Tuesday Night Live Blog: VeepStakes Debate!

pence-kaineGood Evening!  

The Vice Presidential Debate 2016 is at 8:00 PM – 9:30 PM (CT) on

Tuesday, October 4

The 2016 Vice Presidential candidate Debate is live tonight from Longwood University in Virginia. It’s an interesting place for the debate for several reasons. Coincidentally, Virginia is Tim Kaine’s home state.  Also, Farmville–the small town that’s home to Longwood–has a history of racial tensions in a campaign year full of them.

Across the nation, race has flared again as a dominant political issue. From Black Lives Matter and violence between police and people of color to campus demonstrations, neighborhood riots and the rise of white supremacists in mainstream politics, this has been a tense and divisive campaign season.

When America focuses on Farmville this week, it will find a town that has struggled more than most to come to grips with race. It hasn’t always worked. Though the county is 64 percent white, the public schools are only about 37 percent white. Many white students still attend the private school that opened after desegregation.

But some believe there is a lesson in the effort made by town leaders and the university to confront the worst aspects of the past.

Farmville is “the scene of where leadership has been forged in reconciliation,” Longwood President Taylor Reveley IV said. “That is a powerful concept for the country today as we are wrestling with issues that are very familiar from the past, especially from the civil rights movement.”

Both the Kaines and the Clinton have spent a good portion of their public life in support of civil rights.  Trump and Pence, of course, are fairly well known for just the opposite. There clearly could be some questions that pop up that reflect those differences.

Here’s some information on the debate to as we gear up for our watch party!2016_07_27_kaine_pence_twitter-3_22736636421

Both candidates have a mission as they take the stage Tuesday night: to make the case for their running mates, and to avoid any major missteps that could take their campaigns off-course. Pence needs to show stability for a ticket that has been rattled by Trump’s debate performance and an explosive story about Donald Trump’s taxes, while Kaine will look to extend Hillary Clinton’s newfound momentum and make an effective argument on her behalf.

You can watch the debate on CSpan and any of the major news networks.  You can also live stream it.

The first and only vice presidential debate of this election season is tonight at 9pm ET, 6pm PT. And if you don’t have cable there are plenty of different ways to watch Trump’s running mate Mike Pence and Clinton’s running mate Tim Kaine square off. Kaine, of course, is perhaps best known as the lead singer of the band Future Islands. And you can’t convince me that it’s not the same guy.

 If you’re watching on a computer, one of the easiest ways to watch is on YouTube. PBS Newshour has a livestream that starts at 8:30pm ET, 5:30pm PT, but seriously have you ever seen Tim Kaine and Future Islands lead singer Samuel T. Herring in the same room together? I didn’t think so.

If you have a cable subscription but want to watch CNN on your devices you can watch CNN Go on your iPhone or iPad, Android, and Windows Phone. You can also use the CNN mobile apps for Kindle Fire and Windows 10. Or you can watch using the CNN app for Apple TV and Roku.

There are a lot of topics that could come up tonight! Here’s some analysis from MoJo’s Hannah Levintova.57968fbbc361885e658b458e

In this case, after Donald Trump lost his first presidential debate—in which hesniffed often, spoke in incomplete sentences, lied, and ranted about his “winning temperament”—many conservatives have expressed concern about his lack of focus and debate preparation. It will be up to Pence to restore their faith in Trump. Kaine will have to match Hillary Clinton’s strong first debate performance while defending her against the Trump campaign’s tried-and-true attack lines, including her shifting stance on the Trans-Pacific Partnership and her husband’s role in enacting the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

 So, hold on here we go!!!

 


Live Blogging and Watch Party of Day One DNC Speakers

MichelleObamaGood Evening Sky Dancers!

We’re getting ready to watch some of the Evening Speakers after an interesting opener.  I’m not sure what’s to be gained by shouting down an Opening Prayer and Elijah Cummings but it’s happened.  I’ve got a little video comment on that right here except it’s not Female Trouble. It’s more like BernieBro trouble.

Via: Wonkette:

fuck you and fuck you and you? go fuck yourself

STOP YELLING OVER ELIJAH CUMMINGS AND SHOW SOME GODDAMNED RESPECT

Plus a little bit of Plum Line and Paul Waldman right here.

As you may have heard, there already seem to be many more protests from the left around the Democratic convention than there were around the Republican convention. If it seems strange to you that leftists would be protesting not the candidate who wants to deport 11 million people, ban Muslims from entering the country and roll back civil rights gains for gay Americans, but the candidate who wants to increase the minimum wage to $15 an hour, expand Social Security and enact universal child care, well, that would only mean that you’re unfamiliar with leftist politics. For a certain kind of activist on the left, the real enemy is never the right; it’s always the liberals who are insufficiently committed to their brand of revolution.

And this is what’s important to understand about the protests now going on: They aren’t Democrats fighting with Democrats. I wasn’t able to go to Philadelphia this week, so I’d encourage the reporters who are there and are covering the anti-Clinton protests to ask those participating a simple question: Do you consider yourself a Democrat? Because I’m fairly certain that they’ll find almost no one who says yes. This is even true of some of the people who are Bernie Sanders delegates; they got involved in the Sanders campaign, but they weren’t Democrats before this election began and they won’t be after it’s over. We’ve seen this at the highest levels: Consider that Sanders appointed Cornel West to the Democrats’ platform committee, and after helping decide what the party stands for, West promptly turned around and endorsed Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

Sanders can’t control his delegates and they’re no longer interested in his message. They’ve turned into Rage Addicts.  They’ve had their sacrificial virgin for the primary in Debbie Wasserman Schultz and they want more more more!!!!

Supporters of Sen. Bernie Sanders booed today as the former Democratic presidential contender told them, “We must elect Hillary Clinton.”

I’m just hoping that don’t boo our first lady who is speaking tonight in the second slot after Cory Booker.  Democratic+National+Convention+Day+One+K64ZylFIzCJl

The First Lady of the United States is set to headline Monday night’s event at the Wells Fargo Center. According to CNN, she is expected to discuss the role the president plays in shaping the lives of American children and why she feels Clinton, 68, is the best for the job.

Vice Presidential Candidate Tim Kaine has launched a Spanish media tour.  He’s been doing interviews with the nation’s Spanish-language TV stations.

Launching a Spanish-language media tour, Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) vowed that a Clinton administration would begin work on comprehensive immigration reform “in the first 100 days” — echoing promises she’s made before, but never in such a setting.

Kaine, who is fluent in Spanish, taped interviews on Sunday with Univision and Telemundo, the nation’s largest Spanish-language broadcasters that are airing on Monday evening.

gettyimages-580031544A comprehensive list of speakers and topics can be found at The Atlantic at their live blog.

Sanders, who endorsed Clinton earlier this month, will take the stage on Monday. His appearance will mark a moment of coming together for the Democratic party. Sanders garnered an ardent following throughout the primary season, and Clinton has since sought to capture those voters’ support. But Sanders likely won’t let go of his agenda, even though he’s supporting his former opponent. In the lead up to the convention, Sanders pushed the party’s platform to the left, and he’ll likely advocate similar shifts during the convention. In an interview on ABC’s This Week, he said, “We have got to continue bringing people in, fighting for an agenda that works for working families and having the courage to take on the big money people who today control our economic and political life.”

Also speaking at the party’s convention Monday are Michelle Obama and Elizabeth Warren. The first lady has become a popular figure in the Democratic party and she is expected to endorse Clinton in her remarks. Similarly, the Massachusetts senator, who endorsed Clinton in June, will address the delegationand put her political clout toward helping elect the party’s presumptive nominee.

Here’s the best list I can find of a just who is doing what when at the Cleveland Fox affiliate.  I want to make sure listen to Paul Simon and Al Franken, old hippy chick that I am.  Sarah Silver man is also in that mix.  Hopefully, she is one of the Bernie folks that is all up for unity.

So, sit back relax, chill with something cool and let’s listen to topics like AN ECONOMY THAT WORKS FOR ALL, KEEPING FAMILIES TOGETHER, and COMBATING SUBSTANCE ABUSE.

Here’s the live feed via CSPAN if you can’t take the punditry anymore.

Here’s a live feed via Youtube:

 

 

 


Live Blog: Indiana Votes

1cf2647383bfe7ec5a46d3f3dcc6d26bGood Evening!

We’re still hanging in here with the primaries given that this year’s  Most Delusional Campaign and Candidate award has three contenders still vying for trophy.  Maybe it has something to do with the vast level of ignorance when it comes to math, science, and basic recognition of facts and reality that permeates the country.  I know that I’ve seen an appalling increase in lack of math, statistics, and basic knowledge since my undergrad days.

Five-Thirty-Eight argues there could be three possible outcomes tonight for the GOP,  Well, yes, that’s true.  But, which will it be?

Donald Trump may be a runaway train. He has blasted through his 50 percent “ceiling,” outperforming his polls and winning a clear majority in the last six states to cast ballots. All that success occurred in the Northeast, however, so here’s the question: Is Trump wrapping up this nomination, or is he just really strong in the Northeast?

We’ll get some answers in Indiana on Tuesday. It’s a culturally conservative state where many political observers (including yours truly) thought Ted Cruz had a good shot at coalescing the anti-Trump vote. Indiana is also, in terms of demographics, slightly below average for Trump. In other words, the #StopTrump movement, if it’s at all serious, should win the Hoosier State. And yet, Trump leads in most of the polling there.

Clinton has no party scheduled tonight and is clearly focused on the General Election.

Hillary Clinton is ready to put the Democratic primary in her rear view mirror and get to work on Donald Trump.

She made that abundantly clear in an exclusive interview with MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell Tuesday in West Virginia. Clinton also said that the FBI has still not contacted her regarding her private email server, and the Democratic front-runner detailed under what circumstances she would release transcripts of her paid speeches.

“I’m really focused on moving into the general election,” Clinton said when asked about the primary election Tuesday in Indiana. “And I think that’s where we have to be, because we’re going to have a tough campaign against a candidate who will literally say or do anything. And we’re going to take him on at every turn on what’s really important to the people of our country.”

Clinton shrugged off questions about Bernie Sanders, who is vowing to challenge Clinton all the way to the Democratic National Convention in July.

“We’re going to unify the party, and we’re going to have a great convention and we’re going to be absolutely focused on making our case to the American public against Donald Trump, and I think he will be a part of that,” Clinton said.

Giving the most clear picture of her campaign’s general election strategy from the candidate’s own mouth, she said she will try to avoid getting into the mud with Trump and keep her attacks focused on his policy and fitness to do the job.

Exit poll information has begun to be released.58d006ee1dfb8892ac0c0ad3859464c8

Preliminary exit poll results from Indiana’s Democratic primary show a contest with turnout that’s higher than usual this year among liberals (notably strong liberals), young voters, whites and those focused on a candidate who’s honest or cares about people like them – all some of Bernie Sanders’ better groups to date.

Clinton’s ideas are seen as more realistic by Indiana voters – nearly eight in 10 vs. more than six in 10 for Sanders – but the gap’s a bit smaller than usual in preliminary exit poll results. It’s been 76 to 57 percent in the nine states where the question’s been asked before.

Clinton’s also done well so far by linking herself with Barack Obama. More Indiana voters think the next president should continue Obama’s policies, half, while fewer, just more than a third, prefer a more liberal direction. But, again, the gap’s smaller than usual. Supporters of more liberal policies are more numerous than average in Indiana, a group that’s voted heavily for Sanders in past contests.

Meanwhile, back in Bernie Land we see more talk about a contested convention. Some of the press aren’t so enthusiastic.  Some of them are.

What Sanders is proposing is a necessary quest—and a realistic one. Already, he is better positioned than any recent insurgent challenger to engage in rules and platform debates, as well as in dialogues about everything from the vice-presidential nomination to the character of the fall campaign. As veteran political analyst Rhodes Cook noted in a survey prepared for The Atlantic, by mid-April, Sanders had exceeded the overall vote totals and percentages of Howard Dean in 2004, Jesse Jackson in 1988, Gary Hart in 1984, and Ted Kennedy in 1980, among others. (While Barack Obama’s 2008 challenge to Clinton began as something of an insurgency, he eventually ran with the solid support of key party leaders like Kennedy.) By the time the District of Columbia votes on June 14, Sanders will have more pledged delegates than any challenger seeking to influence a national convention and its nominee since the party began to democratize its nominating process following the disastrous, boss-dominated convention of 1968.

suffrage valentine 1I prefer Michael Cohen’s take at the Boston Globe.

The same candidate who has been railing against independent voters being disenfranchised, who has called the primary system undemocratic, and who has complained about superdelegates, in general, is now calling on those same superdelegates to vote against Clinton (that would apparently include delegates from the states Clinton has won), even though she will almost certainly have the most pledged delegates and the most votes. In head-to-head general election polls, Clinton trounces Trump, but since Sanders trounces him by a bit more, he argues that he should be the nominee.

In the realm of illogical, self-serving, hypocritical, intellectually dishonest political arguments, this is practically the gold standard. But with six weeks to go until the last primary, I have great confidence that the Sanders campaign will find some way to top it.

So, join us as we count down to California by watching the returns from Indiana tonight!!


Live Blog: The Northeast brings it home!

 

bed0962d2c9dc131be63eda8b899ea2bGood Evening!

These are the states that are voting today in the 2016 Presidential Primaries!  Here are the number of Democratic Delegates up for grabs as well as the expected poll closing times.

Maryland · 95 delegates
Delaware · 21 delegates
Connecticut · 55 delegates
Pennsylvania · 189 delegate
Rhode Island · 24 delegates

Last poll closes at 8:00 PM ET for all 5 states

Here’s some of the things to consider when watching the returns. The first most important thing is will the front runners close the deal?  Polls show both Clinton and Trump ahead in these states.

A sense of inevitability is growing around both the Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton campaigns, and they could easily build on that momentum this Tuesday. Democratic and Republican voters will cast their primary ballots in five states — Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island — where the respective front-runners hold solid leads.

In delegate-rich Pennsylvania, Trump has a 13-point lead over his closest competitor Ted Cruz, while Clinton has a seven-point lead over Bernie Sanders, according to a CBS News Battleground Tracker survey released Sunday. All told, there are 556 delegates at stake –172 for Republicans and 384 for Democrats.

Will the leaders sweep the five states?    Politico has listed some of the key counties for each of the candidates.  Of course, we’re interested in Pennsylvania with its huge swath of delegates.  The state’s urban areas will influence the overall vote which means that Hillary’s minority support is crucial.37ea30cfda7fefa750424a82ab54bbea

Pennsylvania

Allegheny County: Allegheny County, which includes Pittsburgh and the immediate suburbs, holds more GOP voters than any other county in the state.

Pennsylvania’s “loophole primary” makes the focus on specific districts for Republicans trickier, but Allegheny is still a key battleground. Kasich was born and raised in the county, in McKees Rocks. Trump visited Pittsburgh earlier this month.

The county includes all or part of three different congressional districts: the 12th, 14th and 18th.

On the Democratic side, Allegheny is battleground territory: Clinton won it by almost nine points in 2008. A similar performance there on Tuesday could close the door on Sanders’ underdog bid at a statewide victory.

Lackawanna County: This is Clinton territory: She won Lackawanna by a yawning margin in 2008, 74 percent to 26 percent.

Clinton claims Scranton roots that served her well eight years ago. And it’s no surprise one of her closing events in the state was in Dunmore, just outside Scranton, last Friday. (Her husband held an event earlier this month at Scranton High School.)

These are mostly white voters who stuck with Clinton eight years ago. The question is whether they will still serve as a firewall for her on Tuesday, or jump to Sanders, as a number of white Democrats have in other states.

Philadelphia: Clinton managed to win statewide eight years ago despite losing Philadelphia by nearly a two-to-one margin, 65 percent to 35 percent.

This time around, the African-American base in Philadelphia should be strong for Clinton. But the city is also a big college town, and enhanced youth turnout could help Sanders.

Clinton has the backing of former Mayor Michael Nutter — who backed her over Obama in 2008 — and also from longtime supporter Ed Rendell, another former Philadelphia mayor and former two-term governor, who will be under pressure to reinstate his turnout machine to help the former secretary of state.

Here’s the ratfucking meme of the day–likely pushed by BernieBr0s–that simply isn’t true.voting (1)

Here’s a contender for weird/fake endorsement of the day: A Grand Dragon of the California branch of the KKK allegedly told Vocativ, an organization “at the nexus of media and technology,” that it is endorsing Hillary Clinton. “She is friends with the Klan,” said Will Quigg, citing as evidence her friendship with Bobby Byrd, the long-time United States senator from West Virginia who was in the KKK as a young man. Quigg also claimed the organization had raised $20,000 in anonymous donations for the Clinton campaign.

This is fairly obviously B.S. The Clinton campaign denies it has received nearly that much money in anonymous funds, and the Vocativ reporter even noted that he factchecked and verified the campaign’s claim using F.E.C. filings. But hey! A Klansman said the name “Hillary Clinton” with a gleeful smile on his face, so take that for what it’s worth, which is probably roughly nothing.

Some how, I can’t see the Klan supporting the candidate that has the overwhelming support of black voters, can you?

Grab your popcorn and let’s watch Hillary win some more on her way to the White House!!!


Live Blog: Extra! Extra! New York Votes!

U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton (C) rides the New York City Subway with Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz (L) in the Bronx borough of New York, April 7, 2016. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY - RTSE18E

U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton (C) rides the New York City Subway with Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz (L) in the Bronx borough of New York, April 7, 2016. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY – RTSE18E

Good Evening!

New York is excited to play a role in the primaries and we’re excited to see them close a few deals!  The two leading candidates for each party call New York City home so there’s high hopes on all sides for big surprises. So far, there are a few surprises prior to any results actually coming in.  We’re hearing some interesting things about voting irregularities and those colorful New York Politicians.

Have Brooklyn Democrats been kidnapped by Aliens or administrative Hanky Panky?

Mayor Bill de Blasio has ordered the New York City Board of Elections to investigate why more than 63,000 registered Democrats were dropped from the voting rolls since last fall.

The request comes the same day a WNYC analysis revealed the largest decline in active registered Democrats statewide was in Brooklyn. (UPDATE: The New York state Attorney General’s Office is now reporting a spike in problems at polls, particularly in Brooklyn.)

But new data provided by the city Board of Elections on Monday indicates it actually removed 126,000 Brooklyn Democrats from the rolls, according to executive director Michael Ryan.

That includes 12,000 people who moved out of the borough, 44,000 people who were moved from active to inactive voter status and 70,000 voters removed from the inactive voter list.

As a Brooklyn Democrat himself, de Blasio said he’s concerned about the sudden slump of Democrats on the voter rolls there.

“This number surprises me,” said de Blasio, “I admit that Brooklyn has had a lot of transient population – that’s obvious. Lot of people moving in, lot of people moving out. That might account for some of it. But I’m confused since so many people have moved in, that the number would move that much in the negative direction.”

Board of Elections Executive Director Michael Ryan confirmed he had been contacted by the mayor’s staff and he shared with WNYC the same explanation he said he gave them.

“Brooklyn was a little behind with their list maintenance tasks,” said Ryan, who said the other boroughs update their lists on a rolling basis.

That backlog meant the Brooklyn voter rolls needed a major clean up. The board can only remove people from its lists at certain times of year. There are blackout periods that exist 90 days before federal elections.

Ryan said Brooklyn election officials fell 6 months to a year behind updating their voter rolls.

Outspoken Republican Congressman Pete King hates Ted Cruz so much he threatens suicide over a Ted Cruz nomination.PH2007102200991

New York Rep. Pete King (R) on Tuesday offered his harshest words yet for Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz, slamming the Texas senator on the day of his state’s primary.

“Well, first of all, in case anybody gets confused, I’m not endorsing Ted Cruz, I hate Ted Cruz, and I think I’ll take cyanide if he ever got the nomination,” King said to open his appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” prompting a mixture of laughs and mild exclamations from co-hosts.
The Republican has previously said that he’d “never” vote for Cruz and that New Yorkers considering it “should have their head examined.”
“I think you are going to see Donald Trump scoring a big victory tonight,” King predicted Tuesday. “I have not endorsed Donald Trump. In fact, I actually voted by absentee ballot for John Kasich. I’m not endorsing John, but I voted for him to really send a message.”
Former Mayor Bloomberg finds commonalities in Trump and Sanders.Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton
Michael Bloomberg says there’s a connection between Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.
The two presidential candidates elude facts and attract voters with rhetoric, the former mayor of New York City said at a keynote speech for a Bloomberg Philanthropies summit Tuesday.
“I’m not trying to knock Donald Trump, but I do think what you’re seeing in this election, in some cases you argue on the facts, in some cases it becomes a religion — the facts don’t matter at all,” Bloomberg said.
“And that phenomenon, I think, is what you see with Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump. It’s the same phenomenon,” he continued. “People are not happy with their government. It has failed them. It hasn’t addressed their needs.”
The basic point may not surprise anyone who’s followed the long campaign trail this election season. Sanders, who is seeking the Democratic nomination, has recently been criticized — perhaps unfairly — for failing to correctly articulate the facts behind his views on big banks. The less said about Republican hopeful Trump’s flip-flopping, the better.
But Bloomberg wasn’t really talking about the election. The conference Tuesday was a “Summit on Transforming Data Into Action,” and his keynote was meant to illustrate how cities and businesses can harness big data to improve communities and help citizens. Bloomberg’s point was that most people can’t argue with the facts, even if certain leaders might try.
05165362Preliminary exit data is coming out.  Here’s somethings on the Republican side.

Conservatives/evangelicals: In preliminary exit poll results, evangelicals are in short supply, as are strong conservatives – groups customarily better for Cruz. Evangelicals account for about a quarter of voters in preliminary exit poll results (vs. 42 percent in Wisconsin and 58 percent in all primaries to date). “Very” conservatives account for two in 10 voters, vs. 31 percent in Wisconsin and 34 percent overall.

Wall Street: We’ve noted that more than six in 10 Democratic primary voters say Wall Street does more to hurt than help the U.S. economy; turns out the Street isn’t widely popular among Republican primary voters, either. They divide about evenly on whether Wall Street helps or hurts the economy.

Outsider: Trump may reach a new high on his signature issue: Nearly two-thirds of GOP primary voters in these preliminary exit poll results are looking for an outsider rather than someone with political experience. Outsider voters, a group Trump’s won overwhelmingly in past contests, peaked previously at 61 percent in Nevada.

The after-work crowd will vote after these preliminary data.
Democratic Exit Data show that the Party may be more unified than the pundits presume.

So maybe Democrats are bit more unified than we thought – at least compared with Republicans.

Eighty-five percent of New York Democratic primary voters in the exit poll say they will definitely or probably vote for Hillary Clinton if she becomes the Democratic presidential nominee.

Just 13 percent of them say they WON’T vote for her.

That’s compared with 26 percent of New York Republicans who say that they wouldn’t vote for Trump if he becomes the GOP nominee.

And it’s also compared with an Indiana exit poll during the height of the 2008 Barack Obama-vs.-Hillary Clinton race, which found 29 percent of Democratic voters saying they would either vote for John McCain or not vote at all.

Nate Silver has written today on the New York Primary and delegate math.57367495
A few weeks ago, we published a sort of best-case scenario for Sanders in which he wound up with exactly 2,026 pledged delegates, the number he’d need to clinch an elected delegate majority over Clinton. (Leave aside the thorny issue of superdelegates for now.) The path would require almost everything to go right for Sanders — including narrow wins in states such as Pennsylvania and New Jersey, and double-digit wins in California, Indiana and other states.

Sanders has had a good couple of weeks, however. He fell only two delegates shy of our path-to-2,026 projection in Wisconsin. He also fell four delegates shy in Wyoming, where his results were disappointing. However, Sanders has gained a few extra delegates at state conventions and from previous states revising their delegate counts as their results became official. Because of these changes, Sanders has kept exactly on pace with the path to 2,026 so far.

Tonight’s task is much harder, however. Our path had Sanders winning New York by a couple of percentage points and netting 128 out of 247 delegates there. Here’s what the rest of his path would look like on the unlikely-but-not-quite impossible chance that he does so:

Grab your favorite slice and join us! Hillary-Clinton-pizza

New York primary
Last poll closes at 9:00 PM ET


Live Blog Mega Tuesday: North Carolina, Florida and Ohio called for Hillary and Florida Called Trump! Rubio Quits!

11897ef54d36fd78b5a7c5d6762a95c4Good Evening!

We continue our live discussion on the the returns from some of the biggest states’ primaries.  We’re still waiting on Ohio (R), Missouri, North Carolina (R) and Illinois.

Rubio is shellacked in Florida then quits! Top Conservatives are in an uproar and–according to Politico–are looking for alternatives to the Republican front runner.

Three influential leaders of the conservative movement have summoned other top conservatives for a closed-door meeting Thursday in Washington, D.C., to talk about how to stop Donald Trump and, should he become the Republican nominee, how to run a third-party “true conservative” challenger in the fall.

The organizers of the meeting include Bill Wichterman, who was President George W. Bush’s liaison to the conservative movement; Bob Fischer, a South Dakota businessman and longtime conservative convener; and Erick Erickson, the outspoken Trump opponent and conservative activist who founded RedState.com.

This is basically the same group of people that turned the Republican Party into the dream base for that kind of candidate. WTF did they expect?  So, Rubio just quit.  Kasich Ides-of-March-appears to be alive in Ohio but that doesn’t really mean much.

“We will still be rich, and we will still be powerful, but we will not be special,” Rubio added after conceding, citing the legacy of Pilgrims, enslaved people and immigrants as key to an American common culture. The question now is where our common culture will head after the divisions of this election. Will the fault lines that have riven the electorate be healed by any one leader from any one party? On top of that, Rubio’s concession speech raises the question we’ve mused about occasionally here at FiveThirtyEight: whether there could even be a split in the Republican Party. People from many other nations are used to multiparty coalition governments. It’s clear we have more political wings of the electorate in America today than we have parties, but our system is hard-wired — for now — to remain firmly two-party.

No wonder this is being called Mega Tuesday!

For Donald Trump’s Republican rivals, it could be their last chance to stop his march toward the nomination, as the first winner-take-all states begin to vote. Florida Sen. red-ceramic-popcorn-bowls78122Marco Rubio is trying to topple Trump in Rubio’s home state; a loss would likely prove fatal for Rubio’s campaign. Ohio Gov. John Kasich is trying to fend Trump off on his home turf, with seemingly more success. Meanwhile, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz hopes he can grow his share of delegates and continue to make the argument he’s the only candidate who can catch Trump.

On the Democratic side, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders hopes his surprise win last week in Michigan means he can make inroads with other Rust Belt voters in Ohio, Illinois and elsewhere. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would like to blunt Sanders’ newfound momentum and notch wins in the Midwest.

Coming close no longer cuts it on Tuesday, at least for Republicans. The biggest prizes of the night, Florida and Ohio, are winner-take-all contests. For Republicans in the rest of the states and Democrats in all their contests, delegates will still be awarded proportionally.

And they just called Ohio for Hillary!!!!!

 

BYE BYE BERNIEBOTS!!!

Hillary is about to speak!!!

GET READY TO RUMBLE  STRUMP!!

 


Live Blog: Live Blog Republican Debate Hell Realm

174832_600Good Evening!

Well, if last night’s Democratic Debate wasn’t enough over kill for you, tonight’s Republican debate should do you in.

The debate is hosted by CNN and takes place in the battleground state of Florida which is basically Rubio’s Last Stand or (hmmm)  the Rubiocon.  Did that come off more like a convention for dimbulbs or as I intended?

Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, John Kasich and Marco Rubio will face off at CNN’s presidential debate on Thursday night in a state that could make one of the four men virtually unstoppable — and spell doom for another.

Thursday’s debate here comes just five days ahead of the next week’s “Super Tuesday 3,” when there are more than 350 delegates up for grabs, including in winner-take-all contests in Florida and Ohio.

 Both Trump and Rubio are predicting that they will be victorious here in the Sunshine State, and fully aware of how much is riding on Florida. For Trump, a win here would fuel his growing momentum and further grow his delegate lead; for Rubio, losing his home state could be the death knell for his campaign.

Cruz and Kasich will also take the debate stage at a crucial moment in their campaigns. Cruz is aggressively trying to convince the Republican Party to coalesce around him, arguing he is the only candidate other than Trump capable of reaching 1,237 delegates; Kasich, who still has not won a single state, is eying his home state of Ohio with fresh optimism after a new poll this week showed him ahead of Rubio nationally. A Fox News poll released Wednesday showed Kasich leading Trump in Ohio, but the front-runner topping Rubio in Florida.

How will Little Marcio and Lying Ted stand up against Big Donald? Also, is this just an opportunity for Kasich to apply for the VP slot?563822808191e.image

A CNN/ORC Pol has Trump and Clinton leading in Florida and Ohio. There is less likely to be Michigan-like sampling mistakes in these states because of neither are completely open states.

Donald Trump is leading two of his Republican presidential rivals in their home states,topping Sen. Marco Rubio in Florida and Gov. John Kasich in Ohio, new CNN/ORC polls show.

Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, is far ahead of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in both states.

In Ohio, Trump holds 41% to Kasich’s 35%, with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in third at 15% and Rubio in fourth with 7%.

And in Florida, Trump holds 40% to Rubio’s 24%, with Cruz at 19% and Kasich at 5%.

flat,800x800,075,t.u3This debate could be ugly.  Here’s our check off list per Gizmo.

The nuanced language and posture of each candidate.

Each candidate’s stated position on national security.

Dangerous rhetorical slip ups that could tilt the public’s perception.

Cruz’s aggressiveness towards Trump.

Rubio’s decision to dial back his negative attacks on Trump.

Underhanded compliments.

Zest for life from any of the four potential nominees.

Illness resulting from a grueling campaign schedule.

Statements about immigration.

The amount of perspiration coming from each candidate.

Hillary’s tweets during the debate.

Every time Cruz looks directly at the camera.

Zealous fans of establishment candidates in the audience.

Oligarchy.

Discussion of gun deaths in America and around the world.

International trade agreements.

Any direct attacks on Bernie rather than Hillary.

Cautious wording about deportation of undocumented immigrants.

Killer apps.

Interest in anything besides yelling.

Loud cheers for Kasich on moderate policy positions.

Love.

Every time Ted Cruz, a sitting Senator, says the word “establishment”

Racist stuff and all that.

Okay, that wasn’t serious. Well, kinda sorta.  Let’s try that again.images (7)cruzzodiacjpg-69dac784e8d1b2f9

Here’s the information on how to watch the Zodiac Killer  Senator Ted Cruz and the others debate.  If the others are still alive after Ted’s Dominionist Demons get to them.

Tonight’s Republican debate will air on CNN. But don’t worry: If you don’t have cable, you’ll still be able to tune in — an online live stream will be free and available to all at CNN.com. The network has said the event will kick off at 8:30 pm Eastern in Miami, Florida.

This debate is the final one before a crucial day of voting in the GOP race on Tuesday, March 15. Five states — Florida, Ohio, Illinois, North Carolina, and Missouri — will go to the polls that day, and about 15 percent of overall Republican delegates will be up for grabs. Even more importantly, both Florida and Ohio allot all their delegates to whichever candidate comes in first, so Donald Trump has a big opportunity to expand his already sizable delegate lead.

 Trump also has the chance to knock Marco Rubio and John Kasich out of the race, which he’d likely do if he beats each man in his home state. And he could well pull it off. Polls show Trump up big in Florida and neck and neck with Kasich in Ohio.

Rubio’s campaign appears to be in free fall lately — his performance in Tuesday’s elections was simply disastrous, and there’s been increasing speculation that he’ll drop out of the race soon. This debate is likely his last chance to turn his prospects around.

Do you think I’m tired of these freaking things yet?

So, here’s some good stuff to cheer you up about last night’s miserable excuse for a panel of human beings/journos asking questions of 19575025-mmmainDemocratic Presidential Candidates.

From Wonkette:

what the hell did we just watch?!

Dear Univision: Show Us On The Doll Where Hillary And Bernie Hurt You“Interrumpiendo La Vaca MUUUUUUUUUU!!!!”

It wasn’t just the questions themselves, either. Remember when Evan made that hilarious interrupting cow en Español joke yesterday? Yeah, so did the Univision debate moderators, apparently, because they spent the entire night doing it, repeatedly cutting off both candidates halfway through (not unreasonably long!) responses. Any time Bernie and Hillary started to go back and forth on a subject — y’know, to have a fucking debate — all three moderators brusquely attempted to force them to move on. At two separate points, Ramos told Bernie “You have 30 seconds,” then tried to cut him off before he hit 15. Even Hillary looked like she wanted to say “For fuck’s sake, let the man speak.”It wasn’t just that they were interrupted, either, it was how relentlessly dickish the moderators were about it. Four separate times (three for Bernie, one for Hillary), the candidates had clearly finished speaking, but the moderators made it a point to snap “YOUR TIME IS UP” anyway.So That Was The Most Badly Moderated Debate We’ll Ever See, Right?

God, we hope so.

From WAPO:

Please make these debates stop. I’m not having fun any more. Please let me out of this deep well. And stop giving me lotion. I don’t want any more lotion. I just want to go one night without watching a dang debate. Here is my recap of the last one. Won’t that suffice?

If not, here is the Wednesday night Univision/Washington Post debate summarized for those of you who were not unexpectedly trapped when helping a seemingly friendly stranger move a large unwieldy piece of furniture into a van and forced to watch these debates FOREVER PLEASE HAVE MERCY SEND SNACKS AT LEAST.

Clinton: Thank you for having me. I’ve been looking forward to this debate.

Maria Elena Salinas: Secretary Clinton, why don’t people trust you?

Clinton: Maybe it’s because I just said that I was looking forward to this debate, which is either a bald-faced lie or a sign that I am some kind of a sociopath. We had one of these three days ago. Why would we have another one now? Did you just want to torment me by putting me in another situation where a man makes unrealistic promises and waves his arms while I have to smile and look unruffled, all the while living with the knowledge that somehow he was what the people of Michigan wanted, not me? What does he have that I do not have? Does this answer your question?

Salinas: Maybe?

Salinas: Secretary Clinton, why don’t people like you?

Clinton: HOW AM I SUPPOSED TO ANSWER THAT

SERIOUSLY

Ladies and Gentlemen!  Start your popcorn poppers!!!