. “That is a powerful concept for the country today as we are wrestling with issues that are very familiar from the past, especially from the civil rights movement.”
Both the Kaines and the Clinton have spent a good portion of their public life in support of civil rights. Trump and Pence, of course, are fairly well known for just the opposite. There clearly could be some questions that pop up that reflect those differences.
Here’s some information on the debate to as we gear up for our watch party!
Both candidates have a mission as they take the stage Tuesday night: to make the case for their running mates, andthat could take their campaigns off-course. Pence needs to show stability for a ticket that has been rattled by Trump’s debate performance and an explosive , while Kaine will look to extend Hillary Clinton’s newfound momentum and make an effective argument on her behalf.
You can watch the debate on CSpan and any of the major news networks. You can also live stream it.
The first and only vice presidential debate of this election season is tonight at 9pm ET, 6pm PT. And if you don’t have cable there are plenty of different ways to watch Trump’s running mate Mike Pence and Clinton’s running mate Tim Kaine square off. Kaine, of course, is perhaps best known as the lead singer of the band Future Islands. And you can’t convince me that it’s not the same guy.
If you’re watching on a computer, one of the easiest ways to watch is on YouTube. PBS Newshour has a livestream that starts at 8:30pm ET, 5:30pm PT, but seriously have you ever seen Tim Kaine and Future Islands lead singer Samuel T. Herring in the same room together? I didn’t think so.
If you have a cable subscription but want to watch CNN on your devices you can watch CNN Go on your iPhone or iPad, Android, and Windows Phone. You can also use the CNN mobile apps for Kindle Fire and Windows 10. Or you can watch using the CNN app for Apple TV and Roku.
There are a lot of topics that could come up tonight! Here’s some analysis from MoJo’s Hannah Levintova.
In this case, after Donald Trump lost his first presidential debate—in which hesniffed often, spoke in incomplete sentences, lied, and ranted about his “winning temperament”—many conservatives have expressed concern about his lack of focus and debate preparation. It will be up to Pence to restore their faith in Trump. Kaine will have to match Hillary Clinton’s strong first debate performance while defending her against the Trump campaign’s tried-and-true attack lines, including her shifting stance on the Trans-Pacific Partnership and her husband’s role in enacting the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).
So, hold on here we go!!!
Good Evening Sky Dancers!
We’re getting ready to watch some of the Evening Speakers after an interesting opener. I’m not sure what’s to be gained by shouting down an Opening Prayer and Elijah Cummings but it’s happened. I’ve got a little video comment on that right here except it’s not Female Trouble. It’s more like BernieBro trouble.
fuck you and fuck you and you? go fuck yourself
STOP YELLING OVER ELIJAH CUMMINGS AND SHOW SOME GODDAMNED RESPECT
As you may have heard, there already seem to be many more protests from the left around the Democratic convention than there were around the Republican convention. If it seems strange to you that leftists would be protesting not the candidate who wants to deport 11 million people, ban Muslims from entering the country and roll back civil rights gains for gay Americans, but the candidate who wants to increase the minimum wage to $15 an hour, expand Social Security and enact universal child care, well, that would only mean that you’re unfamiliar with leftist politics. For a certain kind of activist on the left, the real enemy is never the right; it’s always the liberals who are insufficiently committed to their brand of revolution.
And this is what’s important to understand about the protests now going on: They aren’t Democrats fighting with Democrats. I wasn’t able to go to Philadelphia this week, so I’d encourage the reporters who are there and are covering the anti-Clinton protests to ask those participating a simple question: Do you consider yourself a Democrat? Because I’m fairly certain that they’ll find almost no one who says yes. This is even true of some of the people who are Bernie Sanders delegates; they got involved in the Sanders campaign, but they weren’t Democrats before this election began and they won’t be after it’s over. We’ve seen this at the highest levels: Consider that Sanders appointed Cornel West to the Democrats’ platform committee, and after helping decide what the party stands for, West promptly turned around and endorsed Green Party candidate Jill Stein.
Sanders can’t control his delegates and they’re no longer interested in his message. They’ve turned into Rage Addicts. They’ve had their sacrificial virgin for the primary in Debbie Wasserman Schultz and they want more more more!!!!
The First Lady of the United States is set to headline Monday night’s event at the Wells Fargo Center. According to CNN, she is expected to discuss the role the president plays in shaping the lives of American children and why she feels Clinton, 68, is the best for the job.
Vice Presidential Candidate Tim Kaine has launched a Spanish media tour. He’s been doing interviews with the nation’s Spanish-language TV stations.
Launching a Spanish-language media tour, Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) vowed that a Clinton administration would begin work on comprehensive immigration reform “in the first 100 days” — echoing promises she’s made before, but never in such a setting.
Kaine, who is fluent in Spanish, taped interviews on Sunday with Univision and Telemundo, the nation’s largest Spanish-language broadcasters that are airing on Monday evening.
A comprehensive list of speakers and topics can be found at The Atlantic at their live blog.
Sanders, who endorsed Clinton earlier this month, will take the stage on Monday. His appearance will mark a moment of coming together for the Democratic party. Sanders garnered an ardent following throughout the primary season, and Clinton has since sought to capture those voters’ support. But Sanders likely won’t let go of his agenda, even though he’s supporting his former opponent. In the lead up to the convention, Sanders pushed the party’s platform to the left, and he’ll likely advocate similar shifts during the convention. In an interview on ABC’s This Week, he said, “We have got to continue bringing people in, fighting for an agenda that works for working families and having the courage to take on the big money people who today control our economic and political life.”
Also speaking at the party’s convention Monday are Michelle Obama and Elizabeth Warren. The first lady has become a popular figure in the Democratic party and she is expected to endorse Clinton in her remarks. Similarly, the Massachusetts senator, who endorsed Clinton in June, will address the delegationand put her political clout toward helping elect the party’s presumptive nominee.
Here’s the best list I can find of a just who is doing what when at the Cleveland Fox affiliate. I want to make sure listen to Paul Simon and Al Franken, old hippy chick that I am. Sarah Silver man is also in that mix. Hopefully, she is one of the Bernie folks that is all up for unity.
So, sit back relax, chill with something cool and let’s listen to topics like AN ECONOMY THAT WORKS FOR ALL, KEEPING FAMILIES TOGETHER, and COMBATING SUBSTANCE ABUSE.
Here’s a live feed via Youtube:
We’re still hanging in here with the primaries given that this year’s Most Delusional Campaign and Candidate award has three contenders still vying for trophy. Maybe it has something to do with the vast level of ignorance when it comes to math, science, and basic recognition of facts and reality that permeates the country. I know that I’ve seen an appalling increase in lack of math, statistics, and basic knowledge since my undergrad days.
Five-Thirty-Eight argues there could be three possible outcomes tonight for the GOP, Well, yes, that’s true. But, which will it be?
Donald Trump may be a runaway train. He has blasted through his 50 percent “ceiling,” outperforming his polls and winning a clear majority in the last six states to cast ballots. All that success occurred in the Northeast, however, so here’s the question: Is Trump wrapping up this nomination, or is he just really strong in the Northeast?
We’ll get some answers in Indiana on Tuesday. It’s a culturally conservative state where many political observers (including yours truly) thought Ted Cruz had a good shot at coalescing the anti-Trump vote. Indiana is also, in terms of demographics, slightly below average for Trump. In other words, the #StopTrump movement, if it’s at all serious, should win the Hoosier State. And yet, Trump leads in most of the polling there.
Hillary Clinton is ready to put the Democratic primary in her rear view mirror and get to work on Donald Trump.
She made that abundantly clear in an exclusive interview with MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell Tuesday in West Virginia. Clinton also said that the FBI has still not contacted her regarding her private email server, and the Democratic front-runner detailed under what circumstances she would release transcripts of her paid speeches.
“I’m really focused on moving into the general election,” Clinton said when asked about the primary election Tuesday in Indiana. “And I think that’s where we have to be, because we’re going to have a tough campaign against a candidate who will literally say or do anything. And we’re going to take him on at every turn on what’s really important to the people of our country.”
Clinton shrugged off questions about Bernie Sanders, who is vowing to challenge Clinton all the way to the Democratic National Convention in July.
“We’re going to unify the party, and we’re going to have a great convention and we’re going to be absolutely focused on making our case to the American public against Donald Trump, and I think he will be a part of that,” Clinton said.
Giving the most clear picture of her campaign’s general election strategy from the candidate’s own mouth, she said she will try to avoid getting into the mud with Trump and keep her attacks focused on his policy and fitness to do the job.
Preliminary exit poll results from Indiana’s Democratic primary show a contest with turnout that’s higher than usual this year among liberals (notably strong liberals), young voters, whites and those focused on a candidate who’s honest or cares about people like them – all some of Bernie Sanders’ better groups to date.
Clinton’s ideas are seen as more realistic by Indiana voters – nearly eight in 10 vs. more than six in 10 for Sanders – but the gap’s a bit smaller than usual in preliminary exit poll results. It’s been 76 to 57 percent in the nine states where the question’s been asked before.
Clinton’s also done well so far by linking herself with Barack Obama. More Indiana voters think the next president should continue Obama’s policies, half, while fewer, just more than a third, prefer a more liberal direction. But, again, the gap’s smaller than usual. Supporters of more liberal policies are more numerous than average in Indiana, a group that’s voted heavily for Sanders in past contests.
Meanwhile, back in Bernie Land we see more talk about a contested convention. Some of the press aren’t so enthusiastic. Some of them are.
What Sanders is proposing is a necessary quest—and a realistic one. Already, he is better positioned than any recent insurgent challenger to engage in rules and platform debates, as well as in dialogues about everything from the vice-presidential nomination to the character of the fall campaign. As veteran political analyst Rhodes Cook noted in a survey prepared for The Atlantic, by mid-April, Sanders had exceeded the overall vote totals and percentages of Howard Dean in 2004, Jesse Jackson in 1988, Gary Hart in 1984, and Ted Kennedy in 1980, among others. (While Barack Obama’s 2008 challenge to Clinton began as something of an insurgency, he eventually ran with the solid support of key party leaders like Kennedy.) By the time the District of Columbia votes on June 14, Sanders will have more pledged delegates than any challenger seeking to influence a national convention and its nominee since the party began to democratize its nominating process following the disastrous, boss-dominated convention of 1968.
The same candidate who has been railing against independent voters being disenfranchised, who has called the primary system undemocratic, and who has complained about superdelegates, in general, is now calling on those same superdelegates to vote against Clinton (that would apparently include delegates from the states Clinton has won), even though she will almost certainly have the most pledged delegates and the most votes. In head-to-head general election polls, Clinton trounces Trump, but since Sanders trounces him by a bit more, he argues that he should be the nominee.
In the realm of illogical, self-serving, hypocritical, intellectually dishonest political arguments, this is practically the gold standard. But with six weeks to go until the last primary, I have great confidence that the Sanders campaign will find some way to top it.
So, join us as we count down to California by watching the returns from Indiana tonight!!
These are the states that are voting today in the 2016 Presidential Primaries! Here are the number of Democratic Delegates up for grabs as well as the expected poll closing times.
Maryland · 95 delegates
Delaware · 21 delegates
Connecticut · 55 delegates
Pennsylvania · 189 delegate
Rhode Island · 24 delegates
Last poll closes at 8:00 PM ET for all 5 states
Here’s some of the things to consider when watching the returns. The first most important thing is will the front runners close the deal? Polls show both Clinton and Trump ahead in these states.
A sense of inevitability is growing around both the Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton campaigns, and they could easily build on that momentum this Tuesday. Democratic and Republican voters will cast their primary ballots in five states — Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island — where the respective front-runners hold solid leads.
In delegate-rich Pennsylvania, Trump has a 13-point lead over his closest competitor Ted Cruz, while Clinton has a seven-point lead over Bernie Sanders, according to a CBS News Battleground Tracker survey released Sunday. All told, there are 556 delegates at stake –172 for Republicans and 384 for Democrats.
Will the leaders sweep the five states? Politico has listed some of the key counties for each of the candidates. Of course, we’re interested in Pennsylvania with its huge swath of delegates. The state’s urban areas will influence the overall vote which means that Hillary’s minority support is crucial.
Allegheny County: Allegheny County, which includes Pittsburgh and the immediate suburbs, holds more GOP voters than any other county in the state.
Pennsylvania’s “loophole primary” makes the focus on specific districts for Republicans trickier, but Allegheny is still a key battleground. Kasich was born and raised in the county, in McKees Rocks. Trump visited Pittsburgh earlier this month.
The county includes all or part of three different congressional districts: the 12th, 14th and 18th.
On the Democratic side, Allegheny is battleground territory: Clinton won it by almost nine points in 2008. A similar performance there on Tuesday could close the door on Sanders’ underdog bid at a statewide victory.
Lackawanna County: This is Clinton territory: She won Lackawanna by a yawning margin in 2008, 74 percent to 26 percent.
Clinton claims Scranton roots that served her well eight years ago. And it’s no surprise one of her closing events in the state was in Dunmore, just outside Scranton, last Friday. (Her husband held an event earlier this month at Scranton High School.)
These are mostly white voters who stuck with Clinton eight years ago. The question is whether they will still serve as a firewall for her on Tuesday, or jump to Sanders, as a number of white Democrats have in other states.
Philadelphia: Clinton managed to win statewide eight years ago despite losing Philadelphia by nearly a two-to-one margin, 65 percent to 35 percent.
This time around, the African-American base in Philadelphia should be strong for Clinton. But the city is also a big college town, and enhanced youth turnout could help Sanders.
Clinton has the backing of former Mayor Michael Nutter — who backed her over Obama in 2008 — and also from longtime supporter Ed Rendell, another former Philadelphia mayor and former two-term governor, who will be under pressure to reinstate his turnout machine to help the former secretary of state.
Here’s a contender for weird/fake endorsement of the day: A Grand Dragon of the California branch of the KKK allegedly told Vocativ, an organization “at the nexus of media and technology,” that it is endorsing Hillary Clinton. “She is friends with the Klan,” said Will Quigg, citing as evidence her friendship with Bobby Byrd, the long-time United States senator from West Virginia who was in the KKK as a young man. Quigg also claimed the organization had raised $20,000 in anonymous donations for the Clinton campaign.
This is fairly obviously B.S. The Clinton campaign denies it has received nearly that much money in anonymous funds, and the Vocativ reporter even noted that he factchecked and verified the campaign’s claim using F.E.C. filings. But hey! A Klansman said the name “Hillary Clinton” with a gleeful smile on his face, so take that for what it’s worth, which is probably roughly nothing.
Some how, I can’t see the Klan supporting the candidate that has the overwhelming support of black voters, can you?
Grab your popcorn and let’s watch Hillary win some more on her way to the White House!!!
New York is excited to play a role in the primaries and we’re excited to see them close a few deals! The two leading candidates for each party call New York City home so there’s high hopes on all sides for big surprises. So far, there are a few surprises prior to any results actually coming in. We’re hearing some interesting things about voting irregularities and those colorful New York Politicians.
Mayor Bill de Blasio has ordered the New York City Board of Elections to investigate why more than 63,000 registered Democrats were dropped from the voting rolls since last fall.
The request comes the same day a WNYC analysis revealed the largest decline in active registered Democrats statewide was in Brooklyn. (UPDATE: The New York state Attorney General’s Office is now reporting a spike in problems at polls, particularly in Brooklyn.)
But new data provided by the city Board of Elections on Monday indicates it actually removed 126,000 Brooklyn Democrats from the rolls, according to executive director Michael Ryan.
That includes 12,000 people who moved out of the borough, 44,000 people who were moved from active to inactive voter status and 70,000 voters removed from the inactive voter list.
As a Brooklyn Democrat himself, de Blasio said he’s concerned about the sudden slump of Democrats on the voter rolls there.
“This number surprises me,” said de Blasio, “I admit that Brooklyn has had a lot of transient population – that’s obvious. Lot of people moving in, lot of people moving out. That might account for some of it. But I’m confused since so many people have moved in, that the number would move that much in the negative direction.”
Board of Elections Executive Director Michael Ryan confirmed he had been contacted by the mayor’s staff and he shared with WNYC the same explanation he said he gave them.
“Brooklyn was a little behind with their list maintenance tasks,” said Ryan, who said the other boroughs update their lists on a rolling basis.
That backlog meant the Brooklyn voter rolls needed a major clean up. The board can only remove people from its lists at certain times of year. There are blackout periods that exist 90 days before federal elections.
Ryan said Brooklyn election officials fell 6 months to a year behind updating their voter rolls.
New York Rep. Pete King (R) on Tuesday offered his harshest words yet for Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz, slamming the Texas senator on the day of his state’s primary.“Well, first of all, in case anybody gets confused, I’m not endorsing Ted Cruz, I hate Ted Cruz, and I think I’ll take cyanide if he ever got the nomination,” King said to open his appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” prompting a mixture of laughs and mild exclamations from co-hosts.The Republican has previously said that he’d “never” vote for Cruz and that New Yorkers considering it “should have their head examined.”“I think you are going to see Donald Trump scoring a big victory tonight,” King predicted Tuesday. “I have not endorsed Donald Trump. In fact, I actually voted by absentee ballot for John Kasich. I’m not endorsing John, but I voted for him to really send a message.”
Michael Bloomberg says there’s a connection between Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.The two presidential candidates elude facts and attract voters with rhetoric, the former mayor of New York City said at a keynote speech for a Bloomberg Philanthropies summit Tuesday.“I’m not trying to knock Donald Trump, but I do think what you’re seeing in this election, in some cases you argue on the facts, in some cases it becomes a religion — the facts don’t matter at all,” Bloomberg said.“And that phenomenon, I think, is what you see with Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump. It’s the same phenomenon,” he continued. “People are not happy with their government. It has failed them. It hasn’t addressed their needs.”The basic point may not surprise anyone who’s followed the long campaign trail this election season. Sanders, who is seeking the Democratic nomination, has recently been criticized — perhaps unfairly — for failing to correctly articulate the facts behind his views on big banks. The less said about Republican hopeful Trump’s flip-flopping, the better.But Bloomberg wasn’t really talking about the election. The conference Tuesday was a “Summit on Transforming Data Into Action,” and his keynote was meant to illustrate how cities and businesses can harness big data to improve communities and help citizens. Bloomberg’s point was that most people can’t argue with the facts, even if certain leaders might try.
Conservatives/evangelicals: In preliminary exit poll results, evangelicals are in short supply, as are strong conservatives – groups customarily better for Cruz. Evangelicals account for about a quarter of voters in preliminary exit poll results (vs. 42 percent in Wisconsin and 58 percent in all primaries to date). “Very” conservatives account for two in 10 voters, vs. 31 percent in Wisconsin and 34 percent overall.
Wall Street: We’ve noted that more than six in 10 Democratic primary voters say Wall Street does more to hurt than help the U.S. economy; turns out the Street isn’t widely popular among Republican primary voters, either. They divide about evenly on whether Wall Street helps or hurts the economy.
Outsider: Trump may reach a new high on his signature issue: Nearly two-thirds of GOP primary voters in these preliminary exit poll results are looking for an outsider rather than someone with political experience. Outsider voters, a group Trump’s won overwhelmingly in past contests, peaked previously at 61 percent in Nevada.
So maybe Democrats are bit more unified than we thought – at least compared with Republicans.
Eighty-five percent of New York Democratic primary voters in the exit poll say they will definitely or probably vote for Hillary Clinton if she becomes the Democratic presidential nominee.
Just 13 percent of them say they WON’T vote for her.
That’s compared with 26 percent of New York Republicans who say that they wouldn’t vote for Trump if he becomes the GOP nominee.
And it’s also compared with an Indiana exit poll during the height of the 2008 Barack Obama-vs.-Hillary Clinton race, which found 29 percent of Democratic voters saying they would either vote for John McCain or not vote at all.
A few weeks ago, we published a sort of best-case scenario for Sanders in which he wound up with exactly 2,026 pledged delegates, the number he’d need to clinch an elected delegate majority over Clinton. (Leave aside the thorny issue of superdelegates for now.) The path would require almost everything to go right for Sanders — including narrow wins in states such as Pennsylvania and New Jersey, and double-digit wins in California, Indiana and other states.
Sanders has had a good couple of weeks, however. He fell only two delegates shy of our path-to-2,026 projection in Wisconsin. He also fell four delegates shy in Wyoming, where his results were disappointing. However, Sanders has gained a few extra delegates at state conventions and from previous states revising their delegate counts as their results became official. Because of these changes, Sanders has kept exactly on pace with the path to 2,026 so far.
Tonight’s task is much harder, however. Our path had Sanders winning New York by a couple of percentage points and netting 128 out of 247 delegates there. Here’s what the rest of his path would look like on the unlikely-but-not-quite impossible chance that he does so:
New York primary
Last poll closes at 9:00 PM ET