Happy New Year!
Aren’t those fireworks fantastic?
Here is a video of New Year’s Eve 2012: Celebrations around the world!
Personally I can’t believe that Dick Clark is still alive…technically…and actually hosted the Rocking New Years Eve 2012 in New York’s Time Square.
And since some feel that 2012 will bring about the end of the world…here is a brilliant cartoon from Angel Boligan, El Universal, Mexico City.
Of course, my guess is Dick Clark will still exist in some form or another…along with Dick Cheney, who relies on Darth Vader technology to keep his heart pumping.
Well, my response to this Mayan Prediction…
“I will survive!”
Performed by Gloria Gaynor and the ladies from Priscilla, Queen of the Desert.
I’m sending out a big New Year’s Kiss and Hug to all of you!
X & O
May everyone have a wonderful and safe night…
I confess the rolling rumor that Hillary Clinton is a perfect match as the Democratic VP candidate in 2012 fills me with absolute dread. It’s not because I don’t think she’s qualified or could do the ribbon-cutting ceremonies with her eyes closed. It’s because she’s over-qualified and could do the ribbon-cutting ceremonies with her eyes closed.
Hillary Clinton riding shotgun does not appeal to any of my senses or sensibilities. In fact, it makes me damn angry. Outraged, if you will. In 2008, the electorate was beguiled, bewitched and hoodwinked by a presidential campaign that sold Barack Obama as the American Idol President, the man who would hold back the seas, bring world peace and a variety of other nonsense. The man took the Nobel Peace prize without a single accomplishment then promptly continued George Bush’s wars and policies with great gusto.
In contrast, Hillary Rodham Clinton was portrayed as tiresome, inexperienced former First Lady who’d held white-glove receptions, serving tea like a Geisha girl. Any accomplishment—her amazing speech in Beijing, her influence in Ireland, her tireless efforts to raise the profile of women and girls throughout the world, her staunch stand on civil rights and her genuine outreach to working class Americans were pooh-poohed and discounted. It was all an act, her critics said. She was a clone of her husband, Bill Clinton, who was demonized by the so-called regressive/progressives though he was the most popular President since FDR. Was the man perfect? Hardly. But he was an effective leader. The Right-Wing noise machine could not bring the Clinton mystique down, even after the Monica Lewinsky debacle.
That would be left to the Democratic leadership. They turned their back on B. Clinton’s enormous popularity in 2000 [at the expense of Al Gore], and then called Clinton a racist in 2008 for remarks made on the campaign trail.
Barack Obama was the Party’s man and Wall Street’s gift. A gift from God, Nancy Pelosi said. The One we’ve been waiting for, Oprah gushed. He’s almost like a god, Evan Thomas, then editor of Newsweek, exclaimed on the Charlie Rose show.
However, the old maxim of ‘what goes up, must come down’ was still in play. And the ‘gift from God,’ the President hailed as the world’s savior, landed with a resounding thud once in office.
In Karma-like fashion, Hillary Clinton has flown to amazing heights in her role as Secretary of State—the most admired woman in the world. She has garnered praise from old enemies, even the Republican hate machine. Regardless of where you stand on American foreign policy, you’d be hard pressed to ignore her non-stop travel, her enthusiastic reception abroad and her unrelenting support for women’s issues around the globe. She’s the Energizer Bunny. Unflappable, seemingly indefatigable.
I feel exhausted just reading her daily schedule.
But now as the 2012 election season gears up, we’re inundated with stories that Obama will switch out Joe Biden for Hillary Clinton—Biden will take State and Hillary will slip right into the number 2 position in DC.
The question is why? Why would Hillary Clinton step down from the very public and important position as the country’s SOS to accept the very useless position of Vice President? Hillary is aiming to cut Joe Biden’s throat? No, don’t think so. Everything I’ve read has Clinton and Biden on very friendly, mutually respectful terms. Obama is hankering to throw Joe Biden under the bus? Again, everything I’ve read indicates that despite his gaffes, Joe Biden has been a loyal Obama helpmate not a hindrance [although throwing people under the bus seems a favorite White House sport].
Robert Reich, whose columns I read and generally agree with wrote an Op-Ed for Nation of Change where he made a personal prediction for 2012:
Reich went on to state:
Because Obama needs to stir the passions and enthusiasms of a Democratic base that’s been disillusioned with his cave-ins to regressive Republicans. Hillary Clinton on the ticket can do that.
Yes, he does and yes, she could stir things up for many disillusioned [dare I say appalled] Democrats. But why should she? Why should Hillary Clinton come running in to clean house and save Obama’s ass?
Reich goes onto say:
Clinton would help deflect attention from the bad economy and put it on foreign policy, where she and Obama have shined.
Oh, please pass the upchuck bag. Yes, Hillary could cheer the troops and deflect the bad news and . . .
In addition, Reich concludes:
The deal would also make Clinton the obvious Democratic presidential candidate in 2016 — offering the Democrats a shot at twelve (or more) years in the White House . . .
Do you feel manipulated yet?
This is on the heels of Hillary Clinton’s own statement that she has no intention of seeking public office after 2012. But as we all know women have that cra-a-zy habit of changing their minds.
As do all politicians.
But Reich is not alone in floating this balloon. His article was quickly followed by former Virginia Governor Doug Wilder saying what a fine idea this was on Neil Cavuto’s show [that would be Fox News] and how Biden’s many public gaffes had made him a liability.
Say it ain’t so, Joe.
In fact, Wilder went so far as to suggest that if something happened to President Obama, Joe Biden stepping in would be too awful to contemplate.
He’s kidding, right? And again, he picked up the thread that this could be Hillary’s path to the White House in 2016.
On Friday night, I heard the same statement coming from a guest on Al Sharpton’s MSNBC show. I must say the Reverend seemed somewhat miffed, responding with a variation of: If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. In other words, Barack Obama don’t need no stinking woman to prop him up.
But these swirling stories/rumors have been in circulation for months on end. The most recent version was whipped up shortly before Christmas by Pat Caddell and Doug Shoen. Caddell, former pollster for Jimmy Carter and Shoen, former pollster for Bill Clinton, have called for a grassroots write-in campaign for Hillary in New Hampshire. That would be for President. The reason?
The crisis of national leadership.
That’s a hard line to argue against. However, the days when I got any satisfaction in saying–We told you so—are long gone.
I’m absolutely cynical about this sudden burst of love and admiration for Hillary Clinton. I don’t like the VP idea one bit. Sorry. It’s either the catbird seat or no seat at all. Hillary Clinton earned the nomination in 2008. She was undisputedly the best the candidate then and now.
For President, not Den Mother.
Clinton has said she has no desire to run again in any capacity. Until I hear words to the contrary from her lips, I respect that decision and have resigned myself that Hillary Rodham Clinton will leave the political stage in 2012.
I’d like to be wrong; 2016 is not an Eternity. I resent being manipulated by a power structure that seemingly has few principles beyond winning at all costs, at everyone’s expense: you, me and a woman who has given far more to public service than the smarmy pundits—her passion, time, competence, knowledge and I suspect, even her health.
Color me suspicious and skeptical. If this is some tacky way to win the ‘female vote’ in a razor-thin election, you can count me out. If Clinton is offered the VP spot, I hope she refuses. It would break my heart to vote against her. But I will not vote for a continuation of Barack Obama’s miserable administration. Not for the good of the Party [what’s left of it] or the specter of monstrous SCOTUS appointments.
Not even for Hillary.
The New Year is looking to bring a host of challenges and a myriad of predictions. I hope the recent VP chatter is just that–chatter. In the weeks and months ahead, I’m planning to focus on impressive legislative candidates for 2012, strong progressives fighting to keep seats or claim new wins for Democratic principles in the House and Senate. These are individuals who could really make a difference in the lives of average Americans. It’s a fight worth having.
As for the Presidential race? I’ve pretty much thrown my hands up. Unless, of course, you’re willing to speculate on a Democratic primary challenge.
Now that’s something even I could believe in!
It’s that time of year again! It’s time for my annual salute to the late William Safire’s annual “Office Pool”. I’ve been doing it since December 2008 which is basically about 6 months after I started this blog. Safire’s last column of the year in the NYT always had a list of predictions that challenged you to beat the pundit. Some of my favorite questions have to do with the results of elections as well as topical things like the number of troops left in places like Afghanistan.
Let’s make our predictions!
1. The winner of the Republican nod for Presidential candidate in 2012 will go to _______________ and the next president will be_______________.
2. The state with the most surprising election outcome will be ___________ where ___________________.
3. The next dictator to go–one way or another–will be:
4. The biggest court case this year will be about:
5. The winner of this year’s super bowl will be:
6. The next big Congressional stand off will be about ______________ and ___________ will be the one to cave to the opposition’s demands.
7. The big political surprise of the year will be:
8. The largest movement of US troops will be to:
9. Joe Biden’s first gaffe of the campaign will be:
10. The next major ecological/natural disaster will concern:
Okay, sharpen your pencils and let’s get started!
Here’s some other predictions to give you some inspiration! Of course the biggest 2012 predictions have to do with the end of the Mayan Calendar. Here’s some thing on that.
There are many theories floating around the Internet about how the world will end next year. The most popular being the Mayan prediction from 1,300 years ago. According to the Mayan Long Count Calendar, December 21, 2012 will mark the end of a b’ak’tun, a 144,000-day cycle. The b’ak’tun that will end on December 21 is the 13th cycle, a number that started all the apocalypse predictions. The truth is that the Mayan never predicted any cataclysms. The end of the Long Count calendar was just a measure of time for the ancient Mayan. It was Franciscan missionaries who actually attached the end of the world myth to the end of the 13th b’ak’tun.
There’s also some predictions out there for a Super Vocano eruption.
Another doomsday scenario for 2012 is that a supervolcano will erupt to kill off all life on the planet. Supervolcanoes are capable of spewing out thousands of times more magma and ash than regular volcanoes. A supervolcano eruption could wipe out millions of people and blot out the sun with ash. The largest supervolcano explosion happened 74,000 years ago in Sumatra. The explosion of Mount Toba released 700 cubic miles of magma and a thick layer of ash that covered all of South Asia. There are a dozen supervolcanoes today, most of them lying at the bottom of the sea but researchers agree that chances of a super-eruption happening next year are miniscule. Geologists think there is a super-eruption every 700,000 years or so and there is no sign that a super-eruption is going to happen anytime soon.
2012 is likely to feature a slow-growth world that includes a recession in Europe. The United States faces headwinds, but manages to achieve growth of between 2% and 2.5%. China and India slow somewhat, but, along with the United States, make up two-thirds of global GDP growth. The big risk remains that of a financial breakdown in Europe, which would tip the developed world, if not the emerging world, into recession. Inflation should also continue to move lower. Should the muddle-through environment come to pass, we believe earnings and some improvement in confidence would allow equity markets to move higher, with US stocks leading the way.
The Daily Beast has some political pundits with their predictions. Here’s John Avlon’s best guesses.
Anyone who tells you they know who’s going to win the presidential race isn’t telling the truth. This is going to be close—especially if Mitt Romney is the nominee and scores someone like Marco Rubio or Chris Christie as his VP. President Obama’s basic job approval and economic numbers make him a historically vulnerable incumbent, with his primary asset being his personal likability. Likable people get fired if they can’t do their job. The one thing I’ll say for certain is that if President Obama is reelected, it will be by a much smaller electoral margin than in 2008—and possibly razor-thin.
So, what do you think 2012 will bring?
Will Fidel Castro die? Will Israel bomb Iran? Will Hillary Clinton announce her retirement from the State Department? C’mon! Dust off those crystal balls and share!!!
A recent Boston Herald interview with Scott Brown found the freshman senator from Massachusetts bemoaning the ‘fluffy’ treatment that Elizabeth Warren has received from the press. This is the same Elizabeth Warren [who has jumped to a 14 point advantage in the MA Senate race] accused of socialist political leanings; called the woman who would throw stones; cited as an elitist who would indoctrinate our children, leading them to violent mayhem; and most recently, smeared as a staunch ‘supporter’ of all things TARP and Wall Street.
Needless to say, the war of accusations launched by Karl Rove and his Crossroads GPA advertising has produced tepid to reverse results. Despite all the slamming, Warren has not only held her own but gained traction, leaping ahead in the polls.
This sobering news has put Scott Brown into a whiney funk. According to Brown, Elizabeth Warren is ‘very, very liberal.’
Oh noes! Say it ain’t true–in the bluest state in the Union. A liberal? OMG.
But is Brown’s declaration true? Elizabeth Warren is a former Republican, who after years of analyzing what was happening to the American middle-class by destructive economic policies, jumped ship and parties. Does supporting the middle-class make one a liberal? Does criticizing the unfair advantage of the rentier class transform one into a wild-eyed Commie? Does speaking on behalf of working men and women label one a radical?
Karl Rove would have the Massachusetts electorate believe so. Although not too successfully.
when she’s stating that she’s created the intellectual foundation for the Occupy Wall Street — and you know all the problems we had with those folks here. And then the fact that she’s gonna leave blood and teeth in the street, and she’s not gonna compromise and only wants to work on big things. Well you know, we have plenty of ideologues down there, and a lot of partisanship down there already.
Oh yes, the American public really needs to be reminded of ideologues [down there] and all the bitter partisan wrangling over the last 3 years. While virtually nothing has been accomplished to put Americans back to work. Just yak, yak, yak about protecting the mythical job creators from any and all taxation and the enduring pretense that the 2007-2008 financial meltdown was unforeseeable, thereby rendering Wall St. participants and their horrified handmaidens innocent bystanders, terribly sorry but not accountable.
Oh and btw, Mr. Brown, it was blood and teeth left on the ‘floor,’ not the street. The reference was citing the fight for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Elizabeth Warren’s brainchild, a reform agency that Republicans [and sadly Democrats] have attempted to smother in its crib.
This would be almost funny if the fallout of tanked pension funds, bankrupt municipalities, massive unemployment, record numbers of Americans sliding into poverty were merely a morality play, the audience shuffling home after the last, cautionary curtain call.
But it is not.
The recent Census Report stats picked up by the AP indicates that nearly 50% of the American public is considered low income. That alone should horrify and shame everyone. Nearly 50%! In this country, the United States of America. The financial debacle, politely referred to as a ‘recession,’ has wiped out staggering amounts of wealth from and security for millions of American households, while the upper tiers of the population, the infamous 1%, has reaped mega-bucks. Not through brilliance and hard work but through accounting tricks and outright fraud [pull up any number of William Black’s essays for the particulars—here’s one to get you started].
And what do we hear? Whines and endless excuses, obfuscation and diversion; outright lies and numbers that never add up. Btw, this does not let Democrats off the hook. Personally, I find the unemployment numbers nothing short of obscene. 8.6% my ass!
Scott Brown’s other complaint about Warren is:
“She’s going to have every advantage. … I don’t have a machine behind me like she will, and she does clearly,” Brown said.
Really? What do you call this from Karl Rove’s wondrous elf workshop?
And why should Scott Brown or Karl Rove be surprised at the public’s reaction to blatant lies countered by a clear and direct answer?
This response isn’t a Machine talking. It’s a real live person talking to other real live people who are fed up with business as usual and are waking, slowly but surely, to the greatest heist in history. Elizabeth Warren is speaking the language of ordinary men and women. Yes, she wants to do ‘big things,’ as in looking out for the public’s interest. And yes, I believe her when she says she’ll leave blood and teeth on the floor. Metaphorically speaking, of course.
Music to my ears and dare I say to many other voters. In fact, Elizabeth Warren sounds like the real deal. Better yet, she has a record of standing up, while under intense, obnoxious fire–a record to match the words.
What a concept! A candidate for our times.
According to a just published Fox News story, a 19-year-old boy and his family have filed a civil suit against Jerry Sandusky, accused child sexual abuser and former Penn State football coach.
A teenager says he was raped by Jerry Sandusky inside his office in Penn State University’s football building in 2004 — two years after the ex-football coach was said to have had his campus keys taken away and was banned from bringing children into the building, the boy’s lawyer told FoxNews.com.
The now-19-year-old says Sandusky sodomized him when he was 12 years old and attending a summer camp program on the Penn State campus run by Second Mile, Sandusky’s charity organization. The accuser has initiated a civil suit against Sandusky, Second Mile and Penn State University.
The DA’s office is investigating according to the story, because the statute of limitations for this crime doesn’t run out until 12 years after the victims’ 18th birthday. Here’s the boy’s description of what happened to him at the age of 12, shortly after his mother died.
Sandusky targeted the boy during a question-and-answer session—part of the summer camp program and held inside the Penn State football building—that involved the coach quizzing the children on various topics. The camper with the correct answer received a prize, Schmidt said.
Near the end of the session, Schmidt said, Sandusky asked a trivia question relating to a quote from a U.S. president, and the boy was the only one who knew the answer.
“Sandusky said he was out of prizes but told him to follow him,” Schmidt said. “He gets him in a room. He’s on one side of the desk, the boy is on other. [Sandusky] proceeded to engage him in conversation — he had lost his mother, his mother died the year before, he had a very hard time, they were very close — they talked for a while about that. Then [Sandusky] pulled out a glass with alcohol in it and told him to drink it. Then he sodomized him.”
After the alleged assault, Schmidt said, Sandusky helped clean up the boy, gave him the two mementos and took him back outside to join the rest of the campers, passing him off to a counselor.
This was two years after Mike McQueary reported seeing Sandusky raping a young boy in the football building showers. Penn State Athletic Director Tim Curley (now on leave) claimed he had banned Sandusky from bringing children into the football building. But Sandusky’s attorney said that Curley and Sandusky never discussed such and ban, and Sandusky apparently still had keys and an office to use during Second Mile camps.
Currently Sandusky is out on $250,000 bail and is confined to his home and required to wear an electronic monitoring device.
Sandusky secured his release using $200,000 in real estate holdings and a $50,000 certified check provided by his wife, Dorothy, according to online court records. He will be subject to electronic monitoring under the terms of his release.
Is anyone checking to make sure Sandusky’s wife doesn’t invite some kids over to visit him? It is impossible for me to believe that this woman didn’t know her husband was going into his basement in the middle of the night to sexually abuse the boys who frequently stayed with them. And if she didn’t know then, she does now.
Jerry Sandusky needs to be held without bail until his trial. He is an constant and ongoing danger to children.
Paul Krugman asks one more time why over 80 years of economic study, data, and theory have been thrown to the wind for failed ideological hypotheses. He asks why conventional wisdom denies everything that thousands of economists have studied, researched, and debated that now has become accepted theory? Our current experience shows that what we’ve learned over the years is correct. Why are failed hypotheses based on ideological wishful thinking running policy these days? I ask this about my own discipline, but we could just as well ask about why we have to fight to keep iron age myths out of biology classes and fight to keep basic scientific theory like evolution and climate science in? Why do people keep relying on disproved hypotheses, conspiracy theories, and absolutely outdated religious stories?
Here’s the narrative that applies to my discipline from Krugman.
Unfortunately, in late 2010 and early 2011, politicians and policy makers in much of the Western world believed that they knew better, that we should focus on deficits, not jobs, even though our economies had barely begun to recover from the slump that followed the financial crisis. And by acting on that anti-Keynesian belief, they ended up proving Keynes right all over again.
In declaring Keynesian economics vindicated I am, of course, at odds with conventional wisdom. In Washington, in particular, the failure of the Obama stimulus package to produce an employment boom is generally seen as having proved that government spending can’t create jobs. But those of us who did the math realized, right from the beginning, that the Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (more than a third of which, by the way, took the relatively ineffective form of tax cuts) was much too small given the depth of the slump. And we also predicted the resulting political backlash.
So the real test of Keynesian economics hasn’t come from the half-hearted efforts of the U.S. federal government to boost the economy, which were largely offset by cuts at the state and local levels. It has, instead, come from European nations like Greece and Ireland that had to impose savage fiscal austerity as a condition for receiving emergency loans — and have suffered Depression-level economic slumps, with real G.D.P. in both countries down by double digits.
The stupidity is killing our economy. The stupidity is also forcing medical research back to the dark ages too. Taliban-like forces in the US have made up research that says that fetuses with no developed central nervous systems ‘feel pain’. They have invented bogus ‘partial birth abortion’ procedures out of thin air. They’ve even based laws on these falsehoods. We have crazies defining zygotes as fully functional human beings with some narrative that a fertilized egg is just some little microscopic person encased in a membrane.
We have tons of Taliban-like idiots trying to convince every one that the data on global warming is just some made up agenda. Yet, tons of biologists have studied and published research articles on the radical changes in habitat and migration patterns. Meteorologists have reams of data showing the extremes in weather and temperatures that have shifted significantly in statistical terms. It is so pervasive and significant that no scientist that’s not associated with some whacky religion denies global warming. Geologists have documented the changes in water levels and ice formations. Yet, I can still read some one that notes one cold day in summer and on the basis of that anecdote declares global warming to be a hoax. They obviously don’t understand that extreme cold in one area of the globe means extreme heat someplace else. However, some one without one college science course can get on TV and proclaim an entire discipline to be deluded.
One possible answer to my question is there is an evil partnership of corporations and the rich who profit from ignorance and those who follow strict religious ideology who thrive on ignorance period. These folks have overwhelming political power and access to media. The media these days refuses to call out lies and fact check blowhards. They bring on a politician or a media pundit but NEVER an actual scientist with years of learning and research in the area. The media even goes along by repeating the change in word meanings that have plagued us recently. Radical ideas are being put forth as “conservative”. Conspiracy theories are being held up as just another point of view. Ever since media has been driven by profits, we have media more interested in ratings and not getting boycotted than actually putting out some useful information. It is no wonder that we are seeing a systematic destruction of public schools and universities. The only way this march of ignorance can continue is with a systematic destruction of institutions that actually teach science to people. There has never been a time when this quote by Jonathan Swift is more relevant since the Dark Ages which were brought on by the same group of religious nuts that tanked scientific thought hundreds of years ago.
“When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in confederacy against him.”
The same thing can be said about true and genius theories. The confederacy of dunces will thump their books full of myths and conspiracies and deny people access to science, reason, and truth.
Here’s a pretty good list of how insane the Republican Party has become in terms of irrational, unscientific, and unreasonable positions per the UK’s The Economist. Notice the use of the term “fatwahs” which implies they’re waging a religious war. Also please remember that this magazine is not exactly a bastion of socialist thought.
Nowadays, a candidate must believe not just some but all of the following things: that abortion should be illegal in all cases; that gay marriage must be banned even in states that want it; that the 12m illegal immigrants, even those who have lived in America for decades, must all be sent home; that the 46m people who lack health insurance have only themselves to blame; that global warming is a conspiracy; that any form of gun control is unconstitutional; that any form of tax increase must be vetoed, even if the increase is only the cancelling of an expensive and market-distorting perk; that Israel can do no wrong and the “so-called Palestinians”, to use Mr Gingrich’s term, can do no right; that the Environmental Protection Agency, the Department of Education and others whose names you do not have to remember should be abolished.
These fatwas explain the rum list of candidates: you either have to be an unelectable extremist who genuinely believes all this, or a dissembler prepared to tie yourself in ever more elaborate knots (the flexible Mr Romney). Several promisingly pragmatic governors, including Mitch Daniels, Chris Christie and Jeb Bush, never even sought the nomination. Jon Huntsman, the closest thing to a moderate in the race (who supports gay marriage and action to combat climate change), is polling in low single figures.
More depressingly, the fatwas have stifled ideas, making the Republican Party the enemy of creative positions it once pioneered. The idea of requiring every American to carry health insurance (thus broadening the insurance pool and reducing costs) originated in the conservative Heritage Foundation as a response to Clinton-care, and was put into practice by then-Governor Romney in Massachusetts. All this Mr Romney has had to disavow, just as Mr Gingrich has had to recant his ideas on climate change, while Rick Perry is still explaining his appalling laxity as governor of Texas in allowing the children of illegal immigrants to receive subsidised college education.
WTF is wrong with our country? Our religious freedom was enshrined in the first amendment. Our scientific advances led to men on the moon, the elimination of some of the world’s worst plagues, and the lap top computer. Our melting pot of people fleeing class systems and oppression all over the place evolved into a great democracy that provided public education for all and opportunity for any one that wanted it. Why has it come down to this?