The “Incompetence Crisis”
Posted: March 27, 2009 Filed under: A My Pet Goat Moment, Global Financial Crisis, Hillary Clinton: Her Campaign for All of Us, No Obama, president teleprompter jesus, PUMA, Team Obama, U.S. Economy, Voter Ignorance | Tags: Hillary Clinton, Obama Crisis of Confidence, Obama flunking economics, Obama incompetence, Op Ed criticism 10 Comments
All last year, ALL I heard was how experience didn’t matter. I heard that being ‘ready on day one’ was a meaningless campaign slogan. I was told that what mattered was perceived good judgment, intelligence, and speaking skills. I remember watching the first Democratic Debates and thinking, this guy isn’t ready to be dogcatcher, let alone President. There were no wonky answers on economics or foreign policy. There was never a show of any detailed plan. There was always just a nice speech read from a teleprompter with a preacher’s patois, incredible (somewhat contradictory) promises, and messages that could have come from a motivational seminar instead of a political campaign. I never got on the bandwagon.
I finally found a home over here in the Pumasphere with people of similar thought after being treated like a scourge by other sites (blog or MSM) that had gone over to the hope side. I’ve been getting used to my role as pariah. I was thinking I’d have to live with it for at least a year. I figured I’d start getting the you were so right calls sometime in the fall.
Boy, was I wrong!
I figured that because of my experience during the early calls for the Iraq war. I was the one saying “Iraq has nothing to do with 9/11. Iraq is a different agenda. Iraq is a bad idea.” I actually had some one get up in a restaurant to tell me what a lousy, unpatriotic American I was that didn’t deserve to live in the US. I became a the scourge of all true American patriots. I’ve been thinking that my 9/11 protest was just a character building experience that would serve me well during the Obama fascination period and that it would probably take a few years of, yet again, being a scourge to all true American patriots before the worm would turn. Luckily, I found a other like minded out in the Pumasphere so I don’t have to be quite alone as I was with my opinion on the Iraq Invasion.
I think I can honestly speak for a number of us around here. We didn’t expect to be proven so right so quickly. At least I didn’t. I was hoping that maybe it wouldn’t be as bad as my gut and head had deduced. So many of my friends said, he’s not Dubya, so he’s got to be better, you’ll see. After all, we’d get rid of a lot of really evil signing statements that restrict women’s reproductive choices, the right of all people to love and marry whom they wish, and we’d move ahead on science again. I’ve said this before, but nearly any democrat would have done any of those things–including Joe Lieberman. Lieberman is one of those folks that I consider marginally a democrat, but even he would have done those things if he were POTUS. We certainly wouldn’t see any nasty supreme court appointments either. These were marginal hopes and small changes that I could cling to while knowing that eventually, I would be proven right. I just didn’t even imagine it would wind up quite like this, quite so fast.
So, if I haven’t made myself clear here, Rush Limbaugh and Governor Jindal may be cheering for a failure. I’m not in that camp at all. I’ve just been quietly sitting here telling myself that with all the beautiful things written into the constitution as well as the resiliency of the American people, that perhaps it won’t be quite as bad as I thought it would be. After all, we survived the incompetency of George Bush and the lunacy of Dick Cheney. Things can’t fall apart that fast!
Boy, was I wrong!
Pumas are the new Cassandras. Our warnings, unheeded, demonized, and marginalized, are now the stuff of MSM op ed pieces. I’d like to point you to a few that are searing Obama with legitimate criticisms. I would think they came from one of the edgier Puma sites but they don’t. One is from CNN. The other from the UK’s Prospect. I also have two from the NY Times. These comments are simply alarming.
Punch Drunk on Tax Funded Bailouts
Posted: March 23, 2009 Filed under: Equity Markets, Global Financial Crisis, Main Stream Media, president teleprompter jesus, Team Obama, U.S. Economy, Uncategorized | Tags: bailout, Change When?, Obama, SouthPark, TARP, Timothy Geithner 4 CommentsWhile the Right Wing is off having tea parties and screaming class war, there appears to be some legitimate soul searching going on in left Blogistan about our “punch drunk” POTUS and his continual campaign like appearances. A lot of the discussion is focused on his dogged support of Turbo Tax Timmy and his bailout of the Suckers who created this bad economy for the rest of us. We’ve been overwhelmed with “heckuva-job-Timmy moments and distasteful ‘gallows humor’. When is enough enough?
Meanwhile, those of us that can’t avoid our jobs by taking a permanent vacation in TVLand are watching the economy unwind in spasms of agony and ecstasy. The market, starved for specific plans and information, provided a big thumbs
up on a bail out program that at best reheats Dubya’s. If any one was punch drunk, it was the equity markets today. The leaders were the financials, of course, who will continue to provide profits to the market while writing their costs off to the taxpayer. If you were looking for the fresh cold breath of reality, it wasn’t on Wall Street or on Pennsylvania Avenue.
Lucidity, however, is on the rise in other places. I’m finding it in interesting places like the second episode of South Park where the lampoon on the Dark Knight included this little back ground gem; a satire of the famous Obama picutre with a deer-in-the-headlights appearing Obama and the change mantra tagged by a bright red WHEN?
My answer to the when question is probably never.
Most left wing angst appears to be directed at Tim Geithner since the Light Bringer is still too new to the job to blame. We continue to learn how involved both he and his staff at the NY Fed were in the AIG Bonuses. In fact, the Obama administration is trying to scuttle the Excise tax on the bonuses while verbally denouncing executive greed on TV. We’ve also found out that Citibank has managed to insert similar language to protect its executive bonuses. Let’s see how much change we get on that one too.
Not only are right wing shrills like Fox’s Sean Hannity calling for the head of Timmy Geithner but Progressive Diva Arianna Huffington front paged the call on HuffPo today. When Hannity and Huffington carry the same headline, it’s time for more than a few campaign appearances on Leno and 60 minutes. I’m not sure where all this shock and angst is coming from because it’s been rather obvious to some of us for some time that Obama represented rather narrow interests (not ours). How can every Obama supporter be calling the AIG Bailout a travesty while knowing that the architects and enablers of AIG are continuing the task with the Light Bringer’s blessings and attaboys? Well, Obama just mustn’t realize that it’s all Timmy’s fault and we need his head on a limited edition Obama inaugural platter. But, wait, isn’t Obama the one with that great judgement ? C’mon folks reconcile all this in your mental ledger. It really isn’t that hard.
Yes, it’s an AIG Thread. Discuss.
Posted: March 18, 2009 Filed under: Equity Markets, Global Financial Crisis, president teleprompter jesus, Team Obama, U.S. Economy | Tags: AIG bonuses, Geithner, Summers, timeline 3 CommentsThe peasantry appears ready to pick up the pitchforks and storm the castle over the AIG bonuses. So what sayeth the King’s men? What’s the word from our Regent’s best? Well, here’s the real bottom line according to the NY Times.
New York’s efforts against A.I.G. have overshadowed those of the Treasury secretary, Timothy F. Geithner, the official who is responsible for the financial bailout, along with the Federal Reserve. The White House and Treasury have been besieged by questions about why Mr. Geithner did not know sooner about the bonus payments due this month, and whether he could have done more to stop them, prompting White House officials to assert President Obama’s continued confidence in Mr. Geithner.
“He more than has the president’s complete confidence,” said Rahm Emanuel, the White House chief of staff. As angry as the president is at the news about A.I.G., which he learned Thursday, Mr. Emanuel said, “his main priority is getting the financial system stabilized, and he believes this is a big distraction in that effort.”
It appears the henchman let slip something important. It’s all a ‘big distraction’. POTUS is so angry he can tell a joke. Meanwhile, more and more comes out concerning ‘what the President knew and when he knew it.” I have to say one thing, we got the time line for this immediately after the request came at yesterday’s press conference. Gibb’s may not be the most eloquent of Press Secretaries but when he promises missing information, he does deliver.
CNN’s Wolf Blitzer and Ali Velshi are reporting that they reported on the bonuses back in January 28 so why the kerfuffle today? Also, who is going to be the Judas Goat for this one? FDL’s Jane Hamshear calls Dodd the ‘sin eater’ here and thinks the President is trying to protect Geithner. Jane puts together a time line that more aptly reflects the idea that the President had to hear about the bonuses way back when but didn’t really LISTEN until they became a problem.
Here’s Jane’s take on Dodd’s original provision (removed by Geithner and Summers) on executive pay.
Dodd’s version prohibited TARP recipients from paying out bonuses, retention awards or incentive compensation to the 25 most highly compensated employees. It also prohibited any employee of a company receiving TARP funds from making more than the President. Both provisions would have been in effect so long as a company was receiving TARP funds. Since AIG just paid out $1 million in bonuses to 73 employees, Dodd’s version limiting all employees to what the President made (roughly $500,000) would have substantially nipped that in the bud.
So, at this point we have to ask a question. Do we have a renegade Secretary of the Treasury in cahoots with the President’s personal Economics adviser or a President who probably knew what was going on and didn’t really care until the peasants made an issue of it? Now we have an issue with which congress critters of both parties can make hay. Geithner is going to testify before the House next week on March 24 and 26 according to the WSJ about the AIG bonuses. Meanwhile, AIG’s current CEO testified and plans to ask employees to return the bonuses. ( Pretty, Pretty please, give back at LEAST HALF).
AIG Chairman and Chief Executive Edward Liddy, appearing before a U.S. House subcommittee, said the company has asked employees at its financial-products division who received more than $100,000 to “step up” and return at least half the payments.
“We’ve heard the American people loudly and clearly these past few days,” Mr. Liddy said, claiming that some employees have already volunteered to give up their entire bonus.
He warned, however, that the request could backfire if the employees who received the retention bonuses decide to resign from the firm. “They will return it, but they will return it with their resignations,” Mr. Liddy said.
So after a good yammering, I mean hammering from congress, Liddy once again explains the role of the bonuses.
Mr. Liddy said that the “cold realities of competition” for customers and employees played a role in the firm’s decision to make the payments, which have spurred a public backlash given the roughly $170 billion the government has used to prop up the troubled insurer.
“Because of this, and because of certain legal obligations, AIG has recently made a set of compensation payments, some of which I find distasteful,” Mr. Liddy said.
Describing the financial-products division, Mr. Liddy called it an “internal hedge fund” that exposed the company to extreme market risk. The result, he said, was that “mistakes were made at AIG on a scale few could have ever imagined possible.”
“Those missteps have exacted a very high price, not only for AIG but for America’s taxpayers, the federal government’s finances and the economy as a whole,” said Mr. Liddy, who took over AIG as part of the government’s rescue of the firm in September.
It seems every one finds them distasteful. Even the president “coughed” and joked with “anger” after being properly motivated by his teleprompter. So once again, congress critters will draft legislation to control executive compensation at companies receiving TARP money. Barney (the congressman, not the dinosaur) wants the President as ‘de facto CEO’ of AIG to institute a lawsuit to get the funds back. But wait, they did do that during drafting of the stimulus package. Dodd edited it. Summers and Geithner removed it. What next?
Meanwhile, over at the FED they continue to try break up AIG into pieces. They also appear to be more the source of Wall Street attention that both the hearings and today’s Presidential work-avoidance trip to California. The market rallied on news of the latest from the FOMC. They’re letting loose the printing presses to ease credit. So evidently, while the peasantry revolt, the congressmen act revolting, and the President flies to give another speech and appear on Leno, the bankers are at play.
Let’s just grab some popcorn and discuss.
The Economist Pans POTUS
Posted: March 14, 2009 Filed under: Global Financial Crisis, president teleprompter jesus | Tags: European criticism of US policy, G20 summit, m Obamabears, Obama Education, Obama Science, The Economist Comments Off on The Economist Pans POTUS
The Economist endorsed Obama for POTUS in last year’s presidential campaign. I’m going to say that up front because reading my print edition (slightly soggy from today’s rain) would have lead me to another conclusion. Each article in this week’s (March 14, 2009) United States section took a jab at something POTUS either said or did. Either the Brits are really mad at the Gordan snub last month, the koolaid has worn off overseas, or they’ve finally seen into the empty suit. All I can say is here are the links, read for yourself.
Article one was “Pursued by Obamabears“. This was an analysis subtitled “Investors fret that Obama’s crisis response is not up to task.” It also had this nifty graphic. You can read the entire thing and we’ve discussed the bear market that just recently experienced a brief relief rally. This point was the money maker for me.
Whatever the cause, the strain on the Treasury is encouraging the view that Mr Obama’s agenda is being driven by political advisers and Congressmen, both more attuned to voters’ rage than to market confidence. Chris Dodd, who faces a battle to retain his Connecticut Senate seat in 2010, inserted tough new restrictions on bankers’ pay into the fiscal stimulus package despite the administration’s objections. Since then, a series of mostly small banks have said they will return bail-out money, frustrating the plan to increase the banking system’s capital and lending capacity.
There was also an interesting quote from a former aide to Bill Clinton who was quoted as having ‘two equally depressing” hypotheses on why team Obama appears to be not ready for prime time. I also liked it. The comparisons to Carter have started already.
“Either they do not know what to do, or they do not believe they can muster the political support to do what they know needs to be done.” He advised Mr Obama to focus his attention on the crisis, or risk the loss of confidence Jimmy Carter suffered three decades ago. That would bring Obamabears out in droves.
Six Sigma Probabilities
Posted: March 9, 2009 Filed under: Equity Markets, Global Financial Crisis, president teleprompter jesus, U.S. Economy | Tags: Financial Times., global economic downturn, Obama financial disaster, Wolrd Bank 2 Comments
“The black swan for me would be for us to emerge out of this unscathed and return to normalcy,” Taleb said. Compared with the Great Depression, this crisis is “very different, and it requires much more drastic action.”
Today’s market close set more new records. We’ve had a bear market that’s just run itself long enough to become the worst bear market on record with one exception. That one exception is the one that started on Black Friday, 1929. The second one, until today, was the bear market in 1937. There’s only been one trend recently in all of the capital markets and that is down. No one knows at this point where the bottom is and how long we’ll stay there.
These kinds of losses and numbers usually bring about what is called a Bear Rally. A Bear Rally occurs about the time investors expect the negative momentum to end. Technical traders would expect this any day now. Well, actually they’ve been expecting it any week now and any month now. They’re still looking for it. First we heard that the market was ‘oversold’ and now we’re hearing that there’s a lot of money (estimates of like $3 trillion) just waiting for the good news to get back in. The deal is that recently we’re not even seeing the hint of bounce. It’s now a black swan market.
I have a suspicion that is why our President seems to want to replace Mad Money Cramer as the tipster-in-chief. Cramer just criticizes him (which POTUS hates) and at the moment Cramer is at a loss for any technical explanation. So first, POTUS told us that there were a lot of bargains at there because of the “profits and earnings ratios” (sic). Now, in a NY Times interview, he tells us to not put our money in the mattress.
What I don’t think people should do is suddenly stuff money in their mattresses and pull back completely from spending. I don’t think that people should be fearful about our future. I don’t think that people should suddenly mistrust all of our financial institutions because the overwhelming majority of them actually have managed things reasonably well. But I think that coming out of this crisis what you’re going to see is, you know, a return to the fundamentals – hard work, investing for reasonable returns over time, saving steadily for your kids’ college education and for your retirement. All of us, thinking about our purchases and making sure that we’re taking care of the necessities before we go after the luxuries. And I think that’s true not only for individual families but I think that’s going to be true for government as well. And if we take those steps, if we return to the fundamentals, if we go back to that ad that used to run, where they say, you know, ‘we earn money the old fashioned way’ — or what is it?
So, now we have a lecture on budgeting and spending our money on fundamentals and not luxuries while the omnibus spending bill will just get signed without any significant review and revision. Evidently, what is good for the people, is not what they should expect from their government. I’m clearly on record supporting a huge stimulus bill. In fact, I’ve said that the last stimulus bill was not big enough in TERMS of stimulus and size. The President would be well-advised to review that last paragraph and consider what he’s due to sign shortly. The forecast of job creation in the stimulus bill was based on an average 8% unemployment rate. We just achieved a higher rate than that last month and the increasing downward trend is not expected to stop. The current budget bill would provide an opportunity to transfer funds for earmarks into spending that could possibly address the shortcomings in the stimulus bill.






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