The Real Whiners and Losers
Posted: July 14, 2008 Filed under: U.S. Economy | Tags: Bail out of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Financial Crisis, Mortgage Crisis 6 CommentsIf there are whiners in the U.S. economy, it has to be the American Investor who is never satisfied with a normal
rate of return. These investors frequently ‘rent-seek’. In Financial Economics, this is akin to finding some way around the market by gaining power over market regulators or lawmakers, or decision makers. It is best understood as a form of political bribery or executive extortion. The majority of investors and businesses are looking for monopoly profits and ways to earn them. They really don’t want to be part of a competitive market and true market capitalism. They are simply seeking monopoly and the extraordinary profits that come from having monopoly control of a market.
Monopoly profits are way beyond the ability of the normal investment and are usually due to some kind of manipulation, control, or problem (which we call friction) in a market. It is due to something other than a market behaving as Adam’s Smith’s invisible hand would suggest. It is a form of winning from something other than fair play. Frequently, it is due to capturing regulators or gaining advantage by forcing some kind of law using lawmakers eager to support business but ignorant of economics.
No group is more guilty of this than investors in Financial Markets. In the theoretical realm, most financial markets would not exist if everything were perfect in markets. This is especially true of banks. They exist because of imperfect information. They make profits by taking advantage of weaknesses in markets. However, many are not satisfied with skimming a small fee for providing information and some services that make life easier for the financially ill-equipped. They want to make WHOPPING FEES. The greed goes up and down Wall Street. Their enablers are both Democrat and Republican Senators and Congressman that allow them to operate without restriction, give them tax breaks for any whim, and turn a back when they engage in grossly speculative behavior but seek bail out at the slightest turn of the market.
My Market Watch Newsletter hit my email even before the markets could open in the U.S. and well after the Asian markets reacted badly. As well, they should. Government should NEVER allow businesses to gamble when it comes to house loans or folks’ life savings. They’re bailing out the predators. Now, will they help the prey?
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The implicit government guarantee of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is now explicitThe Senate passed its version of the legislation last week and sent it back to the House of another vote. It is expected to get to President Bush for his signature before Congress leaves town for its summer recess at the beginning of August.It would be logical to attach the lifeboat for Fannie and Freddie to the housing rescue measure.It is not clear how Congress will react to Paulson’s request. The Treasury secretary said he has been in close contact with the Congressional leadership over the weekend, so his request will not come as a surprise to lawmakers.That would be a bitter pill for Fannie and Freddie, which have been at loggerheads with the central bank over the capital issue for years.
In a dramatic statement released Sunday, the White House and Federal Reserve moved to give the mortgage giants the capital they need to survive the depression in the housing market and turmoil in financial markets that had left them dangling over a cliff.Of most immediate importance, the Fed’s board of governors voted to open up its emergency discount window to Fannie and Freddie.In addition, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson announced that he will seek Congressional authorization to by stock in the two companies and increase the government’s credit line.At the moment, each company may borrow only $2.25 billion.In return for the capital, Paulson said that the Bush administration would ask Congress to grant the Fed a “consultative” role in the capital standards of the companies.The housing rescue package that is nearing final approval by Congress would put in place a strong independent regulator for the companies is slowly moving through Congress. Paulson says he wants a new provision allowing the Fed to work hand-in-hand with the new agency.
Both of these agencies are chartered by Congress but owned by private stockholders. In a continuing melodrama where investors insist on unrealistic REAL returns, CEOs and CFOs buy special treatment in Washinton and seek surreptitious ways to circumvent regulatory responsibility as well as responsibilities to the customers they serve. Financial Institutions serve a special role in the economy. They not only return profits to investors, they are the keyholders to the American Dream. They hold funding for college, for homes, and for a secure and stress-free retirement. If they do not live up to both their fiduciary responsibilities as well as their responsibilities to function as proper underwriters, they deserve to be nationalized and to have their for profit status stripped from them.
I know this is a somewhat radical view. However, this is hardly the first time this sort of thing has happened. We have lived through the excesses of the period leading to the great depression. We have lived also, through the period of greed known as the 80s with its financial excesses and the dot.com bubble. If executive officers are not rewarded by investors for taking prudent and long run view points to their investments, perhaps they should be nonprofits when the stakes are so high they will fall to the taxpayer when bad management prevails.
We can not afford investors that wish to profiteer extraordinarily from the least among us. Nor can we afford, as a citizenry, to tolerate management that will cave to pressure to produce above market rates of return from investments that should NOT perform thusly. High rates of returns come from high risk assets which frequently tank. High risk usually comes from uncredit worthy or highly speculative investments. If we learned anything from the Great Depression, it is that some management decisions can not be left to the weak minded and ill-informed asset manager who makes fees based on volume and return. They can leave with their profits. The duped borrower becomes homeless or pensionless. Bad underwriting leaves a mess that taxpayer cleans up one way or the other.
I ask Barney Frank, Ben Bernanke, and all those with regulatory responsibilities to ask themselves this question. When is it that certain financial decisions, when made by the market, are so incredibly hurtful that they can not be allowed? After all, this is not the market for beer, or jeans, or some kind of stinky perfume. When it involves the financial devastation of ordinary Americans seeking homes, college educations, and secure retirements, is NOT their interest as important as the profits of the risk takers? It is TIME for regulation to catch up with the twists and turns of these new derivatives markets and of the investors who ask for more profit than they are entitled. It is one thing to make a profit from competitive advantage or from creating a better mouse trap, it is nothing but chicanery to make a profit from stealing from information asymmetries which is the souped up way that we financial economists say the customers are generally uninformed and vulnerable.
It is time to QUIT bailing out the managers and the investors and time to start protecting the customers and borrowers. When lenders turn making loans into a game of charades, the borrower cannot be blamed for misreading the signals. When lawmakers turn their back to one side of the market and are complicent with the other, they are as bad as the perpetrator of the fraud.
Okay, this post is JUST Because!
Posted: July 13, 2008 Filed under: No Obama | Tags: obama bus drive, obama cartoons, obama change, obama flip flop 4 CommentsI’ve always loved political cartoons. Here’s some of my favorites on Senator Obama.

This is from the cover of the current issue of the New Yorker.
And a funny response:
Here’s a play on his recent series of flip-flops.
Here’s one that ALWAYS makes me laugh.
This one is the Obama Express!
McCainonomics: Red faces, voters who Whine, and Blue homeowners
Posted: July 11, 2008 Filed under: U.S. Economy | Tags: Economic policy, energy policy, global economics, Gramm, mccain, whining US Voters 9 CommentsWhile John McCain is calling the U.S. economy a shambles, Economic Adviser Phil Gram says buck up
America and quit whining. He says it’s ALL in our head.
So which of these guys has the correct answer? Well, on the one hand there’s this guy trying to get elected president, so what else is he going to say? Then on the other hand, we’re really not technically in a recession yet so Phil has a point. They are both right and they are both wrong which is something only an economist could say and I couldn’t resist living up to the old joke. Okay, I’ll break it down into a few more stylized facts.
Our growth rates is somewhere between 0 and 1, our unemployment rate is pretty much where it should be, and most of the economic indicators are mixed, at best. We’re in a very slugglish growth period, but there still some major economic indicators that are showing neutral or positive. That doesn’t mean that all of us are living the same reality, however. The real answer to the question depends on WHO you are and WHERE you live. The economy is stagnant at the moment, and we’re in for a period of time where Americans are going to have to get use to making some tough choices and not seeing forward momentum. We’re basically all working and staying pretty much in the same place. Our clothing is costing us a lot less. We’ve got electronic gadgets galore and they are all really cheap. Have you priced computers, dvd players, or stereos recently? They’re all pretty cheap and just about any one can get to them. However, health care, driving, and eating are going from cheap to pricey.
The question of high energy prices and the segments of America that aren’t doing so well come mostly from globalization of the world economy that brings both good developments and bad. This is not going to reverse. As the economy adjusts, all buyers will win from global trade but those whose jobs go abroad will loose, and some will loose big time. We buy cheap stuff from the Chinese, they turn around and buy cars and they want gas. This increased demand for gas means higher gas prices. The Chinese also take jobs away from the manufacturing sector because Chinese labor comes extremely cheap and doesn’t require a pension or health plan. Those folks working for those companies that are outsourcing to other countries are miserable. While the USA has a relatively low unemployment rate of around 5%, places like Michigan and Pennsylvania have 10% unemployment rates. They are suffering. So, if you’re in the medical sector, you’re going to be happy as a clam. If you’re in manufacturing, prepare for a new career. Also, the government has grants out there to retrain folks loosing jobs from NAFTA. If you can prove it’s from NAFTA, go get it now!
438,000 jobs have been lost bringing unemployment to 5.5 percent. This is not a bad situation now, but if it continues, chances are we will be looking more like recession. Economists consider this rate to be close to the rate that represents what it should be if we are operating at capacity. The big question is: WILL IT GO UP?
So what about the financial crisis? How widespread is the mortgage problem? The housing crunch is wrecking the construction industry in places like Miami, Las Vegas, and Los Angeles. However, down here in New Orleans, the construction industry can’t find enough workers and is booming like never before. So Housing Foreclosures are a major problem in places like California, Nevada, and Florida. Many of these foreclosures are for house flippers. These folks are speculators and can whine all they want but that’s business and that’s what you get when the market moves against you. However, folks that were suckered into bad loans by mortgage brokers are a different matter. These folks are loosing their homes for banks that were looking for high fee income and basically put people into mortgages they couldn’t handle. Government regulation and help is required here. We’re not likely to get that as long as Dubya is in office. He’s threatening to veto the current bill. (All of the sudden our prez (the BIG spender) goes fiscally responsible on us!) I’m waiting for both McCain or Obama to come up with specific plans here. Hillary Clinton was the only one who spoke to this situation and her answer was a moratorium on rates. I think we’re going to need some federal bonds to fund some of these folks. It’s something similiar to what we did during the Great Depression to keep families in their homes and off the street.
So there are several markets that are a huge mess. The automobile industry and some sectors of manufacturing and the financial industry which has spilled into the housing industry, But again, most of the impact from these sectors is hitting some states hard and other states not so much at all.
Unfortunately, a lot of the higher prices are due to those high food and gas prices which are not a function of a bad U.S. economy, they are a function of problems in the global economy. There is also a continuing pattern since the 1980s that has left the rich getting richer and the poor and middle class getting poorer. The income inequality problem is worsening in this country and it looks as though it will continue. This is why it is essential that everyone has access to quality education at all levels. We should consider allowing more students attend university on the taxpayer’s dollar. Aid should definitely be mean income tested. It is much cheaper to send a teenager to school than it is to house him in a jail for the rest of his life.
These are some steps we can take to solve some of these things. First, as long as U.S. business has to pick up the tab for worker’s health insurance, the U.S. worker will not be competitive. We need universal health care paid for by individuals/taxpayers on an ability-to-pay basis. Second, all agriculture price supports, set aside programs, and subsidies, especially to ethanol, should be halted. Third, we all need to conserve energy and switch to other fuels sources (with the exception of ethanol made from things that are food). If we are making biofuels, then we need to use garbage or chicken fat or some byproduct, not food itself.
So, which of the candidates are up to the challenge? I don’t think either of them are, but I’m waiting.
She’s Almost THERE! Just a LITTLE MORE!!
Posted: July 11, 2008 Filed under: Action Memo, Hillary Clinton: Her Campaign for All of Us | Tags: Hillary Debt, hillary tshirt with contribution, i dumped the star, just say no deal 5 Comments
There’s still a little more work we need to do to help Hillary. The MSM has mentioned that the obamanation has given hillary the paltry sum of about $100,000 during the last week, while PUMAs have helped her cut her debt down to under $4 million. The DNC and the Obama campaign keep moving the bar for her. For some reason, they INSIST that she must pay her debt down by July 15th in order to have any voice in Denver.
We have to reach into our pockets to help our GAL again!!!! We’ve determined that just $5 from the 2.5 million PUMAS around the country will get the job done. So this week’s campaign is to forego ONE cup of coffee and finish that JOB!
If you’re feeling a little more generous, you can donate $50 and get the t-shirt that won Chelsea’s contest back in June.
It will continue to help Hillary pay down her campaign debt.
Click here to make a contribution of $50 and receive one of our winning t-shirts.
Denitza of Weehawken, New Jersey submitted the winning t-shirt. Every Sky Dancing Woman, Man and Child wants one!!!!
Native American’s Deserve the American Dream
Posted: July 10, 2008 Filed under: No Obama | Tags: First Americans, Native Americans Against Obama, Native Americans and poverty, Native Americans and the American dream 2 CommentsI was born in Oklahoma and grew up in Omaha. My mother used to take us to every pow-wow she could find. We frequently travelled the west and the southwest. I climbed the chaco canyon and hiked the trail of tears. I have an enduring respect and awe for Native Americans. From summers spent in New Mexico near Ghost ranch or winters in Mesa, Arizonia where my parents retired, I take every chance I have to discover what I can about the folks who were the first Americans. Many folks have been thrown under the bus by the Obama campaign during this election season. It is easy to find their voices and their stories on the internet. I know there are many many groups questioning his authenticity concerning issues of poverty and respect. There are none more deserving of such conversations than our first Americans. This is one of the many wonderful videos I have found that raise questions, issues, and objections concerning the Obama candidacy. Please listen and learn from these U.S. citizens who have been heros of our wars and protectors of our natural resources. If any one deserves the American dream, it is the Native American.











Recent Comments