The Real Debt we’re Leaving our Children
Posted: September 8, 2012 Filed under: academia | Tags: student loan crisis 12 Comments
As you know, I just finished my doctorate and my youngest just finished her online bachelors degree. I’d really like her to go get an MBA right now but she sees the debt that her sister accumulated during med school and my student loan debt which just basically happened over the last two years. Tuition is going up almost as astronomically as health care costs because of the great recession. Lack of jobs after school is a problem. The youngest is bar-tending and doing part-time temp jobs in NOmaha. She has yet to round up a good job. I’m still looking for a tenure track position while working as an adjunct. The only one that can probably hand the student loan debt is Dr. Daughter. I didn’t get student loans for my undergrad or my first graduate degree. I paid for them both. This time, I just couldn’t swing the tuition. My student loan is actually larger than my house loan at the moment. That scares me when I think about it. But, it would worry me more if I was younger. Read these two NYT articles to see why.
At a protest last year at New York University, students called attention to their mounting debt by wearing T-shirts with the amount they owed scribbled across the front — $90,000, $75,000, $20,000.
Amanda Cordeiro of Clermont, Fla., owes $55,000 in student loans. She has changed her phone number about four times in a year to avoid being found.
On the sidelines was a business consultant for the debt collection industry with a different take.
“I couldn’t believe the accumulated wealth they represent — for our industry,” the consultant, Jerry Ashton, wrote in a column for a trade publication, InsideARM.com. “It was lip-smacking.”
Though Mr. Ashton says his column was meant to be ironic, it nonetheless highlighted undeniable truths: many borrowers are struggling to pay off their student loans, and the debt collection industry is cashing in.
As the number of people taking out government-backed student loans has exploded, so has the number who have fallen at least 12 months behind in making payments — about 5.9 million people nationwide, up about a third in the last five years.
In all, nearly one in every six borrowers with a loan balance is in default. The amount of defaulted loans — $76 billion — is greater than the yearly tuition bill for all students at public two- and four-year colleges and universities, according to a survey of state education officials.
Yes, collecting student loan debt from students who face the worst job market since the Reagan years is now a cottage industry. Oh, wait, I forgot, I was just supposed to take a loan out from my 90 year old father. Right?
Last year, a study by the Institute for Higher Education Policy found that for every borrower who defaulted, at least two more borrowers were delinquent in their payments. And in March, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, using a survey of credit reports, concluded that more than one in four borrowers of student loans, both federal and private loans, were behind on their payments.
Long-range projections by the Department of Education estimate that the default rate over 20 years, for borrowers who began repayment in 2009, is 17 percent; among students who attended profit-making colleges, the predicted default rate is 49 percent.
It is messy, though, to compare those long-range estimates with the official default rate published by the Department of Education. The long-range estimates are calculated on the dollar amount of loans in default, while the official rate is based on the number of borrowers in default.
Looking at defaults another way, about 15 percent of all borrowers have been in default at the end of the last six fiscal years, which ends Sept. 30, according to Department of Education data. Currently, 16 percent of borrowers are in default, nearly twice the official default rate.
This is a problem on all kinds of levels.
Government officials estimate they will collect 76 to 82 cents on every dollar of loans made in fiscal 2013 that end up in default. That does not include collection costs that are billed to the borrowers and paid to the collection agencies.
While the government’s estimates take into account the uncertainty of collecting money over long periods, some critics say they don’t go far enough.
A 2007 academic study, for instance, estimated that the recovery rate was closer to 50 cents on the dollar.
“The reporting standards that the government imposes on themselves are far weaker than what they require of private institutions,” said Deborah J. Lucas, a finance professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and an author of the study.
Over all, collections on federally backed student loans were $12 billion in the last fiscal year, 18 percent higher than the previous year. Of that, $1.65 billion came from seizures of government checks like tax returns and $1.01 billion was collected by garnisheeing borrowers’ wages. More than $8 billion of defaulted loans, however, were consolidated or rehabilitated.
Here’s some more interesting items. Here’s some items from Florida.
Student loan debt is now higher than credit card debt, and could become the next bubble to burst. Understandably, the recession has made it hard for recent graduates to repay their loans, but Baby Boomers have no such excuse. Plenty of employed Americans under 35 include loan repayments in their budgets.
The real unfairness is that during the last decade the government allowed students to be suckered, by privatizing student loans. Colleges got in on the scam. Florida State University’s financial aid director sat on the board of a company that did $27 million in loans to FSU students. Stetson University Law School’s financial aid director sat on the advisory board of a lender that did 70 percent of the school’s loan business. More than a dozen officials in the Department of Education under President Bush came from the student loan industry or left to work there.
Loans matter more than ever to many students. Florida has cut spending on higher education and raised tuition. Some in Congress want to cut Pell grants to students. Online courses may be one way to cut the cost of obtaining a college degree. For now, though, one way to reduce student debt is to force older students to repay it.
Hidden in this St. Augstine editorial is a nugget. For nearly a decade, student loans were a free-for-all pig run for private lenders. This has changed since 2010. However, it exposes the deeper problem of students trying to get ahead in a world that demands skills when tuition costs keep skyrocketing. Do talented students need to just settle for community college or hope they have a rich dad with deep pockets–as suggested by Republican Presidential candidate Romney–or is there a third way?
A college degree is still worth the time, money, and effort. How can we help our citizens achieve this goal without saddling them with a house-sized debt?
… college graduates are doing better than everyone else. For instance, the median earnings of a college graduate with a BA working full-time in 2008 was $55,700 and for those with an Associates Degree (typically awarded by community and technical colleges) was $42,000. That’s significantly better than the $33,800 for high school-only grads and $24,300 for those without a high school diploma.
The unemployment numbers are striking, too. The latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show an unemployment rate of 4.3 percent for college graduates and above who are 25 years and older. That compares with 9.5 percent for high school graduates and 13.9 percent for those with less than a high school education. “The real damage has happened with the loss of low-skill jobs,” says Stephen Rose, research professor at the Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce.
The benefits of postsecondary education are apparent even after drilling down deeper into the unemployment numbers. For instance, some high-wage workers have little education—a plumber, say. And highly educated workers can make very little—an English PhD, for instance, working in the back office of a nonprofit. Specifically, after dividing worker wages into fifths, about 25 percent of those in the two highest wage groups, or quintiles, have only a high school diploma. Similarly, about 20 percent of workers with a college degree were in the lowest two wage quintiles. Yet from 2007 through 2009 the unemployment rates for less-educated high-wage workers rose faster than for college-educated low-wage workers, according to researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
There are a number of ways to help our future work force invest in themselves. First, we could actually decrease their burden or give them paybacks for success. What about giving them some incentives not to quit school? We can also encourage them to move or work in under-served areas. Many states will pay for nurses and doctors to go to school if they will agree to practice in rural areas or go into practices that serve a key populace. Other countries treat higher education like other forms of public education. This problem of debt will not go away and we have to think creatively to find ways to help our graduates deal with it. This should be something other than growing a cottage industry of folks to harass them into paying. We need to invest in educated and trained workers and help students that succeed. We also need to encourage schools to improve their delivery systems. Where’s the conversation about all of this during this election year?
The Clash of the Titans: Ideology vs. History
Posted: October 29, 2011 Filed under: #Occupy and We are the 99 percent!, academia, Banksters, Corporate Crime, Economy, financial institutions, Global Financial Crisis 19 CommentsThursday night I caught an amazing piece of political dialogue on the Anderson Cooper show between Peter Schiff and Cornell West. What an odd pairing!
Peter Schiff, as many will recall, ran an unsuccessful Connecticut senatorial primary bid in 2010. He’s described as an adherent of the Austrian School of Economics, from the same branch Ron Paul falls: libertarian, believer in free market fundamentalism–unchain capitalism and all things will fall from Heaven. Schiff is currently the CEO of Euro-Pacific Capital, Inc. and Euro-Pacific Precious Metals.
In contrast, Cornell West is an academic, sometimes referred to as a ‘public intellectual,’ a professor at Princeton where he teaches from the Center for African American Studies and the Department of Religion. He has been a consistent voice for the underclass, the working poor and speaks to the effects of race, gender and class in American society.
Though both men have engaged the Occupy Wall St. [OWS] movement, their approaches could not be more different. Peter Schiff went to Zuccotti Park with a sign–I am the 1%–presumably to start a conversation with the protesters. Hummmm. Mr. Schiff’s definition of ‘conversing’ must be different than mine. From the clip below? I’d use the word confrontation.
Cornell West on the other hand has been arrested twice during the Occupy encampment—once in DC before the Supreme Court protesting the Citizens United decision, where corporate political funding was equated with free speech, using the precedent that corporations = personhood. A decision, I might add that I and many others view as horrifically destructive, only adding to the problem of money swamping our electoral process. Dr. West was arrested for the terrifying crime of holding a sign [a no-no on the steps of Supreme Court] which read: Poverty is the Greatest Violence of All. On a second occasion, Dr. West was arrested in Harlem for marching with other Occupy members in front of the 28th Precinct, protesting the NYPD’s practice of ‘stop and frisk,’ which allows police to search citizens at will, a procedure that involves primarily people of color. Reportedly 600,000 stops were made in 2010, with 7% of those stops resulting in arrests.
So, we have two men, both educated, articulate and successful, both engaging OWS from 180 degree positions. Peter Schiff takes the view that unfettered capitalism will save the world as opposed to West’s humanistic viewpoint that unregulated capitalism has brought the world to its knees and threatens to scrap the very safety nets and programs that allow people to better themselves [education, for instance] and escape the violent confines that poverty and hopelessness exact.
We can argue these principles till the cows come home but a debater makes a serious mistake when they rewrite history to support their ideology, willfully fabricating, tweaking the facts to make their points more relevant and sound.
Peter Schiff, to his shame, pulled out all the old tricks like a fumbling magician who has no talent for sleight of hand. He like so many others who deify free market fundamentalism come off sounding remarkably reasonable, even simpatico with many of the concerns of average Americans. But they always slip up, only to expose the trickster; those disappearing cards are simply stuck up their sleeves.
In Zuccotti Park, Schiff claims he pays ‘almost 50% of his income in taxes’ under the current tax system. 50%. No one in the top 1% pays anything close to 50% in personal income tax and if they did then their accountant deserves to be marched to the wall and executed, toute suite. The rich have all sorts of tax breaks, exemptions, loopholes and shelters that average working people can only dream of. The claim is sheer nonsense by those who, in their heart of hearts, don’t wish to pay any tax at all. The same is true of claiming they want to return to the ‘golden’ 1950s when things were on an upswing and America was the most productive nation in the world [as Schiff remarks, as if it were a 1000 years ago]. And the top marginal tax rate was? 91%.
Yes, records were actually kept in the 1950s and we can look up false statements! Maybe Schiff really meant the roaring mid-20s to 1931 were the rate was 25%, and then BOOM! Depression time.
I must say I enjoyed the explanation of Wall St. greed as a by-product of Government manipulation. This is a turn on that old Flip Wilson skit line, But . . . But . . .The Devil Made Me Do it.
In addition, there is the sweet comment—“The regulation we want is the market. Markets regulate themselves.” This makes a great sound byte but is nothing more than the same garbage philosophy that brought us to this moment of economic woe, something that even Alan Greenspan, former Fed chairman finally admitted in hound-dog fashion: Did. Not. Work.
But Schiff’s greatest leap into fantasy is saved for the CNN segment I initially mentioned, where he claims that capitalism, free-market capitalism alone led to changes in the workplace: Child Labor Laws, Worker’s Safety laws, the 40-hour work week [see at the 8 minute mark].
I give Cornell West props for not coming through the screen with that claim. I guess Schiff never heard of the Radium Girls, the Triangle Shirtwaist Factory Fire, the Battle of Blair Mountain or the entire Labor Movement for that matter. The unregulated capitalists of that long ago era were not willing to give an inch, let alone provide workers with anything amounting to change. Justice was wrenched out through struggle, protest, suffering and deprivation. Justice was long in coming but come it did.
West’s suggestion that he and Schiff need to sit down over coffee and cognac is way too easy and polite. West would be advised to bring a straight jacket in Peter Schiff’s size for safety purposes. Or march him to church to beg forgiveness for fibbing [also known as spreading disinformation] to the public.
There’s a quote attributed to the late Daniel Moynihan:
“You’re entitled to your own opinion, but you’re not entitled to your own facts.”
In the Clash of the Titans, history always wins.
“Having a Republican Governor is associated with low Economic Growth”
Posted: May 9, 2011 Filed under: academia, Domestic Policy, Economic Develpment, Economy, Republican politics | Tags: austerity measures by states fail, state economic growth, state fiscal policy, voodoo economics 13 Comments
The Miser Brothers as Republican Governors. Honey, we shrunk the state's prosperity but saved us a few pennies in tax dollars.
There’s a new academic study by professors from Tulane University and the Nevada state Department of Planning and Budget that’s sure to become the source of some very hot political debate. I didn’t bury the lead. It’s up there in the banner header, however, I’m sure you want to know the supporting evidence and tests. There’s a brief overview of this study at The Atlantic written by Richard Florida who is the Director of the Martin Prosperity Institute at the University of Toronto
The basic research question for the authors was “What factors influence state economic growth?”. Basically, the authors look at a state’s fiscal policy and regress it against various policy choices and factors. Then, they run some Monte Carlo simulations to see what happens under various scenarios. It’s complex statistics but their findings are somewhat intuitive to me for years as well as true to my experience working with the state of Nebraska as a consultant to its Economic Development Department. However, this is a solid academic study with oodles of data. It’s the kind of study that will be talked about for some time in economic circles.
This is what I learned from my time dealing with people in state governments whose jobs are attracting and retaining companies. Businesses tend to relocate to states with good public services and low cost, employees that come from good educational systems. They look for decent public school systems and state universities that do research in their area. They want good state recreational facilities and even professional sports teams and cultural venues. Omaha used to lose out to all kinds of places over things like lack of recreational facilities and cultural venues all the time. It lost two fortune 100 companies and possible new ones over no recreational facilities or sports venues. They offered hugely attractive tax packages and ready to build land but they always lost out on the same reason that makes me not want to live there. There’s really very few things to do there and you don’t spend your life at work.
If you haven’t figured out that all of those things people and corporations seek basically come from public tax dollars, you must be a Republican. A state’s tax giveaways and tax rates aren’t as high up on the list of things attractive to business as most die-hard Republicans want you to believe. That’s pretty much what this study shows.
A new study by Tulane’s James Alm and Janet Rogers of Nevada’s Department of Budget and Planning (h/t Ryan Avent, whose deadpan tweet noted that it was likely to spark a “lively discussion”) takes a close look at the effects of tax and spending policies at the state level. Entitled “Do State Fiscal Policies Affect State Economic Growth?”, it examines 50 years of data (from 1947 to 1997), tracking the effects of state tax policies, spending policies, and political orientation on economic growth. Looking at the different policy approaches and strategies that have been pursued at the level of states and cities and comparing their results provides a useful lens through which to examine pressing national issues. Alm’s and Rogers’ main findings are certainly interesting; “lively” is quite likely an understatement for the sort of debate their findings should inspire.
There are two major take-aways. First, a “state’s fiscal policies have a measurable relationship with per capita income growth, although not always in the expected direction.” Tax impacts, they report, are “quite variable”; “expenditure impacts are more consistent.”
This particular statement is right up there in the author’s abstract.
Of some interest, there is moderately strong evidence that a states political orientation has consistent and measurable effects on economic growth; perhaps surprisingly, a more \conservative” political orientation is associated with lower rates of economic growth.
Wow. Austerity doesn’t work. Not only does it NOT work, it’s detrimental to the state’s economic well being and future. Again this should be pretty intuitive. If you have a business, you need customers with paychecks. The higher the paycheck, the more they customer spends on nonessentials which many business sell. Also, you need good, happy, creative employees. If you rely on professional people, these folks like good restaurants, entertainment, schools, and sports venues. Every one needs good transportation infrastructure like well maintained roads and airports. Again, a lot of this must be provided by government for a variety of reasons having to do with the nature of public goods.
Their conclusion is pretty damning to current policy prescriptions.
… there is strong evidence that a state’s political orientation, as indicated by whether the governor is Republican or Democrat, whether the state has enacted tax and expenditure limitation legislation, and whether the state frequently elects a governor of the same party as the incumbent, have consistent, measurable, and significant effects on economic growth. Perhaps surprisingly, having a Republican governor is associated with lower rates of growth.
I’m not the least bit surprised. This is good old fashioned, no-nonsense Keynesian results. Also, growth rates compound over time like interest compounds your savings account. If the rates of growth are low during one administration, the state will fall farther and farther behind so one or two administrations of bad fiscal policy means that slow growth compounds over time and makes the results more noticeable as you go along. This seems to be how they capture some of their significant differences.
That trend brings us back to the extremely low growth we had during the Dubya years and the paltry recovery we have now. Traditional fiscal policy always tells us that the multiplying effects of tax cuts are less strong than increases in government spending because the first round of government spending gets spent 100 percent and because it usually is targeted at infrastructure or other types of spending that has long reaching impact. Yes, you can actually see economic benefit from building football stadiums or airports. When you give money to rich people or even business in tax rebates or tax cuts, there’s no way of controlling where it goes or where it’s spent. That degrades the impact of the stimulus as well as leads to lost revenues. And, at the moment, those tax cuts at the state level are being coupled with excuses to raid basic government services like public education. The result is basically a drain on the state’s capacity to grow as well as no stimulation to the economy.
Anyway, I imagine the Cato Institute or the Heritage Institute will try to rush out some distorted studies of their own shortly depending on how much circulation this gets. I would like to add that the state of Nevada is not exactly Massachusetts and even though Tulane is referred to as the Harvard of the South, it’s still Louisiana. Let’s hope this does stir up some debate and that this study attracts attention in all the right places.
Who Could Have Predicted…. “Dr. Sex” Issues Non-Apology Apology
Posted: March 5, 2011 Filed under: academia | Tags: fetishes, human sexuality course, J. Michael Bailey, Northwestern University, orgasm, sex, sex toys, tenure 35 CommentsI knew this was coming. I posted a link to this story in a comment on the Thursday morning thread: “Northwestern University defends after-class live sex demonstration.”
More than 100 Northwestern University students watched as a naked 25-year-old woman was penetrated by a sex toy wielded by her fiancee during an after-class session of the school’s popular “Human Sexuality” class.
The woman said she showed up at the Feb. 21 lecture in the Ryan Family Auditorium in Evanston expecting just to answer questions, but was game to demonstrate. The course’s professor on Wednesday acknowledged some initial hesitation, but said student feedback was “uniformly positive.”
At first Northwestern stood behind their controversial professor, J. Michael Bailey AKA “Dr. Sex.”
“Northwestern University faculty members engage in teaching and research on a wide variety of topics, some of them controversial and at the leading edge of their respective disciplines,” said Alan K. Cubbage, vice president for University Relations. “The University supports the efforts of its faculty to further the advancement of knowledge.”
Uh huh. I wonder what knowledge was advanced by a woman (Faith Kroll, see photo) having an orgasm on a stage in front of 100 students? I’m no prude, but come on! Please someone explain how this “furthers the advancement of knowledge?” Was it the part where the woman who was stimulated on stage announced that she gets off on being watched while having sex?
Next, a woman took her clothes off, and—with an audience of around 100—lay down on her back, legs spread. As students moved forward from the theater’s back seats, for a closer view, “The girl grabbed the mic,” says Sean Lavery, a Northwestern freshman. “She explained that she had a fetish for being watched by large crowds while having an orgasm.”
Again, I’m no prude. This was an optional session, with a warning about a graphic demonstration. The students were presumably chronological adults. Frankly, I wouldn’t have stuck around to watch, but I probably wouldn’t have taken the class to begin with.
But if I had been there, it would have been very easy for me to foresee that this after class “demonstration” would lead to Trouble with a capital T. The trouble is those “adult” college students have parents who don’t see them as full adults yet, and universities are surrounded by communities of people who tend to get a bit worked up about the idea of professors organizing live sex shows for their students.
Guess what? After some reflection, the president of Northwestern is “troubled,” and has launched an “investigation.”
….after the incident received national attention, officials now say they are investigating. In a statement, the university president said the demonstration “represented extremely poor judgment on the part of our faculty member” and was not “appropriate, necessary, or in keeping with Northwestern University’s academic mission,” the Daily Northwestern reports.
No kidding. And today Dr. Sex has issued an apology.
“I apologize,” he writes. “As I have noted elsewhere, the demonstration was unplanned and occurred because I made a quick decision to allow it. I should not have done so.”
He said he was surprised by the public outcry over the after-class incident in the Ryan Family Auditorium, where a man used a high-powered sex toy on his girlfriend in front of 100 students.
“During a time of financial crisis, war, and global warming, this story has been a top news story for more than two days,” Bailey wrote in his statement. “That this is so reveals a stark difference of opinion between people like me, who see absolutely no harm in what happened, and those who believe that it was profoundly wrong.”
Obviously, this man has been in his ivory tower studying human sexual behavior for so long that he missed the fact that we live in a country where people search for titillating and even sordid distractions from the nightmare of our current political and fiscal situations. He must not be aware that Americans love “reality TV” almost as much as they love the “unreal” world of Fox News. The controversy Bailey set off fit right into that picture.
As part of his non-apology “apology,” Bailey said:
Bailey said that while he regretted allowing the Feb. 21 sex toy demonstration he also does not believe those who were offended made a good case for why the act should not have been allowed.
“Those who believe that there was, in fact, a serious problem have had considerable opportunity to explain why: in the numerous media stories on the controversy, or in their various correspondences with me,” the statement reads. “But they have failed to do so. Saying that the demonstration ‘crossed the line,’ went too far,’ ‘was inappropriate,’ or ‘was troubling’ convey disapproval but do not illuminate reasoning.”
He adds that if he was grading the arguments against allowing a man to use a custom high-powered sex toy to bring his naked girlfriend to orgasm before 100 students, “most would earn an ‘F.’”
Others can make the “right or wrong” argument. For me, the reason no professor should do some thing like this is because it’s just plain stupid and if the uproar gets too great, it could lead to the loss of tenure and dismissal.
Even if he keeps his job, Bailey has drawn a great deal of negative attention on the academic institution he works for and his human bosses, including the university president, the dean, and the department chairman. His actions could cost his university in terms of alumni support and contributions from large and small donors. It could even lead some parents to discourage their children from attending Northwestern.
And for what? What are the arguments in favor of doing the demonstration? How was the cause of science or knowledge advanced by what what Professor Bailey did? In my opinion, Professor Bailey’s decision was just plain stupid, childish, and egotistical.










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