In FDIC We Trust

bank_trustI continue to read current economic thought on the state of the economy and the state of the Obama administration’s response.  I don’t’ know if you’ve ever made a trip to Project Syndicate, but it’s an interesting site where you can read contributions by brilliant people to newspapers around the world.  It’s another one of those places that I’ve found since I’ve completely given up on the US MSM’s ability to provide real news, insight, or criticism of the world today.

Joseph Stiglitz is a frequent contributor. He’s a 2001 Nobel Laureate Economist.  This is a contribution of his to The Guatemala Times from March 6, 2009.  It’s called How to Fail to Recover.  I’ve talked a lot about how the stimulus package isn’t big enough, that it contains too many tax cuts and that it is a bandage approach to a systemic problem that started in the financial system with bad lending practices egged on by Washington and greedy megainvestors.  I feel vindicated because that is Stiglitz take too.

The stimulus package appears big – more than 2% of GDP per year – but one-third of it goes to tax cuts. And, with Americans facing a debt overhang, rapidly increasing unemployment (and the worst unemployment compensation system among major industrial countries), and falling asset prices, they are likely to save much of the tax cut.

Almost half of the stimulus simply offsets the contractionary effect of cutbacks at the state level. America’s 50 states must maintain balanced budgets. The total shortfalls were estimated at $150 billion a few months ago; now the number must be much larger – indeed, California alone faces a shortfall of $40 billion.Household savings are finally beginning to rise, which is good for the long-run health of household finances, but disastrous for economic growth. Meanwhile, investment and exports are plummeting as well. America’s automatic stabilizers the progressivity of our tax systems, the strength of our welfare system – have been greatly weakened, but they will provide some stimulus, as the expected fiscal deficit soars to 10% of GDP.

In short, the stimulus will strengthen America’s economy, but it is probably not enough to restore robust growth. This is bad news for the rest of the world, too, for a strong global recovery requires a strong American economy.

The real failings in the Obama recovery program, however, lie not in the stimulus package but in its efforts to revive financial markets. America’s failures provide important lessons to countries around the world, which are or will be facing increasing problems which are or will be facing increasing problems with their banks.

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Cramer Responds to New White House Meme

cramerWe’ve been talking about Cramer, Suze, and Santelli recently and listening.  They’ve stepped into the arena in defense of the US Everyman and the investments we make in our homes, our pensions, and our children.  These folks have made money but are not the high rollers that gambled away our savings, drug the weakest among us into bad mortgages, and bankrolled the campaigns of Obama, Biden, Dodd, Grahm, Leach and a bunch of other pols who did not and do not have our interests at heart.   When Cramer started talking about Obama-proofing your investment portfolio and finally begged POTUS to stop ignoring the messages screaming out of Wall Street Markets, he became just another target for the Blogkrieg Botz.  Two days ago, I outlined what I saw was a concerted on-line effort to assassinate his character and professional standing.  The MSM has also been repeating what was sure the latest Axelrove meme.  Cramer doesn’t know what he’s talking about.  Cramer makes money off you at your expense.  He’s one of those bad guys.  Meanwhile, the infusions of taxpayer dollars to the real culprits behind the meltdown as well as the complete lack of any regulatory reform sallies forth unabated.  Barney (subprime mortgages r us) Frank is now calling for a super regulator and is planning on holding ‘hearings’.  Just what we need. More hearings while the pensions and home values of every one of us continue their decline.

Today, Cramer hit back and I say more power to him.

The lines are drawn pretty clearly: If you can help people make money to be able to retire, enjoy life, pay for college, pay down debt, etc., you are a “good guy,” so to speak. If you take the other side of the trade, you are, well, let’s say, a less favored fellow. And if you gun for the gigantic investor class that is out there that includes 90 million people in one form or another, whether it be 401(k)s or individual stocks or pension plans, then you are on my enemies list.

I am a member of that ‘gigantic investor class’.  But it also includes people like Penny Pritzker who was head of Obama’s Finance Committee during his election and is now one of his advisers.  If you’d like to read about her and her part in the Financial Crisis, just Google away.  It’s every where.  Just read about this FAILED BANK that was really one of the first that greed brought down.  At the time it was one of the most expensive bank closings on record costing in the realm of about $500 million. Of course, that sounds like chicken feed now. But she’s just typical of the mega rich that gamed the system.  She’s also the  typical mega investor that funded Obama and owns him lock stock and barrel. That’s probably why the Blogzkrieg Bots are on the warpath of the likes of the Cramers of the world.  They’re messing with the Obamessiah’s imagine and that could cost the megainvestors in Obama their tax payer bailouts.

First, they eviscerate your character and your professional ability.

I am a fight-not-flight guy, so I was on my hackles when I heard White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs’ answer to a question about my pointed criticism of the president on multiple venues, including the Today Show.

“I’m not entirely sure what he’s pointing to to make some of the statements,” Gibbs said about my point that President Obama’s budget may be one of the great wealth destroyers of all time. “And you can go back and look at any number of statements he’s made in the past about the economy and wonder where some of the backup for those are, too.”

They do it in the Media, they do it from their podiums, they hire folks on Craig lists to visit blogs to convince every one there is a swell of outrage for the Obamessiah.

Then they send out the message that Cramer isn’t acting in your interest.  Obama is the one fighting the nasty ‘bankers’.  His program is going to help every one of you little guys.

Gibbs went on to say, “If you turn on a certain program, it’s geared to a very small audience. No offense to my good friends or friend at CNBC, but the president has to look out for the broader economy and the broader population.”

How much I wish it were true right now that stocks played less of a role in peoples’ lives. But stocks, along with housing, are our principal forms of wealth in this country. Only the people who have lifetime tenure, insured solid pensions and rent homes but own no stocks personally are unaffected. Sure that’s a lot of people, but believe me, they aspire to have homes and portfolios. If we only want to help those who have no wealth to destroy, we are not helping the majority of Americans; we are not helping the broader population.

Then third,  it’s the nastiness that he inherited from Bush that’s causing all these problems and Cramer’s just a closet Republican, a Racist, a R@tf*cker!

You can argue, of course, that Obama inherited one of the worst hands in the world. I had been a relentless critic of the Bush administration’s “stewardship” of the economy, calling repeatedly for changes to avert the disaster that I saw coming, although perhaps Gibbs hasn’t seen my CNBC meltdown. Seemed pretty prescient to me.

I, like everyone else, have made less authoritative and wrong statements in the past, but that rant still stands as something that I am sure everyone in the Bush administrations’ Treasury and Fed listened to. My calls to sell 20% of your stocks in September at Dow 11,000 and then all of your stock if you need the money for the next five years at Dow 10,000 in October, might have eluded Gibbs, too.

I said it here just a few days ago and I will say it again.  There is a very active proproganda wing of this POTUS.

rise_Hillary, on March 5th, 2009 at 3:00 am

You are right about the paid bots only these are a whole new crew. Criag’s List today had a job posting for Bloggers Needed. They are offering $5.00 per finished conversation…whatever that means. It’s listed under the computer jobs. I do believe this is recruitment to become an Obot. Thanks to the stimulus porkulus, jobs are being created in this sector. {{snark}}
So as they hire more kids on taxpayer dime, you will see more manufactured Obots. They only get paid per conversation so remember to ignore them and they will quit their new bot jobs when they don’t get paid for a ‘completed’ conversation. Spread the word.

I can’t tell you how many folks have come to my site today to say they’ve noticed the uptick in that propaganda effort.  Here’s the type of criticism they don’t want to hear from Cramer who supported Hillary Clinton in the primary.

But Obama has undeniably made things worse by creating an atmosphere of fear and panic rather than an atmosphere of calm and hope. He’s done it by pushing a huge amount of change at a very perilous moment, by seeking to demonize the entire banking system and by raising taxes for those making more than $250,000 at the exact time when we need them to spend and build new businesses, and by revoking deductions for funds to charity that help eliminate the excess supply of homes.

We had a banking crisis coming into this regime, but now every area is in crisis. Each day is worse than the previous one for this miserable economy and while Obama’s champions cite the stimulus plan, it’s really just a hodgepodge of old Democratic pork and will not create nearly as many manufacturing or service jobs as we hoped. China’s stimulus plan is the model; ours is the parody.

And here’s the money line from the mad money man:

If that makes me an enemy of the White House, then call me a general of an army that Obama may not even know exists — tens of millions of people who live in fear of having no money saved when they need it and who get poorer by the day.

Hey Cramer, Obama knows the army is out there.  Be prepared to be called a deadender for Hillary.  Have you got the call-outs for being racist yet?  How about a ‘bitter knitter’?  You’re not a woman, but if they can find something akin to calling you a dried up old va-jay jay get ready for that too.  Because there are a lot of folks out there, and the purpose of propaganda and the Blogzkrieg Bots is to silence you.   They will try to intimidate you into silence.  Don’t let them.


The Blogzkrieg Bots

splashAxelrove must’ve sensed a disturbance in the force because I believe the Blogzkrieg Bots are back at work in sites where the Obamessiah’s economic message has been questioned.  Most of the frontpagers and bloggers that I know were chased off various blogs when they harshed the Obama mellow or dared suggest that Hillary’s campaign was better, not racist, and worthy of support. Recently, a set of anonymous email exchanges were released at Liberal Rapture.  One writer of the exchange has self identifed themself (James Kunstler) and verified the authenticity of the exchange.  Those of us who have dealt with the spam filter and comments in moderation can give our take on the Blogzkrieg under taken by the Obama campaign which apparently still is in full force to stop any potential anti-obama Buzzkill.  Here’s the relevant exchange from a former Obama supporter that I’d like to reference.

I can also say how shocked I became at the really dishonest tactics he used, from race-baiting to caucus fraud to paying cyber stalkers to terrorize pro-Clinton writers and website owners.

The cyberstalking continues.  Yesterday, I blogged about CNBC’s Kramer.  I have to say that I’m a value investor, unlike Kramer, and do not follow any of his individual stock picks.  I do think the man has an excellent grasp of and background in market psychology.  I started listening to him more when he came out on Ellen as a  Hillary supporter.  He made it clear he thought she’d be best for the economy. So yesterday, I wrote on his rant on cnbc.  This wasn’t his first rant but one the most eye-popping to date.  All last week he was talking about Obama-proofing your investment portfolio.

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Cramer to Obama:Your Agenda is Destroying the Lives of Millions of Americans

I’ve had CNBC on in the back ground while working quite a bit lately.  Some time around early September it replaced CNN as background noise in my office.  I was talking to my dad about the concerns of  losing  about 5 years of 10 years worth of contributions to my retirement plan with the State of Louisiana.  The DJ was over 12000 a year ago. It sits at half of that now.  The S&P 500 is back to 1996 levels.    It was bad in September.  It’s in a freefall right now.   Every time Geithner opens his mouth or the President does something, the markets crash.  The three times we’ve see the markets quiet (including at this moment) is when Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks.  I’m waiting for Geitner’s speech to start the sell off again.  While talking to my dad, CNBC’s Cramer sent out a bellicose indictment of  Obama and his administration.

“Until the Obama administration starts listening, until they start paying attention to what you’re watching – to the stock market, until they realize that their agenda is destroying the life savings of millions of Americans – then all I can give you is caution,” Cramer said on his March 2 broadcast.

Since Obama took office on Jan. 20, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has lost over 1,000 points, including a nearly 400-point drop on Feb. 10 after a disappointing speech by Obama’s Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner on sorting out troubled assets. Cramer pleaded with the administration to take note of the possibility it might have something to do with that.

“I’m not asking for the Feds to give us a plunge protection team, to stop declines – as we always thought to be the case under Greenspan,” he continued. “I’m not saying, ‘Mr. President, stare at the Bloomberg quote machine and come to your senses. I just want some sign that Obama realizes the market is totally falling apart and his agenda has a big hand in that happening.”

Cramer was highly critical of the Obama administration for not catching on thus far. He questioned the merits of their abilities to contain the market turmoil and wondered if they were even bothered by it.

I’m watching Bernanke’s testimony at the moment with one eye on the market.  But I’m with Cramer, when you talk about wealth destruction, you can count me out.  I’m losing everything I’ve worked hard for during the last 12 years.  My house is worth less money.  I’m no longer seeing retirement on any horizon at the moment.  I’m struggling to pay my bills and I’m just damn lucky I have a job at the moment.   Hope is not a strategy.  Change is not a plan.  Stop talking in broad campaignisms and start putting out the details. Also, fix the economy and the banking system before starting any other major partisan paybacks.  Now is not the time for intellectual dilettantes.


Martin Wolf on Fareed Zakaria: Worth a View

FT's Martin Wolf

FT's Martin Wolf

I’m not one to recommend CNN programming these days. Actually, I’m not one to recommend programming on any of the TV stations these days.  However, I  find FT’s Martin Wolf one of the few voices of economic reason in the world. He was interviewed on Fareed Zakaria’s program today.  It’s one of the few CNN programs left with an international twist. They’ve watered down most of the new shows to the point I consider People Magazine a better source of global news.  This program will be repeated this evening at 5 est so you may want to try to watch.  Also, Canadian PM Harper is on the program.  Both the Canadians and the Brit’s have economists for PMs.  It’s amazing to listen to his interview because it’s full of wonky specifics rather than hopey changeyness–that as Martin Wolf says–lacks boldness of vision and action in its actualization.  Listen to Harper.  It’s an amazing contrast to some one who needs a teleprompter with words penned by a 27 year old frat boy to form a complete sentence.

Fareed Zakaria never insults the intelligence of his audience. That is also a reason I enjoy his program.  He wants to stimulate discussions and thought.  He has a juicy wonderful list of books that he recommends.  This week’s selection is a biography of Keynes.  You might know him as the father of economics and government stimulus, but he was also a very interesting character.  He frequently attended white house dinners with

JM Keynes

JM Keynes

his husband of the moment and was known for writing some fairly outrageous social and political commentary.  The book is: John Maynard Keynes, Economist, Philosopher, Statesman” by Robert Skidelski. I’m putting it on my summer reading list.

One of the primary reasons that I listen to Martin Wolf is that he is English so he has no political dogs in the hunt for a return to global prosperity.  His focus is purely on getting out of this mess.  That is why I’m listening to him even more than Paul Krugman.  Krugman may have tenure at Princeton and a Noble prize, but much of his column has to do with maintaining popularity here at home.  After all, he won’t get invited to all those sexy parties if he criticizes the home team too shrilly.   Brit Wolf gives the Obama economic team an English B for a grade. That would translate roughly to a D here in the United States.  He says that it’s not that the talent isn’t there because it is very much there.  Wolf says that there is a time that calls for bold action.  This was a time when bold action could be taken.  He also says what we have gotten is basically carefully parsed politics as usual which is anything but bold.

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