I am Elephant, hear me roar
Posted: November 8, 2010 Filed under: Elections, Populism | Tags: Nancy Pelosi, party problems, Republican party split 24 Comments
There are two competing narratives coming out of the Republican Party today. One is from former President Bush who is all agush about the Tea Party. The other is from elephant establishmentarians who are now saying that Sarah Palin and her Tea Party compatriots cost the Republican Party the U.S. Senate. The Democratic party may be in shambles, but the GOP is in the middle of its own little civil war. As these intraparty factions fight, are we possibly seeing the potential for some kind of third party movement or break?
Politico has the Dubya story which stems from a Sean Hannity interview that will be viewable on Fox tonight should you care to see it. I don’t, but hey to each their own.
Former President George W. Bush says the tea party movement is a sign that “democracy works in America.”
In an interview with Fox News’s Sean Hannity set to air Monday night, Bush heralds the grass-roots conservative movement as a “good thing” for the American political system.
“I see democracy working,” Bush said. “People are expressing a level of frustration or concern, and they’re getting involved in the process. And the truth of the matter is, democracy works in America.”
“It’s a good thing for the country,” he added. “It inspires me to know that our democracy still functions. What would be terrible is if people were frustrated and they didn’t do anything.”
Bush is not a popular figure among many tea party supporters, who criticize his decision to bail out some of the country’s largest banks in the fall of 2008.
Still, the former president said he welcomed the movement, pointing to tea party involvement in Republican Sen. Scott Brown’s special election win in Massachusetts as the point when things began to turn around for the GOP.
The Hill has the party establishment line on Palin and her Tea Partying rogues. This sounds like dueling sound bites to
me.
Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) cost the GOP control of the Senate, a powerful House Republican said.
Rep. Spencer Bachus (Ala.) said that Tea Party-backed candidates endorsed by Palin underperformed against their Democratic rivals, costing the GOP key pickup opportunities.
“The Senate would be Republican today except for states [in which Palin endorsed candidates] like Christine O’Donnell in Delaware,” Bachus said at a local Chamber of Commerce event last week, the Shelby County Reporter wrote Sunday. “Sarah Palin cost us control of the Senate.”
Bachus is one of the most visible Republicans to criticize Palin, a Tea Party icon, for her political activities during the election season. Some Republicans have privately groused that Tea Party-backed candidates who were not electable prevented the GOP from taking control of the upper chamber.
The Alabama congressman noted that candidates backed by the Tea Party fared well in the House but “didn’t do well at all” in Senate races.
This narrative is almost as strange as the competing ones coming from the Democratic Party over Nancy Pelosi and her future leadership position. The Hill has an interesting statement from Congress Critter James Clyburn on Pelosi and the elections. Blue dawgs are planning on a challenge to Pelosi.
Outgoing Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.) leadership had “nothing to do” with Democrats’ losses in last week’s election, the No. 3 House Democrat said Monday.
Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-S.C.) blamed the poorly-performing economy for the party’s electoral drubbing, which saw them lose around 60 seats in the House, along with their control of the majority.
“It has everything to do with an environment that we found ourselves in that had nothing to do with Nancy Pelosi or the people that we had on the field,” Clyburn said on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”
“We’re very introspective about this, and we are having discussions as to how we should go forward,” the South Carolina Democrat explained. “And I think that my party feels that this had nothing to do with Nancy Pelosi’s leadership. It had everything to do with an economy that was close to collapse.
While, the NYT Op-Ed page is basically calling for Congress Critter Pelosi’s head.
Ms. Pelosi announced on Friday that she would seek the post of House minority leader. That job is not a good match for her abilities in maneuvering legislation and trading votes, since Democrats will no longer be passing bills in the House. What they need is what Ms. Pelosi has been unable to provide: a clear and convincing voice to help Americans understand that Democratic policies are not bankrupting the country, advancing socialism or destroying freedom.
If Ms. Pelosi had been a more persuasive communicator, she could have batted away the ludicrous caricature of her painted by Republicans across the country as some kind of fur-hatted commissar jamming her diktats down the public’s throat. Both Ms. Pelosi and Harry Reid, the Senate majority leader, are inside players who seem to visibly shrink on camera when defending their policies, rarely connecting with the skeptical independent voters who raged so loudly on Tuesday.
It seems like there are fractures in both parties that stem from the behavior of the inner party sanctums that don’t seem to feel any need to change their ways or their power brokers. How much establishment ‘shellacking’ will it take for them both to look at the polls and realize no one likes them?
If ever there was a time for some one to step up with a voice of sanity and reason, now would be it. And I don’t mean Jon Stewart over at Comedy Central either. I still find the idea of a third party an appealing pox and check on both their houses. Anything would be better than the current zoo.
Monday Reads
Posted: November 8, 2010 Filed under: morning reads | Tags: Drone Wars, Keith Olbermann, Obama 60 minutes interview, rewriting econoimc history 59 CommentsI was celebrating my youngest daughter’s 21st birthday last night with the other daughter and her boyfriend in Baton Rouge. I missed the 60 Minutes interview with the President but FDL put the transcript and video up here. Does this worry any one but Jane Hamsher–who is responsible for the bolding–and me? This quote is from President Obama.
Well, it’ll be interesting to see how it evolves. We have a long tradition in this country of a desire for limited government, the suspicion of the federal government, of a concern that government spends too much money. You know? I mean, that’s as American as apple pie. And although, you know, there’s a new label to this, I mean those sentiments are ones that a lot of people support and give voice to. Including a lot of Democrats.
And so, the test is gonna be what happens over the next several years, when it’s not just an abstraction, but we have to start making serious choices. I’ve got a deficit commission that I’ve put forward that is gonna be releasing recommendations for how we can start reducing the deficit. And I don’t know yet what they’re gonna say, but I do know what the federal budget looks like. And if you eliminate all the earmarks. If you eliminate all the foreign aid. If you eliminate all the waste and abuse that people, you know, talk about eliminating — you’re still confronted with a fact that the vast majority of the federal budget are things that people really think are important. Like Social Security and Medicare and defense.
And so, you then have to start making some tough decisions about how do we pay for those things that we think are important? And you know, we’re not gonna be able to balance the budget just by slashing the National Parks budget, even if you didn’t think that was a proper function of government. We’re not gonna be able to balance the budget by, you know, eliminating the National Weather Service.
I mean, we’re gonna have to, you know, tackle some big issues like entitlements that, you know, when you listen to the Tea Party or you listen to Republican candidates they promise we’re not gonna touch.
What’s on the table now? The War in Afghanistan or our social security? What does the President mean when he says “entitlements”? I don’t know about you, but I’ve been working since I was 15 and I’ve paid for those ‘benefits’! I don’t want them handed over to Wall Street or shot into space as a spy satellite instead.
You may have heard already that Olbermann will be back on the air tomorrow. Was it really his ‘questionable’ political donations that forced the suspension? Here’s an interesting twist from Alternet: ‘If Olbermann’s Donations Are Bad, What About GE’s?’
If supporting politicians with money is a threat to journalistic independence, we should consider the contributions of NBC, and at NBC’s parent company General Electric.According to the Center for Responsive Politics, GE made over $2 million in political contributions in the 2010 election cycle (most coming from the company’s political action committee). The top recipient was Republican Senate candidate Rob Portman from Ohio. The company has also spent $32 million on lobbying this year, and contributed over $1 million to the successful “No on 24” campaign against a California ballot initiative aimed at eliminating tax loopholes for major corporations (New York Times, 11/1/10).Comcast, the cable company currently looking to buy NBC, has dramatically increased its political giving, much of it to lawmakers who support the proposed merger (Bloomberg, 10/19/10). And while Fox News parent News Corp’s $1 million donation to the Republican Governors Association caused a stir, GE had “given $245,000 to the Democratic governors and $205,000 to the Republican governors since last year,” reported the Washington Post (8/18/10).
Olbermann’s donations are in some ways comparable to fellow MSNBC host Joe Scarborough’s $4,200 contribution to Republican candidate Derrick Kitts in 2006 (MSNBC.com, 7/15/07). When that was uncovered, though, NBC dismissed this as a problem, since Scarborough “hosts an opinion program and is not a news reporter.” Olbermann, of course, is also an opinion journalist–but MSNBC seems to hold him to a different standard.
Okay, good question, if it’s okay for Scarborough why isn’t it okay for Olbermann? I frankly can’t stand either and don’t watch them, but NBC really messed up with this one.
Mike Kimel at Angry Bear has a some what wonky economic post up today, but it’s worth looking at because it debunks the conservative argument that the Great Depression was solved by war expenditures during WW2 and every thing was just hunky dory after that. You may recall the bizarre op-ed in WAPO last week by David Broder suggesting that starting a war with Iran would jump start our economy. Interestingly enough it’s called Very bad economic Theory. Good to see some one tackle yet another canard spread by right wing hopealogues looking for to replace real economic analysis with voodoo doodoo. There’s links also to this paper which is really odd. It’s a working paper from David Henderson at George Mason University and it’s probably going to stay a working paper just about every where except maybe the AEI or the Club for Growth. Kimel rips the paper to shreds and does so with some really, nifty graphs!
Finally, it is worth noting – some of the commentators to Tyler Cowen’s post also seemed to incorrectly believe that there was a post WW2 boom, though they tended to attribute that non-existent boom to the fact that the US came out of WW2 intact and went out building up other participants of the war. The fact that there are a variety of incorrect views about what happened in the past is not important. The fact that people believe in things that are demonstrably (and easily demonstrable, at that) not true is vital and unfortunate. As Michael Kanell and I point out in Presimetrics, theorizing based on incorrect facts leads to very poor theory, poor theory leads to abysmal policies, and abysmal policies lead to very unfortunate outcomes that negatively impact the lives of all of us.
US News & World Report–which is no longer being offered in a print edition–has an interesting op ed up by Mort Zuckerman: ‘America’s Love Affair With Obama Is Over;The administration is running out of time to lower unemployment and fix the economy’.
The last two years have exposed to the public the risk that came with voting an inexperienced politician into office at a time when there was a crisis in America’s economy, as the nation contended with a financial freeze, a painful recession, and two wars. The Democrats were simply not aggressive enough or focused enough in confronting the profound economic crisis represented by millions of ordinary Americans whose main concern was the lack of jobs.
Jobs have long represented the stairway to upward mobility in America, and the anxiety over joblessness became the dominant concern at a time when financial security based on home equity and pensions was dramatically eroding. No great speech is going to change the fundamental fact that millions of people are either jobless or underemployed at a time when only a quarter of the American population describes the job market as good.
Why did Obama put his health plan so far ahead of the economy? To do what the Clintons couldn’t? His rush to do it sparked a broad resistance that has only spread since the bill was passed. The public sensed that healthcare was a victory for Obama, and maybe for the Democrats, but not for the country—and contrary to Democratic hopes, public support for the measure has continued to drop to as low as 34 percent in some polls. A significant majority, some 58 percent, now wish to repeal the entire bill, according to likely voters questioned in a late October poll by Rasmussen.
Let’s see, who have we heard this all from before?
WAPO reports that the U.S. is deploying drones in Yemen now. Are we going to open a third front in the wars in the Middle East now? How much do those things cost? Is this yet another example of a sneaking into a skirmish that becomes a war?
The United States has deployed Predator drones to hunt for al-Qaeda operatives in Yemen for the first time in years but has not fired missiles from the unmanned aircraft because it lacks solid intelligence on the insurgents’ whereabouts, senior U.S. officials said.
The use of the drones is part of a campaign against an al-Qaeda branch that has claimed responsibility for near-miss attacks on U.S. targets that could have had catastrophic results, including the recent plot to place parcels packed with explosives on cargo planes.
U.S. officials said the Predators have been patrolling the skies over Yemen for several months in search of leaders and operatives of the group al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, or AQAP. After withstanding a flurry of attacks involving Yemeni forces and U.S. cruise missiles earlier this year, AQAP’s leaders “went to ground,” a senior Obama administration official said.
The use of U.S. drones in Yemen underscores the deep U.S. reliance on what has become a signature weapon against al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups.
I think there is probably some things weird in there to say about Biden’s wars and Drone Wars but I can’t seem to do it right now. All I know is that I’m tired of watching my tax dollars being spent on drones for sale. Can we buy a few levees and electric grid up grades in the US while we’re at all this? Maybe they could clean up the Gulf of Mexico? Keep funding Head Start? Repave a few bumpy interstate highways?
[MABlue here]
I’m among those who have seen it, but here is the entire interview of President Obama on 60 Minutes. What are your impressions?
Many Democrats are afraid Obama still doesn’t get “it”.
Assessing midterm losses, Democrats ask whether Obama’s White House fully grasped voters’ fears
President Obama‘s failure to channel the anxieties of ordinary voters has shaken the faith that many Democrats once had in his political gifts and his team’s political skill.
In his own assessments of what went wrong, the president has lamented his inability to persuade voters on the merits of what he has done, and blamed the failure on his preoccupation with a full plate of crises.
But a broad sample of Democratic officeholders and strategists said in interviews that the disconnect goes far deeper than that.
Paul Krugman is not happy with QE2. He thinks we didn’t learn anything from a watered down stimulus. [Kat,do we have a problem of multiple personality disorder here? Ben Bernanke, pre-eminent scholar of the Great Depression vs Ben Bernanke, Fed Chair]
Doing It Again
[A]s in the 1930s, every proposal to do something to improve the situation is met with a firestorm of opposition and criticism. As a result, by the time the actual policy emerges, it’s watered down to such an extent that it’s almost guaranteed to fail.
We’ve already seen this happen with fiscal policy: fearing opposition in Congress, the Obama administration offered an inadequate plan, only to see the plan weakened further in the Senate. In the end, the small rise in federal spending was effectively offset by cuts at the state and local level, so that there was no real stimulus to the economy.
Now the same thing is happening to monetary policy.
Oh! And Sarah Palin is unhappy with Ben Bernanke for doing “quantitative easing” at all. She says he should do like Reagan… Or something.
Palin to Bernanke: ‘Cease and Desist’
We shouldn’t be playing around with inflation. It’s not for nothing Reagan called it “as violent as a mugger, as frightening as an armed robber, and as deadly as a hit man.” The Fed’s pump priming addiction has got our small businesses running scared, and our allies worried. The German finance minister called the Fed’s proposals “clueless.” When Germany, a country that knows a thing or two about the dangers of inflation, warns us to think again, maybe it’s time for Chairman Bernanke to cease and desist. We don’t want temporary, artificial economic growth bought at the expense of permanently higher inflation which will erode the value of our incomes and our savings. We want a stable dollar combined with real economic reform. It’s the only way we can get our economy back on the right track
Mmmkay!!!!
The age of austerity is coming with a vengeance.
Now in Power, G.O.P. Vows Cuts in State Budgets
Republicans who have taken over state capitols across the country are promising to respond to crippling budget deficits with an array of cuts, among them proposals to reduce public workers’ benefits in Wisconsin, scale back social services in Maine and sell off state liquor stores in Pennsylvania, endangering the jobs of thousands of state workers.
India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh says India is not stealing US Jobs
India on Monday asserted that it was not in the business of stealing American jobs, even as US President Barack Obama said that deals with India to create 50,000 jobs back home were aimed at assuaging citizens’ fears.
“India is not in the business of stealing jobs from the US… outsourcing (work to India) has helped improve the productive capacity and productivity of America,” prime minister Manmohan Singh said at a joint press conference with visiting US President Barack Obama at Hyderabad House here.
For Heaven’s sake! Can this guy/gal make up his/her mind already?
A very peculiar engagement: Charles had a sex change… then hated being Samantha so became a man again. Now he’s getting married
Born Sam Hashimi, the businessman and divorced father-of-two had a sex-change operation in 1987 to turn him into glamorous interior designer Samantha Kane.
He spent £100,000 on cosmetic operations and tooth veneers to create the ‘ultimate male fantasy’ and was so convincing as a woman he had no trouble attracting men, and was briefly engaged to a wealthy landowner.
Then, in 2004, after seven years of living as a woman, he decided he’d made a horrible mistake; the result -he believes now -of a breakdown following the acrimonious end of his 12-year marriage and estrangement from his children.
What’s on your Reading and Blogging list today?
Clinton would beat Obama by 20 points according to poll
Posted: November 8, 2010 Filed under: Uncategorized 24 CommentsOkay, it’s a Newsmax poll, but in conjunction with Survey USA:
Hillary Clinton would trounce fellow Democrat President Barack Obama by a 20-percentage-point margin in a head-to-head race for the presidency, according to a Newsmax/SurveyUSA poll conducted after Tuesday’s midterm elections….
The survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted Nov. 3-4, after Republicans won the House and gained six seats in the Senate — results widely interpreted as a rejection of Obama and raising questions about whom the Democrats might field as a candidate in 2012.
In the poll, respondents were asked: “If there were an election for president of the United States today, and the only two names on the ballot were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, who would you vote for?”
The poll found that overall, 60 percent of respondents chose Secretary of State Clinton, while 40 percent chose Obama.
Interesting.
UPDATE: BTD on what could have been: HOLC
Tim Geithner: “Bankers’ poodle, Obama’s pet” — Andrew Cockburn
Posted: November 7, 2010 Filed under: Uncategorized 18 CommentsIn the comments on the Sunday links thread, we were discussing the shortage of leftist intellectuals these days, and then coincidentally I came across this piece at Counterpunch by Andrew Cockburn, who is a long-time nonconforming leftist like Noam Chomsky. In this recent article, he claims to be breaking some inside info about the recent shakeup on Obama’s economic team.
If Barack Obama needed any help in guiding the Democratic Party over the cliff he certainly got it from Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner. Voters have told pollsters that the state of the economy, their own in particular, was their principle concern. Though impelled by the specter of unemployment and homelessness, the image of Geithner, toady to the bankers, can only have encouraged them in their fury. A sensible president would therefore already be running out the plank prior to giving this disastrous financial overseer an encouraging shove between the shoulders. But in this case, we may not be that lucky. CounterPunch can reveal the crucial role played in these matters by a group close to the President but unknown to the outside world.
A knowledgeable insider told Cockburn that despite Larry Summers’ reputation as a corporate tool,
“Larry has some idea that there is more to the economy than just the welfare of large banks,” this official suggests. “He did push for a larger stimulus and more jobs programs, for example. Tim just cares about banks.”
Cockburn claims that Summers’ firing was prompted by a little-known group of rich African Americans who dislike Summers because of his conflicts with Cornel West when Summers was president of Harvard. After a long dispute between the two, West left Harvard to join the Princeton faculty.
So who are the people in this group that has so much influence on Obama?
“These are the people Obama likes to hang out with. He plays poker with them, and takes their advice on financial matters” a former White House official told me. “They hate Summers for one simple reason: they think he’s a racist. They have never forgiven him for Cornel West [the eminent black scholar contemptuously ejected from Harvard by Summers when the latter was President of the university.]”
According to Cockburn, one of these influential men is George W. Hayward, a hedge fund executive who “has led Obama financially astray in the past.”
While Haywood and his pals were dissing Summers, Obama had come to actually like Geithner. Who knows why? Perhaps the life-long financial bureaucrat is good at explaining financial arcana to the innumerate chief executive, or maybe he is just adept at flattery. In any event, the relationship goes back some way. “Obama decided on Geithner for his Treasury Secretary in August 2008,” one former Treasury official told me, “probably at the urging of Mike Froman, acting on behalf of Rubin, Weill and Prince.”
Hmmm…I’d love to know who Haywood’s “pals” are. Maybe we can figure something out from that Muckety chart, linked above–or maybe Dakinikat knows something?
There is one more interesting tidbit in this gossipy article:
Once installed in the Treasury Secretary’s commodious office, Geithner’s first public address panicked the market into a 700 drop within ten minutes of his opening his mouth – even though he was announcing another bank bailout. Though Rahm Emanuel reportedly insisted thereafter that all of the Treasury Secretary’s announcements be cleared with him, the bond with Obama was unaffected. Perhaps, at this late date, the hapless president may be realizing that this was a mistake.
I wonder if Timmy was displacing Rahm in Obama’s affections too?
Discuss, or use this as an open thread if you wish.









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