Bring it on Home to Us! Live Blog: Kentucky & Oregon Democratic Primaries
Posted: May 17, 2016 Filed under: 2016 elections, Live Blog 155 Comments
Good Evening!!!
So, we’re getting closer to the end of primary season and closer to having U.S. President Hillary Clinton!
Tonight, we’ll be watching the Kentucky and Oregon primaries . Both are closed primaries which means only registered Democrats may vote.
May 17 Primaries at stake for the Democratic Primary.
Kentucky: 55 delegates at stake
(We already have votes being reported.)
Trump was declared the winner of Kentucky in a March Caucus. Right now, Clinton has 50% and Sanders has 37.8% with less than 1% reporting.
Oregon: 61 delegates at stake
Last poll closes at 10:00 PM CT
Hillary Clinton continues to move ever closer to clinching the Democratic nomination with each successive primary contest, but Bernie Sanders could get more victories in his column on Tuesday when voters in Kentucky and Oregon head to the polls.
Oregon is the kind of progressive, activist state where Sanders and his kind of politics have long been popular. He is the favorite there. Clinton easily won Kentucky during the 2008 primaries, and it was expected at the start of this campaign that she would run ahead of the socialist Sanders in areas where Democrats are more conservative.
But Sanders’ victories earlier this month in Indiana and West Virginia, states that border Kentucky, suggest he could do very well in the Bluegrass State as well.
Here are some key things to watch for Tuesday:
Sanders’ Advantage: Oregon and Kentucky Have Small Populations of People of Color
Black voters have overwhelmingly backed Clinton during the primary season, and her performance in most states has been directly correlated to their African-American populations. So Kentucky and Oregon present big challenges for Clinton.
Nationally, African-Americans are 13 percent of the population. They are just 2 percent in Oregon, and 8 percent in Kentucky. (In this sense, Kentucky, while generally defined as in the South, is distinct from that region. The black population in neighboring Tennessee, where Clinton won, is 17 percent.)
Latinos (17 percent of the U.S. population) have generally favored Clinton as well, and they are only 3 percent of the population in Kentucky.
Eastern Kentucky Could Be Tough for Clinton
In the 2008 Democratic primary, Clinton won 118 of Kentucky’s 120 counties, getting 65 percent of the vote statewide, compared to Barack Obama’s 30 percent. In Kentucky’s Fifth Congressional District, the area where much of the state’s coal industry is based, Clinton won about 88 percent of the vote.
But that result may mean nothing now. Clinton also blew out Obama in neighboring West Virginia in 2008, only to lose resoundingly to Sanders in the primary there last week.
Many of the counties in Eastern Kentucky are part of coal country and have similar demographics to West Virginia: few college graduates, small black populations, high poverty rates, and declining economies. If the pattern from West Virginia holds, Sanders will be very strong in this region.
This area is also where Clinton’s controversial remarks about coal are likely to be most problematic.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v-bNK84tD04
So far, turnout appears light in Kentucky.
Kentucky Secretary of State spokesman Bradford Queen says say voter turnout has been slow since polls opened on a cool, rainy election day.
The top race on Tuesday’s ballot for Democrats is the presidential primary between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. Republicans held a presidential caucus in March, which was won by Donald Trump. Other major races on the primary ballot include seats for U.S. House, U.S. Senate and the state House.
Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, left. and Kentucky U.S. Democratic senatorial candidate Alison Lundergan Grimes wave to supporters during a campaign rally, Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014, at the Kentucky International Convention Center in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
Oregon would appear to be more friendly to Sanders but the most recent polls show Clinton somewhat ahead.
Oregon would appear to be the perfect place for Sanders’ broadsides against income inequality and the “rigged” economic system. Portland certainly is, but the whole state isn’t as progressive as its most populous city. A poll released least week by DHM Research showed Clinton with a 15-point advantage in Oregon. This has led Sanders to try to pump up turnout in the state.
“If voter turnout is low, if young people and working people don’t send in their ballots, we will probably lose,” Sanders told The Oregonian over the weekend. “Needless to say, what I hope we’ll be seeing is a very large voter turnout.”
There’s reason to believe the Vermont senator will get his wish. Oregon has seen a big jump in voter registrations, especially among the under-30 crowd. “[T]here’s clearly a lot of interest out there,” Oregon Secretary of State Jeanne P. Atkins said. “We have more registered voters than we’ve ever had before.”
Sanders heads into the Oregon and Kentucky vote with momentum and confidence. Clinton has been trying to pivot to the general election for some weeks, and now her rival is pivoting too. Sanders, who has won primaries in Indiana and West Virginia the past two weeks, repeatedly points out that he polls very well against Trump, who is an insult-spewing bogeyman to many liberals.
The Clinton campaign has been spending time in Kentucky so we’re real hopeful here. Grab the popcorn and a seat!!!
peej
Carissa
bostonboomer
ecocatwoman
mablue2
Mama Lopez
peggysue22
quixote
skydancingguestblogger
Mona (aka Wonk the Vote)
Sky Dancing 
Kentucky and Oregon primary results: track the votes, county by county
http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/may/17/primary-results-kentucky-oregon-election-2016
Kentucky
DEMOCRATS
Statewide results
14/3,696 precincts (0.3%) reporting
Hillary Clinton
2,052
53.9%
Bernie Sanders
1,442
37.9%
3,806 total votes
I’ll check back with you later – township meeting tonight to elect a new Board of Trustees and it will be contentious. We have a group that reminds me of the Berniebros and they have intimidated via FB, confronting people in an antagonistic and intimidating way and generally stirring up $hit. Our community is so small (2000 people tops!) so everyone knows everyone and these meetings can be boisterous. Let’s hope they don’t start cursing after the election of new BoT members and/or start throwing chairs!
I sure hope Hillary can pull out a win in both Ky and Or. I just want Sanders shut down asap.
You’re turn next up! You get those Bernie Bots in line GRRRL!!!
You know Delphyne, even if he loses both states tonight, he won’t stop his bullshit, he as much said so.
I’ve found the same thing, Delphyne. At the local level regarding the tiniest of issues people get boisterous, nasty, and want to silence anyone who disagrees with them or even questions them in the slightest. Good luck tonight.
UNPOPULAR OPINION: The Bernie vs. Hillary Battle All Boils Down to Sexism
http://www.xojane.com/issues/bernie-vs-hillary-is-only-about-sexism?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&xid=facebook
Oh yeah, we know it is!
Interesting point was brought up by one of the talking heads on MSNBC tonight: supposedly, all Hillary has to do to win the election in November is to maintain the level of support she has with female voters.
That’s pretty amazing.
Wasn’t going to watch the primary coverage due to BFS. But the activity on the last thread has revved me up. Goddess, I hope she does well!
Though any loss will stir up the venom from the Bern and his nest of vipers!
I’m really hoping to get this over with. I’m about reading to find some one to knee cap Chuck Todd. He just said Clinton should give Sanders everything he wants because she looks like she can’t close the deal. Did they say that about Obama in 2008?
No it was all hopey changey!
Joy Reid is on MSNBC with Chris Matthews.
99 times out of 100, he is forever telling her what to do.
Wapo says KY is reporting 2.8%: Clinton 47% vs Sanders 45.1%. Clay Co has 4 votes uncommitted and 3 for Sanders.
Wapo says KY is reporting 7.4%: Clinton 46.9% vs Sanders 45.8%.
The TV stations are waiting until the polls close.
NBC showing them neck and neck.
Wapo says KY is reporting 10.5%: Sanders 47.2%. vs Clinton 45.6%
KY is reporting 13.5%: Sanders 46.7%. vs Clinton 46.1%
They’re saying she’s getting the big university cities right now
She is definitely ahead in Louisville. Less so in Covington, behind in Frankfort.
KY is reporting 15.3%: Sanders 47%. vs Clinton 46.1%
KY is reporting 17.8%: Sanders 47.1%. vs Clinton 46.1%
Sanders has won 8 small counties to 2 for Clinton.
3 for Clinton
KY is reporting 20.2%: Sanders 47.4%. vs Clinton 45.3%
My favorite song. I remember being in the St. Thomas Projects, sitting in the back seat of 1958 Chevy, and just falling in love with Sam Cook’s music, his song, You Send Me. I don’t know if the Coliseum Park is still there, use to hang out there, listening to Only Sixteen. Lov me some Led Zeppelin too.
Bring it on home!
Park is still there.
Good thing.
I can see this happening. BS berning his bridges.
http://www.dailynewsbin.com/opinion/bernie-sanders-officially-sides-with-his-violent-supporters-his-political-career-just-ended/24824/
https://mobile.twitter.com/jkarsh/status/732669711603765248
One of the Bern’s super delegates has just switched to Hillary.
http://www.dailynewsbin.com/news/bernie-sanders-superdelegate-switches-his-vote-to-hillary-clinton/24823/
Heard that! Yay!
KY is reporting 23.1%: Sanders 47.5%. vs Clinton 45%
KY is reporting 27.3%: Sanders 48.1%. vs Clinton 44.3%. It won’t be a clean sweep for either since they both have counties in tow.
KY is reporting 36.2%: Sanders 47%. vs Clinton 46.8%
KY is reporting 45.3%: Sanders 47.3%. vs Clinton 45.8%
KY is reporting 51.7%: Sanders 47.3%. vs Clinton 45.9%
She is about 3000 votes behind. Clinton’s vote count will have to move ahead soon. However, only around 39% of the votes are counted in Jefferson Co, with Louisville. The map is looking different in that it doesn’t look like a reiteration of Trump.
KY is reporting 54.5%: Sanders 46.8%. vs Clinton 46.6%
Why do these TV yakkers treat every single tweet of Donald Trump as news. Chris Matthews just read the latest one as some sort of breaking news.
No idea. Idiots
KY is reporting 58.4%: Sanders 46.8%. vs Clinton 46.4%
KY is reporting 62.8%: Clinton 46.7%. vs Sanders 46.6%. Clinton just overtook and won Johnson Co., 447 votes, to 116 uncommitted. to Sanders 49 votes!?!
Wapo correction for Johnson Co. It isn’t reporting right. Sanders is ahead there, may have won, but that’s what they said about Clinton.
Right now there is a 3 vote difference!
I saw that! Wow!
KY is reporting 64.7%: Sanders 46.6% vs Clinton 46.5%.
Hillary has slight lead………………yay. I’ll tell you the way Bernie is going, not taking responsibility, after the election is over, he won’t even be in charge of the county roads department.
They’ll rename those two post offices, too 🙂
Haha.
Bwahahaha!
With each passing day I despise Madhatter Bernie Sanders a little more. What a pernicious little prick he turns out to be. Sniping away to make his thousands little cuts.
What could possibly be the legitimate reason for ramping UP the ugliness at this late date.
The media keeps acting like the acrimony is coming from both sides but it is a lie. It is them and they are sick.
He is a POS.
Weaver is on CNN, and he just keeps blaming it all on the DEMOCRATIC party! I can’t stand that man.
Per @DannyEFreeman, Sanders held press avail while in Puerto Rico. When asked about NV tension/chaos, Sanders walked away during middle of Q
Stupidoo, he’s a goner.
Weaver says no violence in Pa…………I wouldn’t trust him, the old Pole cat.
Oh my God, I’m gonna vomit! Hugh Hewitt on my TV all the way here in Europe.
Even Laura Ingraham says he’s the most overrated talkshow host in America, but apparently the “liberal” media can’t have enough of him.
I know and he called Hillary a horrible candidate.
He will show up and savage Hillary in every appearance and there will be no pushback. This is terrible.
There’s Weaver saying the media wants this over for Bernie………Ashol, it’s been over for a long damn time now.
KY is reporting 72.9%: Clinton 46.9%. vs Sanders 46.2%
KY is reporting 83.7%: Clinton 47.3%. vs Sanders 46.2% 5 counties are yet to report.
I am waiting to exhale!!!!!
Yup. Clenched fists too!
My God, Van Jones is an idiot!
I think I’m going to bed. Anderson Cooper just asked us to stand by because after the break he’ll read us Trumps latest tweet about Hillary Clinton and the state of the race. This is surreal!
Hillary is ahead now with84% of vote in KY.
It’s looking good.
Hi everyone! I just wanted to let folks know that hell has frozen over and the dead are walking the earth. On MSNBC Chuck Todd just acknowledged that not only does Bernie have no chance, but that it was all over with NY because Bernie can’t win diverse states. And Tweety went on and on about how the close vote in KY shows Bernie’s no revolution. AND on CNN the panel is calling Bernie a sore loser and (except for Van Jones), condemning him for not coming out against his supporters’ violence.
Yes, I know it’s way past time both networks woke up and stopped propping Bernie up, but I’m amazed.
It was over after SC and Louisiana sealed it. They just drug or out.
Yeah
Sore loser ain’t the half of it. He’s a ratfker.
Roofingbird thanks for updates! How’s it look now? I stopped watching TV coverage. Can I exhale yet??
I lost connection, hang on.
Over at The Guardian, Scissorjack Bernie is spouting, “I don’t have a SuperPac… I don’t want a SuperPac”. HaHaHa… I bet he wishes he had a SuperPac now!!
He’s got at least a coupla SuperPACs behind him. He just lies about them.
88.1% reporting: Clinton 47% vs Sanders 46.3%
C’mon Hillary!
OMG!!!
Wapo says KY is 90.9% reporting: Clinton 46.8% vs Sanders 46.5%
So tight.
Bernie back out front by a few hundred.
Com’ on Kentuck, energize us.
Wapo says KY is 92.9% reporting: Sanders 46.6% vs Clinton 46.5% 2 counties that were yet to report did so with a Sanders win. Jefferson Co is under 80% reporting
It’s so ridiculous the way CNN is breathlessly trying to make this exciting. So it’s just about a tie and they split the delegates in KY. End of story. Any talk of momentum at this point is bullshit.
Wapo says KY is 93.2% reporting: Sanders 46.5% vs Clinton 46.5%. 216 vote difference.
So close! No Big Mo for the Bern!
Jefferson Co is still under 80%. That will be the difference if any. Anyone know what’s going on there?
Is that Louisville?
Louisville could push her over!! Fingers crossed!!!!!
Wapo says KY is 95.3% reporting: Sanders 46.6% vs Clinton 46.3%.
Hillary gonna take Kentuck……99% in
Hooray!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
How sweet it is, NBC called it for Hillary.
Hooo-ah! Sweet Kentucky!
Hillary is going to win KY!!!
Mouse, can I breathe now???
We can both breathe, for a little while. Now we have to get to Oregon. I bet that one will be a long process.
Wapo says KY is 98.8% reporting: Sanders 46.9% vs Clinton 46.3%.
Jefferson co is now at 99.4% reporting so there will be no big bump for either candidate there.
She’s won for all intents and purposes.
Busting out in Beauty, Kentucky for Hillary.
Hillary leading by 2479 votes, 99% reporting
Hill A REE! HILL A REE! HILL A REE!
HILLYEAH
Yes! Jefferson co is now at 99.4%. Wapo says KY is 99% reporting: Clinton 46.9% vs Sanders 46.3%
99% Hill A REE! HILL A REE! HILL A REE!
EXHALE!!!!
Only 117 left!!!
MSNBC & CNN have had Bernie on Life Support for weeks so they can get every second of viewship possible out of this primary. But Bernie is FINISHED, TOAST, DONE!
MSNBC made a call. HILLS!!!!
They were all so giddy when Bernie was ahead by a thousand votes.
Now the foot is in the other shoe!!!!
I will have a hard time sleeping!
Westward ho! Oregon Trail! Bernie campaign dies of dysentery!
You know the thing is the mail in votes……I can’t understand why the polls are opened until 9 pm.
I think they are dropping off their ballots which they received in the mail. But I may be wrong.
Woo hoo!!!!
Yip yip yippee! Hellooooo Madame President!
Wapo says KY is 99.7% reporting: Clinton 46.7% vs Sanders 46.3%
Hillary now 4300 votes ahead. Feel the Fizzle!!!
HILL A REE! HILL A REE! HILL A REE!
Given the Kentucky demographics, this is a major upswing for Hillary. The minuscule proportion of minority voters means she either got every single female vote, or some straight, white males are beginning to see the light. I’d guess the latter.
Eastern Oregon is probably a lot like Eastern Washington state. Conservative, rural, a few colleges but smaller than those on the West side. The Dems there probably aren’t too fond of a Socialist with a recent switch to (D). They probably have good memories about the Bill Clinton years, too, LOL!
ooops … didn’t mean for that to nest under jacqueline’s Kentucky comment.
Hi (waving)
Portland is a bit of an island isn’t it? Is Salem even that hippy dippy?
I don’t think Salem’s in Portland’s league. Plus I don’t think it’s so much the counterculture people. Judging from Seattle Berniebots, it’s the entitled Amazon & Microsoftie techieprogbrogressives and their brainwashed “hot chicks for Bernie” gfs.
Jefferson, Hardin, Warren, and Kenton Counties are yet to complete their count. Hardin Co is competitive. Wapo says KY is now 98.1 reporting, but something is up with Pike Co. they are suddenly “not reporting”. As such, Clinton 47.2% vs Sanders 46.2%
Wapo says KY is 99.7% reporting: Clinton 46.7%. vs Sanders 46.3%. Pike Co is back on line for Sanders
Warren Co went to Sanders. Hardin to Clinton. Wapo says KY is 99.8% reporting: Clinton 46.7%. vs Sanders 46.3%. 25 Delegates each. Wapo hasn’t declared a winner yet though.
Loved this reason to vote for Hillary!
http://www.oregonlive.com/today/index.ssf/2016/05/oregon_kentucky_primary_live_u.html
Yippee! 🎉🍾🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Nothing on Oregon Sec of State website until 8 pm it says.
http://sos.oregon.gov/voting/Pages/current-election.aspx
Blue Moon of Kentucky!!😃
KY is 99.8% still reporting: Clinton 46.7%. vs Sanders 46.3%. Jefferson and Kenton Co’s could take a while since they have the largest population.
I lovef seeing Hillary FIGHT to win this State. I know she’s walked away from some of these contests, but this seemed like a STATEMENT State and even though it was close, she won it. Now if she can do the same in OR, we can go ahead and pass out the nails so we can get to work on nailing Bernie’s coffin closed. THE END!
Clinton has a lead of 1813 votes. With the 2 largest counties still tabulating, it seems too early call for MSNBC, unless they know what precincts are still out.
I think she will get it. What were you saying about absentee ballots? Were they counted first? IN CA they have been counted after.
I just turned on CNN. Wasserman actually rebuked the Bern on his statement about the NC convention. She was blunt! Who’s!
Hey! Reality sets in!
That was the NV convention. What will the Bern do now? It ain’t going to be pretty because he will never give in. I’m not sure that this will end well.
What is Dana Bash’s problem, defending the Berner in NV. WTF. Are they that loathe to remove St. Bernard’s halo?
The dishonesty is staggering.
Yes, others on the panel also said that Wasserman should not have said that. IMHO I think that the threats and vandalism were what pushed her into rebuking the Bern.
Pisses me off too.
Dana is so clearly a Republican, that’s why she scores so many interviews with GOP leaders.
Yup. She and hubby John King
Bet Bernie’s camp going to sue Kentucky……….She is ahead by 1800, and 769 votes out……..he can’t win. But since she and her husband are good friends with Sect. of State in Kentucky, he going to file and declare it was rigged.
You know you’re right. He will threaten to sue! Goddess I wish this were over! I am so done done done with all of the Bern shit!
I put up a fresh thread because this one was getting so long. Come on up!
Hillary tweets KY victory.
https://mobile.twitter.com/HillaryClinton
I think we are just about good to go, Jefferson just completed reporting. KY is 99.9% reporting: Clinton 46.8%. vs Sanders 46.3%. Kenton Co is at 96.2% reporting with 5146 vs 4880 votes.
Wow, at 8:46 pm Wappo has declared Sander the winner in OR. 60% reporting: Sanders 53% vs Clinton 47%