Thursday Reads: The Spy War
Posted: February 16, 2017 Filed under: Foreign Affairs, morning reads, U.S. Politics | Tags: Deutsche Bank, Donald Trump, intelligence community, John Schindler, Malcolm Nance, Russia, spies, spy war 79 Comments
Good Morning!!
Week four of the tRump presidency has been even wilder than the previous three weeks, and it’s not over yet. How much more crazy and chaotic can thing get in the U.S. government?
Two days ago, the top special ops commander warned that the government is “in unbelievable turmoil,” according to CNN–and this was before the Flynn resignation!
The head of US Special Operations Command said Tuesday that the US government is in “unbelievable turmoil,” a situation that he suggested could undermine US efforts to fight adversaries such as ISIS.
“Our government continues to be in unbelievable turmoil. I hope they sort it out soon because we’re a nation at war,” Army Gen. Raymond “Tony” Thomas told a symposium in Maryland….Thomas oversees America’s elite Special Operations troops, including Navy SEALs and Army Green Berets, which have played a large role in carrying out the nation’s conflicts since 9/11.Asked later about his comments, Thomas, a veteran of Iraq and Afghanistan, said: “As a commander, I’m concerned our government be as stable as possible.”
Since Flynn resigned/was fired, the media has been focusing on ties between tRump and his “associates” and the Russian government and intelligence agencies, including CNN’s report that “Trump aides were in constant touch with senior Russian officials during campaign.” This scandal has already gone way beyond Watergate, and we still don’t have a serious investigation in Congress. It’s difficult to see how much longer Republicans can avoid the inevitable. Yesterday, Malcolm Nance warned on MSNBC that tRump staffers should seriously consider lawyering up.
Nance, a former NSA employee and current MSNBC counterterrorism and intel analyst, warned that this is “very, very, serious stuff” and that because the FISA warrant “authorized the NSA to turn on the full collection power of the United States…there is nothing that will escape that.”
Given what intelligence agencies know – and this is in direct contradiction of Republican claims that no such evidence exists – he said,
“These people need to start getting lawyers and cutting deals because when we have both sides of the conversation, you are gonna get caught.”
Today former NSA analyst John Schindler has a new opinion piece at the NY Observer: KremlinGate Enters Uncharted Waters as Russian Links Overwhelm DC. Here’s what he had to say about former tRump campaign manager Paul Manafort:
One of the Trump associates named in both reports (from the NYT and at CNN, linked above) is Paul Manafort, the shady veteran political operative who left the campaign last August when his unsavory ties to the Kremlin hit the newspapers. In response to the latest allegations, Manafort replied, “I don’t remember talking to any Russian officials,” last year, memorably adding that he had no recollection of ever being in contact with Kremlin spies: “It’s not like these people wear badges that say, ‘I’m a Russian intelligence officer.’”
That appears to be yet another untruth, since as I reported back in August, Manafort’s longtime friend in Kyiv, Konstantin Kilimnik, who served as his translator and sidekick during Manafort’s years as a political fixer for Ukraine’s then-ruling party, was remarkably open about his longstanding affiliation with GRU, that is Russian military intelligence. Kilimnik boasted of his GRU ties, which he didn’t discuss in the past tense only. For Manafort to say he’s never been in contact with Russian spies is therefore unconvincing.
And on tRump:
The president seems to be increasingly flabbergasted by the exposure of his clandestine relationship with Moscow. As is his wont, he took to Twitter to lambaste the Intelligence Community and the mainstream media some more, denouncing “fake news” and IC leaks, while asserting that American spies are acting “just like Russia”—a puzzling statement that may be more revealing than the president intended—and to top it off they’re “very un-American.” Perhaps this is progress of a sort, since it was only a few weeks ago that Trump compared the IC to Nazi Germany on Twitter.
All the same, presidential mania on social media isn’t a pretty picture and will do nothing to stop the coming investigations by Congress into what exactly was going on between the Trump campaign and the Kremlin last year. Trump’s bluster and deflections on the campaign trail sufficed to push aside some of those troubling questions, but things have reached a point that the full story, no matter how unpleasant it may be, will come out, eventually.
At a minimum, the House and Senate intelligence committees will be conducting investigations which ought to worry the White House, whose political future will likely depend on how many Republicans are willing to back Trump—and by extension the Kremlin—over fellow Americans. Since several prominent Republican senators, including Intelligence Committee chair Richard Burr, have indicated that investigations are going forward, the White House can’t depend on partisan loyalty to protect them for much longer.
Read the whole thing at the NY Observer.
At Newsweek, Kurt Eichenwald reported that our allies have been spying on tRump and “associates” in order to protect themselves.
As part of intelligence operations being conducted against the United States for the last seven months, at least one Western European ally intercepted a series of communications before the inauguration between advisers associated with President Donald Trump and Russian government officials, according to people with direct knowledge of the situation.
The sources said the interceptions include at least one contact between former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn and a Russian official based in the United States. It could not be confirmed whether this involved the telephone call with Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak that has led to Flynn’s resignation, or additional communications. The sources said the intercepted communications are not just limited to telephone calls: The foreign agency is also gathering electronic and human source information on Trump’s overseas business partners, at least some of whom the intelligence services now consider to be agents of their respective governments. These operations are being conducted out of concerns that Russia is seeking to manipulate its relationships with Trump administration officials as part of a long-term plan to destabilize the NATO alliance.
Moreover, a Baltic nation is gathering intelligence on officials in the Trump White House and executives with the president’s company, the Trump Organization, out of concern that an American policy shift toward Russia could endanger its sovereignty, according to a third person with direct ties to that nation’s government.
Head over to Newsweek to read the rest.
The Guardian has a scoop involving Deutsche Bank, which holds a great deal of tRump’s debt: Deutsche Bank examined Trump’s account for Russia links.
The scandal-hit bank that loaned hundreds of millions of dollars to Donald Trumphas conducted a close internal examination of the US president’s personal account to gauge whether there are any suspicious connections to Russia, the Guardian has learned.
Deutsche Bank, which is under investigation by the US Department of Justice and is facing intense regulatory scrutiny, was looking for evidence of whether recent loans to Trump, which were struck in highly unusual circumstances, may have been underpinned by financial guarantees from Moscow.
The Guardian has also learned that the president’s immediate family are Deutsche clients. The bank examined accounts held by Ivanka Trump, the president’s daughter, her husband, Jared Kushner, who serves as a White House adviser, and Kushner’s mother.
The internal review found no evidence of any Russia link, but Deutsche Bank is coming under pressure to appoint an external and independent auditor to review its business relationship with Trump.
More at the link.
Yesterday, The New York Times reported that tRump plans to ask New York billionaire Stephen A. Feinberg to conduct a “review” of U.S. intelligence agencies. He may be asking for more trouble than he can handle. NBC News First Read: Trump’s War With the Intelligence Community Is His Biggest Yet.
Less than a month in office, President Trump has engaged in plenty of fights already — with the courts, Mexico, the media, and even Nordstrom. But his emerging fight with the U.S. intelligence community (over Russia and leaks) might be his biggest fight yet. On the one hand, you have the New York Times reporting that Trump is planning to appoint an ally who has little experience in intelligence matters “to lead a broad review” of the intelligence agencies. “The possible role for Stephen A. Feinberg, a co-founder of Cerberus Capital Management, has met fierce resistance among intelligence officials already on edge because of the criticism the intelligence community has received from Mr. Trump during the campaign and since he became president,” the Times says. And on the other hand, you have the Wall Street Journal writing that U.S. intelligence officials “have withheld sensitive intelligence from President Donald Trump because they are concerned it could be leaked or compromised.” (The White House and Director of National Intelligence have both disputed this account.)….
We get that Trump is trying to crack down on leaks; Barack Obama was frustrated by them, too. But what is the bigger story here — that Russians had contacts with Trump’s campaign, or the leaks about these contacts? Or that Russians interfered in the 2016 election, or that this interference was leaked to the press? It sure seems like Trump and his team are less bothered by the news than who’s leaking the news.
The Financial Times has an opinion piece on the Russia connections: Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and a fatal attraction. After Flynn’s resignation, smiles are turning to scowls in Moscow.
The opening weeks of the presidency have been as disastrous as anyone could have feared. Mr Trump has behaved in office as he did on the campaign trail. Chaos and belligerence in the White House has been mirrored by the casual disarming of allies and the empowering of adversaries abroad. America’s standing in the world could scarcely be lower. All this as the fires continue to burn in the Middle East and the North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un tests a ballistic missile that may soon be tipped with a nuclear warhead.
Mr Trump’s hopes of some sort of grand bargain with Russia’s Vladimir Putin have dissolved. Firing Mr Flynn for lying to vice-president Mike Pence about his conversations with the Russian ambassador in Washington will not staunch the disquiet about the administration’s contacts with Moscow before inauguration day. Mr Trump and his aides face three sets of questions from legislators and law enforcement agencies about the ties.
The first asks how wide and deep were the exchanges: who exactly was involved, what were the subjects of conversations, and were there any bargains struck, implicit or explicit, about the direction of US policy once Mr Trump reached the White House? The second requires the examination of Mr Trump’s financial ties with Russia — the detailed investigation that should have happened during the campaign and now demands open access to the president’s tax returns. The third, made more urgent by the lengthy delay between the White House’s discovery of Mr Flynn’s mendacity and his sacking, asks the old Watergate question — just what did the president know and when?
I hate to link to The Intercept, but there’s a weird story there you might want to look at: Carter Page, at Center of Trump Russian Investigation, Writes Bizarre Letter to DOJ Blaming Hillary Clinton.
Page provided the lengthy letter to The Intercept when asked whether he would support President Trump using his power as president to declassify any government material to disclose any intercepted conversations between Page and Russian officials. He did not say. Instead he forwarded the letter, which is well-formatted, heavily-footnoted, grammatically correct and has no spelling mistakes. However, its content is bizarre.
To begin with, it is addressed to the voting section of the Justice Department’s civil rights division, which is charged exclusively with enforcing federal laws that protect the right to vote.
It then makes the grandiose claim that “the actions by the Clinton regime and their associates may be among the most extreme examples of human rights violations observed during any election in U.S. history since Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. was similarly targeted for his anti-war views in the 1960’s.”
Page repeatedly describes as “outrageous” the news coverage claiming that he has significant connections to Russian officials, and what he says was the Clinton campaign’s hidden hand behind it.
The Clinton campaign, says Page, engaged in “human rights violations,” “illegal activities,” “unlawful deceptions,” “Obstruction of Justice – the charge upon which President Nixon was impeached,” spreading “False Evidence,” and “an obviously illegal attempt to silence me on an important issue of national and international consequence in violation of my Constitutional rights.”
Page also states that he was targeted by the Clinton campaign because he is Catholic, a military veteran and a man.
Keep in mind that Page was recommended as an adviser to tRump by none other than Jeff Sessions, who is now in charge of the DOJ. Page is also the guy who was personally in touch with Russian officials who were running the hacking operation against the DNC and the Clinton campaign in order to help tRump get elected.
That’s today’s installment of crazy. I know I’ve barely scratched the surface of the news; so please post your own links in the comment thread and try to stay sane!
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Mona (aka Wonk the Vote)
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What I first thought, and hoped, was trump was gone with the wind, and rain. He’s so stupid that he said today, for his cretin followers, that he had inherited a mess. Like hell he did!
Chaos is Trump’s comfort zone. I keep wondering who will be the first to sing. As the pressure intensifies, who will be smart enough to cut a deal first? I think Spicer is being kept in the dark and the rest of them seem too ruthless to turn but I’m wondering, who will it be? And if one of them wanted to cut a deal, where would they turn? Comey? I wouldn’t trust him. What. A. Mess.
What do you think they are doing to keep Flynn quiet?
I think Flynn knows if he speaks, he will get the Putin treatment. And that is well known death treatment.
You’re probably right.
Flynn is a “true believer”. I doubt he is too far away from the WH and is still offering advice.
Here are my thoughts: The Russians have damaging information on Trump just as revealed in that “dossier”. And Trump can be easily manipulated because he is stupid and greedy. The answer lies in those “under audit” tax returns which would spell out how much is owed Russian bankers. Those tax returns will lay the ground work of much that occurred as a result during the election.
Manafort, Flynn, Paige and Stone are much smarter than Trump and he is beholden to them. The Russians desperately want those sanctions lifted and they are assured of billions being paid out to those involved. Tillerson was hand picked by Putin in arranging this to happen.
Comey’s interfence sweetened the pot. Enough innuendoes regarding Hillary, the e-mails,and “lack of integrity” brought about through Wikileaks added to the “victory” which is something the congressional GOP wishes to avoid. Admitting that this is an illegitimate presidency would disrupt their hateful agenda as they are comfortable with this “useful idiot” serving their purpose.
This amounts to a Constitutional crisis but I am not convinced the GOP will pursue a complete investigation. Patriotism is dying in this country as they continue to cover for this lying fool who should be sent packing.
I think Flynn is being soothed and told he’s still on the inside to keep him quiet. He won’t flip unless there is a threat of prosecution.
He’s probably on a slow Boat to Moscow.
Love the illustrations.
Me too!
Me three………….made me think of Tom Clancy. All the articles tonight were super, I am sharing them, and hope people become aware.
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That Time cover!!! Love it.
Pew Research – trump Approval rating 39% approve / 56% disapprove
http://www.people-press.org/2017/02/16/in-first-month-views-of-trump-are-already-strongly-felt-deeply-polarized/
That’s got to be a record!
He cited Rasmussen during the meldown today. I haven’t checked to see if the number he cited is right, but they are a right wing outfit.
Trump is at the podium right now blabbering on about “fake news” etc. He was supposedly there to introduce his new Labor Secretary, but he’s been pontificating for at least 15-20 minutes on how unfairly he’s being treated. The size of his electoral college win. He’s saying “no one in his campaign spoke with the russians”. He’s off the rails. Now he’s taking questions and giving crazy answers. Time to bring out the restraints.
trump also saying when he came into office he inherited a “mess”. What a delusional self-serving bullshit artist.
He is hanging himself – certifiably insane!
He is still haunted by Hillary Clinton. He can’t stop talking about her.
Deep inside, he knows he’s not fit to even speak her name.
They are ALL obsessed with her. That Carter Page stuff from above is certifiable. I can think of several other wingnut men like that – Chaffetz, Limbaugh. Even Tucker Carlson has to cross his legs or something when he thinks about her.
O, sorry, I hadn’t read down the comments and included the “mess” trump lie above in my comment.
This new conference is in, fucking, sane. He’s unhinged.
I think he went on for about 90 minutes. I’m still feeling the negative effects of watching it.
He can speak in sentences for 90 minutes? Was he sniffing like he did during the debates?
I can’t watch him, really makes me sick.
I didn’t watch but apparently he went on and on about his “victory” margins when asked about rising anti-Semitism and if his admin was responsible in any way.
Otherwise he only took questions from media-friendly journalists.
Coward
“I could be brutal on Russia” “I would love to blew that ship out of the water” Wants good relationship with Russia… he’s still going, I keep thinking someone will pull him off stage with a hook. Frightening how his mind doesn’t work.
*blow
Vlad is going to be verrry unhappy with Donny boy.
The man is a flaming idiot!. An incoherent mess!
Insane.
I watched the whole thing. He seems manic.
David From calls the performance “that terrifying mid-day event” and worries that Trump could be successful in purging intelligence agencies.
Can’t get this thing to spell Frum’s name correctly.
Auto-correct is an ass.
And someone pointed out that tRump’s going to have even more trouble if he tries to mess with people who know covert like the backs of their hands.
Uh, that Congressional Black Congress you told the black woman reporter to set you up a meeting with? Since one black is uh, just like another…
Jaw. On the floor. Don’t even know how to pick it back up.
Oh, he’s white, so he’ll be described as another “lone wolf” rather than “terrorist.”
Love the checks and balances!
Did anyone else watch that press conference? I actually sat through the entire insane meltdown. I’m finally beginning to recover, but I don’t think my heart rate is down to normal yet. I’ve never seen anything like that in my life.
Sorry. I forgot to hit refresh before posting that, lol
I can’t imagine watching. Just a half-minute of tRump has me wanting to call the clinic security guards on him.
I don’t know what’s wrong with me. I just can’t seem to tear myself away from the train wreck.
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I watched the whole thing. It was really weird. Like you, I wanted to look away but I couldn’t. My sleep cycle is a mess. I’ll go to bed early and then get up in the middle of the night to use the bathroom and then I can’t resist peeking at twitter and I end up staying awake for two hours reading threads and links. My husband is taking me on a short trip in a couple weeks to celebrate my 60th birthday and I’m really looking forward to not thinking about any of this.
All the red flags about “high-risk potential” “dangerously unstable” “uncontrolled aggressive tendencies” “extended history of highly impulsive behavior” flash in my head.
Let’s face it. We are going to be lucky if he doesn’t blow up the world.
(digging bomb shelter)
But his approval rating among Repubs is high. I. Just. Don’t. Get. It.
I was once very interested in graphology and studied it – and on the face of it (need a bigger sample) his signature is frightening. The heavy, thick and very jagged sawing motion of the strokes is a trait of highly aggressive personalities. An aggressive person can have balancing traits, and of course you have to look at everything in totality. If you analyze a large sample you get a better picture. But based on that signature – yikes.
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Let’s go.
https://twitter.com/RachelFeltman/status/832318545979662338
Haha! BRRR, it’s surface temperatures range from -100 to -225 degrees, and it’ll be a while before it has a Whole Foods.
I’ve never heard a president say, “One-state, two-state: what ever you want.” geez, do whatever you want Israel, Russia, friends.
He seems to not know what to do about the Russian ship off coast of Connecticut. He’s a typical school-yard bully, talks big, but actually something of a coward.
The wheels are coming off the bus:
http://www.rawstory.com/2017/02/he-should-do-this-with-a-therapist-not-on-tv-republican-senator-blasts-trumps-bonkers-presser/
Ruh-row- you know it’s bad when Fox is complaining:
http://www.rawstory.com/2017/02/demonstrably-unquestionably-100-percent-false-shep-smith-eviscerates-trumps-lie-filled-presser/
Are they trying to escape the sinking ship??
Seriously folks- what is the plan here? What should happen and soon before Cheeto drives us off a cliff?
Oh gawd. This press conference. This is unbelievable.
http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2017/02/twitter-freaks-out-as-donald-trump-casually-describes-nuclear-holocaust?mbid=social_facebook
The things he said.
Now you understand why my heart rate is still elevated. I watched the whole thing.
From WAPO:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/admit-it-trump-is-unfit-to-serve/2017/02/15/467d0bbe-f3be-11e6-8d72-263470bf0401_story.html?utm_term=.e252c3e6fb4b
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That’s a felony right?
Yes, but Comey, the bastard.
Only if a woman does it. Martha Stewart served time for it.
So much for tourist-industry jobs:
https://twitter.com/IfHillaryHad/status/832366513013170176
If you thought the press conference was fucked up:
Levity: https://twitter.com/samkalidi/status/832420050413826048
I took it, but I didn’t want to give them my name and email.
I took it and gave them an alt name/email.
The whole interview is well worth reading:
http://international.sueddeutsche.de/post/157058066625/we-have-at-most-a-year-to-defend-american
“without the rule of law.”
How much time do we have to prevent this?
I’m glad the bloviating hot air buffoon is disintegrating, but which will come first?
He said we have a year or less to defend the republic.