Nevada Caucuses Open Thread

Mr. 1% addresses a campaign rally in Colorado Springs

I thought I’d put up a thread about the Nevada Caucuses. Official results will be coming in soon, but as of now it looks like another big win for Romney. Reuters:

Early vote results reported by CNN showed Romney grabbing a big lead. With 3 percent of precincts counted, Romney had 52 percent, well ahead of U.S. Representative Ron Paul’s 20 percent. Former U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Newt Gingrich was in third with 19 percent and former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum was last with 9 percent.

As for Mitt, he’s already in Colorado.

Flanked by four young grandchildren, a buoyant-looking Mitt Romney strode across the tarmac here [Colorado Springs] early Saturday afternoon, creating a perfectly posed American family tableau on the day that Nevadans voted for their choices to be the Republican presidential nominee.

He had reason to look upbeat; early returns from Nevada caucuses indicate a decisive win — which would make it the second state he has won in a row, and the third total — boosting the narrative of his inevitability, which briefly seemed in doubt after he was routed in South Carolina by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.

Colorado’s caucuses take place Tuesday.

Rick Santorum is also in Colorado and Ron Paul has moved on to Minnesota.

According to TPM, Newt Gingrich, who spent very little money or effort on Nevada, announced his upcoming campaign schedule just a short time ago, seemingly indicating that he plans to fight on.

Earlier, TPM reported that Gingrich had sent out an e-mail to supporters saying “we still have 45 states to go.” Gingrich held a meeting with about 60 donors earlier this afternoon. Sugar daddy Sheldon Adelson was at the meeting, so I assume he plans to keep supporting Gingrich for now. The NYT reported today that Adelson is open to supporting Romney in the general.

Ron Paul is saying he believes he’ll come in second in Nevada. According to Chris Matthews on MSNBC Paul says he’ll get 25%. That wouldn’t be good for Newt, who really needs to come in second.

I’ll post updates in the comments, but please do treat this as an open thread.


28 Comments on “Nevada Caucuses Open Thread”

  1. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    I’m not sure why that quote from the LA Times is coming out in boldface….

  2. dakinikat's avatar dakinikat says:

    Must be that Donald Trump bump working in Vegas 😉

  3. dakinikat's avatar dakinikat says:

    Willard M. “Mitt” Romney
    Romney
    3,510
    45%
    Newton L. “Newt” Gingrich
    Gingrich
    1,722
    22%
    Ronald Ernest Paul
    Paul
    1,659
    21%
    Richard John “Rick” Santorum
    Santorum
    856
    11%
    Src: Nevada GOP
    8% reporting

    via CNN

  4. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    In the entrance polls, 44% said they decided their vote on which candidate would be most likely to beat Obama. BTW, the last Caucus doesn’t end until 10PM Eastern, so MSNBC at least isn’t going to call it till then.

  5. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    TPM has Ron Paul in second place right now. at 29%, Romney 37%, but there aren’t that many votes counted yet.

  6. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    From what I’ve been reading around the internet today, many people are suspicious that Romney might have paid no or very little taxes in 2008-2009 by rolling over losses to 2010. That could be why he doesn’t want to release multiple years like his dad did.

  7. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    41% of Nevada Facebook users say Trump endorsement negatively affected their view of Romney.

    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election-2012/donald-trump-endorsement-mitt-romney-41-negatively-affects-view-goper-article-1.1017150?localLinksEnabled=false

    That’s not real scientific though….

  8. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    Ron Paul was bragging earlier about how his supporters are basically better bullies than the others and that’s why he will do well. Paulbots are like the Obamabots of 2008.

    • northwestrain's avatar northwestrain says:

      Sounds right — Paulbot bullies

      After traveling from east to west in AZ and looking for any political signs — the only bumper stickers and signs in businesses have been for Ron Paul. Not scientific but interesting.

      Thanks for the thread — and information about the misogynist in chief wannbe — Mittens.

      How can women be part of a church that hates women? The Mormons believe that women are inferior — well at least Mormons never told women that they’d sprout a penis after they were baptized. Indians — Utes were told that they’d turn white after they were baptized.

      • Nearly every religion hate women, it’s not just Mormons. Evangelicals, Catholics, Muslims & Jews. Not a religious scholar, so I’m probably leaving others out.

      • northwestrain's avatar northwestrain says:

        Connie you are correct. All of the major fundamentalist type religions are misogynist.

        The research on male vs female religiosity is fascinating – the bulk of the true believing church members (intrinsically devote) are female. Meanwhile men are the surface or surface (fake it) Christians. Yet it is the male who dominate the hierarchy of the nearly all popular Christian denomination. Ironic that the guys who generally aren’t the true believer are preaching to the true believers.

        Mormons though have a belief of getting to heaven which isn’t found in other religions — Women need a man/husband to get into heaven. From what I understand — a woman doesn’t get to heaven on her good works alone.

  9. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    Nevada
    Caucuses
    6% of precincts reporting
    Last updated 1 minute ago.

    Romney
    1,013 Votes
    37.8%

    Paul
    743 Votes
    27.7%

    Gingrich
    578 Votes
    21.6%

  10. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    TPM – with 8% counted, Gingrich is now in second place.

  11. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    Santorum speaking now. I had to shut it off.

  12. dakinikat's avatar dakinikat says:

    Here’s one to make your jaw drop:

    http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2012/02/04/ron-paul-tells-piers-morgan-only-honest-rape-merits-abortion/

    In an interview with CNN’s Piers Morgan, Republican presidential hopeful Ron Paul was asked whether or not victims of rape should have access to abortion services. He said that while he believes that life begins at the moment of conception, the issue is too complex for him to give an answer that will “satisfy everyone.”

    In an interview from Las Vegas on Piers Morgan Tonight, Morgan asked whether as a man with daughters and granddaughters, Rep. Paul (R-TX) thinks that abortion is warranted if a woman has been impregnated by a rapist.

    “If it’s an honest rape,” Paul replied, “that individual should go immediately to the emergency room, I would give them a shot of estrogen.” He claimed, however, that if a woman is “seven months pregnant” and says that she was raped, “It’s a little bit of a different story.”

  13. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    Romney wins. He currently has 40% of the vote.

    Gingrich 24.9, Paul 21.6, Santorum 12.9

    • bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

      If that’s the way it ends up, Romney underperformed based on the polls beforehand.

      • ralphb's avatar ralphb says:

        Surely he can buy better numbers than that, what with getting over 90% of the Mormon vote and them making up 26% or so of caucus voters.

      • ralphb's avatar ralphb says:

        I think he got about 51% in 2008, if I heard right earlier.

        Watched Gingrich’s news conference and it was extraordinary, He hates Romney so bad he’s determined to kill him off no matter what. And he was positively charming to the media.

  14. bostonboomer's avatar bostonboomer says:

    This is old news, but Romney fired his debate coach because the media was giving him too much credit for turning Mitt’s performance around.

    http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0212/72433.html