Pakistan Security Shielded Osama bin Laden from U.S. — Wikileaks

I thought we needed a new thread to discuss the bin Laden breakthrough. I’ll continue to update if I find more new information.

From the Tim Ross at the UK Telegraph:

In December 2009, the government of Tajikistan warned the United States that efforts to catch bin Laden were being thwarted by corrupt Pakistani spies.

According to a US diplomatic dispatch, General Abdullo Sadulloevich Nazarov, a senior Tajik counterterrorism official, told the Americans that “many” inside Pakistan knew where bin Laden was.

The document stated: “In Pakistan, Osama Bin Laden wasn’t an invisible man, and many knew his whereabouts in North Waziristan, but whenever security forces attempted a raid on his hideouts, the enemy received warning of their approach from sources in the security forces.”

Intelligence gathered from detainees at Guantanamo Bay may also have made the Americans wary of sharing their operational plans with the Pakistani government.

Hmmm…maybe those billions that are going to Pakistan would be better spend on dealing with unemployment here in the U.S.?

More on the courier from the CSM:

It is widely reported that the detained 9/11 mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed gave his US interrogators the pseudonym of a man he described as Osama bin Laden’s most trusted courier, whose whereabouts were tracked last fall to a fortress-like compound in Abbottabad city, some 75 miles north of the capital Islamabad. But US intelligence was also monitoring the satellite calls made by bin Laden’s bodyguard, which also helped lead US forces to bin Laden’s hiding place.

Bin Laden avoided e-mail and phones for fear those lines could be tracked, and instead relied on a system of personal couriers who carried his messages to the outside world. His compound lacked any telephone or Internet connection, according to local sources, but he did have at least one satellite phone. Further backing their story, a Reuters reporter visiting the scene reportedly saw a satellite dish in the compound.

Here’s a fascinating story in the NYT about some of the intelligence work that went into finding out where bin Laden was hiding in plain sight.

A trusted courier of Osama bin Laden’s whom American spies had been hunting for years was finally located in a compound 35 miles north of the Pakistani capital, close to one of the hubs of American counterterrorism operations. The property was so secure, so large, that American officials guessed it was built to hide someone far more important than a mere courier.

[….]

American intelligence officials said Sunday night that they finally learned the courier’s real name four years ago, but that it took another two years for them to learn the general region where he operated.

Still, it was not until August that they tracked him to the compound in Abbottabad, a medium-sized city about an hour’s drive north of Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan.

C.I.A. analysts spent the next several weeks examining satellite photos and intelligence reports to determine who might be living at the compound. A senior administration official said that by September the C.I.A. had decided that there was a “strong possibility” that Bin Laden himself was hiding there.


Five Meetings over Two Months lead to Kill Order (update)

CNN is getting more details as reporters are being briefed.

I just can't wait for the next South Park Osama adventure ...

Ed Henry has just clarified the timing of the Bin Laden killing.  Evidently, the President and the National Security Council met five times between March 4th and April 30th.  The President issued the kill order during the Royal Wedding.  Bin Laden was killed today.

Gloria Borger has been briefed too.  Borger says Bil Laden was killed in a compound that was built in 2005.  It was well armored.  The intelligence came from people watching messengers going in and out  and also reports that the compound burned trash instead of dumping it.  The mansion had been under surveillance for some time.  There were quite a few people living there  including one that met Bin Laden’s odd description It was a million dollar complex but there was no TV or internet.

Chris Lemon says the operations included a helicopter raid involving Navy Seals.  There were practice runs to minimize casualties in the area.  There was one helicopter that failed to get to the operations.  No one was hurt but the helicopter was destroyed.

Bin Laden was in Abbottabad; not in caves.   This is an affluent neighborhood filled with retired Pakistani military officals.  The compound was 8 times larger than similar homes in the area and had incredible security including enforced walls that were 12-18 feet tall and topped with barbed wire.   This situation attracted attention.

CNN says confirms the US has the body.

A team of U.S. Navy SEALs carried out the operation in Pakistan that ended in the death of al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, CNN’s Chris Lawrence reported.  The operation lasted about 40 minutes, and the team had practiced the raid a few times.

Earlier, CNN’s Nick Paton Walsh, citing  a senior Pakistani intelligence official, reported that members of Pakistan’s intelligence service – the ISI – were on site in Abbotabad, Pakistan, during the operation that killed  bin Laden. The official said he did not know who fired the shot that actually killed Bin Laden.

[Updated, 12:11 a.m. ET]  Members of Pakistan’s intelligence service – the ISI – were on site in Abbotabad, Pakistan, during the operation that killed Osama bin Laden, CNN’s Nick Paton Walsh reports, citing a senior Pakistani intelligence official. The official said he did not know who fired the shot that actually killed Bin Laden.

The US has issued a worldwide travel alert.  The U.S. State Department warns that “enhanced potential for anti-American violence” is possible following bin Laden’s death.

GEO TV from Pakistan has a video of the fire at the compound.


Breaking News: Osama Bin Laden is Dead

Live coverage from CNN here. The US has his body.  It’s been verified. Bin Laden was killed in  a US operation in Pakistan. Updates coming continually.

CSPAN coverage here.

President Obama will be making an announcement on TV shortly.

What I’m seeing right now is that he was killed in a predator drone strike. ABC reports  that there is a DNA match.  John King is saying they have actionable US intelligence.

CNN: Bin Laden killed “In a mansion outside Islamabad along with other family members.”

There’s a lot of twitter stuff out there about how he was killed.  It sounds like this operation may have started about  a week ago.  Obviously, the President’s speech is going to clear some of this up.

Update: The President has announced that it was a US operation outside of Islamabad and that there was a fire fight. Evidently, US special forces acted on the “actionable” intelligence.  The attack was today.


Late Night Bliss: Another One Bites the Dust

Republican Senator John Ensign from Nevada will resign his seat on Friday. He’s been under an ethics investigation for some time.

His departure comes as the Senate ethics committee is conducting an ongoing investigation into his handling of an affair with a former political aide — whose husband was also a top legislative aide to the senator.

Earlier this year the committee hired an outside counsel to begin a more formal investigative phase of Ensign’s actions, which would have likely led to either a public hearing on formal allegations or the public issuing of its allegations against the senator.

Removed from the Senate, the ethics committee has no jurisdiction in the matter and likely will keep private the results of its 20-month investigation.

In June 2009 Ensign publicly admitted that he had an affair with Cynthia Hampton, who was his political treasurer and was married to Doug Hampton, Ensign’s administrative assistant. The Ensign and Hampton families lived in the same neighborhood outside Las Vegas and were considered the best of friends.

In 2008, when the affair became known to the other spouses, Ensign dismissed both Hamptons from his political and legislative payroll. Ensign’s parents, wealthy casino magnates, paid the Hampton family $96,000 in what was labeled gift income for tax purposes, the precise amount legally permissible without triggering taxes.

There’s a Republican Governor in Nevada so this isn’t a game changer in terms of senate numbers. Here’s information the likely replacement.

Sources confirmed this afternoon that embattled U.S. Sen. John Ensignwill resign from office on Friday, opening the door for Republican Gov. Brian Sandoval to appoint Rep. Dean Heller to finish out the term.

If Heller is appointed, it would give him a strategic leg up as an incumbent against his presumed opponent in the 2012 Senate race, Democrat Rep. Shelley Berkley. Berkley is still expected to run.

It appears that Ensign is not under legal investigation.

The Justice Department and Federal Election Commission had announced separately that they were not pursuing investigations into Ensign’s conduct, but the Senate Ethics panel was pressing ahead.

Senate Ethics Chairman Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) and Vice Chairman Johnny Isakson (R-Ga.) supported Ensign’s decision to step down.

“The Senate Ethics Committee has worked diligently for 22 months on this matter and will complete its work in a timely fashion,” they said in a statement Thursday night. “Senator Ensign has made the appropriate decision.”

Sources said the Senator informed his Nevada and Washington, D.C., staff of his decision late Thursday afternoon.

Ensign’s imminent resignation is a major boost to Republicans, who expected a competitive 2012 open-seat race between Reps. Dean Heller (R) and Shelley Berkley (D). Heller announced his bid in March, and Berkley said she would run last week.


Our Contrived Fiscal Crisis and the President who buys into it …

Federal deficits always go up big and automatically during two events.  That would be wars and recessions.  We have had two wars going on for about 10 years now and we’ve had the deepest recession since World War 2.  Getting rid of the two wars and solving the residual problems of unemployment would eliminate any potential future fiscal crisis.  Any economist will tell you this.  It’s not a secret we keep from the world.  Passing huge tax cuts and laws that remove nearly all capital and all types of businesses incomes from the pool of revenue sources only exacerbates the revenues problems you get during recessions and expenditure run-ups that come from running wars.

We’ve had excessive war spending before.  Our country was born with a lot of money borrowed from the Dutch.  The Civil War and both World Wars–especially number two–placed our federal deficit and debt at astronomical levels of GDP.  Did our country crash and burn because of the actions of John Adams, Abraham Lincoln or the spending during World War 1 or World War 2?  Did you feel that life in the 1950s and 1960s and the children born then were oppressed by excessive debt?

Of course not.

Federal Debts and Deficits are functions of the size and health of the economy underlying the obligations.  We have plenty of taxable assets and businesses making money.  You can tell how risky the market for our Federal debt is by looking at the yields on Government bonds and Treasuries.  The current yields for Treasuries are listed right here. They are at near historic lows and they are still selling.  Nothing in that market indicates any reticence by any participant to buy American Debt obligations.  The ability to tax and raise taxes as well as print money is a unique function of government.  We can do both.  If we’d have let the Dubya Bush tax cuts just expire we would’ve closed the deficit gap and reduced the debt by more than anything than is on the table right now.  That would include the disingenuous and malfeasant Ryan plan. It also includes the the one that will come from the White House today at 1:35 est.

We need to put taxing capital back on the table.  That includes dividends, capital gains, and vast inheritances and trust funds.  We need to remove tax loopholes and subsidies to corporations.  We do not need to remove the last vestiges of safety nets standing.  There appears to be no one brave enough in Washington DC to say that but I will join the bow tie set in shouting just that.  It is time to stop subsidizing incompetent business owners and time to invest in the country and its people.  Washington DC has the nation’s priorities all wrong.

The White House provided no more specifics on the four steps to be offered in his afternoon speech at George Washington University. But an official said his plan would “borrow” from the recommendations of the 2010 fiscal commission that Obama empaneled, but whose proposals he never fully embraced.

“The president will make clear that while we all share the goal of reducing our deficit and putting our nation back on a fiscally responsible path, his vision is one where we can live within our means without putting burdens on the middle class and seniors or impeding our ability to invest in our future,” the official said.

Republicans–as eloquently stated by former budget Director David Stockman–have a tax fetish.   Republicans are refusing to put any taxes on the table.  Rand Paul is considering filibustering the increase in the debt ceiling. It appears some of these folks are so disturbingly ideological and economics-disabled that they will let the US go “bankrupt” in the only way possible it could do so.  They will allow the US to default on its debt obligations.  The Republican Party seems ruled by insane people at the moment.  The Democrats, however, are ruled by folks that appear to be playing into right wing memes to appeal to some independents.  So, why are we only left with poisonous choices?

Some of the Democratic base is finally waking up to the truth about Obama. He has no core Democratic values.  We’re about to see a Democratic president put the cornerstones of Democratic policy on the bargaining table in an effort to appease some folks during the re-election cycle.  I’m wondering if it’s all not just a little too late.  Ever since the real economists left the building, White House Policy has grown more and more Republican.

Key liberal groups, which helped elect Obama in 2008, are raising concerns that he has given up political ground to Republicans, allowing the message of reducing government to trump that of creating jobs and lowering the unemployment rate.

Seizing on Friday’s deal, which would cut $38.5 billion from the fiscal 2011 budget, activists on Tuesday threatened to sit out the 2012 presidential campaign if Obama goes too far with further cuts.

“The fundamental problem in our country right now is unemployment and a jobs crisis, not a deficit crisis,” said Deepak Bhargava, executive director of the Center for Community Change, an advocacy group for the poor. “It appears the president is fighting on the wrong terrain and is conceding that the only thing we should be talking about is how to bring down the deficit.”

The clash over government spending — coming as Obama prepares to make a major speech on fiscal discipline Wednesday — is the latest example of the frayed relations between the president and a broad coalition of union and activist groups.

The details of the budget compromise as well as the way that the Health Care Reform act was rammed through congress have shown that Obama is more than eager to get something, anything passed than to fight for reform that would actually reflect either public opinion or traditional Democratic Values. Poor black women from the District of Colombia were  nearly the first ones thrown under the budget cutting bus.  Which previous US Democratic President would have sold them out?

To get the trade-off on the policy riders, Democrats had to give on spending — to the tune of the largest budget cuts ever. There’s a $1.1-billion cut across the board for discretionary spending and dozens of nips and tucks all over government, from Justice Department programs to subsidies for co-ops in the new health care law to the Pell Grant program for low-income college students.

I am going to watch this speech.  I’m only hoping some of the disgruntled chat coming from real Democrats materializes into something substantive after it happens.

DeFazio said Monday that Democrats haven’t put enough pressure on Obama.

“That’s what the House did wrong in the last Congress, and in part why we lost is we never pushed back, no matter how wrong he was or how off-base he was; we never pushed back,” DeFazio told MSNBC.

“There are a number of us in the caucus now pushing back very hard on our leadership,” DeFazio said. “Who knows where they’ll end up, but maybe we can take enough D’s with us to make them uncomfortable and to make them stick with making the president act like a Democrat.”

The Democrats’ frustration with Obama is hardly new. Liberals were furious in December when the president caved to GOP demands that Congress extend tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans. More recently, many liberals have questioned the wisdom and constitutionality of launching military attacks on Libya with prior approval from Congress.

Behind closed doors, Democratic leaders are frustrated that Obama hasn’t been more involved in the big policy fights of recent months, including the spending battle.

The way to get to this President is through his re-election efforts and his ego.  Hopefully, a few groups will stop facilitating the cave-ins and start fighting for the country’s interests.   You can watch the President’s speech on CSPAN at this link. I have my bucket o’ Nerf balls ready and I’m warming up for the first pitch of the 2012 presidential campaign season.  Join me as we share the pain and none of the gain.