The Incredible Shrinking President

Flop sweat

President Obama has enjoyed largely positive media coverage since 2004, when he gave his first nationally televised speech at the Democratic National Convention in Boston. But since his very public humiliation at the hands of Republicans in the debt ceiling fight, the tide has suddenly turned. I think we may have finally reached a real tipping point.

Just one week ago, Dakinikat wrote a post about the Villagers finally beginning to express buyer’s remorse after Obama’s recent display of weakness and cluelessness. This week, the President has again been hammered in the national and international media, and yet he and his handlers still don’t get it, as Dakinikat’s post from late last night demonstrated.

According to the shocking New York Times article Dakinikat quoted in her post last night, Obama and his top advisers have, in a cold and calculating way, determined that advocating for policies that would create jobs would not be conducive to Mr. Obama’s reelection. Even the ideas they hesitate to push are weak and unoriginal–and as Dak pointed out, would have little to no impact on unemployment or the economy anyway. According to the NYT,

Mr. Obama plans to spend time this weekend considering his options, advisers said. The White House expects to unveil new job-creation proposals in early September.

The ailing economy, barely growing at the same pace as the population, has swept all other political issues to the sidelines. Twenty-five million Americans could not find full-time jobs last month. Millions of families cannot afford to live in their homes. And the contentious debate over raising the federal debt ceiling — which Mr. Obama achieved only after striking a compromise with Republicans that included a plan for at least $2.1 trillion in spending cuts over 10 years — has further shaken economic confidence….

So far, most signs point to a continuation of the nonconfrontational approach — better to do something than nothing — that has defined this administration. Mr. Obama and his aides are skeptical that voters will reward bold proposals if those ideas do not pass Congress. It is their judgment that moderate voters want tangible results rather than speeches.

Perhaps so, but so far we have gotten nothing but speeches–and repeated capitulations–from Mr. Obama. More:

Mr. Plouffe and Mr. Daley share the view that a focus on deficit reduction is an economic and political imperative, according to people who have spoken with them. Voters believe that paying down the debt will help the economy, and the White House agrees, although it wants to avoid cutting too much spending while the economy remains weak.

As part of this appeal to centrist voters, the president intends to continue his push for a so-called grand bargain on deficit reduction — a deal with Republicans to make even larger spending cuts, including to the social safety net, in exchange for some revenue increases — despite the strong opposition of Congressional Democrats who want to use the issue to draw contrasts with Republicans.

Have Plouffe and Daley paid any attention to the media reactions to their boss in the past week? I want to share some of my favorite recent critiques of Obama. Admittedly some of them come from right wing sources, but I detect a distinct change in the wingers’ reactions to Obama too. Instead of claiming he’s a socialist, they are mocking him for being incompetent and ineffectual.

Read the rest of this entry »


It’s too damned late on so many fronts …

I really try not to do late, wonky economic posts on any night, let alone a Saturday night.  It’s probably because I’m deep in the midst of writing a monetary policy paper that I’m even remotely in the mode of doing stuff like this right now, but really, it seems like this discussion is coming late on all fronts. It’s late for the jobless.  It’s late for the businesses who don’t have customers. It’s late for economists who can’t figure out why everything they’ve learned over the last 70 years is being suddenly ignored.  I personally can’t believe the NYT is reporting that there’s a debate in the White House on the necessity of doing something other than seeking bipartisan surrender.  Their internal polling must be worse than we think.

As the economy worsens, President Obama and his senior aides are considering whether to adopt a more combative approach on economic issues, seeking to highlight substantive differences with Republicans in Congress and on the campaign trail rather than continuing to pursue elusive compromises, advisers to the president say.

Mr. Obama’s senior adviser, David Plouffe, and his chief of staff, William M. Daley, want him to maintain a pragmatic strategy of appealing to independent voters by advocating ideas that can pass Congress, even if they may not have much economic impact. These include free trade agreements and improved patent protections for inventors.

But others, including Gene Sperling, Mr. Obama’s chief economic adviser, say public anger over the debt ceiling debate has weakened Republicans and created an opening for bigger ideas like tax incentives for businesses that hire more workers, according to Congressional Democrats who share that view. Democrats are also pushing the White House to help homeowners facing foreclosure.

I simply highlighted the ideas that are wrong, wrong, wrong and now we know where they are coming from.  How much domestic economic boost can you get from free trade agreements, improved patent protections for inventors, and yet MORE tax incentives for businesses to hire more workers when they have very few customers?  The answer is little to none. I’ll be generous and say a smidgin.  If Daley, Plouffe or Sperling were economists we wouldn’t even be seeing these STUPID ideas.

Why on earth would any Democratic President want to compromise with the absolutely wrong voices in the GOP that are basically supporting economic policy that’s custom made to tank the US economy during his re-election cycle?  These idiots have to believe the aforementioned crap.  That’s the only excuse that I can come up with.

The boasts of Congressional Republicans about their cost-cutting victories are ringing hollow to some well-known economists, financial analysts and corporate leaders, including some Republicans, who are expressing increasing alarm over Washington’s new austerity and antitax orthodoxy.

Their critiques have grown sharper since last week, when President Obama signed his deficit reduction deal with Republicans and, a few days later, when Standard & Poor’s downgraded the credit rating of the United States.

But even before that, macroeconomists and private sector forecasters were warning that the direction in which the new House Republican majority had pushed the White House and Congress this year — for immediate spending cuts, no further stimulus measures and no tax increases, ever — was wrong for addressing the nation’s two main ills, a weak economy now and projections of unsustainably high federal debt in coming years.

Instead, these critics say, Washington should be focusing on stimulating the economy in the near term to induce people to spend money and create jobs, while settling on a long-term plan for spending cuts and tax increases to take effect only after the economy recovers.

The absolute lack of a knowledgeable voice on fiscal policy these days in policy circles that matter absolutely boggles my mind.  We can argue the fine points of whether focused tax cuts or spending initiatives are required to jump start aggregate demand and create customers with jobs but really, that’s about the extent of the controversy between economists, financiers, and people that know what they’re doing.

“I think the U.S. has every chance of having a good year next year, but the politicians are doing their damnedest to prevent it from happening — the Republicans are — and the Democrats to my eternal bafflement have not stood their ground,” Ian C. Shepherdson, chief United States economist for High Frequency Economics, a research firm, said in an interview.

Yup, exactly so.

Steve Benen further points to the absolute ignorance that rules the media punditry that some how gets to this kind of coverage on simple economic and finance theory:

Journalistic standards and modern political norms place some restrictions on what a reporter can and will say in a news article. It’s what too often leads to unhelpful he-said-she-said reporting (“Eric Cantor today said two plus two equals five; Democrats and mathematicians disagreed”).

Yup, people can say bat-shit crazy, impossibly false things and it still gets reported as just some one’s opinion.  Further more, FOX news will drag on at least five republican politicians that will insist that 2+2=5 and there’s a liberal media bias and that’s the only reason there could be any different answer.  It’s enough to make a financial economist drink. Okay, I keep writing rants these days.  I’m going to take a late bath with a late nightcap.  Hopefully, you’re all in the middle of some sweet dreams.


Late Night Open Thread: Rick Parry …. “A New Hope”

CNN Political Ticker:

It’s not a typo. Comedian Stephen Colbert wants America to vote for Rick Parry – that’s right, Parry with an “A.”

In the first released ad by his “super” political action committee, Colbert urged Iowa voters to write in “Rick Parry” at the Ames straw poll on Saturday, suggesting in a satiric nod that he’s throwing his weight behind Republican Gov. Rick Perry of Texas for president.

“I called dibs on Rick Parry a long time ago,” said Colbert, who dubs himself president and assistant equipment manager for his PAC, in a statement Wednesday.

The ad, “Episode IV: A New Hope,” is a play on the Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United ruling, which allows super PACs to receive and spend unlimited amounts of money, as long as they don’t coordinate with a particular candidate.

“So to prove we’re truly uncoordinated, we’re asking voters to write in Parry with an A – as in America, IowA, or PresidAnt,” Colbert said. “You can feel confident he’s not asking us to do that.”

Politico doesn’t see the humor in Colbert’s “antics.”

…the real issues with the voting might come from counting write-ins, which are being allowed for the first time this year.

Comedy Central star Stephen Colbert is openly trying to cause trouble, running television ads urging Iowans, “On August 13th write in Rick Parry — That’s Parry with an ‘A’ for America, with an ‘A’ for IowA.”

Jeff Winkler at the right wing Daily Caller blog is also *concerned.*

In two separate ads running since Thursday, the comedian urged straw poll voters to write in the fencing-inspired surname. Funny as the joke is, it could cause serious issues for Iowa officials as they count the ballots Saturday evening.

“We’re treating the straw poll as if it were any other election,” said Erin Rapp, Communications Director for the Iowa Secretary of State, the department overseeing straw poll write-in votes. “Basically, it’s up to the individual canvasser to determine the voter’s intent. You know, there could be variations of spelling in terms of name, but it’s really up to the official.”

You can watch the Colbert Super PAC’s other ad, which features “cheap cornography,” at Mother Jones.


Fear and Self-loathing in Ames

Don Lemon, the CNN weekend anchor, is probably one of the best, most professional anchors on cable news.  He recently came out on TV during a segment on child sexual assault and has since written a book called “Transparent”. It’s pretty brave to discuss your experiences as the victim of child sexual abuse and even braver to come out as a gay man when you’re a major media figure and a black man.  I’ve always been partial to him because of his connections to Louisiana. He’s from Port Allen. You only have to watch his newscasts to realize exactly how nice the award-winning news anchor can be to the people he interviews. He’s one of the most empathetic interviewers I’ve ever watched.  He’s definitely become a great role model for young blacks and  gay men. So, I just read this headline and find the behavior of pray-the-gay-away-therapy-pushing, mail-order-degree-bearing, closet-case Marcus Bachmann beyond offense. Only some one filled with a lot of self-hate could be mean to Don Lemon.

CNN anchor Don Lemon reports that members of the campaign team for Rep. Michele Bachmann including her husband Marcus Bachmann shoved him after an event for the candidate in Des Moines on Friday.

According to CNN, Lemon and another reporter from the network were among a ring of press and supporters that surrounded Bachmann after she spoke briefly at the Iowa State Fair and tried to make her way to a drive cart to exit.

“As both CNN staffers tried to question Bachmann, Lemon said he was pushed by two members of Bachmann’s staff,” reports CNN. “Lemon also said that Marcus Bachmann, the congresswoman’s husband, pushed him.”

As the clip below indicates, the openly gay anchor tried to ask Bachmann respectful questions about her debate performance on Thursday and her expectations for the Ames Straw Poll that takes place today.

Lemon said afterward, “I told them, asked them not to elbow me. And then her husband Marcus started doing the same thing. And then he elbowed me into the cart. And I said, ‘You just pushed me into the cart.’ And he goes, ‘No, you did it yourself.’”

I really think that Bachmann’s self loathing and fear of his sexuality came glaring through in this act of meanness.


Late Night: Can We Survive Another “Change” Campaign?

Via Politico, here is a portion of the speech Rick Perry will give tomorrow in Charleston, South Carolina. As everyone who hasn’t been living under a rock knows by now, Perry will be announcing that he’s running for President of the U.S.

“The change we seek will never emanate out of Washington. It will come from the windswept prairies of middle America; the farms and factories across this great land; the hearts and minds of God-fearing Americans — who will not accept a future that is less than our past, who will not be consigned a fate of LESS freedom in exchange for MORE government. We do not have to accept our current circumstances. We will change them. We’re Americans. That’s what we do. WE roll up our sleeves, WE get to work, WE make things better.”

Perry’s announcement will also feature a film made by an atheist, conservative filmmaker Michael Wilson, who hails from the “windswept prairies” of Minnesota.

In the video, a man, woman and two tow-headed children, eyes closed, fold their hands and pray around a table as a narrator says, “No matter what they’re raised to believe, my children should know that faith is none of the government’s business.”

The video, with an Independence Day theme, also talks of financial prosperity, limited government, health care choice and the “simple beauty of free markets.”

I don’t know about you, but I’m starting to feel a little bit queasy from all this sappy, down-home, cornball talk.

Terrific Texas writer James C. Moore, author of Bush’s Brain, is convinced that Perry will be our next President.

His Saturday speech in South Carolina will make clear that he is entering the race for the White House and will spawn the ugliest and most expensive presidential race in U.S. history, and he will win. A C and D student, who hates to govern, loves to campaign, and barely has a sixth grader’s understanding of economics, will lead our nation into oblivion….

The big brains gathered east of the Hudson and Potomac Rivers believe that Mitt Romney is the candidate to beat. But they are unable to hear what Rick Perry is saying. The Christian prayer rally in Houston was a very loud proclamation to fundamentalists and Teavangelicals, which said, “I am not a Mormon.” The far right and Christian fundamentalists have an inordinate amount of influence in the GOP primary process and, regardless of messages of inclusion, very few of them will vote for a Mormon.

“We think a them Mormons as bein’ in kind of a cult,” one of the Houston rally attendees told me. “I couldn’t vote for one a them when we got a real Christian like Governor Perry runnin’.”

In other words, we’re doomed. And if Perry win, that will be the final proof that there is no god. Would a merciful god allow this man to become President?