Election Night Live Blog

Hillary's election night stage.

Hillary’s election night stage.

We’ll be getting real results soon. Right now it’s looking very good for Hillary in Florida, and as we all know by now, if she wins Florida it will be over for Trump unless something really weird and completely unexpected happens. There are lots of places to watch the returns come in once the votes are actually being counted. I like the New York Times site; but if you have other recommendations, please share.

Another interesting site to look at is Slate’s Election Day Votecastr. They are releasing information from exit polls throughout the day. You can see what the turnout has been for registered Democrats and Republicans. It’s the first time any media organization has done this.

Another place to check out is Vox’s live tracking of Senate races.

Armando (Big Tent Democrat) has been live tweeting turnout info from Florida all day long, so you might want to check out his Twitter timeline.

Al Giordano will be live tweeting his data evaluations on his timeline once the votes start coming in.

I’m also watching MSNBC, but so far it hasn’t been all that enlightening. I hope Rachel Maddow and Chris Mathews won’t be on all night. I’m a lot more interesting in what Lawrence O’Donnell and Joy Reid have to say frankly. And please MSNBC, send Steve Kornacki to the showers. I’m done with him and his dramatic arm waving.

So those are some of the places I’ll be checking to see what’s happening in the all-important swing states. Again, let me know if you have any other suggestions.

Go Hillary Go!


Live Blogging All Day: Souls to the Polls!

voting-for-hillary

Hello Nasty Women and Bad Hombres!   Did ya vote yet?

Well, after an exciting morning without electricity, I wandered on down to the Poland Avenue Fire station known as OFD Engine 24 and Ladder 4. I voted for Hillary!!! So, here’s my white pant suit look and a shot of the ninth ward, ninth precinct Souls standing in line for the Polls.

The gentleman signing in lives two doors down from me! He’s not getting around like he used to when I first moved to the kathouse over 16 years ago but he managed to vote!!   I actually talked to another black man a bit younger than me that said he hadn’t voted since high school! That means he skipped electing President Obama but made it here to vote for Hillary!  Every one here in New Orleans is standing in the longest lines we’ve ever seen and to my knowledge the old Morial/Landrieu machine is not up and running for anything!

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The most fun pictures are coming from Pant Suit Nation where I’m seeing the selfies being taking of mothers taking their young daughter to the polls.  We have a subchapter for Louisiana now and I’m seeing kids from all over the state pressing the button for their moms!

 

I’ve cried watching live video coming from Susan B Anthony’s grave. Lots of stickers and women paying tribute to this great woman! See that video on BB’s post right before this one!

 

I’ve laughed watching Donald Trump get boo’d at his local polling place so thought I’d let it give you a good laugh too!  I’ve shared it below!!!

I’m just so excited about today! Can you believe after all these years we’re finally here together and doing all this?

So, how was your voting experience?

Let us know!!!


Election Day Reads

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Good Morning!!

The great day has arrived! I’m going to go and vote as soon as I can wake up enough to function properly. I couldn’t get to sleep last night. I watched Hillary’s rallies in Philadelphia and Raleigh and then lay awake for a couple more hours, unable to stop my mind from racing. I think my body is registering how important this day is to me, even as I try to stay calm.

Ever since I was a little girl, I’ve wondered why I wasn’t allowed to do all the things boys and men could do? Why couldn’t women be lawyers, doctors, priests? Why couldn’t girls even be “altar boys?”

When I was in elementary school, I sometimes fantasized about being a boy–not because I actually wanted to be male, but because then I would have the freedom to do what I wanted to do and not what I was “supposed” to do. It’s amazing to me now that I realized even then that I was considered less than in my culture.

Hillary Clinton speaking in Philadelphia last night.

Hillary Clinton speaking in Philadelphia last night.

When I was in high school, it was still a basic assumption in our society that “real women” didn’t want careers. The height of a girl’s dreams was supposed to be to get married, raised children, and help her husband become successful.

When I was a junior in high school, I read The Feminine Mystique, by Betty Friedan; and suddenly I began to understand why my smart, college educated mom often seemed dissatisfied and frustrated. That book changed my life; it reinforced the inner feelings I had always had that girls and women didn’t deserve to be treated as less than boys and men.

Next month I’ll be 69 years old. I’ve waited all my life for the day when I could vote for a brilliant accomplished woman as President of the United States. That day has come and I plan to enjoy it to the fullest.

I know this won’t instantly change the culture we live in; in fact the sexism and misogyny will almost certainly get worse–just as racism got worse after we elected the first Black President. But if this is what we have to go through for girls an women to someday be treated equally, then so be it.

Tonight Hillary Clinton will be President elect. Little girls will know that they can be anything they want to be, even though they still will have to work twice as hard as their male counterparts to achieve the same level of success, and even though their achievements will still be denigrated and ignored. But we will have moved a bit closer to real change and real equality.

A few reads for you before I head to my polling place:

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Claire Landsbaum at The Cut: So Many Women Put ‘I Voted’ Stickers on Susan B. Anthony’s Grave That the Cemetery Is Staying Open Late on Election Night.

On November 8, 1872, Susan B. Anthony was arrested for illegally casting a ballot in the presidential election. More than a century later, single women are the nation’s most potent political force. Anthony’s grave in Rochester, New York, is a popular destination for women who want to honor her memory by doing their civic duty, and according to the Democrat & Chronicle, this year the city’s mayor is making it even easier to do so.

Mt. Hope Cemetery, where Anthony is buried, usually closes at 5:30 p.m., but on Election Day, it’ll be open until voting ends. “Visiting Susan B. Anthony’s gravesite has become an Election Day rite of passage for many citizens,” Rochester’s mayor told the paper in a press release. “With this year’s historically significant election, it seems right to extend that opportunity until the polls close.”

Kevin Kruse at Politico: What It Took. How a lifetime of compromises and concessions brought one woman to the brink of history.

In early 1979, on a community access television program called In Focus, the wife of the new governor of Arkansas was peppered with question after question about all the ways in which she was an untraditional woman.

“The thought occurs to me that you really don’t fit the image that we have created for the governor’s wife in Arkansas,” the host, a self-described “newsman,” said to 32-year-old Hillary Rodham. “You’re not a native, you’ve been educated in liberal Eastern universities, you’re less than 40. You don’t have any children. You don’t use your husband’s name. You practice law. Does it concern you that maybe other people feel that you don’t fit the image that we have created for the governor’s wife in Arkansas?”

Audience for Hillary's midnight rally in Raleigh, NC last night

Audience for Hillary’s midnight rally in Raleigh, NC last night

She looked through her large, thick-lensed glasses and smiled.

“No,” she began, “because just as I said before … ”

She had made a choice. In 1974, she had moved to Arkansas to be with her boyfriend, Bill Clinton. It was a decision that would dictate so many others, big and small, for decades to come—and here, in this spartan studio, on this rinky-dink show, was one of them. How to respond to this man?

This issue of wifeliness was being put to the first female lawyer at the finest firm in Little Rock. Rodham had been 1 of just 27 women among the 200-plus students in her law school class at Yale. She was one of only three on the staff of 44 attorneys on the Watergate impeachment team. She could have responded to the interviewer by pointing out any of these things. It was the ‘70s: She could have responded with an impassioned lecture about feminism, or chauvinism, or women’s lib. But she didn’t. She responded with an equanimity that must have been a challenge to muster. “That doesn’t bother me, and I hope that doesn’t bother very many people,” she said.

You already know the story, but I hope you’ll read the rest anyway.

J.J. Holmes and his sister with President Obama

J.J. Holmes and his sister with President Obama

You know about this story too, but this article about the disabled 12-year-old boy who was kicked out of a Trump Rally is really inspiring: An anti-Trump disabled boy was booed at a rally. The next day, he got to meet President Obama.

Twelve-year-old JJ Holmes has been enamored with the 2016 presidential election.

By Election Day, the boy would encounter two of the most polarizing figures in this campaign season — Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and President Obama — and his experiences with them would be vastly different.

For months, JJ, who has a severe case of cerebral palsy, has been sitting on his knees at his home in Longwood, Fla., using his nose to type searches on his iPad for “Mary Poppins” plays and Trump events, his mother said. Throughout the election, she said, he had been itching to go to a rally — to express his disdain for Trump, who came under fire last year for mocking a reporter with a disability.

“I wanted to go because Donald J. Trump made fun of disabled people,” JJ said in a video statement Monday to The Washington Post, using his computer vocalization device.

Please go read the whole thing. You won’t regret it.

Adele Stan at The National Memo: Pantsuit Feminism Is Real Feminism.

On November 8, if America doesn’t make history by electing its first former beauty-pageant owner and reality-show star as president, it will do so by electing the first woman to occupy the Oval Office. A woman in a suit; a suit that has pants.

Much is made of Hillary Clinton’s sartorial choice of the matching jacket and slacks as her signature look. But whether the subject of celebration or mockery, the response stems from the same fact—that a woman in public life who shucks nylons and pumps in favor of the freedom of movement long afforded men, well, that’s a woman who is claiming power.

Hillary with LeBron in Cleveland

Hillary with LeBron in Cleveland

Some might claim that the pantsuit is merely a symbol of feminism, one that can belie the motives of the woman who wears it. Symbol though it be, there is nothing “mere” about it: the pantsuit, as worn by the first presidential nominee of a major U.S. political party, is feminism itself. Its existence as an acceptable form of female dress in the halls of power is the result of thousands of years of feminism, and in Western culture, particularly the last few hundred.

The battle to unbind women from corsets and crinolines and bustles and busks was the work of feminists. It’s hardly a coincidence that the doffing of the corset in the 1920s, together with the adoption of a shorter dress that hung loosely on the frame, coincided with the time women gained the right to vote. But pants were another thing entirely. Pants were—and often still are—symbolic of something other than comfort or even ease of movement. Pants are a symbol of power and self-possession. Pants encase and protect the genitals while skirts offer access. A woman in pants is claiming her body as her own, treading her own path in the world.

Yes! When I was in high school in the 1960s, girls weren’t allowed to wear pants. We weren’t even permitted to wear culottes, which were very popular then. Today as an old retired lady, I wear jeans most of the time and the heck with anyone who disapproves of it.

The New York Time Editorial Board: The Question for James Comey.

Never mind.

That was the message James Comey, the F.B.I. director, sent to Congress on Sunday in his latest headline-grabbing interruption of the 2016 presidential race.

Having dropped a bomb packed with innuendo on Oct. 28 when he informed Congress that there was a new stash of emails that “appear to be pertinent” to the investigation of Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server, Mr. Comey had to dig himself out.

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On Sunday, he reaffirmed his original decision in July to recommend against charging Mrs. Clinton for her careless handling of emails containing classified information when she was secretary of state. The new emails — on the computer of Anthony Weiner, the estranged husband of Mrs. Clinton’s close aide Huma Abedin — contain nothing except personal messages and duplicates of emails that had already been reviewed, investigators found.

But you can’t unring a bell. The damage Mr. Comey’s back-and-forthing has done to the election, to his own reputation and to that of the F.B.I. is profound. Nine days of early voting passed after he made his rash announcement about the new emails, an announcement made when he and his investigators knew nothing about the content of those emails because they didn’t even have a search warrant. That was nine days during which millions of voters went to the polls under the false impression — created by Mr. Comey’s action — that there was new evidence against Mrs. Clinton, showing possible criminality.

More at the link. Too bad the political reporting of the story at the NYT was so horrendous and irresponsible.

One more read from a man who saw his abusive father in Donald Trump. Don’t miss this one: My Father Donald Trump, by Oliver Lee Bateman. I’m not going to excerpt from this essay; I hope you’ll go read it at Medium.

I’m going to head out to vote soon, but I’ll be around all day. Please post your thoughts and links in the comment thread and have a fabulous election day! If this thread gets too long, I’ll post another one, and so on until the election is decided tonight.

I love you all!


Monday Reads: Transitions

Good Afternoon!

Suffragette Emmeline Pankhurst in a Polling Booth circa 1910. She was one of the leaders of the movement to secure votes for women.

Suffragette Emmeline Pankhurst in a Polling Booth circa 1910. She was one of the leaders of the movement to secure votes for women.

There are some interesting reads out there as America head to the polls tomorrow.  I’ve got two bits of analysis from our Brit cousins’ media to share.  I’m particularly fond of Barbara Kingsolver’s contribution yesterday at The Guardian.   Let me share the headline with you.  “End this misogynistic horror show. Put Hillary Clinton in the White House”.

I’m horrified to watch the bizarre pageant of my nation pretending these two contenders are equivalent. No one really imagines Donald Trump applying himself to the disciplines of the presidency, staying up late reading reams of legislation, instead of firing off juvenile tweets. It’s even harder to imagine Clinton indulging in the boorish self-aggrandisement, intellectual laziness, racism and vulgar contempt for the opposite gender that characterise her opponent. If anyone still doubts that the inexperienced man gets promoted ahead of the qualified woman, you can wake up now.

This race is close. Polls tell us most Americans believe Trump has sexually assaulted women (to name just one potential disqualifier). A majority also believe Clinton “can’t be trusted”, for unspecified reasons. We’re back to the ancient conundrum: a woman can’t be that smart and commanding, so either her womanliness or her smartness must be counterfeit. To set that hazy discomfort next to a sexual assaulter and call these defects “equivalent” is causing my ears to ring as I write.

Read it.  All of it.

loc_suffragistscastingvotesLexington–at The Economist–has an a good explanation for Trump voters.  This one makes sense to me.  He compares the motives of voters to those folks that love the Stand Your Ground laws.  They want to shoot at anything that frightens at them with no consequences to protect them and theirs.

Partisanship explains some of this gigantic folly, as does widespread distrust of the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton. But another cause lies in something harder to criticise: the desire of most people to think of themselves as good and useful citizens, capable of providing for and keeping safe those people and values dear to them. After more than a year of meeting Republican voters and Trump supporters at rallies and campaign events and twice interviewing the candidate himself, Lexington is unexpectedly struck on election eve by echoes from America’s stand-your-ground movement. That movement has led dozens of states to pass laws which allow gun-owners to use lethal force when they reasonably believe that their safety is threatened, with no duty to retreat when they are in their home or other lawful place. Vitally, this defence can be invoked even if householders misjudge the perils that they face, in the heat of the moment.

Critics call such laws vigilante justice. They cite horrible mistakes, as when stranded motorists are shot dead for knocking on a door in search of directions or a telephone. Some see racial bias at work when courts absolve white householders of killing black men who alarmed them. But once passed, such laws are difficult to repeal. For that would involve convincing supporters that they are wrong to believe that they are the last and best line of defence for their family and property—a hard task.

Quite a few Republicans, including those who initially backed more mainstream rivals in their party’s presidential primaries, sound strikingly like stand-your-ground advocates when defending a vote for Mr Trump. Even if not every Trump voter takes all his promises literally, they feel heeded and respected when someone of his stature—a very rich man who could be a member of the elite, but instead chooses to side with them—agrees that their home, America, is under assault, whether from foreign governments scheming to “rape” the economy or by Muslim terrorists allowed in as refugees. At rallies in swing states from Arizona to North Carolina, this reporter has heard the cheers when Mr Trump roars that America has every right to fight back, even if that involves rough justice or being “so tough”, as he puts it.

Our first woman Attorney General has died after suffering with Parkinson’s disease.  Janet Reno passed at the age of 78.suffragettes-572904

Janet Reno, the strong-minded Florida prosecutor tapped by Bill Clinton to become the country’s first female U.S. attorney general, and who shaped the U.S. government’s responses to the largest legal crises of the 1990s, died Nov. 7 at her home in Miami. She was 78.

The cause was complications from Parkinson’s disease, her goddaughter, Gabrielle D’Alemberte, told the Associated Press. Ms. Reno was diagnosed with Parkinson’s in 1995, while she was attorney general.

Ms. Reno brought a fierce independence to her job. From the FBI siege of the Branch Davidian compound in Texas to the investigation into Clinton’s sexual relationship with intern Monica Lewinsky, she was adamant that her prosecutors and agents work outside the influence of politics, media or popular opinion.

Her supporters believed she brought a heightened level of integrity and professionalism to the attorney general’s office. They admired her insistence on legal exactitude from her employees and praised her caution in prosecutions.

Sam Wang of Princeton Consortium has spoken.  We’re going to see Madam President.

Three sets of data point in the same direction:

  • The state poll-based Meta-Margin is Clinton +2.6%.
  • National polls give a median of Clinton +3.0 +/- 0.9% (10 polls with a start date of November 1st or later).
  • Early voting patterns approximately match 2012, a year when the popular vote was Obama +3.9%.

Based on this evidence, if Hillary Clinton does not win on Tuesday it will be a giant surprise.

There’s been buzz about the Princeton Election Consortium’s win probability for Clinton, which for some time has been in the 98-99% range. Tonight let me walk everyone through how we arrive at this level of confidence. I will also give a caveat on how it is difficult to estimate win probabilities above 90% – and why fine adjustments at this level do not matter for my goals in running this site.

Here’s Hillary’s Closer. 

“I think we can all agree it’s been a long campaign. But tomorrow, you get to pick our next president,” Clinton says, dressed in white, looking into the camera as the ad opens.
The choice on Tuesday, the Democratic nominee says, is a simple one: “Is America dark and divisive, or hopeful and inclusive?”
The ad was billed by a campaign official on Monday morning as a “personal and positive closing message,” following what has been a long slog of an election, some 18 months after two polarizing figures began their rise to the nomination — one a distrusted figure and mainstay of American politics, the other a divisive outsider defined by a campaign of offensive remarks.

freedom-to-voteMany of us have recent history in our backgrounds where voting has been illegal or close to impossible. Even today, many of us may wait in long lines to exercise our duty and our right as a citizen because a small group of people do not want to hear our voices.

This is our day.  It’s the day we vote for all of the folks who couldn’t and we vote for all of the children who can’t vote right now but will in the future.

Let’s vote for hope.  Let’s vote for people.  Let’s vote for Hillary.

What’s on your reading and blogging list today?


Breaking News

Comey clears Clinton yet again.